1JoyriderB. Dalton · N. MorrisDalton · MorrisA75 76 83▼-5≡—Fair 9-218%
▼ Down -575 76 83 ≡A2Card model 18% · Fair odds 9-2 · Our #2 · Tier A · Form ▼ Down -5 · ≡ Steady figures 75–83 · Last 3 figs 75 76 83
Also today · Jockey R2: Lufkin, R4: Nothingbutbluesky, R6: Belfast Banter · Trainer this race: Modern Master, this race: Primed To Go, this race: Auction Kingdom, R2: Bjorn +4 more180D+ LAYOFFFreshened 392 days, longer than anything else in the field. Watch how its recent works look. Was running in optional claiming; today's allowance is an easier level on paper.
PACE CHALLENGE With the front end asleep, a closer has nothing to run down.WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 369d agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/4 WO 1 1/16 T OC 32k n1x 9th/10 -9¾L 75 17-1 b L Force in;ask3/8;no run 8/29 WO 1 1/16 T OC 32k n1x 9th/9 -7¾L 76 7.1-1 b L Step slow;forward 3-4w 10/19 SA 1¼m T OC 50k n1x 4th/6 -6½L 83 3.8-1 b L Inside;angled into str 2Modern MasterN. Prendergast · N. MorrisPrendergast · MorrisA70 70 74▲+3—Fair 10-19%
▲ Up +370 70 74A3Card model 9% · Fair odds 10-1 · Our #3 · Tier A · Form ▲ Up +3 · Last 3 figs 70 70 74
Also today · Jockey R2: Vin Santo, R4: Maltese Falcon · Trainer this race: Joyrider, this race: Primed To Go, this race: Auction Kingdom, R2: Bjorn +4 more60D LAYOFFA big drop, maiden claiming $40,000 to allowance, and worth asking why. A longer trip: 1 1/16 miles last out, 1 1/2 miles today.
PACE CHALLENGE Closing into slow fractions is hard work.WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 0 works in 30d and the last 32d backLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 8/30 CNL 1 1/16 T MCL 40k 6th/10 -9½L 70 26-1 b L Passed tiring foes 10/18 LRL 1⅛m T MSW 11th/11 -12L 70 51-1 b L Steady retreat 9/12 LRL 1 1/16 T MCL 45k 2nd/6 -9½L 74 8.9-1 L Bump start; rallied; 3Primed to GoS. Mulqueen · N. MorrisMulqueen · MorrisA85 87 87►≡—Fair 1-269%
► Steady85 87 87 ≡A1Card model 69% · Fair odds 1-2 · Our #1 · Tier A · Form ► Steady · ≡ Steady figures 83–87 · Last 3 figs 85 87 87
Also today · Jockey R2: Bjorn, R2: Deemer, R4: Moreperfectunion, R5: Perky +1 more · Trainer this race: Joyrider, this race: Modern Master, this race: Auction Kingdom, R2: Bjorn +4 more60D LAYOFF★ FASTEST WORKNew trainer: Jorge Jr Duarte had it last time, Neil R Morris now. Owns the highest recent figure here at 87.
PACE CHALLENGE With the front end asleep, a closer has nothing to run down.WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 4F on May 1; 0 works in 30dLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 6/27 CNL 1 1/16 T OC 50k n2xc 5th/11 -5½L 85 31-1 L Rail;bxd5/16;angld out 6/11 PEN 1 1/16 T OC 40k b Won/5 by nk 87 2.4-1 L Rally 4w; kick clr 5/15 LRL 1m T OC 40k n2x 7th/12 -5¼L 87 14-1 L Steadied 1st turn 4Auction KingdomG. Watters · N. MorrisWatters · Morris?—Fair 20-14%
——?Card model 4% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #4 · Tier ?
Also today · Jockey R2: Give It A Whirl, R2: Daniel Sun, R3: Benjis Benefit, R4: Academy +1 more · Trainer this race: Joyrider, this race: Modern Master, this race: Primed To Go, R2: Bjorn +4 moreCuts back from 3 1/8 miles to 1 1/2 miles. Beaten 7½ lengths for 4th in a 6-horse race at SHW.
PACE CHALLENGE Not much pace to run at, which is a problem for a closer.WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 588d agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/26 SHW 3⅛m T BrwnAdvsry25k 4th/6 -7½L — — b L Tired in stretch 5/25 FAI 3m T MSW Won/12 by 4 — 9.2-1 b L Closed outside;in time 4/25 FX 3m T MSW 3rd/7 -5L — — b L Rated; held for third
▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: little early speed. Favors horses who can be close.
How to read these marks
- 1 2 3
- Our top three by the card model's win chance. Tap “Our order” to sort by it.
- Win %, Fair
- The card model's chance to win, and the odds that chance works out to with no takeout. Fair is green when the model rates the horse above its morning line (the line scaled to add up to 100%).
- Tier A B C ?
- The field ranked on recent speed figures and the morning line together: A = top three, B = next three, C = the rest, ? = no figures yet.
- 71 60 72
- Last three speed figures, newest first. “@trip 75” = best figure at today's distance (within 30 yards) on this surface.
- ▲▲ ▲ ► ▼ ▼▼
- Form: last figure against the average of the three before it. ▲ = up 3 or more, ▲▲ = up 8 or more, ► = within 3, ▼ / ▼▼ = down. The number is the difference.
- ≡ ↕
- ≡ steady: the last four figures sit close together. ↕ up-and-down: they swing widely.
- ★
- Best figure in the field at today's distance and surface, from two or more tries, not tied. When that horse isn't in our top three it gets a “Distance horse” note above the field.
- ▲ ▼ chips
- Handicapping angles for or against the horse. LS = longshot read: 8-1 or more on the morning line and the model rates it higher than that line.
These marks describe the past performances. None of them is proven to beat the odds: in our test of 100 handicapping angles, nothing did better than the final odds, and the morning-line favourite wins more races than our top-ranked horse. Read them as notes, not as a reason to bet.
Race conditions and our readpace, conditions, story
AIK · RACE 1
UPCOMINGAllowance · $1 purse
Allowance, for 3-year-olds and up.
Allowance race — a step above claiming. No horses are for sale; written conditions limit the field to horses of similar experience.
The shape is the story here: the early pace looks honest rather than contested — expect a fairly run race where class and trip decide it, not pace collapse.
Our number tops on #3 Primed To Go (a closer, M/L —). Recent figures: 85 · 87 · 87. Backup is #1 Joyrider at —. Use #2 Modern Master in exotic structures.
What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.
At a glance: model vs the morning line
At a glance
- Market favourite #3 PRIMED TO GO () — our number agrees.
- #3 PRIMED TO GO — our top number on the card, a price play — we're at 36.2%, the board 0.0%.
- #1 JOYRIDER — our #2 number, a price play — we're at 28.1%, the board 0.0%.
- #2 MODERN MASTER — our #3 number, a price play — we're at 20.2%, the board 0.0%.
Model vs the morning line
- Longshot the model rates above its line: #3 PRIMED TO GO () — our fair 36.2% is above the morning line's 0.0%; needs the trip to fall right.
Pacewho goes to the front
Pace
Pace Vacuum. No real early speed. Whoever shows up first is likely uncontested. Pressers benefit.
and works against #1 Joyrider, #2 Modern Master, #3 Primed To Go.
Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.
Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse
Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners
Closing Kick · late-pace figure
Bet types offeredwager menu
Bet types
Wagers offered on this race.
BET OPTIONS
WinPlaceShowExactaTrifectaSuperfecta