EVANGELINE DOWNS · RACE 6

UPCOMING

Optional Claiming $20,000

Field

8 runners

Purse

$14,000

Post

8:40 PM ET

Pace

Pace Vacuum

Model top pick

#3 · 14%

Claiming $20,000, for 3-year-olds and up.

Claiming race — every starter can be bought for the claiming price out of the race, so owners risk losing a horse that's clearly best. That keeps the field evenly matched on ability.

● Breed: Quarter Horse

● Track record at 330 Yards: 16.09

The shape is the story here: the early pace looks honest rather than contested — expect a fairly run race where class and trip decide it, not pace collapse.

Our number tops on #3 The D Oh Double G (a tactical type, M/L 8-1). Recent figures: 91 · 92 · 85. It exits a win and is clearly doing well. Backup is #4 Pilot Point Train at 2-1. Use #8 Aj Lets Blaze in exotic structures.

What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.

The field, ranked

Our order, top to bottom.

Pace Vacuum: No real early speed. Whoever shows up first is likely uncontested. Pressers benefit.

1TOP PICK

3The D Oh Double G

Jockey Saul Ramirez Hernandez 38% career 1-for-6 on dirt this meet · Trainer Kenneth Weeks 30% career 3-for-20 on dirt this meet (15%) ★ hot

Also today · Jockey R5: Jess A Sweet Warrior 15-1 · Trainer R3: Paint My Seis 8-5, R5: Caracara Dreamin 5-2

60D LAYOFFWON LAST

Last start was a win, in a 7-horse optional claiming race at DED at 2.5-1. Kenneth Weeks takes over the training from Andre Brooks.

PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.

WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 1 work in 30d, last 8d ago

M/L8-1

Model14%

Fav?No

StyleNA

Last1st · 110d

22ND

4Pilot Point Train

Jockey Randy Jr Edison 20% career 11-for-64 on dirt this meet (17%) · Trainer Gilberto Rosales 35% career 2-for-20 on dirt this meet (10%)

Also today · Jockey R1: One Sweet Bride 20-1, R2: Trash Talkn 8-1, R3: Camino Chrome 15-1, R4: Pilot Train B 5-2 +2 more · Trainer R1: Dark Asset 15-1, R2: Supertrucker 3-1

60D LAYOFFWON LAST3/4 board here

6 wins from 15 starts at this distance. Winner of a 6-horse race at DED last time.

PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.

WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (1 work in 30d, last 22d back)

RECORD 1 win, 3 on the board from 4 starts here

M/L2-1

Model22%

Fav?Yes

StyleNA

Last1st · 109d

33RD

8Aj Lets Blaze

Jockey Leonardo Rodriguez 34% career 6-for-52 on dirt this meet (12%) · Trainer Larry D Keith 28% career 1-for-23 on dirt this meet (4%)

Also today · Jockey R1: Tk Eyema Dashing 12-1, R3: Church At Six 5-1, R7: Aj Sign Of Beauty 15-1 · Trainer R1: Tk Eyema Dashing 12-1

60D LAYOFF★ FASTEST WORK2/3 board here

Drops from allowance to optional claiming. Fastest 1F work of its morning on Sep 19 (:11.40), a sign it is training forwardly.

PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.

WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 39d ago

RECORD 2 wins, 2 on the board from 3 starts here

RECORD Leonardo Rodriguez from post 8 here: 4 wins, 16 top-3 in 39 rides · 13% wins from all posts here

M/L12-1

Model9%

Fav?No

StyleNA

Last9th · 75d

44TH

7Snowlady Train

Jockey Rene Hernandez 38% career 2-for-57 on dirt this meet (4%) · Trainer Danny Hoda 31% career 3-for-17 on dirt this meet (18%) ★ hot

Also today · Jockey R1: Quematieraz Bux 8-1, R3: A Coastal Cowboy 20-1, R7: Jp Big Daddy Dash 2-1

◆ NOTE · TRIP TROUBLE60D LAYOFF

Class relief: allowance last time, optional claiming today. Back after 96 days away; fitness is the question and the works are the evidence.

PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.

TROUBLED TRIP Ran into trouble last out (Bumped; solid try), and the figure already reflects it.

WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 1 work in 30d and the last 19 days ago

RECORD 0 wins, 1 on the board from 4 starts here

RECORD Rene Hernandez from post 7 here: 7 wins, 17 top-3 in 49 rides · 11% wins from all posts here

M/L5-2

Model19%

Fav?No

StyleNA

Last3rd · 96d

55TH

6Lm Mr Scarface

Jockey Eddi Emanuel Martinez 33% career 8-for-54 on dirt this meet (15%) · Trainer Luis R Jr Martinez 32% career 4-for-43 on dirt this meet (9%)

Also today · Jockey R3: Remember Me Favorite 10-1, R4: Gator Season 15-1

60D LAYOFFWON LAST

Comes in off a victory in a 7-horse optional claiming race at DED. A step up in company: optional claiming before, optional claiming today.

PACE CHALLENGE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.

WORKS Steady, unremarkable work pattern: 1 work in 30d, last 11d back

RECORD 0 wins, 2 on the board from 5 starts here

M/L4-1

Model15%

Fav?No

StyleNA

Last1st · 62d

1Apollitical Delight

Jockey Pedro Chavarria Espinosa 25% career 6-for-49 on dirt this meet (12%) · Trainer Kenneth Roberts 24% career 2-for-30 on dirt this meet (7%)

Also today · Jockey R3: Red Winged Angel 20-1, R4: Allon Allon P3 6-1 · Trainer R5: Willow Dream 15-1, R7: Biscuits N Jam 7-2

60D LAYOFF2/3 board here

A big drop, allowance to optional claiming, and worth asking why. Owns the highest recent figure here at 106.

PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.

WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 1F on Dec 19; 1 work in 30d

RECORD 1 win, 2 on the board from 3 starts here

RECORD Pedro Chavarria Espinosa from post 1 here: 2 wins, 9 top-3 in 19 rides · 16% wins from all posts here

M/L5-1

Model12%

Fav?No

StyleNA

Last4th · 82d

2Rj Good Woman Blues

Jockey Noe Castaneda 33% career ★ 9-for-42 on dirt this meet (21%), #1 of 22 · Trainer Jose U Lopez 26% career ★ 7-for-31 on dirt this meet (23%)

Also today · Jockey R1: Sheza Jumper 6-1 · Trainer R7: Aj Sign Of Beauty 15-1

60D LAYOFF

Returns from a 97-day break. New trainer: Isidro Hinojosa had it last time, Jose U Lopez now.

PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.

WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 1 work in 30d, last 6d ago

RECORD Noe Castaneda from post 2 here: 5 wins, 17 top-3 in 36 rides · 21% wins from all posts here

M/L15-1

Model5%

Fav?No

StyleNA

Last7th · 97d

5Rbd Lu Boor Ee Ka

Jockey Leonardo Palomo 8-for-48 on dirt this meet (17%) · Trainer Santiago Garcia 32% career 0-for-1 on dirt this meet

Also today · Jockey R1: One Sweet Jg Dynasty 5-2, R2: Sweet And Classic 20-1 · Trainer R2: Sweet And Classic 20-1

60D LAYOFF★ FASTEST WORK

Freshened 111 days, longer than anything else in the field. Watch how its recent works look. The Feb 5 work, 1F in :11.40, was the best time at that distance that morning.

PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.

WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Feb 5 (1F in :11.40), 1 work in 30d

RECORD 1 win, 1 on the board from 3 starts here

M/L20-1

Model4%

Fav?No

StyleNA

Last5th · 111d

At a glance

Market favourite #4 PILOT POINT TRAIN (2-1) — our number has it ranked #2.
#4 PILOT POINT TRAIN — our #2 number, about right at the windows (24.4% to their 26.0%).
#7 SNOWLADY TRAIN — our #4 number, about right at the windows (22.1% to their 22.3%).
#6 LM MR SCARFACE — our #5 number, about right at the windows (15.7% to their 15.6%).

Model vs the morning line · analysis, not advice

The model and the morning line roughly agree on this field.

Pace

Pace Vacuum. No real early speed. Whoever shows up first is likely uncontested. Pressers benefit.

and works against #1 Apollitical Delight, #2 Rj Good Woman Blues, #3 The D Oh Double G.

Lead

none

Press

none

Stalk

none

No style yet

1Apollitical Delight2Rj Good Woman Blues3The D Oh Double G4Pilot Point Train5Rbd Lu Boor Ee Ka6Lm Mr Scarface7Snowlady Train8Aj Lets Blaze

Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.

Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse

Closing Kick · late-pace figure

Apollitical Delight

Rj Good Woman Blues

The D Oh Double G

Pilot Point Train

Rbd Lu Boor Ee Ka

Lm Mr Scarface

Snowlady Train

Aj Lets Blaze

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