PARX RACING · RACE 8
UPCOMINGOptional Claiming $50,000
Claiming $50,000, for fillies and mares, 3-year-olds and up.
Claiming race — every starter can be bought for the claiming price out of the race, so owners risk losing a horse that's clearly best. That keeps the field evenly matched on ability.
● Track record at 6 1/2 Furlongs: 74.39
The shape is the story here: the early pace looks honest rather than contested — expect a fairly run race where class and trip decide it, not pace collapse.
Our number tops on #4 More Than Grace (a presser/stalker, M/L 4-5). Recent figures: 91 · 97 · 84. It exits a win and is clearly doing well. Backup is #2 Volleyballprincess at 5-1. Use #6 Vanilla in exotic structures.
What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.
The field, ranked
Our order, top to bottom.
Owns the highest recent figure here at 98. Last start was a win, in a 7-horse optional claiming race at PRX at 0.3-1.
Runs for $52,000 today after a $150,000 race last time. Finished 8th in an 8-horse race at PRX, beaten 23 lengths.
Harold Wyner takes over the training from Jamie Ness. Figures have slipped: 85, 84, 75 over its last three.
Moves up from allowance to allowance optional claiming. 3rd last time, 7 lengths back, in a field of 9.
Trending the wrong way on speed, 87 to 75 to 74. Was 6th of 7 at the first call last time.
2 wins from 5 starts at this distance. Ranks first in the field on Brisnet Prime Power.
At a glance
- Market favourite #4 MORE THAN GRACE (4-5) — our number agrees.
- #4 MORE THAN GRACE — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (45.9% to their 46.4%).
- #2 VOLLEYBALLPRINCESS — our #2 number, about right at the windows (14.5% to their 13.9%).
- #3 CENTRE COURT CHAMP — our #4 number, about right at the windows (11.7% to their 11.9%).
Value read
- No price-band edge — the market looks efficient here.
Pace
Pressed Pace. Speed under pressure from multiple pressers. Likely honest pace, slight closer benefit.
Likely leader: #2 Volleyballprincess; pressure from #3 Centre Court Champ, #4 More Than Grace; the shape helps #4 More Than Grace, #6 Vanilla; and works against #2 Volleyballprincess, #3 Centre Court Champ.
Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.
Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse
Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners
Closing Kick · late-pace figure
How to play it
How we'd structure it from our ranking + pace read — an honest, pressed pace rewards the best horse — key tickets fit. Structures and logic only; the stake is yours.
Win
#4 More Than Grace
Top of the field by a clear 40-pt IQ margin — the play stands alone to win.
Exacta — KEY
#4 More Than Grace OVER #2 Volleyballprincess · #6 Vanilla · #3 Centre Court Champ
Key #4 More Than Grace on top over your contenders for the 2nd slot.
Trifecta — KEY/WHEEL
#4 More Than Grace / #2 Volleyballprincess · #6 Vanilla · #3 Centre Court Champ / #2 Volleyballprincess · #6 Vanilla · #3 Centre Court Champ · #5 Missy Sixtysix
#4 More Than Grace keyed 1st, your contenders filling 2nd–3rd.
Bet types offered at this track →
DAILY DOUBLE / EXACTA / 50 CENT TRIFECTA / 10 CENT SUPERFECTA