MOUNTAINEER PARK · RACE 7
UPCOMINGOptional Claiming $15,000
Claiming $15,000, for 3-year-olds and up, restricted to state-bred (registered) horses.
Claiming race — every starter can be bought for the claiming price out of the race, so owners risk losing a horse that's clearly best. That keeps the field evenly matched on ability.
● Track record at 6 Furlongs: 67.81
The shape is the story here: the early pace looks honest rather than contested — expect a fairly run race where class and trip decide it, not pace collapse.
Our number tops on #6 Trust The Climb (a presser/stalker, M/L 7-2). Recent figures: 62 · 75 · 65. Backup is #7 A Ok at 9-2. Use #2 Ocata in exotic structures.
What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.
The field, ranked
Our order, top to bottom.
Runs for $21,000 today after a $75,000 race last time. Dropped in well back early last out, 8th of 8 at the first call.
Owns the highest recent figure here at 80. Figures are climbing: 60, 73, 80 over its last three.
Last start was a win, in a 10-horse maiden special weight race at MNR at 1-1. Needs to move up: the best of its last five is 68 against a 80 par.
Dennis Cluley takes over the training from J Michael Baird. Raises its level, $7,500 claiming last time and allowance optional claiming now.
Moves up from $10,000 claiming to allowance optional claiming. Goes 6 furlongs after running 4½ furlongs last time.
Finished 2nd in a 4-horse allowance race at MNR, beaten 1½ lengths. Cuts back from a mile to 6 furlongs.
Trending the wrong way on speed, 57 to 55 to 46. Back to 6 furlongs off a a mile race.
At a glance
- Market favourite #5 MAGI CAL NATION (9-5) — our number has it ranked #4.
- #5 MAGI CAL NATION — our #4 number, about right at the windows (25.8% to their 28.0%).
- #6 TRUST THE CLIMB — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (19.4% to their 17.4%).
- #4 MITOTE — our #6 number, about right at the windows (17.7% to their 19.6%).
Value read
- #7 A OK — we make it 16.7%, the morning line implies 14.3%. We're 16.5 points higher than the line — our opinion, not a price; pools pay the final odds.
Pace
Pressed Pace. Speed under pressure from multiple pressers. Likely honest pace, slight closer benefit.
Likely leader: #1 Tup's To Take; pressure from #4 Mitote, #7 A Ok; the shape helps #2 Ocata, #3 Dancing King, #5 Magi Cal Nation; and works against #1 Tup's To Take, #4 Mitote.
Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.
Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse
Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners
Closing Kick · late-pace figure
How to play it
How we'd structure it from our ranking + pace read — an honest, pressed pace rewards the best horse — key tickets fit. Structures and logic only; the stake is yours.
Win / Place
#6 Trust The Climb (place saver: #7 A Ok)
#6 Trust The Climb rates the best; #7 A Ok the logical insurance if you want to be covered.
Exacta — BOX
#6 Trust The Climb · #7 A Ok
Two standouts with little between them — box #6 Trust The Climb and #7 A Ok both ways.
Trifecta — BOX
#6 Trust The Climb · #7 A Ok · #2 Ocata
Box the top three for any 1-2-3 order; add a 4th only if the field is wide open.
Bet types offered at this track →
$2 DAILY DOUBLE (RACES 7-8) $2 EXACTA $1 BOX $1 TRIFECTA $.50 BOX $1
SUPERFECTA $.20 BOX