PARX RACING · RACE 9
UPCOMINGClaiming $12,500
Claiming $12,500, for fillies and mares, 3-year-olds and up.
Claiming race — every starter can be bought for the claiming price out of the race, so owners risk losing a horse that's clearly best. That keeps the field evenly matched on ability.
● Track record at 1 Mile 70 Yards: 98.7
The shape is the story here: there's little established early speed, so a tactical horse can control soft fractions up front and prove hard to run down.
Our number tops on #2 Southampton Dock (a presser/stalker, M/L 5-1). Recent figures: 71 · 48 · 69. Backup is #1 Spirit Of Esther at 3-1. Use #4 Doppio Espresso in exotic structures.
What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.
The field, ranked
Our order, top to bottom.
Freshened 144 days, longer than anything else in the field. Watch how its recent works look. Comes off a turf start and tries the dirt here.
Class relief: allowance last time, $12,500 claiming today. Changes barns, from Ilkay Kantarmaci to Jamie Ness.
New trainer: Michael V Pino had it last time, Jorge Diaz now. A longer trip: 6½ furlongs last out, 1 1/16 miles today.
Harold Wyner takes over the training from John T Kirby. Moves up from $7,500 claiming to $12,500 claiming.
2nd of 9 at 5F on Jun 13, in 1:00.80. 3rd last time, 4½ lengths back, in a field of 7.
Trending the wrong way on speed, 76 to 71 to 68. Owns the highest recent figure here at 82.
A step up in company: $7,500 claiming before, $12,500 claiming today. Needs to move up: the best of its last five is 72 against a 80 par.
Beaten 10 lengths for 5th in a 6-horse optional claiming race at PRX. Best recent figure is 64, well under the 80 par for this level.
At a glance
- Market favourite #1 SPIRIT OF ESTHER (3-1) — our number has it ranked #2.
- #1 SPIRIT OF ESTHER — our #2 number, about right at the windows (19.5% to their 18.4%).
- #2 SOUTHAMPTON DOCK — our top number on the card, and the board's letting him go too cheap — we make him 14.5%, they've got 12.2%.
- #6 AS THE BELL TOLES — our #6 number, about right at the windows (13.3% to their 14.7%).
Value read
- #2 SOUTHAMPTON DOCK — we make it 14.5%, the morning line implies 12.2%. We're 19.1 points higher than the line — our opinion, not a price; pools pay the final odds.
Pace
Pressed Pace. Speed under pressure from multiple pressers. Likely honest pace, slight closer benefit.
Likely leader: #1 Spirit Of Esther; pressure from #6 As The Bell Toles, #3 Gruene Hall; the shape helps #2 Southampton Dock, #3 Gruene Hall, #4 Doppio Espresso; and works against #1 Spirit Of Esther.
Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.
Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse
Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners
Closing Kick · late-pace figure
How to play it
How we'd structure it from our ranking + pace read — an honest, pressed pace rewards the best horse — key tickets fit. Structures and logic only; the stake is yours.
Place / Show
#2 Southampton Dock · #1 Spirit Of Esther · #4 Doppio Espresso
Top trio is bunched — backing one to hit the board is sounder than a flat win bet.
Exacta — BOX
#2 Southampton Dock · #1 Spirit Of Esther · #4 Doppio Espresso
Top three are close — a 3-horse box covers the likely 1-2 in any order.
Trifecta — BOX
#2 Southampton Dock · #1 Spirit Of Esther · #4 Doppio Espresso
Box the top three for any 1-2-3 order; add a 4th only if the field is wide open.
Superfecta — KEY
#2 Southampton Dock / #1 Spirit Of Esther · #4 Doppio Espresso · #7 Ruby Ruby · #8 Lady Sriracha / #1 Spirit Of Esther · #4 Doppio Espresso · #7 Ruby Ruby · #8 Lady Sriracha / ALL or #1 Spirit Of Esther · #4 Doppio Espresso · #7 Ruby Ruby · #8 Lady Sriracha
Deep enough field to spread a super — key the top, spread the next few, fill 4th wide.
Bet types offered at this track →
EXACTA / 50 CENT TRIFECTA / 10 CENT SUPERFECTA