1What's LoveC. Hernandez · W. CalhounHernandez · CalhounC53 61 75▼▼-16↕@trip 735-1Fair 7-113%
▼▼ Big drop -1653 61 75 ↕@trip 73C1Card model 13% · Fair odds 7-1 · Our #1 · Tier C · Form ▼▼ Big drop -16 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 53–75 · Best fig at today's trip 73 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 53 61 75
Jockey Colby J Hernandez 38% career ★ 7-for-29 on dirt this meet (24%), #1 of 29 · Trainer William Bret Calhoun 38% career 3-for-16 on dirt this meet (19%) ★ hotAlso today · Jockey R3: Truvy's T Rex 9-2, R5: Syntagma 4-1, R8: Romantic Rumor 8-1, R9: Captain Junuh 2-1 · Trainer this race: Miss Super Mo 8-1, R5: Imperial Cruiser 8-1180D+ LAYOFF3 WORKS IN 30 DAYSFreshened 188 days. Watch how its recent works look. Cuts back from 7 furlongs to 5 furlongs.
EVEN PACE Lands behind the duel without having to be part of it.WORKS SHARP One of the busier work schedules here: 3 works in 30d, last 10d agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 4/25 EVD 7f D fsOC50000n2l 7th/8 -5½L 53 6.6-1 L 2-w; gave way 3/21 FG 1 1/16 D fsCsntCtyOkB100k 5th/6 -6½L 61 13-1 L 3-2w;asked 4w;empty 2/28 FG 6f D fsMdSpWt Won/7 by 6 75 0.4-1 L Ins; 3wbid; in time 2Mika Ella PikaE. Murray · J. NeyMurray · NeyA74 68 81►@trip 683-1Fair 6-115%
► Steady74 68 81@trip 68A3Card model 15% · Fair odds 6-1 · Our #3 · Tier A · Form ► Steady · Best fig at today's trip 68 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 74 68 81
Jockey Erica M Murray 22% career 1-for-8 on dirt this meet (12%) · Trainer John Ney 23% career 0-for-3 on dirt this meet60D LAYOFF3 WORKS IN 30 DAYSBest Brisnet figure in the field over its last five: 81, with 80 next best. 3rd last time, 2 lengths back, in a field of 7.
EVEN PACE Lands behind the duel without having to be part of it.TROUBLED TRIP Lugged in 1/8; caught last out; the speed figure already reflects it.WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 3 works in 30d and the last 11d backLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 8/29 EVD 6f D fsAlw41000n1x 3rd/7 -2L 74 5.7-1 L Lugged in 1/8; caught 6/25 EVD 5f T fsAlw41000n1x 8th/12 -4½L 68 5.0-1 L Even effort; outrun 4/25 EVD 5½f D fsAlw41000n1x 2nd/7 81 3.3-1 L 3-w; led; game try 3Wickedly RoyalI. Castillo · S. MartinezCastillo · MartinezC71 72 71►≡@trip 7115-1Fair 20-14%
► Steady71 72 71 ≡@trip 71CCard model 4% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #11 · Tier C · Form ► Steady · ≡ Steady figures 69–72 · Best fig at today's trip 71 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 71 72 71
Jockey Isaac Castillo 30% career 5-for-50 on dirt this meet (10%) · Trainer Sarah Martinez 32% career 2-for-10 on dirt this meet (20%)Also today · Jockey R1: Mediator 15-1, R3: Electric Man 20-1, R3: Making Noise 8-1, R5: Don'tstopthaspirit 10-1 +3 more · Trainer R5: Don'tstopthaspirit 10-1, R6: Misdeal 15-1Moves up from $5,000 claiming to allowance. Changes barns, from Jervon Broussard to Sarah Martinez.
EVEN PACE Lands behind the duel without having to be part of it.WORKS Average work schedule for this field (2 works in 30d, last 14d ago)Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/12 LAD 5½f D fsClm5000bc 2nd/5 -3L 71 1.4-1 b L 3w 1/4;angled in;up2nd 7/27 LAD 6f D OC 10k 3rd/6 -3L 72 4.4-1 b L Angled 3w1/4;nailed2nd 6/23 LAD 5f D OC 10k c 3rd/7 -1L 71 13-1 b L Brk in/bp;4-3w;brf bid 4BasileA. Birzer · I. Solis-GuevaraBirzer · Solis-GuevaraC59 76 71▼▼-1012-1Fair 15-16%
▼▼ Big drop -1059 76 71CCard model 6% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #6 · Tier C · Form ▼▼ Big drop -10 · Last 3 figs 59 76 71
Jockey A E Birzer 32% career 2-for-21 on dirt this meet (10%) · Trainer Ismael Solis-Guevara 28% careerAlso today · Jockey R1: Little Miss Jess 8-1, R4: Stroller Boy 8-1, R5: Saint Robert's Row 10-1, R6: Cajun Mitole 12-1 +1 more60D LAYOFFCLASS DROPRaises its level, optional claiming last time and allowance now. Winless in 4 starts at this distance.
PACE CHALLENGE Has to fight for the lead against company, and the fractions may cost it late. (early-speed points: 6)TROUBLED TRIP Veered out; bumpd start last out; the speed figure already reflects it.WORKS Routine prep: 2 works in 30d, last 14d agoRECORD 1 win, 2 on the board from 5 starts hereRECORD A E Birzer from post 4 here: 9 wins, 28 top-3 in 81 rides · 10% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 8/15 EVD 5½f D OC 10k 6th/7 -3½L 59 22-1 b L Veered out;bumpd start 7/25 EVD -5f T fsClm15000b 5th/8 -2½L 76 17-1 b L Swung wide;leveled off 6/25 EVD 5f T fsAlw41000n1x 5th/12 -2½L 71 14-1 b L Lacked late response 5BoohakiT. Pompell · B. BrinkmanPompell · BrinkmanB62 79@trip 798-1Fair 15-17%
—62 79@trip 79BCard model 7% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #10 · Tier B · Best fig at today's trip 79 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 62 79
Jockey T L Pompell 29% career ★ 8-for-38 on dirt this meet (21%), #3 of 29 · Trainer Brett Brinkman 31% career 5-for-28 on dirt this meet (18%)Also today · Jockey R3: Ray Mefasolateedoe 20-1, R6: Saint Gabriel 8-1, R8: Last Two Dollars 12-1, R9: Lick Skillet 20-1 · Trainer R5: Beaudreaux 5-1, R6: Saint Gabriel 8-1, R6: Cajun Mitole 12-160D LAYOFF3 WORKS IN 30 DAYSBack after 104 days away; fitness is the question and the works are the evidence. Finished 7th in a 7-horse optional claiming race at EVD, beaten ½ length.
PACE CHALLENGE One of several that want the lead, so the early work will cost something. (early-speed points: 6)WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Jun 4 (5F in 1:02.40), 3 works in 30dRECORD T L Pompell from post 5 here: 9 wins, 45 top-3 in 91 rides · 13% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 7/18 EVD 6f D fsOC50000n2l 7th/7 -½L 62 4.2-1 L Hustled ins;empty3/16 6/19 EVD 5f D fsMdSpWt Won/7 79 6.2-1 L Drew off; ridden out 6My Other Half▼LSC. Del · C. CormierDel · CormierC64 72 67►↕@trip 7220-1Fair 20-15%
► Steady64 72 67 ↕@trip 72C▼ Best fig 72 is 5+ under today's par 77LSCard model 5% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #5 · Tier C · Form ► Steady · ↕ Up-and-down figures 49–72 · Best fig at today's trip 72 (7 tries) · Last 3 figs 64 72 67
▼ Best fig 72 is 5+ under today's par 77LSLongshot read: 20-1 on the morning line, and the model has it at 5% against a line of 3%. A read, not a bet.
Jockey Cid Erick Del 0-for-3 on dirt this meet · Trainer Cardel Cormier 19% career 0-for-3 on dirt this meetCLASS DROPCardel Cormier takes over the training from Allen Ray Landry. A step up in company: $12,500 claiming before, allowance today.
PACE CHALLENGE One of several that want the lead, so the early work will cost something. (early-speed points: 7)WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 1 work in 30d, last one 20d agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/7 EVD 5f D Clm 10k n2lc 4th/11 64 2.6-1 L Early speed; weakened 7/31 EVD -5f T Clm 20k n2l 2nd/6 72 1.5-1 L Led to final strides 7/11 EVD -5f T Clm 20k n2l 2nd/8 -2L 67 7.8-1 L No match; held 2nd 7Tensas Lu Lu▼C. Fusilier · A. LandryFusilier · LandryB67 78 60▼-4@trip 789-2Fair 8-112%
▼ Down -467 78 60@trip 78B▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (67 vs 78)Card model 12% · Fair odds 8-1 · Our #4 · Tier B · Form ▼ Down -4 · Best fig at today's trip 78 (6 tries) · Last 3 figs 67 78 60
▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (67 vs 78)Jockey C Fusilier 32% career 5-for-26 on dirt this meet (19%) · Trainer Allen Ray Landry 37% career ★ 14-for-36 on dirt this meet (39%), #1 of 36Also today · Jockey R5: Jungle Law 3-1, R5: Piastri 10-1, R6: Cajun Coaster 12-1, R8: Cajun Caviar 2-1 +1 more · Trainer R6: Macho Beanie 10-1, R6: Cajun Coaster 12-1, R8: Cajun Caviar 2-1, R9: Kama Can 5-1Worked 4F in :49.40 on Sep 22, 2nd of 59 at the distance. Last out was 5th, 2 lengths behind the winner, in a 10-horse allowance race at DED.
EVEN PACE Can sit just off the early fight and pick up whoever tires.WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 38 days agoRECORD 0 wins, 1 on the board from 6 starts hereRECORD C Fusilier from post 7 here: 4 wins, 13 top-3 in 52 rides · 13% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/15 DED 5f D fsAlw51000n1x 5th/10 -2L 67 4.5-1 b L Even effort; no kick 8/6 EVD 5½f D Clm 5k b Won/7 78 2.5-1 b L Asked; responded 6/25 EVD 5f T fsAlw41000n1x 12th/12 -5L 60 7.6-1 b L Stalked; stopped turn 8Pot's PaycheckE. Barrera · R. WardBarrera · WardC67 75 74▼-7≡@trip 6310-1Fair 15-17%
▼ Down -767 75 74 ≡@trip 63CCard model 7% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #7 · Tier C · Form ▼ Down -7 · ≡ Steady figures 67–75 · Best fig at today's trip 63 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 67 75 74
Jockey Elio J Barrera 32% career 7-for-51 on dirt this meet (14%) · Trainer Ronnie Ward 36% career 2-for-21 on dirt this meet (10%)Also today · Jockey R4: Flotation Station 8-1, R5: After Party 15-1, R6: Misdeal 15-1, R7: Beach Blanket 10-1 +1 more · Trainer R3: Minimus Maximus 7-2, R8: My Hintof Platinum 15-1★ FASTEST WORK0/3 board hereShortens up to 5 furlongs after going 6½ furlongs. The Sep 26 work, 3F in :37.00, was the best time at that distance that morning.
EVEN PACE Can sit just off the early fight and pick up whoever tires.WORKS SHARP 3f in :37.00 on Sep 26 was the best time at that distance that morning; 1 work in 30dRECORD Not on the board in 3 starts hereRECORD Elio J Barrera from post 8 here: 9 wins, 19 top-3 in 59 rides · 13% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/14 DED 6½f D fsAlw52000n3l 5th/10 -2¾L 67 19-1 b L Late interest 8/29 EVD 6f D fsAlw41000n1x 2nd/7 -2½L 75 9.9-1 b L Tight hold; rail rally 8/7 EVD -5f T fsAlw41000n1x 3rd/6 -4½L 74 5.8-1 b L Chased; brushed 3/16 9Allons Betta LeeJ. Melancon · A. KlanferMelancon · KlanferA74 73 72►≡@trip 745-1Fair 10-110%
► Steady74 73 72 ≡@trip 74ACard model 10% · Fair odds 10-1 · Our #8 · Tier A · Form ► Steady · ≡ Steady figures 72–74 · Best fig at today's trip 74 (4 tries) · Last 3 figs 74 73 72
Jockey Jansen Melancon 33% career 6-for-34 on dirt this meet (18%) · Trainer Alan Klanfer 32% career 1-for-5 on dirt this meetAlso today · Jockey R1: Madoria 5-2, R4: Whiskey And Easy 8-1, R6: Macho Beanie 10-1, R8: Copy This 20-1 · Trainer R6: Letmikefigureitout 5-2180D+ LAYOFFReturns from a 328-day break, the biggest in the field. New trainer: Jason Faul had it last time, Alan Klanfer now.
EVEN PACE Lands behind the duel without having to be part of it.WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 1 work in 30d, last one 24d agoRECORD Jansen Melancon from post 9 here: 1 win, 15 top-3 in 58 rides · 14% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 12/6 DED 5f D fsOC50000n2l 2nd/8 -3L 74 1.8-1 L Late bid; clear second 11/21 FG 6f D fsDLFrgsnMmB100k 4th/9 -3L 73 51-1 L Swift; 5w; mild rally 9/23 LAD 6f D OC 50k n1x 3rd/6 -3½L 72 7.3-1 L Tracked; late try 10Miss Super MoT. Thornton · W. CalhounThornton · CalhounB67 71 65►≡@trip 758-1Fair 12-17%
► Steady67 71 65 ≡@trip 75BCard model 7% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #9 · Tier B · Form ► Steady · ≡ Steady figures 64–71 · Best fig at today's trip 75 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 67 71 65
Jockey T G Thornton 44% career ★ 13-for-54 on dirt this meet (24%), #2 of 29 · Trainer William Bret Calhoun 38% career 3-for-16 on dirt this meet (19%) ★ hotAlso today · Jockey R5: Imperial Cruiser 8-1, R6: Good And Stout 7-2, R7: Max Is G Money 8-1, R8: Copper Key 8-1 +1 more · Trainer this race: What's Love 5-1, R5: Imperial Cruiser 8-1180D+ LAYOFFWON LASTWinner of a 7-horse maiden special weight race at FG last time. 239 days since the last start, so it needs the works to say it's ready.
EVEN PACE Lands behind the duel without having to be part of it.WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 2 works in 30d and the last 10d backRECORD T G Thornton from post 10 here: 9 wins, 16 top-3 in 43 rides · 22% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 3/5 FG 6f D fsMdSpWt Won/7 67 1.1-1 L Stp slw;tip 3w;best 1/17 FG 6f D fsMdSpWt 2nd/8 -2¼L 71 1.7-1 L Frac; hop; rallied6w 12/20 FG 6f D fsMdSpWt 2nd/7 -1L 65 2.7-1 L Ins bid; needed more 11Lee CircleD. Cardoso · M. HibdonCardoso · HibdonA76 66 73▲+6@trip 764-1Fair 6-114%
▲ Up +6 · career best76 66 73@trip 76A2Card model 14% · Fair odds 6-1 · Our #2 · Tier A · Form ▲ Up +6 · career best · Best fig at today's trip 76 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 76 66 73
Jockey David Cardoso 37% career 3-for-16 on dirt this meet (19%) · Trainer Mark N Hibdon 35% career ★ 5-for-25 on dirt this meet (20%) ★ hotMark N Hibdon takes over the training from Anthony Arey. A 76 top number against a 77 par, so it fits the level.
EVEN PACE Lands behind the duel without having to be part of it.WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 133 days agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/17 DED 5f D fsClm20000n3lc 2nd/7 by hd 76 5.7-1 b L No match; held place 9/19 LAD 5f T fsAlw28000n1x 3rd/6 -3½L 66 10-1 b L Mild rally 3w;clr rest 9/5 EVD 5½f D fsAlw42000n3l 4th/8 -2L 73 12-1 b L Off rail 1/4pl;kept on
▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: fast and contested (8 early types). Helps stalkers and closers.
How to read these marks
- 1 2 3
- Our top three by the card model's win chance. Tap “Our order” to sort by it.
- Win %, Fair
- The card model's chance to win, and the odds that chance works out to with no takeout. Fair is green when the model rates the horse above its morning line (the line scaled to add up to 100%).
- Tier A B C ?
- The field ranked on recent speed figures and the morning line together: A = top three, B = next three, C = the rest, ? = no figures yet.
- 71 60 72
- Last three speed figures, newest first. “@trip 75” = best figure at today's distance (within 30 yards) on this surface.
- ▲▲ ▲ ► ▼ ▼▼
- Form: last figure against the average of the three before it. ▲ = up 3 or more, ▲▲ = up 8 or more, ► = within 3, ▼ / ▼▼ = down. The number is the difference.
- ≡ ↕
- ≡ steady: the last four figures sit close together. ↕ up-and-down: they swing widely.
- ★
- Best figure in the field at today's distance and surface, from two or more tries, not tied. When that horse isn't in our top three it gets a “Distance horse” note above the field.
- ▲ ▼ chips
- Handicapping angles for or against the horse. LS = longshot read: 8-1 or more on the morning line and the model rates it higher than that line.
These marks describe the past performances. None of them is proven to beat the odds: in our test of 100 handicapping angles, nothing did better than the final odds, and the morning-line favourite wins more races than our top-ranked horse. Read them as notes, not as a reason to bet.
Race conditions and our readpace, conditions, story
DELTA DOWNS · RACE 2
UPCOMINGState-Bred Allowance · $44,000 purse
Allowance, for fillies and mares, 3-year-olds and up, restricted to state-bred (registered) horses, that have not won a race other than maiden, claiming, or starter.
Allowance race — a step above claiming. No horses are for sale; written conditions limit the field to horses of similar experience.
● Track record at 5 Furlongs: 56.69
The shape is the story here: 3 confirmed front-runners should pressure each other early, which tilts the race toward stalkers and closers who can pick up the pieces late.
Our number tops on #1 What's Love (a presser/stalker, M/L 5-1). Recent figures: 53 · 61 · 75. Backup is #11 Lee Circle at 4-1. Use #2 Mika Ella Pika in exotic structures.
What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.
At a glance: model vs the morning line
At a glance
- Market favourite #2 MIKA ELLA PIKA (3-1) — our number has it ranked #3.
- #2 MIKA ELLA PIKA — our #3 number, about right at the windows (17.1% to their 17.1%).
- #11 LEE CIRCLE — our #2 number, about right at the windows (13.7% to their 13.6%).
- #7 TENSAS LU LU — our #4 number, about right at the windows (12.1% to their 12.4%).
Model vs the morning line
- Longshot the model rates above its line: #6 MY OTHER HALF (20-1) — our fair 3.8% is above the morning line's 3.2%; needs the trip to fall right.
Pacewho goes to the front
Pace
Speed Duel. Three or more early-speed types. Fast pace, hot fractions — closers benefit.
Likely leader: #5 Boohaki; pressure from #6 My Other Half, #4 Basile; and works against #4 Basile, #5 Boohaki, #6 My Other Half.
Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.
Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse
Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners
Closing Kick · late-pace figure
Bet types offeredwager menu
Bet types
Wagers offered on this race.
EXACTA($1 MIN.)/TRIFECTA(.50 MIN.)/SUPERFECTA(.10 MIN.)/DAILY DOUBLE(RACES 2-3)
($1 MIN.)/PICK 3(RACES 2-4)/PICK 4(RACES 2-5)
BET OPTIONS
WinPlaceShowExactaTrifectaSuperfecta