★ Distance horse: #10 None Above the Law (8-1) has the best figure in the field at today's distance and surface: 89 from 2 tries. Not in our top three.
1Magnify▲V. Espinoza · T. YakteenEspinoza · YakteenA97 91 92▲▲+83-1Fair 4-120%
▲▲ Big jump +897 91 92A▲ Last fig 97 at/above par 851Card model 20% · Fair odds 4-1 · Our #1 · Tier A · Form ▲▲ Big jump +8 · Last 3 figs 97 91 92
▲ Last fig 97 at/above par 8560D LAYOFF4 WORKS IN 30 DAYS★ FASTEST WORKLast race was on the dirt; today it runs on the turf. Has run 98 against a 85 par for the class.
EVEN PACE The shape is neutral for this one.WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 4F on Oct 16; 4 works in 30dLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 8/22 DMR 1m D OC 50k n1x 3rd/6 -3½L 97 2.3-1 b L Tugged btwn;ask2-3wd 7/18 DMR 1m D OC 50k n1x 3rd/9 -4L 91 2.1-1 b L 2wd;3-5wd;gained 3rd 6/5 SA 1m D OC 50k n1x 2nd/7 -1L 92 1.2-1 b L Ins;angled1/4;bid uppr 2Uncle HappyM. Americano · L. PowellAmericano · PowellC84 91 86▼-3≡@trip 8630-1Fair 50-12%
▼ Down -384 91 86 ≡@trip 86CCard model 2% · Fair odds 50-1 · Our #11 · Tier C · Form ▼ Down -3 · ≡ Steady figures 84–91 · Best fig at today's trip 86 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 84 91 86
4 WORKS IN 30 DAYSA step up in company: $25,000 claiming before, allowance optional claiming today. Figure of 91 on the record sits above the 85 par.
EVEN PACE The shape is neutral for this one.WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 4 works in 30d, last 9d agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/6 DMR 1⅛m T Clm 25k 9th/12 -6¾L 84 19-1 b L 2wd; passed tired rvls 8/14 DMR 1m T Clm 32k 6th/9 -4L 91 12-1 b L Inside;2wide;no rally 7/24 DMR 1⅛m T Clm 40k 5th/8 -4½L 86 9.2-1 b L Hugged rail; no rally 3Stylishlyacclaimed▲H. Berrios · C. GainesBerrios · GainesB85 92 86►@trip 866-1Fair 7-112%
► Steady85 92 86@trip 86B▲ Last fig 85 at/above par 853Card model 12% · Fair odds 7-1 · Our #3 · Tier B · Form ► Steady · Best fig at today's trip 86 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 85 92 86
▲ Last fig 85 at/above par 85WON LASTComes in off a victory in an 11-horse optional claiming race at SA. Goes 1 1/8 miles after running a mile last time.
EVEN PACE Balanced pace: trip and tactical speed decide it, with no strong setup advantage.WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (2 works in 30d, last 7d back)Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/27 SA 1m T sOC20000n1x Won/11 85 5.3-1 L Re-rally;led 1/8;clrd 8/22 DMR 1 1/16 T sOC20000n1x 5th/12 -2L 92 8.1-1 L 2wd;2-3wd;evenly late 5/9 SA 1⅛m T sOC20000n1x 3rd/8 86 6.9-1 L Bid2w3/8;led;outkicked 4In the TankLST. Baze · A. SaavedraBaze · SaavedraC79 90 88▼-710-1Fair 12-18%
▼ Down -779 90 88CLSCard model 8% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #6 · Tier C · Form ▼ Down -7 · Last 3 figs 79 90 88
LSLongshot read: 10-1 on the morning line, and the model has it at 8% against a line of 7%. A read, not a bet.
WON LASTLast start was a win, in a 10-horse optional claiming race at SA at 9.2-1. Raises its level, optional claiming last time and allowance optional claiming now.
EVEN PACE The shape is neutral for this one.WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 2 works in 30d and the last 7 days agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/10 SA 1m T OC 50k Won/10 79 9.2-1 L Outsd;clear1/16;safely 9/7 DMR 6½f D Alw s 3rd/11 -3½L 90 35-1 L Ins;mvd out;edged 2nd 8/2 DMR 1 1/16 T OC 50k 5th/9 -1L 88 13-1 L Bid2w2nd;non late kick 5Prince Dolce▲R. Gonzalez · S. KnappGonzalez · KnappA95 88 91▲+6≡@trip 814-1Fair 5-117%
▲ Up +6 · career best95 88 91 ≡@trip 81A▲ Last fig 95 at/above par 852Card model 17% · Fair odds 5-1 · Our #2 · Tier A · Form ▲ Up +6 · career best · ≡ Steady figures 88–95 · Best fig at today's trip 81 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 95 88 91
▲ Last fig 95 at/above par 85CLASS UPA 95 in its last five clears the 85 par for this level. Stretches out from a mile to 1 1/8 miles.
EVEN PACE The shape is neutral for this one.WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 2 works in 30d, last one 7d agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/4 SA 1m T OC 50k n1x 2nd/6 -3½L 95 4.3-1 b L Ins-2wd; 3wd into str 8/20 DMR 1m D sOC20000n1x 4th/9 -2L 88 4.0-1 b L 6-5w1st;bid4wd 2nd 8/1 DMR 1 1/16 T sCalDreamnB150k 5th/6 -3L 91 5.4-1 b Ins;2wd;lost path uppr 6Tribal▲M. Meeks · D. O'NeillMeeks · O'NeillC86 86 81▲+4≡@trip 7720-1Fair 30-14%
▲ Up +486 86 81 ≡@trip 77C▲ Last fig 86 at/above par 85Card model 4% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #9 · Tier C · Form ▲ Up +4 · ≡ Steady figures 80–86 · Best fig at today's trip 77 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 86 86 81
▲ Last fig 86 at/above par 8560D LAYOFFCLASS UP3 WORKS IN 30 DAYSWON LASTWon last out in a 12-horse optional claiming race at DMR. A 62-day gap since its last race.
EVEN PACE The shape is neutral for this one.WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 3 works in 30d and the last 6d backLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 8/30 DMR 1m T OC 50k Won/12 by 1 86 12-1 L Ins;bid btwn1/8;best 7/31 DMR 1 1/16 T Clm 25k n2l Won/9 86 6.0-1 L Stalk;bid2w;hld gamely 5/9 SA 6f T Clm 30k n3l 3rd/7 -2½L 81 4.7-1 L Chased 2wd; held 3rd 7Sir Rocket▲A. Ayuso · N. DrysdaleAyuso · DrysdaleA93 60 89▲▲+13↕6-1Fair 8-111%
▲▲ Big jump +13 · career best93 60 89 ↕A▲ Last fig 93 at/above par 85Card model 11% · Fair odds 8-1 · Our #5 · Tier A · Form ▲▲ Big jump +13 · career best · ↕ Up-and-down figures 60–93 · Last 3 figs 93 60 89
▲ Last fig 93 at/above par 85Was 6th of 6 at the first call last time. A longer trip: a mile last out, 1 1/8 miles today.
EVEN PACE No pace advantage either way, so this comes down to trip and class.WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (1 work in 30d, last 7d back)Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/4 SA 1m T OC 50k n1x 3rd/6 -4½L 93 9.6-1 L Rub gate;saved ground 8/29 DMR 6f D OC 50k n1x 10th/10 -12L 60 8.5-1 L Between;3-4wd;empty 8/16 DMR 5f T OC 50k n1x 3rd/10 -4½L 89 2.7-1 L Ins;angled;late run 8Midnight Mammoth▼T. Pereira · C. DollasePereira · DollaseC80 83 97▼-4↕30-1Fair 30-13%
▼ Down -480 83 97 ↕C▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance risesCard model 3% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #10 · Tier C · Form ▼ Down -4 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 73–97 · Last 3 figs 80 83 97
▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance risesFigures have slipped: 97, 83, 80 over its last three. Comes off a dirt start and tries the turf here.
EVEN PACE Balanced pace: trip and tactical speed decide it, with no strong setup advantage.WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 41d agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/10 SA 7f D Alw s 5th/5 -6L 80 5.6-1 L Vied inside; tired 9/26 SA 1⅛m D Goodwood G1 6th/9 -11L 83 83-1 Tight early;widest upr 8/30 DMR 1m D OC 100k b 3rd/9 -½L 97 34-1 L Challengd1/4;yield1/16 9Cali Cat▼K. Frey · J. SadlerFrey · SadlerC61 80 85▼▼-22↕@trip 8520-1Fair 20-14%
▼▼ Big drop -2261 80 85 ↕@trip 85C▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (61 vs 80)Card model 4% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #8 · Tier C · Form ▼▼ Big drop -22 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 61–85 · Best fig at today's trip 85 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 61 80 85
▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (61 vs 80)LASIX 1ST4 WORKS IN 30 DAYSSwitches from dirt to turf. Trending the wrong way on speed, 85 to 80 to 61.
EVEN PACE The shape is neutral for this one.WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 4 works in 30d and the last 6d backLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/19 LRC 1m D sEBJohnstnB75k 5th/5 -10L 61 9.3-1 b Stalked inside; tired 4/19 SA 1⅛m T OC 50k n1x 7th/9 -3L 80 7.1-1 b L Closest ins;aim2w;fade 3/15 SA 1m T OC 50k n1x 5th/8 -1¾L 85 6.5-1 b L Speed;stalk ins;evenly 10None Above the Law★D. Van · A. OrdonezVan · OrdonezB82 90 94▼▼-8@trip 898-1Fair 12-18%
▼▼ Big drop -882 90 94@trip 89B★ Best at the trip 89Card model 8% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #7 · Tier B · Form ▼▼ Big drop -8 · Best fig at today's trip 89 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 82 90 94
★ Best at the trip 89Also today · Jockey R4: May Day Ready 5-1, R5: Beautiful Dawn 15-1 · Trainer R5: Beautiful Dawn 15-1LASIX 1ST3 WORKS IN 30 DAYSTrending the wrong way on speed, 94 to 90 to 82. Switches from dirt to turf.
EVEN PACE No pace advantage either way, so this comes down to trip and class.TROUBLED TRIP 2wide; 3-5wide; no rally last out; the speed figure already reflects it.WORKS Average work schedule for this field (3 works in 30d, last 7d ago)Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/19 LRC 1m D sEBJohnstnB75k 4th/5 -5L 82 7.5-1 b 2wide;3-5wide;no rally 9/5 DMR 1⅜m T OC 50k n1xc 3rd/6 by nk 90 5.4-1 b L Bid3deep1/2;led;flattn 8/1 DMR 1 1/16 T sCalDreamnB150k 3rd/6 -1½L 94 10-1 b Ins;game 3rd btwn late 11Poor Connection▲J. Spencer · M. McCarthySpencer · McCarthyB93 83 86▲+7@trip 859-2Fair 8-111%
▲ Up +7 · career best93 83 86@trip 85B▲ Last fig 93 at/above par 85Card model 11% · Fair odds 8-1 · Our #4 · Tier B · Form ▲ Up +7 · career best · Best fig at today's trip 85 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 93 83 86
▲ Last fig 93 at/above par 8560D LAYOFF3 WORKS IN 30 DAYSShortens up to 1 1/8 miles after going 1 3/8 miles. Off 86 days since the last start.
EVEN PACE The shape is neutral for this one.WORKS Routine prep: 3 works in 30d, last 7d agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 8/6 DMR 1⅜m T OC 50k n1x 2nd/8 93 5.4-1 b L Stalk;press;led;yield 6/14 SA -14f T SnJnCpo G3 7th/9 -9L 83 20-1 b 2w;3-4w3rd;no menace 5/22 SA 1¼m T OC 50k n1x 2nd/7 by hd 86 8.5-1 b L Stalk2w;2-3w;bid upper
▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: fast and contested (7 early types). Helps stalkers and closers.
How to read these marks
- 1 2 3
- Our top three by the card model's win chance. Tap “Our order” to sort by it.
- Win %, Fair
- The card model's chance to win, and the odds that chance works out to with no takeout. Fair is green when the model rates the horse above its morning line (the line scaled to add up to 100%).
- Tier A B C ?
- The field ranked on recent speed figures and the morning line together: A = top three, B = next three, C = the rest, ? = no figures yet.
- 71 60 72
- Last three speed figures, newest first. “@trip 75” = best figure at today's distance (within 30 yards) on this surface.
- ▲▲ ▲ ► ▼ ▼▼
- Form: last figure against the average of the three before it. ▲ = up 3 or more, ▲▲ = up 8 or more, ► = within 3, ▼ / ▼▼ = down. The number is the difference.
- ≡ ↕
- ≡ steady: the last four figures sit close together. ↕ up-and-down: they swing widely.
- ★
- Best figure in the field at today's distance and surface, from two or more tries, not tied. When that horse isn't in our top three it gets a “Distance horse” note above the field.
- ▲ ▼ chips
- Handicapping angles for or against the horse. LS = longshot read: 8-1 or more on the morning line and the model rates it higher than that line.
These marks describe the past performances. None of them is proven to beat the odds: in our test of 100 handicapping angles, nothing did better than the final odds, and the morning-line favourite wins more races than our top-ranked horse. Read them as notes, not as a reason to bet.
Race conditions and our readpace, conditions, story
SWL · RACE 6
UPCOMINGOptional Claiming $50,000
Claiming $50,000, for 3-year-olds and up, that have not won a race other than maiden, claiming, or starter.
Claiming race — every starter can be bought for the claiming price out of the race, so owners risk losing a horse that's clearly best. That keeps the field evenly matched on ability.
The shape is the story here: there's little established early speed, so a tactical horse can control soft fractions up front and prove hard to run down.
Our number tops on #1 Magnify (a presser/stalker, M/L 3-1). Recent figures: 97 · 91 · 92. It hit the board last time and stays in form. Backup is #5 Prince Dolce at 4-1. Use #3 Stylishlyacclaimed in exotic structures.
What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.
At a glance: model vs the morning line
At a glance
- Market favourite #1 MAGNIFY (3-1) — our number agrees.
- #1 MAGNIFY — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (20.2% to their 19.5%).
- #5 PRINCE DOLCE — our #2 number, about right at the windows (17.3% to their 15.6%).
- #11 POOR CONNECTION — our #4 number, about right at the windows (12.7% to their 14.2%).
Model vs the morning line
- The model and the morning line roughly agree on this field.
Pacewho goes to the front
Pace
Tactical / Honest. Balanced shape: 1-2 speed, supporting pressers, closers in play. Trip wins out.
Likely leader: #8 Midnight Mammoth; pressure from #9 Cali Cat, #3 Stylishlyacclaimed.
Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.
Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse
Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners
Closing Kick · late-pace figure
Bet types offeredwager menu
Bet types
Wagers offered on this race.
LEG F OF THE SUNSET SIX
BET OPTIONS
WinPlaceShowExactaTrifectaSuperfecta