MOUNTAINEER PARK · RACE 3
UPCOMINGClaiming $4,000
Claiming $4,000, for fillies and mares, 3-year-olds and up, that have not won three races other than maiden, claiming, or starter.
Claiming race — every starter can be bought for the claiming price out of the race, so owners risk losing a horse that's clearly best. That keeps the field evenly matched on ability.
● Track record at 6 Furlongs: 67.81
The shape is the story here: there's little established early speed, so a tactical horse can control soft fractions up front and prove hard to run down.
Our number tops on #9 Khnum (a presser/stalker, M/L 20-1). Recent figures: 42 · 61 · 66. Backup is #8 Dot Your Eyes at 2-1. Use #2 Strawberry Sky in exotic structures.
What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.
The field, ranked
Our order, top to bottom.
Was running in $10,000 claiming; today's $4,000 claiming is an easier level on paper. Shortens up to 6 furlongs after going a mile.
Figures are climbing: 54, 58, 71 over its last three. Worked 3F in :37.00 on Jul 4, 2nd of 14 at the distance.
Best Brisnet figure in the field over its last five: 73, with 71 next best. Drops from $6,250 claiming to $4,000 claiming.
Comes in off a victory in a 5-horse $4,000 claiming race at MNR. Dropped in well back early last out, 4th of 5 at the first call.
New trainer: Steven Cathcart had it last time, Tina Ramgeet now. Needs to move up: the best of its last five is 65 against a 74 par.
Cuts back from a mile to 6 furlongs. 0 for 5 at today's distance.
Winner of a 6-horse $4,000 claiming race at MNR last time. Juan Pablo Silva takes over the training from Oscar Romero.
Owns the highest recent figure here at 73. 0 for 12 at today's distance.
Has moved up each time out, 45 to 56 to 67. Won last out in a 7-horse $4,000 claiming race at MNR.
Raises its level, $3,200 claiming last time and $4,000 claiming now. Winless in 7 starts at this distance.
At a glance
- Market favourite #8 DOT YOUR EYES (2-1) — our number has it ranked #2.
- #8 DOT YOUR EYES — our #2 number, about right at the windows (25.6% to their 27.0%).
- #10 TAMMY'S CRUISER — our #8 number, about right at the windows (19.0% to their 20.3%).
- #5 DONT BLAME COURT — our #4 number, about right at the windows (12.0% to their 11.6%).
Value read
- Longshot value: #9 KHNUM (20-1) — our fair 5.2% is above the morning line's 3.9%; needs the trip to fall right.
Pace
Tactical / Honest. Balanced shape: 1-2 speed, supporting pressers, closers in play. Trip wins out.
Likely leader: #7 Mitole's Secret; pressure from #3 Revocata, #10 Tammy's Cruiser.
Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.
Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse
Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners
Closing Kick · late-pace figure
How to play it
How we'd structure it from our ranking + pace read — a balanced pace makes it a trip race — moderate spreads. Structures and logic only; the stake is yours.
Win / Place
#9 Khnum (place saver: #8 Dot Your Eyes)
#9 Khnum rates the best; #8 Dot Your Eyes the logical insurance if you want to be covered.
Exacta — BOX
#9 Khnum · #8 Dot Your Eyes
Two standouts with little between them — box #9 Khnum and #8 Dot Your Eyes both ways.
Trifecta — BOX
#9 Khnum · #8 Dot Your Eyes · #2 Strawberry Sky
Box the top three for any 1-2-3 order; add a 4th only if the field is wide open.
Superfecta — KEY
#9 Khnum / #8 Dot Your Eyes · #2 Strawberry Sky · #5 Dont Blame Court · #4 Palmilla's Bet / #8 Dot Your Eyes · #2 Strawberry Sky · #5 Dont Blame Court · #4 Palmilla's Bet / ALL or #8 Dot Your Eyes · #2 Strawberry Sky · #5 Dont Blame Court · #4 Palmilla's Bet
Deep enough field to spread a super — key the top, spread the next few, fill 4th wide.
Bet types offered at this track →
$2 DAILY DOUBLE (RACES 3-4) $2 EXACTA $1 BOX $1 TRIFECTA $.50 BOX $1
SUPERFECTA $.20 BOX