FL · RACE 2
UPCOMINGMaiden Claiming $11,000
Maiden Claiming, for 3-year-olds and up.
Maiden claiming — for horses that have never won, and every starter is also for sale at the claiming price. Typically the easiest class of race.
● Track record at 6 Furlongs: 68.2
The shape is the story here: the early pace looks honest rather than contested — expect a fairly run race where class and trip decide it, not pace collapse.
Our number tops on #4 Charlie My Boy (a presser/stalker, M/L 8-5). Recent figures: 60 · 69 · 72. Backup is #5 Big Ego at 5-2. Use #3 King Solomon in exotic structures.
What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.
The field, ranked
Our order, top to bottom.
Class relief: maiden special weight last time, maiden claiming $11,000 today. Trending the wrong way on speed, 72 to 69 to 60.
A big drop, maiden special weight to maiden claiming $11,000, and worth asking why. Tops the field on speed figures, a 75 against 72 for the next best.
0 for 7 at today's distance. Maiden through 17 starts.
Best recent figure is 52, well under the 74 par for this level. Jockey switch: Jose Ventura last out, C Russell today.
Last out was 5th, 11 lengths behind the winner, in a 7-horse maiden claiming $11,000 race at FL. A 46 is the high figure lately, short of the 74 par.
Cuts back from a mile to 6 furlongs. Still looking for the first win after 11 starts.
At a glance
- Market favourite #4 CHARLIE MY BOY (8-5) — our number agrees.
- #4 CHARLIE MY BOY — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (34.8% to their 32.1%).
- #5 BIG EGO — our #2 number, about right at the windows (24.0% to their 23.8%).
- #3 KING SOLOMON — our #3 number, about right at the windows (17.2% to their 18.5%).
Value read
- No price-band edge — the market looks efficient here.
Pace
Pressed Pace. Speed under pressure from multiple pressers. Likely honest pace, slight closer benefit.
Likely leader: #3 King Solomon; pressure from #6 Joe G Twentythree, #4 Charlie My Boy; the shape helps #4 Charlie My Boy, #5 Big Ego; and works against #1 Gemello, #3 King Solomon, #6 Joe G Twentythree.
Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.
Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse
Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners
Closing Kick · late-pace figure
How to play it
How we'd structure it from our ranking + pace read — an honest, pressed pace rewards the best horse — key tickets fit. Structures and logic only; the stake is yours.
Win
#4 Charlie My Boy
Top of the field by a clear 26-pt IQ margin — the play stands alone to win.
Exacta — KEY
#4 Charlie My Boy OVER #5 Big Ego · #3 King Solomon · #2 Solo Flight
Key #4 Charlie My Boy on top over your contenders for the 2nd slot.
Trifecta — KEY/WHEEL
#4 Charlie My Boy / #5 Big Ego · #3 King Solomon · #2 Solo Flight / #5 Big Ego · #3 King Solomon · #2 Solo Flight · #1 Gemello
#4 Charlie My Boy keyed 1st, your contenders filling 2nd–3rd.
Bet types offered at this track →
EXACTA * TRIFECTA * SUPERFECTA (10 CENT MINIMUM) * DAILY DOUBLE (RACES 2-3) *
PICK 3 (50 CENT MINIMUM: RACES 2-3-4)