1ShowpieceE. Dwan · T. GarnerDwan · GarnerB73 67 68▲+5—Fair 10-110%
▲ Up +5 · career best73 67 68B3Card model 10% · Fair odds 10-1 · Our #3 · Tier B · Form ▲ Up +5 · career best · Last 3 figs 73 67 68
CLASS UPLast out was 2nd, 1 length behind the winner, in a 9-horse race at MID. Purse drops from $30,000 to $20,000 against its last start.
EVEN PACE Honest early fractions give a closer a fair shot late.WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 90d agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/10 MID 2⅛m T Moc30000 2nd/9 -1L — — L Rallied for second 8/19 PEN 1 1/16 T OC 16k 3rd/7 -2½L 73 3.8-1 L Ins;shffl 3/8;angl 4wd 7/24 DEL -8f T OC 25k 4th/9 -1L 67 17-1 L 6wd 3/16;by-faders 2Give It a WhirlG. Watters · M. BeecherWatters · BeecherA77 79 86▼-4—Fair 5-116%
▼ Down -477 79 86A1Card model 16% · Fair odds 5-1 · Our #1 · Tier A · Form ▼ Down -4 · Last 3 figs 77 79 86
Also today · Jockey R1: Auction Kingdom, this race: Daniel Sun, R3: Benjis Benefit, R4: Academy +1 more · Trainer R4: Trevesso, R5: Grace DarlingLASIX 1STBest Brisnet figure in the field over its last five: 86, with 83 next best. Runs for $20,000 today after a $150,000 race last time.
PACE CHALLENGE Has early speed but company on the front end. (early-speed points: 8)WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 1 work in 30d and the last 30d backLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/17 FH 2m T JForbesMe150k 9th/13 -7L 77 27-1 Speed; tired 9/11 DEL 1 1/16 T rLewesH75k 2nd/10 79 11-1 L Vied throughout; game 8/13 CNL 2¼m T MSW 4th/10 -9L — 2.7-1 L Poor over2nd;tired 3Consolation PrizeC. Tierney · J. GomensTierney · GomensB79 64 68▲▲+13—Fair 10-19%
▲▲ Big jump +13 · career best79 64 68BCard model 9% · Fair odds 10-1 · Our #4 · Tier B · Form ▲▲ Big jump +13 · career best · Last 3 figs 79 64 68
A longer trip: 2 miles last out, 2 1/8 miles today. Maiden through 6 starts.
PACE CHALLENGE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 358d agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/26 SHW 2m T MSW 7th/9 -10L — — b L Faded two out 8/13 CNL 2¼m T MSW 7th/10 -25L — 46-1 b L Failed to menace 5/25 FAI 2m T MSW DNF — 25-1 b L Pulled up 4LufkinB. Dalton · K. DaltonDalton · DaltonB67 77 69▼-5—Fair 15-17%
▼ Down -567 77 69BCard model 7% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #8 · Tier B · Form ▼ Down -5 · Last 3 figs 67 77 69
Also today · Jockey R1: Joyrider, R4: Nothingbutbluesky, R6: Belfast Banter · Trainer R4: NothingbutblueskyRuns for $20,000 today after a $50,000 race last time. Carries 144 pounds, 4 less than last time.
EVEN PACE With the front end pressed, the late run has something to run at.WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 3F on Jan 29; 1 work in 30dLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/10 MID 2⅛m T WilOKeeMem50k DNF — — Pulled up early 9/26 SHW 2m T MSW 5th/9 -6½L — — Never a threat 3/22 GP 1 1/16 D Clm 17k 5th/8 -7½L 67 11-1 b L Chased;3-4p far;tired 5Smooth SailorJ. Bargary · T. McKennaBargary · McKennaC31 51 51▼▼-18—Fair 10-110%
▼▼ Big drop -1831 51 51C2Card model 10% · Fair odds 10-1 · Our #2 · Tier C · Form ▼▼ Big drop -18 · Last 3 figs 31 51 51
Also today · Jockey R3: Biggerthanbigtime, R4: Fleetfoot, R5: Loving Look, R6: Time Song · Trainer R4: EnahmCLASS UP★ FASTEST WORKThe Jan 6 work, 4F in :50.60, was the best time at that distance that morning. The last race on the record (FX, Oct 4) shows no finish position.
PACE HELPS Stalks an honestly pressed pace from a good spot.WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Jan 6 (4F in :50.60), 0 works in 30dLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/4 FX 2⅛m T MCL 16k DNF — — L Lost rider 6/19 CT 6½f D sClm10000n2l 7th/7 -8¾L 31 51-1 b L Trailed throughout 4/24 CT 6½f D sClm10000n2l 7th/7 -6¼L 51 9.9-1 b L Hard2load;no threat 6BjornS. Mulqueen · N. MorrisMulqueen · MorrisA83 75 62▲▲+19—Fair 10-19%
▲▲ Big jump +19 · career best83 75 62ACard model 9% · Fair odds 10-1 · Our #5 · Tier A · Form ▲▲ Big jump +19 · career best · Last 3 figs 83 75 62
Also today · Jockey R1: Primed To Go, this race: Deemer, R4: Moreperfectunion, R5: Perky +1 more · Trainer R1: Joyrider, R1: Modern Master, R1: Primed To Go, R1: Auction Kingdom +4 moreCLASS UPHas moved up each time out, 62 to 75 to 83. Beaten 13 lengths for 7th in a 9-horse race at MID.
PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 246 days agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/10 MID 2⅛m T Moc30000 7th/9 -13L — — L Trailed 4/11 LRL 1m D Clm 12k n3l Won/9 83 2.4-1 b L Early duel;driving 3/15 LRL 1 1/16 D Clm 12k n2l Won/6 75 1.1-1 b L Dueled outside foe 7ProtectiveG. Dahl · M. SimsDahl · SimsA81 79 73▲+5—Fair 10-19%
▲ Up +581 79 73ACard model 9% · Fair odds 10-1 · Our #6 · Tier A · Form ▲ Up +5 · Last 3 figs 81 79 73
CLASS UPFigures are climbing: 73, 79, 81 over its last three. Was 8th of 9 at the first call last time.
PACE HELPS Stalks an honestly pressed pace from a good spot.WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 4F on Jun 26; 1 work in 30dLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/10 MID 2⅛m T Moc30000 5th/9 -10L — — L Always outrun 7/10 ELP 1m T Clm 16k bc Won/8 by 1½ 81 2.6-1 b L Ins;4-6p3/16;ralllied 5/25 CD 1 1/16 D Clm 30k bv 7th/9 -5¼L 79 8.6-1 b L 4p;chs 5p1/4;yield btw 8Liberty BayV. Korrell · M. MorrisKorrell · MorrisC26 43 58▼▼-28↕—Fair 15-17%
▼▼ Big drop -2826 43 58 ↕CCard model 7% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #9 · Tier C · Form ▼▼ Big drop -28 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 26–61 · Last 3 figs 26 43 58
New trainer: Suzanne Stettinius had it last time, Meriwether Morris now. Switches from dirt to turf.
PACE HELPS Stalks an honestly pressed pace from a good spot.WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 103d agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/1 DEL 1 1/16 D OC 16k 5th/5 -16L 26 21-1 b L Reared st; 4wd early 9/12 LRL 1 1/16 T Clm 16k n2l 8th/9 -16L 43 20-1 b L Rail; dropped back 8/20 DEL -5f T OC 16k 6th/8 -2½L 58 21-1 b L Rail turn;no factor 9Perfect ReelF. Procter · K. NeilsonProcter · Neilson?—Fair 12-18%
——?Card model 8% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #7 · Tier ?
180D+ LAYOFFFreshened 371 days, longer than anything else in the field. Watch how its recent works look. Stretches out from -20 furlongs to 2 1/8 miles.
PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 484d agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/25 GRM -20f T MSW 6th/9 -10L — 13-1 L No threat 9/27 SHW 2m T MSW 7th/10 -7¼L — — Stalked; faded 8/21 CNL 2¼m T MSW 8th/8 -½L — 9.3-1 L Bid3-4w;bmpd;chckd1/8 10Vin SantoN. Prendergast · L. YoungPrendergast · YoungC39 66 66▼▼-27—Fair 15-16%
▼▼ Big drop -2739 66 66CCard model 6% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #11 · Tier C · Form ▼▼ Big drop -27 · Last 3 figs 39 66 66
60D LAYOFFBack after 93 days away; fitness is the question and the works are the evidence. A big drop, maiden special weight to maiden opt clm, and worth asking why.
PACE CHALLENGE Has early speed but company on the front end. (early-speed points: 0)WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 79d back)Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 7/30 CNL 2¼m T MSW DNF — 46-1 L Left course after 8th 1/13 PRX 1 1/16 D Clm 7k n3l 11th/11 -21L 39 100-1 b L Off bit slow; outrun 12/24 PRX 1 1/16 D Clm 7k b 11th/11 -19L 66 48-1 b L Outrun 11Daniel SunG. Watters · N. MorrisWatters · MorrisC77 69 79►—Fair 15-16%
► Steady77 69 79CCard model 6% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #10 · Tier C · Form ► Steady · Last 3 figs 77 69 79
Also today · Jockey R1: Auction Kingdom, this race: Give It A Whirl, R3: Benjis Benefit, R4: Academy +1 more · Trainer R1: Joyrider, R1: Modern Master, R1: Primed To Go, R1: Auction Kingdom +4 moreCLASS UPFastest 4F work of its morning on Jun 10 (:50.00), a sign it is training forwardly. The last race on the record (FX, Oct 4) shows no finish position.
PACE HELPS Stalks an honestly pressed pace from a good spot.WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Jun 10 (4F in :50.00), 0 works in 30dLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/4 FX 2⅛m T MCL 16k DNF — — L Tired; pulled up 8/29 CNL 1 1/16 T Clm 10k 2nd/7 -2L 77 23-1 b L Pulled inside;nod 2nd 8/15 CNL 1m T Clm 25k 7th/7 -4L 69 24-1 b L 2p;roused5/16;gave way 12DeemerS. Mulqueen · K. BrionMulqueen · BrionC65 57 79▼-4—Fair 20-15%
▼ Down -465 57 79CCard model 5% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #12 · Tier C · Form ▼ Down -4 · Last 3 figs 65 57 79
Also today · Jockey R1: Primed To Go, this race: Bjorn, R4: Moreperfectunion, R5: Perky +1 more · Trainer R4: Moreperfectunion, R6: Rampoldi PlanCLASS DROP★ FASTEST WORKStill looking for the first win after 9 starts. 3rd of 12 at 4F on Apr 26, in :49.00.
PACE HELPS Sits just off the speed with pace in front to run at.WORKS SHARP 4f in :47.00 on May 27 was the best time at that distance that morning; 0 works in 30dLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/10 MID 2⅛m T Moc30000 6th/9 -2L — — L Big lead; weakened 6/13 BAQ 6f T sMd50000 7th/8 -6L 65 9.5-1 L Brk out;bmpd;ins turn 5/2 BAQ 1 1/16 T sMd50000 7th/8 -9½L 57 2.0-1 L 4-3p1st;eased;wlkd off
▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: fast and contested (6 early types). Helps stalkers and closers.
How to read these marks
- 1 2 3
- Our top three by the card model's win chance. Tap “Our order” to sort by it.
- Win %, Fair
- The card model's chance to win, and the odds that chance works out to with no takeout. Fair is green when the model rates the horse above its morning line (the line scaled to add up to 100%).
- Tier A B C ?
- The field ranked on recent speed figures and the morning line together: A = top three, B = next three, C = the rest, ? = no figures yet.
- 71 60 72
- Last three speed figures, newest first. “@trip 75” = best figure at today's distance (within 30 yards) on this surface.
- ▲▲ ▲ ► ▼ ▼▼
- Form: last figure against the average of the three before it. ▲ = up 3 or more, ▲▲ = up 8 or more, ► = within 3, ▼ / ▼▼ = down. The number is the difference.
- ≡ ↕
- ≡ steady: the last four figures sit close together. ↕ up-and-down: they swing widely.
- ★
- Best figure in the field at today's distance and surface, from two or more tries, not tied. When that horse isn't in our top three it gets a “Distance horse” note above the field.
- ▲ ▼ chips
- Handicapping angles for or against the horse. LS = longshot read: 8-1 or more on the morning line and the model rates it higher than that line.
These marks describe the past performances. None of them is proven to beat the odds: in our test of 100 handicapping angles, nothing did better than the final odds, and the morning-line favourite wins more races than our top-ranked horse. Read them as notes, not as a reason to bet.
Race conditions and our readpace, conditions, story
AIK · RACE 2
UPCOMINGMaiden Optional Claiming $16,000
Maiden Claiming, for 3-year-olds and up.
Maiden claiming — for horses that have never won, and every starter is also for sale at the claiming price. Typically the easiest class of race.
● Track record at 2 1/8 Miles: 222.0
The shape is the story here: the early pace looks honest rather than contested — expect a fairly run race where class and trip decide it, not pace collapse.
Our number tops on #2 Give It A Whirl (early speed, M/L —). Recent figures: 77 · 79. It needs to turn the form around after a flat last start. Backup is #5 Smooth Sailor at —. Use #1 Showpiece in exotic structures.
What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.
At a glance: model vs the morning line
At a glance
- Market favourite #2 GIVE IT A WHIRL () — our number agrees.
- #2 GIVE IT A WHIRL — our top number on the card, a price play — we're at 11.3%, the board 0.0%.
- #5 SMOOTH SAILOR — our #2 number, a price play — we're at 8.8%, the board 0.0%.
- #1 SHOWPIECE — our #3 number, a price play — we're at 8.7%, the board 0.0%.
Model vs the morning line
- Longshot the model rates above its line: #2 GIVE IT A WHIRL () — our fair 11.3% is above the morning line's 0.0%; needs the trip to fall right.
Pacewho goes to the front
Pace
Pressed Pace. Speed under pressure from multiple pressers. Likely honest pace, slight closer benefit.
Likely leader: #2 Give It A Whirl; pressure from #10 Vin Santo, #8 Liberty Bay; the shape helps #5 Smooth Sailor, #6 Bjorn, #7 Protective; and works against #2 Give It A Whirl, #3 Consolation Prize, #9 Perfect Reel.
Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.
Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse
Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners
Closing Kick · late-pace figure
Bet types offeredwager menu
Bet types
Wagers offered on this race.
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