R9 Delta Downs · Claiming $20,000

1. 1Downtown MotownE. Nieves · T. DixonNieves · DixonA77 69 69▲▲+128-1Fair 8-111%▲▲ Big jump +12 · career best77 69 69A2

   Card model 11% · Fair odds 8-1 · Our #2 · Tier A · Form ▲▲ Big jump +12 · career best · Last 3 figs 77 69 69

   Jockey Emanuel Nieves 32% career 0-for-18 on dirt this meet (0%) · Trainer Tim Dixon 28% career 0-for-9 on dirt this meet (0%)

   Also today · Jockey R7: Purple Heart 15-1, R8: Pink Angel 20-1 · Trainer R7: Coboch 7-2

   0/5 board here

   Switches from turf to dirt. Ranks first in the field on Brisnet Prime Power.

   PACE HELPS Several horses want the lead, which is the early heat a closer is looking for.

   WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Nov 21 (4F in :48.00), 1 work in 30d

   RECORD Not on the board in 5 starts here

   RECORD Emanuel Nieves from post 1 here: 2 wins, 5 top-3 in 17 rides · 6% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   9/28	LAD	1m T	Alw n1x	4th/8 -6L	77	20-1	L	Off slow;belated rally
   8/5	LAD	1m T	Clm 10k n2l	3rd/7 -2½L	69	9.6-1	L	Hit gate;ins 1/4;churn
   7/22	LAD	1m T	MCL 10k	Won/9	69	16-1	L	Prompt outs;drove clr

2. 2Kama Can▼C. Fusilier · A. LandryFusilier · LandryB69 52 56▲▲+155-1Fair 8-110%▲▲ Big jump +15 · career best69 52 56B▼ Best fig 69 is 5+ under today's par 80

   Card model 10% · Fair odds 8-1 · Our #8 · Tier B · Form ▲▲ Big jump +15 · career best · Last 3 figs 69 52 56

   ▼ Best fig 69 is 5+ under today's par 80

   Jockey C Fusilier 32% career 5-for-26 on dirt this meet (19%) · Trainer Allen Ray Landry 37% career ★ 14-for-36 on dirt this meet (39%), #1 of 36

   Also today · Jockey R2: Tensas Lu Lu 9-2, R5: Jungle Law 3-1, R5: Piastri 10-1, R6: Cajun Coaster 12-1 +1 more · Trainer R2: Tensas Lu Lu 9-2, R6: Macho Beanie 10-1, R6: Cajun Coaster 12-1, R8: Cajun Caviar 2-1

   WON LAST

   Last start was a win, in an 8-horse maiden claiming $20,000 race at EVD at 3.5-1. A 69 is the high figure lately, short of the 80 par.

   PACE CHALLENGE Has to fight for the lead against company, and the fractions may cost it late. (early-speed points: 2)

   WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 1 work in 30d, last one 27d ago

   RECORD C Fusilier from post 2 here: 3 wins, 8 top-3 in 30 rides · 13% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   9/5	EVD	1m D	MCL 20k	Won/8	69	3.5-1	b L	Pace; drifted out;held
   7/3	EVD	5f D	MSW	5th/5 -6½L	52	7.6-1	b L	Inside;wknd3/8;empty
   5/29	EVD	6f D	MSW	5th/7 -9L	56	6.6-1	L	Reluctant;step slow st

3. 3Atmosphere▲H. Hernandez · J. LarrosaHernandez · LarrosaC69 48 71▲+6↕12-1Fair 15-16%▲ Up +669 48 71 ↕C▲ Rider upgrade (28% vs 22%) cutting back to a sprint

   Card model 6% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #6 · Tier C · Form ▲ Up +6 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 48–71 · Last 3 figs 69 48 71

   ▲ Rider upgrade (28% vs 22%) cutting back to a sprint

   Jockey Harry Hernandez 38% career 10-for-57 on dirt this meet (18%) · Trainer Juan A Larrosa 34% career 4-for-34 on dirt this meet (12%) ★ hot

   Also today · Jockey R4: Drewmazing 12-1, R5: Beaudreaux 5-1, R6: Behemah Star 12-1, R7: Fiesty Fist 9-2 +1 more · Trainer R6: Sounds Like Power 6-1

   60D LAYOFF

   Moves up from $10,000 claiming to $20,000 claiming. Last race was on the turf; today it runs on the dirt.

   EVEN PACE A stalking spot behind a contested lead is the useful one in this shape.

   WORKS Average work schedule for this field (2 works in 30d, last 6d ago)

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   8/27	EVD	1m T	Clm 10k n2l	5th/9 -1½L	69	22-1	L	Vied 2w; not enough
   8/14	EVD	6f D	Alw n1x	8th/8 -15L	48	51-1	L	No factor; outrun
   5/15	EVD	-5f T	OC 15k n1x	8th/10 -2¾L	71	46-1	L	Off bit slow; 3-4w

4. 4Struck Out▼J. Mudd · E. SchwandtMudd · SchwandtB71 73 69▲+46-1Fair 8-111%▲ Up +471 73 69B▼ Best fig 73 is 5+ under today's par 80

   Card model 11% · Fair odds 8-1 · Our #4 · Tier B · Form ▲ Up +4 · Last 3 figs 71 73 69

   ▼ Best fig 73 is 5+ under today's par 80

   Jockey Jamison Mudd 14% career 0-for-16 on dirt this meet (0%) · Trainer Emile Schwandt 26% career

   Also today · Trainer R4: Drewmazing 12-1

   60D LAYOFFCLASS DROP

   Raises its level, $10,000 claiming last time and $20,000 claiming now. Cuts back from a mile to 7 furlongs.

   EVEN PACE A stalking spot behind a contested lead is the useful one in this shape.

   WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 1 work in 30d and the last 21 days ago

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   8/27	EVD	1m T	Clm 10k n2l	3rd/9 -3½L	71	8.8-1	b L	Rider slippd;ins rally
   8/14	EVD	7½f T	Clm 20k n2l	4th/7 -2½L	73	10-1	b L	Best stride late
   7/17	EVD	-7½f T	MCL 20k	Won/8 by ½	69	4.3-1	b L	Bumped; surged; up

5. 5Lieutenant Charm▼T. Thornton · J. BerndtThornton · BerndtA74 67 73▲+5≡@trip 744-1Fair 6-114%▲ Up +5 · career best74 67 73 ≡@trip 74A▼ Best fig 74 is 5+ under today's par 803

   Card model 14% · Fair odds 6-1 · Our #3 · Tier A · Form ▲ Up +5 · career best · ≡ Steady figures 66–74 · Best fig at today's trip 74 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 74 67 73

   ▼ Best fig 74 is 5+ under today's par 80

   Jockey T G Thornton 44% career ★ 13-for-54 on dirt this meet (24%), #2 of 29 · Trainer Joel Berndt 35% career 1-for-9 on dirt this meet (11%) ★ hot

   Also today · Jockey R2: Miss Super Mo 8-1, R5: Imperial Cruiser 8-1, R6: Good And Stout 7-2, R7: Max Is G Money 8-1 +1 more · Trainer R5: Saint Robert's Row 10-1

   ★ FASTEST WORK

   Posted the fastest 5F work of the morning on May 9, in 1:01.20. Best recent figure of 74 sits right around the 80 par.

   EVEN PACE Lands behind the duel without having to be part of it.

   WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 174d back)

   RECORD T G Thornton from post 5 here: 21 wins, 60 top-3 in 120 rides · 22% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/10	DED	7f D	Clm 20k n2l	3rd/10	74	13-1	L	Caught for second
   9/3	CBY	1m T	Alw b	7th/8 -5L	67	9.5-1	L	2p1st;4p2nd;empty
   8/16	CBY	7½f T	MSW	Won/8	73	4.1-1	L	Circled5w;cleared;held

6. 6Moondoggie▼C. Lozada · H. DunnLozada · DunnC57 68 41▲▲+11↕20-1Fair 30-13%▲▲ Big jump +1157 68 41 ↕C▼ Best fig 68 is 5+ under today's par 80

   Card model 3% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #10 · Tier C · Form ▲▲ Big jump +11 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 29–68 · Last 3 figs 57 68 41

   ▼ Best fig 68 is 5+ under today's par 80

   Jockey Carlos Lozada 28% career 1-for-25 on dirt this meet (4%) · Trainer Henry Ray Dunn 30% career 1-for-7 on dirt this meet

   60D LAYOFFJky 12/55 from post 6

   Freshened 130 days. Watch how its recent works look. Needs to move up: the best of its last five is 68 against a 80 par.

   PACE CHALLENGE Has to fight for the lead against company, and the fractions may cost it late. (early-speed points: 3)

   WORKS Steady, unremarkable work pattern: 2 works in 30d, last 9d back

   RECORD Carlos Lozada from post 6 here: 12 wins, 27 top-3 in 55 rides · 12% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   6/22	LAD	6½f D	sClm10000n2l	3rd/8 -5L	57	2.8-1	b L	Ins turn;moved up;3-w
   6/9	LAD	6f D	sMd10000	Won/6	68	10-1	b L	Vied2w;clr driving
   2/7	DED	6½f D	sMdSpWt	9th/9 -13L	41	88-1	b L	Fract;4w1st;dropback

7. 7Lick SkilletT. Pompell · K. SeguraPompell · SeguraC67 75 72▼-4@trip 7220-1Fair 20-14%▼ Down -467 75 72@trip 72C

   Card model 4% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #9 · Tier C · Form ▼ Down -4 · Best fig at today's trip 72 (4 tries) · Last 3 figs 67 75 72

   Jockey T L Pompell 29% career ★ 8-for-38 on dirt this meet (21%), #3 of 29 · Trainer Kearney Segura 24% career 1-for-6 on dirt this meet

   Also today · Jockey R2: Boohaki 8-1, R3: Ray Mefasolateedoe 20-1, R6: Saint Gabriel 8-1, R8: Last Two Dollars 12-1

   60D LAYOFF★ FASTEST WORK

   97 days since the last start, so it needs the works to say it's ready. 0 for 4 at today's distance.

   PACE HELPS Several horses want the lead, which is the early heat a closer is looking for.

   TROUBLED TRIP Ran into trouble last out (Swung wide; closed), and the figure already reflects it.

   WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 5F on Oct 23; 2 works in 30d

   RECORD T L Pompell from post 7 here: 12 wins, 32 top-3 in 80 rides · 13% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   7/25	EVD	7f D	Clm 20k n2l	5th/8 -1¾L	67	3.5-1	L	Swung wide; closed
   6/11	EVD	6f D	Clm 20k n2l	2nd/7 -½L	75	4.5-1	L	Bid; vied; outclosed
   2/21	DED	7f D	Clm 20k n2l	4th/9 -8L	72	7.6-1	L	3w2nd; late run

8. 8Global Heat WaveLSA. Castillo · R. JacksonCastillo · JacksonC68 70 67►≡15-1Fair 20-15%► Steady68 70 67 ≡CLS

   Card model 5% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #7 · Tier C · Form ► Steady · ≡ Steady figures 67–74 · Last 3 figs 68 70 67

   LS

   Longshot read: 15-1 on the morning line, and the model has it at 5% against a line of 5%. A read, not a bet.

   Jockey Alexander Castillo 30% career 0-for-27 on dirt this meet (0%) · Trainer Richard D Jackson 31% career

   Also today · Jockey R3: One Grand Slam 15-1, R4: Huey Duey 15-1, R5: Eligio 10-1, R7: Essay 6-1

   60D LAYOFF3 WORKS IN 30 DAYS★ FASTEST WORK

   Comes off a turf start and tries the dirt here. Finished 5th in a 7-horse optional claiming race at LAD, beaten 11 lengths.

   PACE CHALLENGE One of several that want the lead, so the early work will cost something. (early-speed points: 0)

   WORKS SHARP 4f in :50.20 on Oct 3 was the best time at that distance that morning; 3 works in 30d

   RECORD Alexander Castillo from post 8 here: 3 wins, 13 top-3 in 51 rides · 5% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   8/12	LAD	1m T	OC 20k n2l	5th/7 -11L	68	13-1	L	3-4wd;urged 3/8;empty
   7/28	LAD	1m T	OC 15k n1x	7th/8 -10L	70	27-1	L	Step slow;4w 2nd
   6/24	LAD	1 1/16 D	Alw n2l	2nd/5 -1½L	67	2.4-1	L	Bmp brk;4w 2nd;rally

9. 9Film at Eleven▼K. Roman · R. CourvilleRoman · CourvilleB69 73 72▲+4↕@trip 7410-1Fair 15-17%▲ Up +469 73 72 ↕@trip 74B▼ Best fig 74 is 5+ under today's par 80

   Card model 7% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #5 · Tier B · Form ▲ Up +4 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 49–73 · Best fig at today's trip 74 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 69 73 72

   ▼ Best fig 74 is 5+ under today's par 80

   Jockey Kevin Roman 33% career 6-for-46 on dirt this meet (13%) · Trainer Ricky Courville 21% career 2-for-5 on dirt this meet

   Also today · Jockey R3: Guitar Man 5-2, R4: Luv To Win 2-1, R8: Louisiana Sis 20-1 · Trainer R8: Wicked No Mo 12-1, R8: Louisiana Sis 20-1

   Raced in mid-pack early, 4th at the first call. Beaten 4¼ lengths for 6th in a 10-horse $20,000 claiming race at DED.

   EVEN PACE A stalking spot behind a contested lead is the useful one in this shape.

   WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 1 work in 30d, last one 28d ago

   RECORD Kevin Roman from post 9 here: 2 wins, 10 top-3 in 37 rides · 8% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/10	DED	7f D	Clm 20k n2l	6th/10 -4¼L	69	15-1	L	Contention; weakened
   8/14	EVD	7½f T	Clm 20k n2l	3rd/7 -½L	73	4.5-1	L	Outclosed; held show
   7/11	EVD	-7½f T	Clm 20k n2l	2nd/9 by hd	72	11-1	L	No match; 2nd best

10. 10Captain JunuhC. Hernandez · A. Ramirez-RodriguezHernandez · Ramirez-RodriguezA72 79 80▼▼-8≡2-1Fair 5-228%▼▼ Big drop -872 79 80 ≡A1

    Card model 28% · Fair odds 5-2 · Our #1 · Tier A · Form ▼▼ Big drop -8 · ≡ Steady figures 72–81 · Last 3 figs 72 79 80

    Jockey Colby J Hernandez 38% career ★ 7-for-29 on dirt this meet (24%), #1 of 29 · Trainer Abel Ramirez-Rodriguez 36% career 1-for-11 on dirt this meet (9%) ★ hot

    Also today · Jockey R2: What's Love 5-1, R3: Truvy's T Rex 9-2, R5: Syntagma 4-1, R8: Romantic Rumor 8-1 · Trainer R4: Luv To Win 2-1

    180D+ LAYOFFCLASS DROP★ FASTEST WORK

    New trainer: Mark Casse had it last time, Abel Ramirez-Rodriguez now. Trending the wrong way on speed, 80 to 79 to 72.

    EVEN PACE Lands behind the duel without having to be part of it.

    WORKS SHARP 5f in 1:03.40 on Oct 20 was the best time at that distance that morning; 2 works in 30d

    Last three races

    Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
    9/12	WO	1 1/16 T	Clm 25k n2lv	6th/7 -4¼L	72	0.9-1	b L	2-3w;ask 3/8;no rally
    8/3	WO	1m T	OC 50k n2l	6th/11 -2¼L	79	10-1	b L	Chased 3-4w; no rally
    6/21	WO	1 1/16 T	OC 50k n2l	4th/12 -2¾L	80	13-1	L	2-3w;rally btwn late

▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: fast and contested (4 early types). Helps stalkers and closers.