R4 Charles Town · Claiming $10,000

1. 1Victory Song▲S. Diaz Jr. · C. McKeeDiaz Jr. · McKeeB23 57 77▼▼-42↕@trip 609-2Fair 6-113%▼▼ Big drop -4223 57 77 ↕@trip 60B▲ Lone speed on early pace

   Card model 13% · Fair odds 6-1 · Our #4 · Tier B · Form ▼▼ Big drop -42 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 23–77 · Best fig at today's trip 60 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 23 57 77

   ▲ Lone speed on early pace

   Jockey Sunday Jr Diaz 33% career 5-for-69 on dirt this meet (7%) · Trainer Cynthia E McKee 2-for-25 on dirt this meet (8%)

   Also today · Jockey R3: Ekati Indian 15-1, R5: Fiction 20-1, R6: Don't Get Cute 10-1 · Trainer R1: Improbable Journey 10-1, R3: Graceful Cat 6-1, R3: Ekati Indian 15-1, R6: My Max 5-2

   0/4 board here

   Best Brisnet figure in the field over its last five: 77, with 75 next best. 9th last time, 11 lengths back, in a field of 9.

   PACE CHALLENGE Has to fight for the lead against company, and the fractions may cost it late. (early-speed points: 7)

   TROUBLED TRIP Hard scrub ins; faltere last out; the speed figure already reflects it.

   WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 118d back)

   RECORD Not on the board in 4 starts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/2	CT	6½f D	sAlw34100n1x	9th/9 -11L	23	19-1	L	Hard scrub ins;faltere
   8/27	CT	4½f D	sAlw34100n2l	5th/6 -2L	57	5.3-1	L	Press3w1/4;lf-ld;weakn
   8/9	MNR	5f D	sMdSpWt	Won/8	77	0.3-1	L	Dueled shook clear ins

2. 2Direct to HeavenC. Lopez · D. RoseLopez · RoseA65 58 74▼-3@trip 715-2Fair 7-223%▼ Down -365 58 74@trip 71A2

   Card model 23% · Fair odds 7-2 · Our #2 · Tier A · Form ▼ Down -3 · Best fig at today's trip 71 (4 tries) · Last 3 figs 65 58 74

   Jockey Carlos Eduardo Lopez 36% career ★ 16-for-59 on dirt this meet (27%), #1 of 31 · Trainer David J Rose 16% career 1-for-4 on dirt this meet

   Drops from allowance to $10,000 claiming. Winless in 8 starts at this distance.

   EVEN PACE A stalking spot behind a contested lead is the useful one in this shape.

   WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 346 days ago

   RECORD 1 win, 5 on the board from 14 starts here

   RECORD Carlos Eduardo Lopez from post 2 here: 17 wins, 42 top-3 in 90 rides · 22% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/15	CT	4½f D	sAlw34100n2l	4th/6 -5½L	65	16-1	b L	Bid4w;left-ld;stalled
   10/2	CT	6½f D	sAlw34100n1x	6th/9 -5L	58	4.2-1	b L	Press4w5/16;faded
   9/18	CT	6½f D	sAlw34100n2l	4th/9 -3L	74	45-1	b L	Pocket off due;mildly

3. 3Moonlight Candy★J. Barbosa · A. FarriorBarbosa · FarriorA48 75 45▼▼-13↕@trip 759-5Fair 3-126%▼▼ Big drop -1348 75 45 ↕@trip 75A★ Best at the trip 753

   Card model 26% · Fair odds 3-1 · Our #3 · Tier A · Form ▼▼ Big drop -13 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 45–75 · Best fig at today's trip 75 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 48 75 45

   ★ Best at the trip 75

   Jockey Jeiron Barbosa 30% career ★ 12-for-60 on dirt this meet (20%) · Trainer Anthony Farrior 41% career 12-for-70 on dirt this meet (17%)

   Also today · Jockey R1: Dance For Green 5-2, R3: Gram Kline 4-1 · Trainer R3: Gram Kline 4-1

   ★ FASTEST WORK

   Shortens up to 4½ furlongs after going 6½ furlongs. Was running in allowance; today's $10,000 claiming is an easier level on paper.

   PACE CHALLENGE Has to fight for the lead against company, and the fractions may cost it late. (early-speed points: 6)

   WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 4F on Oct 23; 1 work in 30d

   RECORD 1 win, 1 on the board from 4 starts here

   RECORD Jeiron Barbosa from post 3 here: 9 wins, 20 top-3 in 47 rides · 23% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/2	CT	6½f D	sAlw34100n1x	8th/9 -4½L	48	8.4-1	b L	Broke out;pace;g-way
   9/10	CT	4½f D	sMd12500	Won/10	75	1.2-1	b L	Vied to turn;kept2task
   7/3	CT	7f D	sMdSpWt	9th/9 -3¾L	45	5.5-1	b L	Chase ins3/8;gave way

4. 4Arapaho Nation▼E. Greenidge · J. PooleGreenidge · PooleA61 64 55▲▲+8↕4-1Fair 7-112%▲▲ Big jump +861 64 55 ↕A▼ Best fig 64 is 5+ under today's par 74

   Card model 12% · Fair odds 7-1 · Our #5 · Tier A · Form ▲▲ Big jump +8 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 40–64 · Last 3 figs 61 64 55

   ▼ Best fig 64 is 5+ under today's par 74

   Jockey Elijah Greenidge 20% career · Trainer Jami C Poole 29% career

   Also today · Jockey R3: Attractive Soul 7-2, R5: Zealous Storm 8-1 · Trainer R3: Aspiring Queen 15-1, R3: Attractive Soul 7-2, R5: Zealous Storm 8-1, R5: Fiction 20-1

   Turns back in 10 days. Needs to move up: the best of its last five is 64 against a 74 par.

   PACE CHALLENGE Early speed in a crowded front end; somebody gets worn down. (early-speed points: 5)

   WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 88d back)

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/20	MNR	5f D	sAlw19200n2l	3rd/6 -4L	61	13-1	L	Chased even finish
   10/4	MNR	6f D	sMd15000	Won/6	64	1.4-1	L	Drew away ridden out;
   9/21	MNR	6f D	sMdSpWt	6th/10 -7L	55	27-1	L	Bid 3deep turn faded

5. 5Salty Lime▼A. Bocachica · S. MeyersBocachica · MeyersB65 37 56▲▲+16↕@trip 655-1Fair 4-120%▲▲ Big jump +16 · career best65 37 56 ↕@trip 65B▼ Best fig 65 is 5+ under today's par 741

   Card model 20% · Fair odds 4-1 · Our #1 · Tier B · Form ▲▲ Big jump +16 · career best · ↕ Up-and-down figures 37–65 · Best fig at today's trip 65 (5 tries) · Last 3 figs 65 37 56

   ▼ Best fig 65 is 5+ under today's par 74

   Jockey Arnaldo Bocachica 39% career ★ 20-for-85 on dirt this meet (24%), #3 of 31 · Trainer Shane Meyers 33% career 2-for-10 on dirt this meet (20%) ★ hot

   Also today · Jockey R2: Boundforabruisin 7-5, R5: Penguin's Pride 3-1, R7: Audible Storm 1-1, R8: Sutherland 3-1 · Trainer R8: Sutherland 3-1

   CLASS DROPWON LAST3/6 board here

   Changes barns, from Diana L McClure to Shane Meyers. Last start was a win, in an 8-horse maiden claiming $7,500 race at CT at 5.2-1.

   PACE CHALLENGE Early speed in a crowded front end; somebody gets worn down. (early-speed points: 5)

   WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 1 work in 30d and the last 27d back

   RECORD 1 win, 3 on the board from 6 starts here

   RECORD Arnaldo Bocachica from post 5 here: 81 wins, 184 top-3 in 343 rides · 24% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/8	CT	4½f D	sMd7500c	Won/8	65	5.2-1	b L	Vie3w;kicked clr drivn
   8/9	CNL	5½f T	MCL 16k	12th/12 -14L	37	50-1	b L	Bmp around;showd lil
   7/19	CNL	5½f T	MCL 16k	6th/12 -3L	56	83-1	b L	Prompted3-2w;weakened

6. 6Monkey Wrench▼▼J. Davis · I. BarahonaDavis · BarahonaB56 47 57▲+3@trip 5620-1Fair 30-14%▲ Up +356 47 57@trip 56B▼ Best fig 57 is 5+ under today's par 74▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance rises

   Card model 4% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #6 · Tier B · Form ▲ Up +3 · Best fig at today's trip 56 (7 tries) · Last 3 figs 56 47 57

   ▼ Best fig 57 is 5+ under today's par 74▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance rises

   Jockey Jacqueline A Davis 31% career 6-for-60 on dirt this meet (10%) · Trainer Isaac Barahona 14% career 1-for-4 on dirt this meet

   Also today · Jockey R2: Bull Rider 8-1, R8: Dither 20-1 · Trainer R2: Bull Rider 8-1

   CLASS DROP0/10 board here

   Raises its level, $5,000 claiming last time and $10,000 claiming now. 0 for 28 at today's distance.

   PACE CHALLENGE Early speed in a crowded front end; somebody gets worn down. (early-speed points: 3)

   WORKS SHARP One of the busier work schedules here: 1 work in 30d, last 7d ago

   RECORD Never on the board here in 10 starts

   RECORD Jacqueline A Davis from post 6 here: 2 wins, 8 top-3 in 26 rides · 8% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/3	CT	4½f D	sClm5000n2l	4th/7 -5¾L	56	27-1	b	Saved ground; evenly
   7/9	CT	6½f D	sClm15000n2l	6th/6 -10L	47	27-1	b	Slow st;left-ld;falter
   6/19	CT	6½f D	sClm10000n2l	4th/7 by hd	57	57-1	b	Vie2w;lf-ld;herded;eve

7. 7Town Hot▼R. Wilson · J. PykeWilson · PykeC54 43 44▲▲+1330-1Fair 50-12%▲▲ Big jump +1354 43 44C▼ Best fig 60 is 5+ under today's par 74

   Card model 2% · Fair odds 50-1 · Our #7 · Tier C · Form ▲▲ Big jump +13 · Last 3 figs 54 43 44

   ▼ Best fig 60 is 5+ under today's par 74

   Jockey Rayan Wilson 30% career 1-for-11 on dirt this meet (9%) · Trainer Joseph Pyke 19% career 0-for-6 on dirt this meet

   Also today · Jockey R1: Larz 20-1

   CLASS DROP

   Finished 7th in an 8-horse $5,000 claiming race at CT, beaten 10 lengths. Cuts back from 7 furlongs to 4½ furlongs.

   PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.

   WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 153d ago

   RECORD 0 wins, 2 on the board from 18 starts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/1	CT	7f D	Clm 5k n2l	7th/8 -10L	54	60-1	b L	Never involved
   9/19	CT	7f D	sClm10000n2l	8th/8 -14L	43	47-1	b L	Trailed throughout
   8/29	CT	7f D	Clm 10k n2l	6th/7 -13L	44	66-1	b L	Outrun; no factor

▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: fast and contested (5 early types). Helps stalkers and closers.