INDIANA DOWNS · RACE 8

UPCOMING

Maiden Claiming $15,000

Field

10 runners

Purse

$18,500

Post

5:47 PM ET

Pace

Pressed Pace

IQ top

#2 · 89

PANELPASS · lean #5 PIOUS [STRONG]see full panel →

Maiden Claiming, for fillies and mares, 3-year-olds and up, restricted to state-bred (registered) horses.

Maiden claiming — for horses that have never won, and every starter is also for sale at the claiming price. Typically the easiest class of race.

● Track record at 6 Furlongs: 67.59

The shape is the story here: there's little established early speed, so a tactical horse can control soft fractions up front and prove hard to run down.

Our number tops on #2 Well Hey There (a presser/stalker, M/L 2-1). Recent figures: 64 · 54 · 53. It hit the board last time and stays in form. Backup is #5 Pious at 15-1. Use #3 Easy Effort in exotic structures.

What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.

The field, ranked

Our order, top to bottom.

Pressed Pace: Speed under pressure from multiple pressers. Likely honest pace, slight closer benefit.

1WIN

2Well Hey There

Jockey Santo Sanjur 27% career 4-for-47 on dirt this meet (9%) · Trainer Robert M Gorham 32% career 3-for-21 on dirt this meet (14%)

Also today · Jockey R3: El Numero Uno 5-1 · Trainer this race: Superstitious 12-1

3/6 board here

Best Brisnet figure in the field over its last five: 64, with 63 next best. Finished 2nd in a 7-horse maiden claiming $7,500 race at IND, beaten 1½ lengths.

PACE HELPS Sits just off the speed with pace in front to run at.

WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 202d ago

RECORD 0 wins, 3 on the board from 6 starts here

M/L2-1

IQ89

TierContender

StyleP

Last2nd · 43d

2PLACE

5Pious

Jockey Amir Mendoza 19% career ★ 16-for-79 on dirt this meet (20%) · Trainer Michelle L Elliott 31% career 2-for-17 on dirt this meet (12%)

Also today · Jockey R1: Higher Wish 5-1, R2: Mo Town Foxy Brown 25-1, R3: El Payasito 2-1, R6: Huevos D'Oro 30-1 +2 more · Trainer R7: Sudden Rise 8-1

0/5 board here

Owns the highest recent figure here at 64. Cuts back from a mile to 6 furlongs.

PACE HELPS Stalks an honestly pressed pace from a good spot.

WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 96d back)

RECORD Not on the board in 5 starts here

M/L15-1

IQ85

TierLive

StyleP

Last4th · 33d

3SHOW

3Easy Effort

Jockey La Cruz Fernando De 10-for-77 on dirt this meet (13%) · Trainer Aaron M West 36% career ★ 6-for-16 on dirt this meet (38%), #1 of 46

Also today · Jockey R1: Staymistyforme 7-2, R2: Soul Of The Night 2-1, R3: Rank Randy 5-2, R6: Brit's Wit 5-1 +2 more · Trainer R6: Shane Falco 25-1, this race: Windy Storm 5-1

Back to 6 furlongs off a 1 1/16 miles race. A big drop, maiden special weight to maiden claiming $15,000, and worth asking why.

PACE HELPS Stalks an honestly pressed pace from a good spot.

WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 2 works in 30d and the last 13d back

RECORD 0 wins, 2 on the board from 5 starts here

M/L7-2

IQ84

TierContender

StyleP

Last7th · 42d

4EXOTICS

9Wealth N Taste

Jockey Joseph M Romero 31% career 4-for-36 on dirt this meet (11%) · Trainer Anthony J Granitz 26% career 4-for-25 on dirt this meet (16%)

Also today · Jockey R1: Dreaming Bonita 8-1, R3: Lambay 25-1, R6: Born Flashy 5-1 · Trainer R4: Tiz Wine Time 2-1

Switches from turf to dirt. Last out was 8th, 14 lengths behind the winner, in an 11-horse maiden special weight race at IND.

PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.

WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 52 days ago

M/L6-1

IQ76

TierLive

StyleNA

Last8th · 28d

5EXOTICS

1Cloudless Day

Jockey Victor Lara 26% career ★ 6-for-23 on dirt this meet (26%), #1 of 38 · Trainer Cipriano Contreras 36% career ★ 6-for-21 on dirt this meet (29%)

Also today · Jockey R1: Delcap Alice 12-1, R2: C C's Gift 30-1, R3: Thousands Of Hopes 12-1, R5: My Awesome Gold 6-1 +1 more · Trainer R4: Goldenageactress 4-1

A step up in company: maiden claiming $7,500 before, maiden claiming $15,000 today. Prime Power, the Brisnet rating, puts it on top of this field.

PACE HELPS Sits just off the speed with pace in front to run at.

WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 61d back)

RECORD 0 wins, 2 on the board from 8 starts here

M/L10-1

IQ64

TierLongshot

StyleE/P

Last3rd · 43d

4Windy Storm

Jockey Emmanuel Esquivel 36% career ★ 4-for-18 on dirt this meet (22%), #3 of 38 · Trainer Aaron M West 36% career ★ 6-for-16 on dirt this meet (38%), #1 of 46 ★ hot

Also today · Jockey R4: Goldenageactress 4-1 · Trainer R6: Shane Falco 25-1, this race: Easy Effort 7-2

3 WORKS IN 30 DAYS0/3 board here

Comes off a turf start and tries the dirt here. Emmanuel Esquivel takes over from La Cruz Fernando De in the saddle.

PACE CHALLENGE Pressured on the lead; getting clear early matters. (early-speed points: 0)

WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 3 works in 30d and the last 13d back

RECORD Not on the board in 3 starts here

M/L5-1

IQ61

TierLive

StyleE

Last8th · 56d

8Superstitious

Jockey Andres P Ulloa 24% career 5-for-31 on dirt this meet (16%) · Trainer Robert M Gorham 32% career 3-for-21 on dirt this meet (14%)

Also today · Jockey R4: Tiz Wine Time 2-1 · Trainer this race: Well Hey There 2-1

60D LAYOFF

103 days since the last start, so it needs the works to say it's ready. Drops from maiden special weight to maiden claiming $15,000.

PACE CHALLENGE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.

WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 1 work in 30d and the last 20d back

M/L12-1

IQ60

TierLongshot

StyleNA

Last6th · 103d

7Best Hat

Jockey Hannah Leahey 21% career 4-for-32 on dirt this meet (12%) · Trainer Joseph D Davis 33% career 3-for-37 on dirt this meet (8%)

Also today · Jockey R3: Indy Lake 15-1, R4: Valeska's Promise 15-1

60D LAYOFFCLASS UP

Still looking for the first win after 6 starts. 5th last time, 6 lengths back, in a field of 7.

PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.

WORKS Average work schedule for this field (1 work in 30d, last 27d ago)

RECORD 0 wins, 2 on the board from 6 starts here

M/L15-1

IQ45

TierLongshot

StyleE/P

Last5th · 64d

10Pear

Jockey Jose Ramos Gutierrez 32% career 5-for-40 on dirt this meet (12%) · Trainer Scott D Mullins 34% career 2-for-20 on dirt this meet (10%)

Also today · Jockey R3: Einstein's Ghost 10-1, R7: Take My Picture 12-1

First career start, by Gormley out of Joyella. Debut for a trainer who is 0% with first-timers, over 20 starts.

PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.

WORKS SHARP 3f in :36.00 on Aug 28 was the best time at that distance that morning; 1 work in 30d

M/L15-1

IQ36

TierLongshot

StyleNA

LastDebut

6Designer Tag

Jockey O Mojica 34% career 1-for-14 on dirt this meet (7%) · Trainer Randy Klopp 38% career ★ 12-for-56 on dirt this meet (21%) ★ hot

Also today · Trainer R1: Crumbl 9-5, R3: Rank Randy 5-2

180D+ LAYOFF0/4 board here

Returns from a 188-day break, the biggest in the field. Figures have slipped: 45, 44, 39 over its last three.

PACE CHALLENGE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.

WORKS Average work schedule for this field (1 work in 30d, last 26d ago)

RECORD Not on the board in 4 starts here

M/L12-1

IQ28

TierLongshot

StyleNA

Last7th · 188d

At a glance

Market favourite #2 WELL HEY THERE (2-1) — our number agrees.
#2 WELL HEY THERE — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (24.7% to their 25.7%).
#3 EASY EFFORT — our #3 number, about right at the windows (18.5% to their 17.1%).
#4 WINDY STORM — our #6 number, about right at the windows (12.0% to their 12.8%).

Value read · analysis, not advice

Verdict: PASS — market efficient — no edge, pass

Longshot value: #5 PIOUS (15-1) — our fair 6.0% is above the morning line's 4.8%; needs the trip to fall right.

Pace

Pressed Pace. Speed under pressure from multiple pressers. Likely honest pace, slight closer benefit.

Likely leader: #4 Windy Storm; pressure from #1 Cloudless Day, #7 Best Hat; the shape helps #1 Cloudless Day, #2 Well Hey There, #3 Easy Effort; and works against #4 Windy Storm, #6 Designer Tag, #8 Superstitious.

Lead

4Windy Storm86

Press

1Cloudless Day877Best Hat78

Stalk

2Well Hey There833Easy Effort785Pious72

none

No style yet

8Superstitious816Designer Tag799Wealth N Taste6110Pear

Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.

Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse

Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners

Cloudless Day

Windy Storm

Well Hey There

Easy Effort

Best Hat

Pious

Closing Kick · late-pace figure

Easy Effort

Best Hat

Pious

Cloudless Day

Well Hey There

Designer Tag

Windy Storm

Wealth N Taste

Superstitious

How to play it

How we'd structure it from our ranking + pace read — an honest, pressed pace rewards the best horse — key tickets fit. Structures and logic only; the stake is yours.

Win / Place

#2 Well Hey There (place saver: #5 Pious)

#2 Well Hey There rates the best; #5 Pious the logical insurance if you want to be covered.

Exacta — BOX

#2 Well Hey There · #5 Pious

Two standouts with little between them — box #2 Well Hey There and #5 Pious both ways.

Trifecta — BOX

#2 Well Hey There · #5 Pious · #3 Easy Effort

Box the top three for any 1-2-3 order; add a 4th only if the field is wide open.

Superfecta — KEY

#2 Well Hey There / #5 Pious · #3 Easy Effort · #9 Wealth N Taste · #1 Cloudless Day / #5 Pious · #3 Easy Effort · #9 Wealth N Taste · #1 Cloudless Day / ALL or #5 Pious · #3 Easy Effort · #9 Wealth N Taste · #1 Cloudless Day

Deep enough field to spread a super — key the top, spread the next few, fill 4th wide.

★ Value angle Live underneath: #1 Cloudless Day — the pace setup fits this one; use it in the 3rd/4th slots of your exotics for price.

Bet types offered at this track →

DAILY DOUBLE / EXACTA / TRIFECTA / 50 CENT TRIFECTA / SUPERFECTA

10 CENT SUPERFECTA / 10 CENT GRAND HIGH 5 (PENTAFECTA)

See the Wager Logic primer for takeout + hit-rate context on each bet type. We give the structure; the wagering decision and amount are yours.