PARX RACING · RACE 5

UPCOMING

Maiden Claiming $25,000

Field

8 runners

Purse

$26,000

Post

2:28 PM ET

Pace

Speed Duel

IQ top

#4 · 94

PANELPASS · lean #7 HYPERLINK [MAX]see full panel →

Maiden Claiming, for 3-year-olds and up.

Maiden claiming — for horses that have never won, and every starter is also for sale at the claiming price. Typically the easiest class of race.

● Track record at 1 Mile: 94.51

The shape is the story here: 3 confirmed front-runners should pressure each other early, which tilts the race toward stalkers and closers who can pick up the pieces late.

Our number tops on #4 Grey Bull (early speed, M/L 7-2). Recent figures: 62 · 67 · 70. Backup is #7 Hyperlink at 9-2. Use #5 Mor Cheese Please in exotic structures.

What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.

The field, ranked

Our order, top to bottom.

Speed Duel: Three or more early-speed types. Fast pace, hot fractions — closers benefit.

1WIN

4Grey Bull

Jockey Mychel J Sanchez 37% career ★ 26-for-125 on dirt this meet (21%) · Trainer Jamie Ness 41% career ★ 8-for-40 on dirt this meet (20%) ★ hot

Also today · Jockey R2: Shadyside 5-2, R4: Bonafide 2-1, R6: Chelsea Wall 5-2, R7: Call Me Andy 3-1 +1 more · Trainer R2: Shadyside 5-2, this race: Hyperlink 9-2, R6: Chelsea Wall 5-2, R7: Call Me Andy 3-1 +1 more

★ FASTEST WORK2/3 board here

Trending the wrong way on speed, 70 to 67 to 62. Still looking for the first win after 9 starts.

PACE CHALLENGE One of several that want the lead, so the early work will cost something. (early-speed points: 4)

WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 6F on Jun 24; 1 work in 30d

RECORD 0 wins, 2 on the board from 3 starts here

RECORD Mychel J Sanchez from post 4 here: 71 wins, 166 top-3 in 279 rides · 26% wins from all posts here

M/L7-2

IQ94

TierTop

StyleE

Last4th · 39d

2PLACE

7Hyperlink

Jockey F Pennington 34% career 3-for-36 on dirt this meet (8%) · Trainer Jamie Ness 41% career ★ 8-for-40 on dirt this meet (20%) ★ hot

Also today · Jockey R8: Vanilla 8-1 · Trainer R2: Shadyside 5-2, this race: Grey Bull 7-2, R6: Chelsea Wall 5-2, R7: Call Me Andy 3-1 +1 more

★ FASTEST WORK

Jamie Ness takes over the training from Colby Williams. Maiden through 9 starts.

PACE HELPS Several horses want the lead, which is the early heat a closer is looking for.

WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Sep 7 (4F in :49.40), 1 work in 30d

RECORD F Pennington from post 7 here: 22 wins, 67 top-3 in 143 rides · 16% wins from all posts here

M/L9-2

IQ71

TierContender

StyleS

Last7th · 15d

3SHOW

5Mor Cheese Please

Jockey Abner Adorno 32% career 5-for-56 on dirt this meet (9%) · Trainer Hugo O Padilla 32% career 2-for-16 on dirt this meet (12%)

Also today · Jockey R2: Telephone Line 6-1, R3: Wheelhouse 8-5, R8: Centre Court Champ 6-1

★ FASTEST WORK3/3 board here

Best Brisnet figure in the field over its last five: 79, with 78 next best. A longer trip: 6½ furlongs last out, a mile today.

PACE CHALLENGE Early speed in a crowded front end; somebody gets worn down. (early-speed points: 8)

WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 75 days ago

RECORD On the board in all 3 starts here (0 wins)

RECORD Abner Adorno from post 5 here: 20 wins, 70 top-3 in 183 rides · 14% wins from all posts here

M/L3-1

IQ52

TierContender

StyleE

Last2nd · 27d

4EXOTICS

6Tregetour

Jockey Dexter Haddock 28% career 8-for-72 on dirt this meet (11%) · Trainer Jacinto Solis 32% career 1-for-33 on dirt this meet (3%)

Also today · Jockey R4: Winning Song 5-1, R9: Ruby Ruby 5-1 · Trainer R1: Charm Of The Song 12-1, R4: Winning Song 5-1

0/3 board here

0 for 6 at today's distance. Finished 4th in a 7-horse maiden claiming $25,000 race at PRX, beaten 7 lengths.

EVEN PACE Can sit just off the early fight and pick up whoever tires.

WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 2 works in 30d and the last 7d back

RECORD Not on the board in 3 starts here

RECORD Dexter Haddock from post 6 here: 25 wins, 106 top-3 in 252 rides · 12% wins from all posts here

RECORD Chestnuts win 12% here vs 14% for all horses (1,513 starts)

M/L6-1

IQ46

TierLive

StyleP

Last4th · 55d

5EXOTICS

8Who's Your Hattie

Jockey Pascacio Lopez 36% career ★ 13-for-57 on dirt this meet (23%) · Trainer Scott A Lake 28% career 3-for-40 on dirt this meet (8%)

Also today · Jockey R7: King Peanut 9-2, R8: Volleyballprincess 5-1, R9: As The Bell Toles 4-1 · Trainer R2: Telephone Line 6-1, R4: Shallus 3-1, R8: Carousel Queen 8-1

★ FASTEST WORK

Last out was 6th, 16 lengths behind the winner, in a 7-horse race at DEL. Purse drops from $28,000 to $26,000 against its last start.

PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.

WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 3F on Oct 21; 2 works in 30d

RECORD Pascacio Lopez from post 8 here: 12 wins, 27 top-3 in 70 rides · 22% wins from all posts here

RECORD Chestnuts win 12% here vs 14% for all horses (1,513 starts)

M/L6-1

IQ44

TierLive

StyleNA

Last6th · 39d

1Relentlessness

Jockey Andy Hernandez 38% career 3-for-32 on dirt this meet (9%) · Trainer Bobbi Anne Hawthorne 28% career 0-for-11 on dirt this meet (0%)

Also today · Jockey R1: Charm Of The Song 12-1

2/3 board here

Goes a mile after running 6½ furlongs last time. Needs to move up: the best of its last five is 67 against a 79 par.

PACE CHALLENGE Early speed in a crowded front end; somebody gets worn down. (early-speed points: 8)

WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 72d back)

RECORD 0 wins, 2 on the board from 3 starts here

RECORD Andy Hernandez from post 1 here: 29 wins, 65 top-3 in 121 rides · 17% wins from all posts here

M/L6-1

IQ44

TierLive

StyleE

Last3rd · 27d

2Righteous Felon

Jockey Francisco Martinez 33% career 8-for-89 on dirt this meet (9%) · Trainer J Guadalupe Guerrero 31% career ★ 10-for-40 on dirt this meet (25%)

Also today · Jockey R1: Buckin' Right 8-5, R3: Quick To Judge 4-1, R4: Shallus 3-1, R6: Ambitiously Placed 7-2

Jky 36/183 from post 2

Class relief: maiden special weight last time, maiden claiming $25,000 today. Beaten 15 lengths for 6th in an 8-horse maiden special weight race at PRX.

PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.

WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 37 days ago

RECORD Not on the board in 3 starts here

RECORD Francisco Martinez from post 2 here: 36 wins, 103 top-3 in 183 rides · 13% wins from all posts here

M/L12-1

IQ42

TierLongshot

StyleNA

Last6th · 21d

3Joy Boy

Jockey Jatniel Ramos 34% career 0-for-5 on dirt this meet · Trainer Julio Rodriguez 33% career 0-for-6 on dirt this meet ★ hot

Switches from turf to dirt. Figures are climbing: 59, 66, 68 over its last three.

EVEN PACE Can sit just off the early fight and pick up whoever tires.

WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 2 works in 30d, last 6d ago

RECORD 0 wins, 2 on the board from 5 starts here

M/L6-1

IQ28

TierLive

StyleP

Last5th · 38d

At a glance

Market favourite #5 MOR CHEESE PLEASE (3-1) — our number has it ranked #3.
#4 GREY BULL — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (19.3% to their 17.1%).
#5 MOR CHEESE PLEASE — our #3 number, about right at the windows (18.8% to their 19.2%).
#7 HYPERLINK — our #2 number, about right at the windows (15.2% to their 14.0%).

Value read · analysis, not advice

Verdict: PASS — market efficient — no edge, pass

No price-band edge — the market looks efficient here.

Pace

Speed Duel. Three or more early-speed types. Fast pace, hot fractions — closers benefit.

Likely leader: #1 Relentlessness; pressure from #5 Mor Cheese Please, #4 Grey Bull; the shape helps #7 Hyperlink; and works against #1 Relentlessness, #2 Righteous Felon, #4 Grey Bull.

Lead

1Relentlessness885Mor Cheese Please884Grey Bull85

Press

none

Stalk

6Tregetour723Joy Boy70

7Hyperlink71

No style yet

2Righteous Felon888Who's Your Hattie81

Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.

Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse

Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners

Relentlessness

Mor Cheese Please

Grey Bull

Tregetour

Joy Boy

Closing Kick · late-pace figure

Hyperlink

How to play it

How we'd structure it from our ranking + pace read — the projected speed duel sets up closers underneath — spread the exotics deeper. Structures and logic only; the stake is yours.

Win

#4 Grey Bull

Top of the field by a clear 23-pt IQ margin — the play stands alone to win.

Exacta — KEY

#4 Grey Bull OVER #7 Hyperlink · #5 Mor Cheese Please · #6 Tregetour

Key #4 Grey Bull on top over your contenders for the 2nd slot.

Trifecta — KEY/WHEEL

#4 Grey Bull / #7 Hyperlink · #5 Mor Cheese Please · #6 Tregetour / #7 Hyperlink · #5 Mor Cheese Please · #6 Tregetour · #8 Who's Your Hattie

#4 Grey Bull keyed 1st, your contenders filling 2nd–3rd.

Superfecta — KEY

#4 Grey Bull / #7 Hyperlink · #5 Mor Cheese Please · #6 Tregetour · #8 Who's Your Hattie / #7 Hyperlink · #5 Mor Cheese Please · #6 Tregetour · #8 Who's Your Hattie / ALL or #7 Hyperlink · #5 Mor Cheese Please · #6 Tregetour · #8 Who's Your Hattie

Deep enough field to spread a super — key the top, spread the next few, fill 4th wide.

Bet types offered at this track →

DAILY DOUBLE / PICK 3 (RACES 5-6-7) / EXACTA / 50 CENT TRIFECTA

10 CENT SUPERFECTA / 50 CENT PHILLY BIG 5

See the Wager Logic primer for takeout + hit-rate context on each bet type. We give the structure; the wagering decision and amount are yours.