PARX RACING · RACE 4
UPCOMINGOptional Claiming $16,000
Claiming $16,000, for 3-year-olds and up.
Claiming race — every starter can be bought for the claiming price out of the race, so owners risk losing a horse that's clearly best. That keeps the field evenly matched on ability.
● Track record at 1 1/16 Miles: 100.8
The shape is the story here: there's little established early speed, so a tactical horse can control soft fractions up front and prove hard to run down.
Our number tops on #5 Bonafide (early speed, M/L 2-1). Recent figures: 78 · 86 · 75. It hit the board last time and stays in form. Backup is #6 Winning Song at 5-1. Use #3 Chain Lightning in exotic structures.
What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.
The field, ranked
Our order, top to bottom.
Tops the field on speed figures, an 86 against 83 for the next best. 2nd last time, 1 length back, in a field of 8.
Carries 125 pounds, 4 more than last time. A 75 is the high figure lately, short of the 85 par.
Eli Jr Betancourt takes over the training from Harold Wyner. A longer trip: 7 furlongs last out, 1 1/16 miles today.
Dropped in well back early last out, 7th of 8 at the first call. Posted the fastest 4F work of the morning on Jul 17, in :47.60.
Trending the wrong way on speed, 82 to 73 to 72. Best recent figure of 82 sits right around the 85 par.
Winner of an 8-horse $12,500 claiming race at PRX last time. Moves up from $12,500 claiming to optional claiming.
At a glance
- Market favourite #5 BONAFIDE (2-1) — our number agrees.
- #5 BONAFIDE — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (27.0% to their 26.5%).
- #4 SHALLUS — our #4 number, about right at the windows (20.1% to their 19.8%).
- #3 CHAIN LIGHTNING — our #3 number, about right at the windows (15.7% to their 15.9%).
Value read
- No price-band edge — the market looks efficient here.
Pace
Pressed Pace. Speed under pressure from multiple pressers. Likely honest pace, slight closer benefit.
Likely leader: #5 Bonafide; pressure from #2 Zoppi Fischbein; the shape helps #2 Zoppi Fischbein, #4 Shallus; and works against #5 Bonafide.
Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.
Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse
Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners
Closing Kick · late-pace figure
How to play it
How we'd structure it from our ranking + pace read — an honest, pressed pace rewards the best horse — key tickets fit. Structures and logic only; the stake is yours.
Win
#5 Bonafide
Top of the field by a clear 33-pt IQ margin — the play stands alone to win.
Exacta — KEY
#5 Bonafide OVER #6 Winning Song · #3 Chain Lightning · #4 Shallus
Key #5 Bonafide on top over your contenders for the 2nd slot.
Trifecta — KEY/WHEEL
#5 Bonafide / #6 Winning Song · #3 Chain Lightning · #4 Shallus / #6 Winning Song · #3 Chain Lightning · #4 Shallus · #2 Zoppi Fischbein
#5 Bonafide keyed 1st, your contenders filling 2nd–3rd.
Bet types offered at this track →
DAILY DOUBLE / PICK 3 (RACES 4-5-6) / 50 CENT PICK 4 (RACES 4 -7) / EXACTA
50 CENT TRIFECTA / 10 CENT SUPERFECTA