PARX RACING · RACE 6
UPCOMINGClaiming $10,000
Claiming $10,000, for fillies and mares, 3-year-olds and up.
Claiming race — every starter can be bought for the claiming price out of the race, so owners risk losing a horse that's clearly best. That keeps the field evenly matched on ability.
● Track record at 1 Mile: 94.51
The shape is the story here: the early pace looks honest rather than contested — expect a fairly run race where class and trip decide it, not pace collapse.
Our number tops on #1 Molly's A Bullet (a presser/stalker, M/L 8-1). Recent figures: 70 · 64 · 66. It exits a win and is clearly doing well. Backup is #2 Lady Emily Kathryn at 6-1. Use #3 Ambitiously Placed in exotic structures.
What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.
The field, ranked
Our order, top to bottom.
Won last out in a 7-horse $7,500 claiming race at PRX. Changes barns, from Anthony Jr Margotta to Ronald Abrams.
A 78 top number against a 81 par, so it fits the level. Last out was 4th, 2 lengths behind the winner, in an 11-horse $10,000 claiming race at PRX.
Was running in $14,000 claiming; today's $10,000 claiming is an easier level on paper. Stretches out from 6½ furlongs to a mile.
Owns the highest recent figure here at 85. A longer trip: 6 furlongs last out, a mile today.
Has moved up each time out, 71 to 76 to 78. Comes in off a victory in a 7-horse $7,500 claiming race at DEL.
Raises its level, $6,250 claiming last time and $10,000 claiming now. Beaten 4 lengths for 2nd in an 8-horse $6,250 claiming race at DEL.
Figures have slipped: 79, 78, 53 over its last three. 6th last time, 14 lengths back, in a field of 6.
Was 6th of 7 at the first call last time. Moves up from $7,500 claiming to $10,000 claiming.
At a glance
- Market favourite #6 CHELSEA WALL (5-2) — our number has it ranked #5.
- #6 CHELSEA WALL — our #5 number, about right at the windows (22.1% to their 22.6%).
- #3 AMBITIOUSLY PLACED — our #3 number, about right at the windows (17.8% to their 17.6%).
- #8 CRUISE MISSILE — our #7 number, about right at the windows (12.8% to their 14.4%).
Value read
- Longshot value: #1 MOLLY'S A BULLET (8-1) — our fair 12.0% is above the morning line's 8.8%; needs the trip to fall right.
Pace
Pressed Pace. Speed under pressure from multiple pressers. Likely honest pace, slight closer benefit.
Likely leader: #3 Ambitiously Placed; pressure from #5 Winkiwinki, #4 Game Energy; the shape helps #1 Molly's A Bullet, #2 Lady Emily Kathryn, #4 Game Energy; and works against #3 Ambitiously Placed, #5 Winkiwinki.
Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.
Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse
Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners
Closing Kick · late-pace figure
How to play it
How we'd structure it from our ranking + pace read — an honest, pressed pace rewards the best horse — key tickets fit. Structures and logic only; the stake is yours.
Win
#1 Molly's A Bullet
Top of the field by a clear 32-pt IQ margin — the play stands alone to win.
Exacta — KEY
#1 Molly's A Bullet OVER #2 Lady Emily Kathryn · #3 Ambitiously Placed · #4 Game Energy
Key #1 Molly's A Bullet on top over your contenders for the 2nd slot.
Trifecta — KEY/WHEEL
#1 Molly's A Bullet / #2 Lady Emily Kathryn · #3 Ambitiously Placed · #4 Game Energy / #2 Lady Emily Kathryn · #3 Ambitiously Placed · #4 Game Energy · #6 Chelsea Wall
#1 Molly's A Bullet keyed 1st, your contenders filling 2nd–3rd.
Superfecta — KEY
#1 Molly's A Bullet / #2 Lady Emily Kathryn · #3 Ambitiously Placed · #4 Game Energy · #6 Chelsea Wall / #2 Lady Emily Kathryn · #3 Ambitiously Placed · #4 Game Energy · #6 Chelsea Wall / ALL or #2 Lady Emily Kathryn · #3 Ambitiously Placed · #4 Game Energy · #6 Chelsea Wall
Deep enough field to spread a super — key the top, spread the next few, fill 4th wide.
Bet types offered at this track →
DAILY DOUBLE / PICK 3 (RACES 6-7-8)
EXACTA / 50 CENT TRIFECTA / 50 CENT PICK 4 (RACES 6-9) / 10 CENT SUPERFECTA