1Wicked No Mo▼C. Rosier · R. CourvilleRosier · CourvilleC61 77 58▼-612-1Fair 15-16%
▼ Down -661 77 58C▼ Best fig 77 is 5+ under today's par 82Card model 6% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #5 · Tier C · Form ▼ Down -6 · Last 3 figs 61 77 58
▼ Best fig 77 is 5+ under today's par 82Jockey C R Rosier 25% career 2-for-7 on dirt this meet · Trainer Ricky Courville 21% career 2-for-5 on dirt this meetAlso today · Jockey R1: Just Sailing Along 10-1, R6: Tdzshininluckystar 6-1 · Trainer this race: Louisiana Sis 20-1, R9: Film At Eleven 10-1★ FASTEST WORKWON LASTWinner of a 10-horse maiden special weight race at DED last time. A step up in company: maiden special weight before, stakes nongraded today.
EVEN PACE Lands behind the duel without having to be part of it.WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 31d back)RECORD C R Rosier from post 1 here: 2 wins, 16 top-3 in 46 rides · 7% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/9 DED 5f D fsMdSpWt Won/10 61 1.2-1 Clear; finished well 8/21 EVD 5f D fsMdSpWt 2nd/7 -½L 77 1.7-1 Outclosed; second best 8/8 EVD 4½f D fsMdSpWt 2nd/10 -1½L 58 5.2-1 Stalked; 5 wide rally 2Mo Cantharus▼H. Hernandez · J. JeansonneHernandez · JeansonneC61 5915-1Fair 20-15%
—61 59C▼ Best fig 61 is 5+ under today's par 82Card model 5% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #6 · Tier C · Last 3 figs 61 59
▼ Best fig 61 is 5+ under today's par 82Jockey Harry Hernandez 38% career 10-for-57 on dirt this meet (18%) · Trainer Justin Jeansonne 32% career 1-for-4 on dirt this meet ★ hotAlso today · Jockey R4: Drewmazing 12-1, R5: Beaudreaux 5-1, R6: Behemah Star 12-1, R7: Fiesty Fist 9-2 +1 more60D LAYOFF3 WORKS IN 30 DAYSWON LASTMoves up from maiden special weight to stakes nongraded. Goes 7 furlongs after running 5 furlongs last time.
PACE CHALLENGE Early speed in a crowded front end; somebody gets worn down. (early-speed points: 6)WORKS SHARP One of the busier work schedules here: 3 works in 30d, last 7d agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 8/21 EVD 5f D fsMdSpWt Won/7 61 5.5-1 L Vied;inched clear;held 7/30 EVD -5f T MSW 4th/7 -3½L 59 6.1-1 L Bumped; vied; steadied 3My Hintof Platinum▼E. Barrera · R. WardBarrera · WardC61 63 71▼-615-1Fair 20-15%
▼ Down -661 63 71C▼ Best fig 71 is 5+ under today's par 82Card model 5% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #9 · Tier C · Form ▼ Down -6 · Last 3 figs 61 63 71
▼ Best fig 71 is 5+ under today's par 82Jockey Elio J Barrera 32% career 7-for-51 on dirt this meet (14%) · Trainer Ronnie Ward 36% career 2-for-21 on dirt this meet (10%)Also today · Jockey R2: Pot's Paycheck 10-1, R4: Flotation Station 8-1, R5: After Party 15-1, R6: Misdeal 15-1 +1 more · Trainer R2: Pot's Paycheck 10-1, R3: Minimus Maximus 7-260D LAYOFFBack after 91 days away; fitness is the question and the works are the evidence. The longest gap in the field. Needs to move up: the best of its last five is 71 against a 82 par.
EVEN PACE Can sit just off the early fight and pick up whoever tires.TROUBLED TRIP Chart note from last time: Bumpd both sides start. A trip worth forgiving, though the number already carries it.WORKS Average work schedule for this field (2 works in 30d, last 13d ago)RECORD Elio J Barrera from post 3 here: 10 wins, 29 top-3 in 80 rides · 13% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 7/31 EVD 5½f D fsDSYongFutB100k 4th/9 -3½L 61 12-1 b L Bumpd both sides start 7/3 EVD 5f D fsMdSpWt Won/6 by hd 63 0.5-1 b L Ins;wtd;splt3/16;clear 6/20 EVD 4½f D fsMdSpWt 4th/9 -1L 71 26-1 b L Inside trip; no rally 4Copy This▼J. Melancon · R. DiodoroMelancon · DiodoroC68 53 61▲▲+1120-1Fair 30-14%
▲▲ Big jump +11 · career best68 53 61C▼ Best fig 68 is 5+ under today's par 82Card model 4% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #10 · Tier C · Form ▲▲ Big jump +11 · career best · Last 3 figs 68 53 61
▼ Best fig 68 is 5+ under today's par 82Jockey Jansen Melancon 33% career 6-for-34 on dirt this meet (18%) · Trainer Robertino Diodoro 39% career 0-for-3 on dirt this meetAlso today · Jockey R1: Madoria 5-2, R2: Allons Betta Lee 5-1, R4: Whiskey And Easy 8-1, R6: Macho Beanie 10-1 · Trainer this race: Bar Car 7-2Stretches out from 5½ furlongs to 7 furlongs. A 68 is the high figure lately, short of the 82 par.
EVEN PACE Lands behind the duel without having to be part of it.WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 1 work in 30d, last one 13d agoRECORD Jansen Melancon from post 4 here: 12 wins, 43 top-3 in 92 rides · 14% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/19 LAD 5½f D fsLaCpJuvFlB75k 6th/10 -5½L 68 53-1 b L One paced 2p 7/31 EVD 5½f D fsDSYongFutB100k 8th/9 -5L 53 21-1 b L Inside; no response 7/17 EVD 5f D fsMdSpWt Won/7 by ½ 61 4.5-1 b L Drew off; driving 5Cajun Caviar▲C. Fusilier · A. LandryFusilier · LandryA83 812-1Fair 3-125%
—83 81A▲ Last fig 83 at/above par 821Card model 25% · Fair odds 3-1 · Our #1 · Tier A · Last 3 figs 83 81
▲ Last fig 83 at/above par 82Jockey C Fusilier 32% career 5-for-26 on dirt this meet (19%) · Trainer Allen Ray Landry 37% career ★ 14-for-36 on dirt this meet (39%), #1 of 36Also today · Jockey R2: Tensas Lu Lu 9-2, R5: Jungle Law 3-1, R5: Piastri 10-1, R6: Cajun Coaster 12-1 +1 more · Trainer R2: Tensas Lu Lu 9-2, R6: Macho Beanie 10-1, R6: Cajun Coaster 12-1, R9: Kama Can 5-1WON LASTComes in off a victory in a 10-horse race at LAD. Best Brisnet figure in the field over its last five: 83, with 82 next best.
EVEN PACE Lands behind the duel without having to be part of it.WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 3F on Aug 14; 2 works in 30dRECORD C Fusilier from post 5 here: 9 wins, 20 top-3 in 52 rides · 13% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/19 LAD 5½f D fsLaCpJuvFlB75k Won/10 83 1.0-1 L Duel inside;kicked clr 8/21 EVD 5f D fsMdSpWt Won/7 81 3.2-1 L Clear late;mild urging 6Copper Key▼T. Thornton · G. SchererThornton · SchererB69 69 73►≡8-1Fair 12-17%
► Steady69 69 73 ≡B▼ Best fig 73 is 5+ under today's par 82Card model 7% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #8 · Tier B · Form ► Steady · ≡ Steady figures 67–73 · Last 3 figs 69 69 73
▼ Best fig 73 is 5+ under today's par 82Jockey T G Thornton 44% career ★ 13-for-54 on dirt this meet (24%), #2 of 29 · Trainer Gary Scherer 31% career 0-for-4 on dirt this meet ★ hotAlso today · Jockey R2: Miss Super Mo 8-1, R5: Imperial Cruiser 8-1, R6: Good And Stout 7-2, R7: Max Is G Money 8-1 +1 more3 WORKS IN 30 DAYSWorked 5F in 1:02.20 on Oct 15, 3rd of 6 at the distance. Runs for $100,000 after a $75,000 race last out.
PACE CHALLENGE One of several that want the lead, so the early work will cost something. (early-speed points: 7)WORKS SHARP One of the busier work schedules here: 3 works in 30d, last 7d agoRECORD T G Thornton from post 6 here: 27 wins, 63 top-3 in 112 rides · 22% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/19 LAD 5½f D fsLaCpJuvFlB75k 5th/10 -4L 69 6.6-1 L Brk thru gate;4w;empty 7/31 EVD 5½f D fsDSYongFutB100k 2nd/9 69 4.4-1 L Dueled; yielded late 7/17 EVD 5f D fsMdSpWt Won/8 73 1.5-1 L Drew off; mild urging 7Romantic Rumor▼C. Hernandez · K. BourgeoisHernandez · BourgeoisB72 72 72▲+68-1Fair 8-111%
▲ Up +6 · career best72 72 72B▼ Best fig 72 is 5+ under today's par 822Card model 11% · Fair odds 8-1 · Our #2 · Tier B · Form ▲ Up +6 · career best · Last 3 figs 72 72 72
▼ Best fig 72 is 5+ under today's par 82Jockey Colby J Hernandez 38% career ★ 7-for-29 on dirt this meet (24%), #1 of 29 · Trainer Keith Bourgeois 33% career ★ 4-for-18 on dirt this meet (22%), #3 of 36 ★ hotAlso today · Jockey R2: What's Love 5-1, R3: Truvy's T Rex 9-2, R5: Syntagma 4-1, R9: Captain Junuh 2-1 · Trainer R5: Syntagma 4-1★ FASTEST WORKPosted the fastest 4F work of the morning on Sep 8, in :48.00. A longer trip: 5½ furlongs last out, 7 furlongs today.
EVEN PACE Lands behind the duel without having to be part of it.WORKS SHARP 4f in :48.00 on Sep 8 was the best time at that distance that morning; 1 work in 30dLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/19 LAD 5½f D fsLaCpJuvFlB75k 4th/10 -1½L 72 18-1 b L 2nd flight btwn;no bid 8/20 EVD 5f T MSW Won/9 72 1.0-1 b L Under pressure; held 7/30 EVD -5f T MSW 2nd/7 72 3.6-1 b L Bumped;dueled; yielded 8Last Two Dollars▼T. Pompell · H. Johnson Jr.Pompell · Johnson Jr.C70 57 54▲▲+1512-1Fair 20-15%
▲▲ Big jump +15 · career best70 57 54C▼ Best fig 70 is 5+ under today's par 82Card model 5% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #11 · Tier C · Form ▲▲ Big jump +15 · career best · Last 3 figs 70 57 54
▼ Best fig 70 is 5+ under today's par 82Jockey T L Pompell 29% career ★ 8-for-38 on dirt this meet (21%), #3 of 29 · Trainer Henry B Jr Johnson 31% career 0-for-8 on dirt this meet (0%)Also today · Jockey R2: Boohaki 8-1, R3: Ray Mefasolateedoe 20-1, R6: Saint Gabriel 8-1, R9: Lick Skillet 20-13 WORKS IN 30 DAYSWON LASTJky 16/80 from post 8Figures are climbing: 54, 57, 70 over its last three. Last start was a win, in a 12-horse maiden special weight race at EVD at 5.7-1.
EVEN PACE Can sit just off the early fight and pick up whoever tires.WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 3 works in 30d, last 7d agoRECORD T L Pompell from post 8 here: 16 wins, 43 top-3 in 80 rides · 13% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/4 EVD 6f D fsMdSpWt Won/12 70 5.7-1 b L Dueled late; best 7/31 EVD 5½f D fsDSYongFutB100k 6th/9 -4L 57 46-1 b L Mid pack; even effort 7/3 EVD 5f D fsMdSpWt 2nd/6 by nk 54 4.8-1 b L Prssd3-4w;willing;up2d 9Passion StrikeK. Arana · J. GelnerArana · GelnerA67 825-1Fair 8-112%
—67 82A3Card model 12% · Fair odds 8-1 · Our #3 · Tier A · Last 3 figs 67 82
Jockey Kelvin Arana 24% career 1-for-31 on dirt this meet (3%) · Trainer Jayde J Gelner 30% career 3-for-22 on dirt this meet (14%)◆ NOTE · TRIP TROUBLE60D LAYOFFFreshened 91 days, longer than anything else in the field. Watch how its recent works look. Goes 7 furlongs after running 5½ furlongs last time.
PACE CHALLENGE Has to fight for the lead against company, and the fractions may cost it late. (early-speed points: 6)TROUBLED TRIP Ran into trouble last out (Bumped start; closed), and the figure already reflects it.WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 2 works in 30d and the last 15 days agoRECORD Kelvin Arana from post 9 here: 3 wins, 7 top-3 in 22 rides · 5% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 7/31 EVD 5½f D fsDSYongFutB100k 3rd/9 -2L 67 2.9-1 b L Bumped start; closed 6/6 EVD 4½f D fsMdSpWt Won/5 82 4.5-1 b L Steady urging; held 10Bar Car▼I. Castillo · R. DiodoroCastillo · DiodoroA77 68 71▲▲+107-2Fair 6-114%
▲▲ Big jump +10 · career best77 68 71A▼ Best fig 77 is 5+ under today's par 82Card model 14% · Fair odds 6-1 · Our #4 · Tier A · Form ▲▲ Big jump +10 · career best · Last 3 figs 77 68 71
▼ Best fig 77 is 5+ under today's par 82Jockey Isaac Castillo 30% career 5-for-50 on dirt this meet (10%) · Trainer Robertino Diodoro 39% career 0-for-3 on dirt this meetAlso today · Jockey R1: Mediator 15-1, R2: Wickedly Royal 15-1, R3: Electric Man 20-1, R3: Making Noise 8-1 +3 more · Trainer this race: Copy This 20-1Runs for $100,000 after a $75,000 race last out. Finished 3rd in a 10-horse race at LAD, beaten ½ length.
EVEN PACE Can sit just off the early fight and pick up whoever tires.WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (1 work in 30d, last 13d back)Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/19 LAD 5½f D fsLaCpJuvFlB75k 3rd/10 -½L 77 13-1 b L Duel 2p;outkicked 2nd 9/7 LAD 5f D fsMdSpWt Won/5 68 0.6-1 b L Slipped brk;2p;handily 8/20 EVD 5f T MSW 2nd/9 -½L 71 7.1-1 b L Bumped start; gamely 11Louisiana Sis▼K. Roman · R. CourvilleRoman · CourvilleC66 49 73▲+520-1Fair 30-13%
▲ Up +566 49 73C▼ Best fig 73 is 5+ under today's par 82Card model 3% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #12 · Tier C · Form ▲ Up +5 · Last 3 figs 66 49 73
▼ Best fig 73 is 5+ under today's par 82Jockey Kevin Roman 33% career 6-for-46 on dirt this meet (13%) · Trainer Ricky Courville 21% career 2-for-5 on dirt this meetAlso today · Jockey R3: Guitar Man 5-2, R4: Luv To Win 2-1, R9: Film At Eleven 10-1 · Trainer this race: Wicked No Mo 12-1, R9: Film At Eleven 10-1Dropped in well back early last out, 9th of 10 at the first call. A 73 is the high figure lately, short of the 82 par.
PACE CHALLENGE Early speed in a crowded front end; somebody gets worn down. (early-speed points: 3)WORKS Routine prep: 2 works in 30d, last 7d agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/19 LAD 5½f D fsLaCpJuvFlB75k 7th/10 -5½L 66 57-1 b L Brk out;3w turn;no bid 7/31 EVD 5½f D fsDSYongFutB100k 9th/9 -7L 49 7.5-1 b L Bumped; impeded start 5/22 EVD 4½f D MSW Won/5 73 2.8-1 b L Vied ins;finished well 12Pink Angel▲LSE. Nieves · J. FosterNieves · FosterB82 5820-1Fair 20-14%
—82 58B▲ Last fig 82 at/above par 82LSCard model 4% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #7 · Tier B · Last 3 figs 82 58
▲ Last fig 82 at/above par 82LSLongshot read: 20-1 on the morning line, and the model has it at 4% against a line of 3%. A read, not a bet.
Jockey Emanuel Nieves 32% career 0-for-18 on dirt this meet (0%) · Trainer Joseph M Foster 30% career 0-for-1 on dirt this meetWON LASTSheds 4 pounds from its last start. Comes in off a victory in a 6-horse maiden special weight race at LAD.
EVEN PACE Lands behind the duel without having to be part of it.WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 47d back)Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/19 LAD 6f D fsMdSpWt Won/6 82 3.1-1 L Outside bid turn;clear 8/21 EVD 5f D fsMdSpWt 3rd/7 -1L 58 12-1 L Shut off 1/8;angled in
▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: fast and contested (9 early types). Helps stalkers and closers.
How to read these marks
- 1 2 3
- Our top three by the card model's win chance. Tap “Our order” to sort by it.
- Win %, Fair
- The card model's chance to win, and the odds that chance works out to with no takeout. Fair is green when the model rates the horse above its morning line (the line scaled to add up to 100%).
- Tier A B C ?
- The field ranked on recent speed figures and the morning line together: A = top three, B = next three, C = the rest, ? = no figures yet.
- 71 60 72
- Last three speed figures, newest first. “@trip 75” = best figure at today's distance (within 30 yards) on this surface.
- ▲▲ ▲ ► ▼ ▼▼
- Form: last figure against the average of the three before it. ▲ = up 3 or more, ▲▲ = up 8 or more, ► = within 3, ▼ / ▼▼ = down. The number is the difference.
- ≡ ↕
- ≡ steady: the last four figures sit close together. ↕ up-and-down: they swing widely.
- ★
- Best figure in the field at today's distance and surface, from two or more tries, not tied. When that horse isn't in our top three it gets a “Distance horse” note above the field.
- ▲ ▼ chips
- Handicapping angles for or against the horse. LS = longshot read: 8-1 or more on the morning line and the model rates it higher than that line.
These marks describe the past performances. None of them is proven to beat the odds: in our test of 100 handicapping angles, nothing did better than the final odds, and the morning-line favourite wins more races than our top-ranked horse. Read them as notes, not as a reason to bet.
Race conditions and our readpace, conditions, story
DELTA DOWNS · RACE 8
UPCOMINGLa Jewel Stakes
Stakes, for fillies, 2-year-olds, restricted to state-bred (registered) horses.
Stakes race — the top class. Owners pay entry/nomination fees that build the purse, which draws the best horses available.
● Track record at 7 Furlongs: 84.27
The shape is the story here: 4 confirmed front-runners should pressure each other early, which tilts the race toward stalkers and closers who can pick up the pieces late.
Our number tops on #5 Cajun Caviar (a presser/stalker, M/L 2-1). Recent figures: 83 · 81. It exits a win and is clearly doing well. Backup is #7 Romantic Rumor at 8-1. Use #9 Passion Strike in exotic structures.
What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.
At a glance: model vs the morning line
At a glance
- Market favourite #5 CAJUN CAVIAR (2-1) — our number agrees.
- #5 CAJUN CAVIAR — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (24.7% to their 24.4%).
- #10 BAR CAR — our #4 number, about right at the windows (15.7% to their 16.3%).
- #9 PASSION STRIKE — our #3 number, about right at the windows (12.0% to their 12.2%).
Model vs the morning line
- The model and the morning line roughly agree on this field.
Pacewho goes to the front
Pace
Speed Duel. Three or more early-speed types. Fast pace, hot fractions — closers benefit.
Likely leader: #9 Passion Strike; pressure from #2 Mo Cantharus, #6 Copper Key; and works against #2 Mo Cantharus, #6 Copper Key, #9 Passion Strike.
Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.
Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse
Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners
Closing Kick · late-pace figure
Bet types offeredwager menu
Bet types
Wagers offered on this race.
EXACTA($1 MIN.)/TRIFECTA(.50 MIN.)/SUPERFECTA(.10 MIN.)/DAILY DOUBLE(RACES 8-9)
($1 MIN.)
BET OPTIONS
WinPlaceShowExactaTrifectaSuperfecta