PARX RACING · RACE 3

UPCOMING

Maiden Claiming $10,000

Field

6 runners

Purse

$19,000

Post

1:34 PM ET

Pace

Speed Duel

IQ top

#3 · 88

PANELPASS · lean #3 WHEELHOUSE [MAX]see full panel →

Maiden Claiming, for 3-year-olds and up.

Maiden claiming — for horses that have never won, and every starter is also for sale at the claiming price. Typically the easiest class of race.

● Track record at 6 Furlongs: 67.21

The shape is the story here: 4 confirmed front-runners should pressure each other early, which tilts the race toward stalkers and closers who can pick up the pieces late.

Our number tops on #3 Wheelhouse (a presser/stalker, M/L 8-5). Recent figures: 76 · 72 · 65. It hit the board last time and stays in form. Backup is #1 Capt Fluff N Stuff at 9-5. Use #4 Quick To Judge in exotic structures.

What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.

The field, ranked

Our order, top to bottom.

Speed Duel: Three or more early-speed types. Fast pace, hot fractions — closers benefit.

1WIN

3Wheelhouse

Jockey Abner Adorno 32% career 5-for-56 on dirt this meet (9%) · Trainer Susan L Crowell 17% career 0-for-7 on dirt this meet

Also today · Jockey R2: Telephone Line 6-1, R5: Mor Cheese Please 3-1, R8: Centre Court Champ 6-1

Best Brisnet figure in the field over its last five: 77, with 67 next best. Has moved up each time out, 65 to 72 to 76.

EVEN PACE Lands behind the duel without having to be part of it.

WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 87d ago

RECORD Abner Adorno from post 3 here: 37 wins, 87 top-3 in 187 rides · 14% wins from all posts here

RECORD Chestnuts win 12% here vs 14% for all horses (1,513 starts)

M/L8-5

IQ88

TierTop

StyleP

Last2nd · 29d

2PLACE

1Capt Fluff N Stuff

Jockey Magglio Sanchez 37% career ★ 26-for-125 on dirt this meet (21%) · Trainer Kathlee Crook-Demasi

Also today · Jockey R4: Irish Mamba 6-1, R6: Game Energy 10-1

CLASS DROP

Changes barns, from Julio Rodriguez to Kathlee Crook-Demasi. Owns the highest recent figure here at 77.

PACE CHALLENGE Has to fight for the lead against company, and the fractions may cost it late. (early-speed points: 5)

WORKS Average work schedule for this field (1 work in 30d, last 27d ago)

RECORD Magglio Sanchez from post 1 here: 83 wins, 165 top-3 in 268 rides · 26% wins from all posts here

M/L9-5

IQ88

TierTop

StyleE

Last3rd · 21d

3SHOW

4Quick To Judge

Jockey Francisco Martinez 33% career 8-for-89 on dirt this meet (9%) · Trainer Lewis Uriah St 0-for-24 on dirt this meet (0%)

Also today · Jockey R1: Buckin' Right 8-5, R4: Shallus 3-1, R5: Righteous Felon 12-1, R6: Ambitiously Placed 7-2

Was running in maiden claiming $20,000; today's maiden claiming $10,000 is an easier level on paper. 0 for 4 at today's distance.

EVEN PACE Can sit just off the early fight and pick up whoever tires.

TROUBLED TRIP Chart note from last time: Weakened steadily. A trip worth forgiving, though the number already carries it.

WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 38d back)

RECORD 0 wins, 3 on the board from 14 starts here

RECORD Francisco Martinez from post 4 here: 21 wins, 83 top-3 in 181 rides · 13% wins from all posts here

RECORD Chestnuts win 12% here vs 14% for all horses (1,513 starts)

M/L4-1

IQ67

TierLive

StyleP

Last7th · 27d

4EXOTICS

5Read The Meter

Jockey Luis M Ocasio 26% career 5-for-62 on dirt this meet (8%) · Trainer Irving Rodriguez 33% career 1-for-14 on dirt this meet (7%)

Also today · Jockey R6: Amy Mule 15-1, R7: Cajun Venom 8-1 · Trainer R1: Vanaka 2-1

60D LAYOFFCLASS DROP

Irving Rodriguez takes over the training from Cathal Lynch. A 67-day gap since its last race.

PACE CHALLENGE Has to fight for the lead against company, and the fractions may cost it late. (early-speed points: 3)

TROUBLED TRIP Ran into trouble last out (Bobbled break; faltered), and the figure already reflects it.

WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 1 work in 30d, last 16d ago

RECORD Luis M Ocasio from post 5 here: 19 wins, 52 top-3 in 158 rides · 9% wins from all posts here

M/L5-1

IQ42

TierLive

StyleE

Last7th · 67d

5EXOTICS

6Craigh Na Dun

Jockey Adam Bowman 28% career 0-for-26 on dirt this meet (0%) · Trainer Alan Bedard 18% career 0-for-5 on dirt this meet

Also today · Jockey R4: Zoppi Fischbein 5-1

60D LAYOFF

Back after 111 days away; fitness is the question and the works are the evidence. The longest gap in the field. Maiden through 31 starts.

PACE CHALLENGE Early speed in a crowded front end; somebody gets worn down. (early-speed points: 0)

WORKS SHARP One of the busier work schedules here: 2 works in 30d, last 7d ago

RECORD 0 wins, 1 on the board from 7 starts here

RECORD Adam Bowman from post 6 here: 7 wins, 29 top-3 in 109 rides · 7% wins from all posts here

RECORD Chestnuts win 12% here vs 14% for all horses (1,513 starts)

M/L15-1

IQ34

TierOut

StyleE

Last6th · 111d

2Matzoball Muhammet

Jockey Kleiner A Mejias 22% career 1-for-15 on dirt this meet (7%) · Trainer Flores Tony Perez 30% career 0-for-5 on dirt this meet

Finished 9th in a 9-horse maiden claiming $12,500 race at PRX, beaten 10 lengths. Class relief: maiden claiming $12,500 last time, maiden claiming $10,000 today.

PACE CHALLENGE Early speed in a crowded front end; somebody gets worn down. (early-speed points: 4)

WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 72d ago

RECORD 0 wins, 7 on the board from 17 starts here

M/L6-1

IQ28

TierLongshot

StyleE

Last9th · 21d

At a glance

Market favourite #3 WHEELHOUSE (8-5) — our number agrees.
#3 WHEELHOUSE — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (29.8% to their 29.3%).
#1 CAPT FLUFF N STUFF — our #2 number, about right at the windows (28.4% to their 27.2%).
#4 QUICK TO JUDGE — our #3 number, about right at the windows (15.7% to their 15.2%).

Value read · analysis, not advice

Verdict: PASS — market efficient — no edge, pass

No price-band edge — the market looks efficient here.

Pace

Speed Duel. Three or more early-speed types. Fast pace, hot fractions — closers benefit.

Likely leader: #1 Capt Fluff N Stuff; pressure from #5 Read The Meter, #2 Matzoball Muhammet; and works against #1 Capt Fluff N Stuff, #2 Matzoball Muhammet, #5 Read The Meter.

Lead

1Capt Fluff N Stuff925Read The Meter922Matzoball Muhammet786Craigh Na Dun76

Press

none

Stalk

4Quick To Judge843Wheelhouse83

none

Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.

Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse

Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners

Capt Fluff N Stuff

Read The Meter

Quick To Judge

Wheelhouse

Matzoball Muhammet

Craigh Na Dun

Closing Kick · late-pace figure

Capt Fluff N Stuff

Matzoball Muhammet

Read The Meter

Craigh Na Dun

Quick To Judge

Wheelhouse

How to play it

How we'd structure it from our ranking + pace read — the projected speed duel sets up closers underneath — spread the exotics deeper. Structures and logic only; the stake is yours.

Place / Show

#3 Wheelhouse · #1 Capt Fluff N Stuff · #4 Quick To Judge

Top trio is bunched — backing one to hit the board is sounder than a flat win bet.

Exacta — BOX

#3 Wheelhouse · #1 Capt Fluff N Stuff · #4 Quick To Judge

Top three are close — a 3-horse box covers the likely 1-2 in any order.

Trifecta — BOX

#3 Wheelhouse · #1 Capt Fluff N Stuff · #4 Quick To Judge

Box the top three for any 1-2-3 order; add a 4th only if the field is wide open.

Bet types offered at this track →

DAILY DOUBLE/ PICK 3 (RACES 3-4-5)

EXACTA / 50 CENT TRIFECTA / 10 CENT SUPERFECTA

See the Wager Logic primer for takeout + hit-rate context on each bet type. We give the structure; the wagering decision and amount are yours.