EVANGELINE DOWNS · RACE 2
UPCOMINGClaiming $7,500
Claiming $7,500, for 3-year-olds and up, restricted to state-bred (registered) horses, that have not won two races lifetime.
Claiming race — every starter can be bought for the claiming price out of the race, so owners risk losing a horse that's clearly best. That keeps the field evenly matched on ability.
● Breed: Quarter Horse
● Track record at 350 Yards: 17.2
The shape is the story here: the early pace looks honest rather than contested — expect a fairly run race where class and trip decide it, not pace collapse.
Our number tops on #5 Rm Kamila Patriot (a tactical type, M/L 7-2). Recent figures: 75 · 79 · 85. Backup is #4 Jessadifferentdolly at 20-1. Use #9 Supertrucker in exotic structures.
What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.
The field, ranked
Our order, top to bottom.
Freshened 175 days, longer than anything else in the field. Watch how its recent works look. Figures have slipped: 85, 79, 75 over its last three.
Class relief: $10,000 claiming last time, $7,500 claiming today. Worked 1F in :12.20 on Sep 29, 2nd of 14 at the distance.
Last out was 3rd, a neck behind the winner, in a 7-horse $5,000 claiming race at EVD. Moves up from $5,000 claiming to $7,500 claiming.
Shortens up to 350 yards after going 870 yards. Fastest 1F work of its morning on Jun 25 (:11.60), a sign it is training forwardly.
Changes barns, from Eduardo L Morales to Gregorio Davila. Owns the highest recent figure here at 90.
Trending the wrong way on speed, 77 to 74 to 70. Prime Power, the Brisnet rating, puts it on top of this field.
Was running in $10,000 claiming; today's $7,500 claiming is an easier level on paper. 8th last time, 1½ lengths back, in a field of 9.
Beaten 4½ lengths for 10th in a 10-horse $7,500 claiming race at DED. Off 76 days since the last start.
Returns from a 159-day break. Moves up from $5,000 claiming to $7,500 claiming.
At a glance
- Market favourite #3 TDZ KINGS RANSOM (5-2) — our number has it ranked #9.
- #3 TDZ KINGS RANSOM — our #9 number, about right at the windows (21.0% to their 22.2%).
- #9 SUPERTRUCKER — our #3 number, about right at the windows (19.7% to their 19.5%).
- #5 RM KAMILA PATRIOT — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (18.1% to their 17.3%).
Model vs the morning line
- Longshot the model rates above its line: #4 JESSADIFFERENTDOLLY (20-1) — our fair 4.6% is above the morning line's 3.7%; needs the trip to fall right.
Pace
Pace Vacuum. No real early speed. Whoever shows up first is likely uncontested. Pressers benefit.
and works against #1 Whiskey River Dash, #2 Sweet And Classic, #3 Tdz Kings Ransom.
Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.
Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse
Closing Kick · late-pace figure
Bet types
Wagers offered on this race.
DAILY DOUBLE / EXACTA / TRIFECTA / SUPERFECTA / PICK 3 (RACES 2-3-4)
BET OPTIONS
WinPlaceShowExactaTrifectaSuperfecta