CHARLES TOWN · RACE 7
UPCOMINGAllowance · $34,100 purse
Allowance, for 3-year-olds and up, that have not won a race other than maiden, claiming, or starter.
Allowance race — a step above claiming. No horses are for sale; written conditions limit the field to horses of similar experience.
● Track record at 7 Furlongs: 82.68
The shape is the story here: 3 confirmed front-runners should pressure each other early, which tilts the race toward stalkers and closers who can pick up the pieces late.
Our number tops on #1 Zachamundo (a presser/stalker, M/L 2-1). Recent figures: 67 · 75 · 82. Backup is #2 Caffeinennicotine at 5-2. Use #5 Joel's Boy in exotic structures.
What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.
The field, ranked
Our order, top to bottom.
Freshened 166 days, longer than anything else in the field. Watch how its recent works look. Best Brisnet figure in the field over its last five: 83, with 82 next best.
Finished 3rd in a 6-horse allowance race at CT, beaten 3 lengths. 0 for 10 at today's distance.
Figures have slipped: 73, 72, 61 over its last three. Cuts back from a mile to 7 furlongs.
Worked 4F in :48.00 on Jun 14, 3rd of 82 at the distance. An 82 top number against a 80 par, so it fits the level.
Led at the first call last time. The May 9 work, 5F in 1:01.00, was the best time at that distance that morning.
Last start was a win, in a 9-horse maiden claiming $12,500 race at CT at 0.7-1. Moves up from maiden claiming $12,500 to allowance.
A step up in company: $5,000 claiming before, allowance today. Timothy Shanley takes over the training from Ernesto Perez.
At a glance
- Market favourite #1 ZACHAMUNDO (2-1) — our number agrees.
- #1 ZACHAMUNDO — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (27.1% to their 26.1%).
- #2 CAFFEINENNICOTINE — our #2 number, about right at the windows (22.5% to their 22.4%).
- #6 BONSAI WARRIOR — our #5 number, about right at the windows (18.8% to their 19.6%).
Model vs the morning line
- Longshot the model rates above its line: #5 JOEL'S BOY (15-1) — our fair 5.8% is above the morning line's 4.9%; supported by: 5-way speed duel up front — meltdown sets up the closer
Pace
Speed Duel. Three or more early-speed types. Fast pace, hot fractions — closers benefit.
Likely leader: #6 Bonsai Warrior; pressure from #2 Caffeinennicotine, #3 My Yoke; and works against #2 Caffeinennicotine, #3 My Yoke, #6 Bonsai Warrior.
Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.
Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse
Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners
Closing Kick · late-pace figure
Bet types
Wagers offered on this race.
EXACTA / TRIFECTA / SUPERFECTA / $5 LATE DAILY DOUBLE (RACES 7-8)
BET OPTIONS
WinPlaceShowExactaTrifectaSuperfecta