★ Distance horse: #9 Grand Charming Elan (20-1) has the best figure in the field at today's distance and surface: 103 from 2 tries. Not in our top three.
1Shezadashincartel▼R. Edison Jr. · P. Calais Jr.Edison Jr. · Calais Jr.B81 87 88►@trip 903-1Fair 6-115%
► Steady81 87 88@trip 90B▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (81 vs 87)Card model 15% · Fair odds 6-1 · Our #8 · Tier B · Form ► Steady · Best fig at today's trip 90 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 81 87 88
▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (81 vs 87)Jockey Randy Jr Edison 20% career 11-for-72 on dirt this meet (15%) · Trainer Philip Jr Calais 0-for-20 on dirt this meet (0%)Also today · Jockey R2: Brookes Golden Girl 9-2, R4: Special Ivory Kisses 9-2, R5: Pyc Socialite 6-1 · Trainer R1: Jess Catch This 5-12/3 board hereTrending the wrong way on speed, 88 to 87 to 81. Ranks first in the field on Brisnet Prime Power.
PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 64d back)RECORD 1 win, 2 on the board from 3 starts hereRECORD Chestnuts win 16% here vs 14% for all horses (900 starts)Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/7 EVD 1.36364f D Clm 20k n2l 8th/10 -½L 81 3.3-1 b L Bmp; no impact 6/13 DED 1.36364f D Alw n2l 4th/8 -½L 87 3.4-1 b L Bump; bid; hung 5/23 DED 1.36364f D Alw n2l 4th/9 -½L 88 13-1 b L Bid;bump hard;weaken 2Wagon My DetailB. Ransom · T. EllisRansom · EllisA67 94 81▼▼-20↕@trip 945-1Fair 7-113%
▼▼ Big drop -2067 94 81 ↕@trip 94A3Card model 13% · Fair odds 7-1 · Our #3 · Tier A · Form ▼▼ Big drop -20 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 67–94 · Best fig at today's trip 94 (5 tries) · Last 3 figs 67 94 81
Jockey B Ransom 26% career 10-for-66 on dirt this meet (15%) · Trainer Trey Ellis 29% career ★ 6-for-30 on dirt this meet (20%)Also today · Jockey R1: Jess Cheer For Me 20-1, R2: Love That Ash 15-1, R5: Ragnar The Great 15-1, R6: Rose Night 9-2 +1 more · Trainer R2: Love That Ash 15-1, R6: Lovin My Wine 8-57th last time, 1¾ lengths back, in a field of 9. Worked 1F in :11.60 on Apr 6, 3rd of 46 at the distance.
PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 31 days agoRECORD B Ransom from post 2 here: 4 wins, 14 top-3 in 39 rides · 12% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/8 EVD 1.36364f D Alw n2l 7th/9 -1¾L 67 4.9-1 b L Bmp; early ft; no kick 8/15 DED 1.13636f D MSW Won/10 94 3.7-1 b L Speed; finished well 7/3 DED 1.13636f D MCL 25k 6th/8 -1½L 81 1.9-1 b L Fractious; no threat 3Be BayouY. Rodriguez · J. GonzalezRodriguez · GonzalezC81 84 65▲+3@trip 8110-1Fair 15-16%
▲ Up +381 84 65@trip 81CCard model 6% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #10 · Tier C · Form ▲ Up +3 · Best fig at today's trip 81 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 81 84 65
Jockey Yaidel Rodriguez 34% career 3-for-29 on dirt this meet (10%) · Trainer Jaime E Gonzalez 31% career 1-for-12 on dirt this meet (8%) ★ hot60D LAYOFFOff 70 days since the last start. Finished 6th in a 6-horse allowance race at DED, beaten a neck.
PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.WORKS SHARP One of the busier work schedules here: 1 work in 30d, last 7d agoRECORD Yaidel Rodriguez from post 3 here: 5 wins, 20 top-3 in 42 rides · 12% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 8/21 DED 1.13636f D Alw n1x 6th/6 by nk 81 21-1 b L Early bid; hung late 5/23 DED 1½f D MSW Won/6 84 2.7-1 b L Speed; finished well 11/11 WRD 1.59091f D MSW 9th/10 -4¾L 65 11-1 b L Hopped st;carried out 4Imperial Wagon TrainN. Castaneda · M. MacIasCastaneda · MacIasA89 88 83▲▲+10↕@trip 886-1Fair 6-115%
▲▲ Big jump +10 · career best89 88 83 ↕@trip 88A1Card model 15% · Fair odds 6-1 · Our #1 · Tier A · Form ▲▲ Big jump +10 · career best · ↕ Up-and-down figures 65–89 · Best fig at today's trip 88 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 89 88 83
Jockey Noe Castaneda 33% career 9-for-46 on dirt this meet (20%), #2 of 23 · Trainer Manuel H Macias 17% career 0-for-5 on dirt this meet60D LAYOFFCLASS UPJky 12/37 from post 4Freshened 112 days. Watch how its recent works look. Figures are climbing: 83, 88, 89 over its last three.
PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 36d back)RECORD Noe Castaneda from post 4 here: 12 wins, 17 top-3 in 37 rides · 21% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 7/10 DED 1.36364f D Clm 20k n2l 3rd/8 -1½L 89 30-1 b Game effort 6/11 DED 1.13636f D MCL 10k Won/10 88 9.7-1 b Steady gain;prove best 5/21 DED 1.36364f D MCL 5k 2nd/9 83 8.4-1 b Dueled; outfinished 5Senoritas Candy CanL. Palomo · J. GonzalezPalomo · GonzalezC84 68 67▲▲+8↕@trip 9312-1Fair 15-16%
▲▲ Big jump +884 68 67 ↕@trip 93CCard model 6% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #9 · Tier C · Form ▲▲ Big jump +8 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 67–93 · Best fig at today's trip 93 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 84 68 67
Jockey Leonardo Palomo 8-for-51 on dirt this meet (16%) · Trainer Jaime E Gonzalez 31% career 1-for-12 on dirt this meet (8%)Also today · Jockey R2: Rustic Chic 12-1, R4: Mansa Musaa 8-5, R6: Wild Blood Fortunes 8-1 · Trainer this race: Be Bayou 10-160D LAYOFFRuns for $12,500 after a $6,000 race last out. Returns from a 139-day break, the biggest in the field.
PACE CHALLENGE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.WORKS SHARP One of the busier work schedules here: 1 work in 30d, last 7d agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 6/13 DED 1.59091f D DbyTrl 6000 7th/10 -3¼L 84 43-1 b L Drift out; mild try 4/24 DED 1½f D DbyTrl 5000 9th/10 -4¾L 68 54-1 b L Set back on rig 11/21 EVD 1.81818f D FutTrl5000 8th/8 -3¼L 67 23-1 b L Eliminated start 6One Big StormE. Martinez · L. Martinez Jr.Martinez · Martinez Jr.A84 89 97▼▼-9@trip 935-2Fair 4-120%
▼▼ Big drop -984 89 97@trip 93A2Card model 20% · Fair odds 4-1 · Our #2 · Tier A · Form ▼▼ Big drop -9 · Best fig at today's trip 93 (4 tries) · Last 3 figs 84 89 97
Jockey Eddi Emanuel Martinez 33% career 9-for-58 on dirt this meet (16%) · Trainer Luis R Jr Martinez 32% career 4-for-44 on dirt this meet (9%)Also today · Jockey R2: Kj Man Or Rain 8-1, R5: Jl See Ya Man 10-1, R6: Kj Man Elealicious 3-1 · Trainer R5: Jl See Ya Man 10-1, R6: Kj Man Elealicious 3-1, R7: Bugs Gone Rogue 15-1★ FASTEST WORKOwns the highest recent figure here at 97. The Feb 6 work, 1F in :11.40, was the best time at that distance that morning.
PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 266d back)RECORD 0 wins, 2 on the board from 5 starts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/8 EVD 1.36364f D Alw n2l 4th/9 by nk 84 1.6-1 b L Strong effort 8/14 DED 1.59091f D Alw n2l 3rd/10 -1½L 89 3.3-1 b L Gained;best of rest 7/10 DED 1.36364f D Clm 20k n2l 2nd/8 -½L 97 1.1-1 b L Dueled late; missed 7Five Valiant▼R. Cabrera · C. CastroCabrera · CastroC62 89 69▼▼-12↕@trip 8915-1Fair 15-16%
▼▼ Big drop -1262 89 69 ↕@trip 89C▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (62 vs 89)Card model 6% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #6 · Tier C · Form ▼▼ Big drop -12 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 62–89 · Best fig at today's trip 89 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 62 89 69
▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (62 vs 89)Jockey Rolando Cabrera 33% career 4-for-59 on dirt this meet (7%) · Trainer Carlos Gabriel Castro 26% career 1-for-16 on dirt this meet (6%)◆ NOTE · TRIP TROUBLE★ FASTEST WORKFastest 1F work of its morning on Feb 27 (:12.40), a sign it is training forwardly. Last out was 8th, 2¾ lengths behind the winner, in a 9-horse allowance race at EVD.
PACE CHALLENGE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.TROUBLED TRIP Sandwiched; steadied last out; the speed figure already reflects it.WORKS SHARP 1f in :12.40 on Feb 27 was the best time at that distance that morning; 1 work in 30dRECORD Rolando Cabrera from post 7 here: 3 wins, 13 top-3 in 28 rides · 12% wins from all posts hereRECORD Chestnuts win 16% here vs 14% for all horses (900 starts)Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/8 EVD 1.36364f D Alw n2l 8th/9 -2¾L 62 38-1 b Sandwiched; steadied 8/1 RET 1.13636f D Clm 10k n2l 6th/10 -2L 89 32-1 b No threat 6/6 HOU 1.13636f D sClm15000n2l 10th/10 -5½L 69 33-1 b Stumbled badly; bumped 8Mckenzie FooseLSJ. Garcia Jr. · H. SanchezGarcia Jr. · SanchezC65 79 92▼▼-22↕@trip 9215-1Fair 15-16%
▼▼ Big drop -2265 79 92 ↕@trip 92CLSCard model 6% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #4 · Tier C · Form ▼▼ Big drop -22 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 65–92 · Best fig at today's trip 92 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 65 79 92
LSLongshot read: 15-1 on the morning line, and the model has it at 6% against a line of 5%. A read, not a bet.
Jockey Juan Francisco Jr Garcia 33% career 3-for-33 on dirt this meet (9%) · Trainer Hector J Sanchez 34% career ★ hotWas running in allowance; today's $20,000 claiming is an easier level on paper. Trending the wrong way on speed, 92 to 79 to 65.
PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 259d back)RECORD Juan Francisco Jr Garcia from post 8 here: 5 wins, 9 top-3 in 23 rides · 13% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/6 IND 1.13636f D Alw n2l 10th/10 -3¼L 65 39-1 L Trailed 9/5 SRR 1½f D Clm 10k n2l 8th/9 -1¾L 79 9.5-1 L Mild bid 8/28 SRR 1.13636f D MCL 20k Won/5 by nk 92 2.4-1 L Up late for win 9Grand Charming Elan★L. Rodriguez · J. LopezRodriguez · LopezB74 90 78▼▼-9@trip 10320-1Fair 20-15%
▼▼ Big drop -974 90 78@trip 103B★ Best at the trip 103Card model 5% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #5 · Tier B · Form ▼▼ Big drop -9 · Best fig at today's trip 103 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 74 90 78
★ Best at the trip 103Jockey Leonardo Rodriguez 34% career 6-for-57 on dirt this meet (11%) · Trainer Jose U Lopez 26% career 7-for-37 on dirt this meet (19%)Beaten 2¾ lengths for 10th in a 10-horse $20,000 claiming race at EVD.
PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 171d agoRECORD 1 win, 1 on the board from 4 starts hereRECORD Leonardo Rodriguez from post 9 here: 1 win, 16 top-3 in 32 rides · 13% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/7 EVD 1.36364f D Clm 20k n2l 10th/10 -2¾L 74 13-1 b L Broke out; outrun 8/29 GIL 1f D sAlw16500n1y 3rd/8 -2L 90 22-1 b L Bumped twice solid ral 7/18 RET 1½f D Alw n2l 9th/10 -3L 78 19-1 b L Bumped; no threat 10Runaway FreighttrainJ. Rodriguez · K. RobertsRodriguez · RobertsB86 80 83▲+5≡@trip 868-1Fair 12-18%
▲ Up +5 · career best86 80 83 ≡@trip 86BCard model 8% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #7 · Tier B · Form ▲ Up +5 · career best · ≡ Steady figures 80–86 · Best fig at today's trip 86 (7 tries) · Last 3 figs 86 80 83
Jockey Jose Ariel Rodriguez 34% career 2-for-35 on dirt this meet (6%) · Trainer Kenneth Roberts 24% career 5-for-36 on dirt this meet (14%)Also today · Jockey R1: Jess Catch This 5-1 · Trainer R4: Mansa Musaa 8-5, R6: Wild Blood Fortunes 8-1, R7: San Lorenzo N Black 4-160D LAYOFF★ FASTEST WORK2/3 board hereA big drop, allowance to $20,000 claiming, and worth asking why. 119 days since the last start, so it needs the works to say it's ready.
PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.WORKS SHARP 1f in :11.80 on Apr 28 was the best time at that distance that morning; 1 work in 30dRECORD 1 win, 2 on the board from 3 starts hereRECORD Jose Ariel Rodriguez from post 10 here: 5 wins, 22 top-3 in 59 rides · 12% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 7/3 DED 1f D sAlw26000n2l 9th/10 -1¼L 86 20-1 b L No real threat 12/11 EVD 1.13636f D Alw n2l 5th/10 by nk 80 9.0-1 b L No late kick 11/22 EVD 1.13636f D sAlw19500n2l 3rd/6 by nk 83 6.5-1 b L Dueled; weakened
▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: hard to project, too many first-time starters.
How to read these marks
- 1 2 3
- Our top three by the card model's win chance. Tap “Our order” to sort by it.
- Win %, Fair
- The card model's chance to win, and the odds that chance works out to with no takeout. Fair is green when the model rates the horse above its morning line (the line scaled to add up to 100%).
- Tier A B C ?
- The field ranked on recent speed figures and the morning line together: A = top three, B = next three, C = the rest, ? = no figures yet.
- 71 60 72
- Last three speed figures, newest first. “@trip 75” = best figure at today's distance (within 30 yards) on this surface.
- ▲▲ ▲ ► ▼ ▼▼
- Form: last figure against the average of the three before it. ▲ = up 3 or more, ▲▲ = up 8 or more, ► = within 3, ▼ / ▼▼ = down. The number is the difference.
- ≡ ↕
- ≡ steady: the last four figures sit close together. ↕ up-and-down: they swing widely.
- ★
- Best figure in the field at today's distance and surface, from two or more tries, not tied. When that horse isn't in our top three it gets a “Distance horse” note above the field.
- ▲ ▼ chips
- Handicapping angles for or against the horse. LS = longshot read: 8-1 or more on the morning line and the model rates it higher than that line.
These marks describe the past performances. None of them is proven to beat the odds: in our test of 100 handicapping angles, nothing did better than the final odds, and the morning-line favourite wins more races than our top-ranked horse. Read them as notes, not as a reason to bet.
Race conditions and our readpace, conditions, story
EVANGELINE DOWNS · RACE 3
UPCOMINGClaiming $20,000
Claiming $20,000, for 3-year-olds and up, that have not won two races lifetime.
Claiming race — every starter can be bought for the claiming price out of the race, so owners risk losing a horse that's clearly best. That keeps the field evenly matched on ability.
● Breed: Quarter Horse
● Track record at 220 Yards: 11.52
The shape is the story here: the early pace looks honest rather than contested — expect a fairly run race where class and trip decide it, not pace collapse.
Our number tops on #4 Imperial Wagon Train (a tactical type, M/L 6-1). Recent figures: 89 · 88 · 83. It hit the board last time and stays in form. Backup is #6 One Big Storm at 5-2. Use #2 Wagon My Detail in exotic structures.
What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.
At a glance: model vs the morning line
At a glance
- Market favourite #6 ONE BIG STORM (5-2) — our number has it ranked #2.
- #6 ONE BIG STORM — our #2 number, about right at the windows (21.9% to their 22.0%).
- #1 SHEZADASHINCARTEL — our #8 number, about right at the windows (18.1% to their 19.3%).
- #2 WAGON MY DETAIL — our #3 number, about right at the windows (12.7% to their 12.9%).
Model vs the morning line
- The model and the morning line roughly agree on this field.
Pacewho goes to the front
Pace
Pace Vacuum. No real early speed. Whoever shows up first is likely uncontested. Pressers benefit.
and works against #1 Shezadashincartel, #2 Wagon My Detail, #3 Be Bayou.
Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.
Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse
Closing Kick · late-pace figure
Bet types offeredwager menu
Bet types
Wagers offered on this race.
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PICK 5 (RACES 3-4-5-6-7-)
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