R4 Evangeline Downs · Maiden Claiming $5,000

1. 1Some Royal CharlatanR. Hernandez · D. HodaHernandez · HodaC56 66 66▼-5@trip 6620-1Fair 20-15%▼ Down -556 66 66@trip 66C

   Card model 5% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #9 · Tier C · Form ▼ Down -5 · Best fig at today's trip 66 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 56 66 66

   Jockey Rene Hernandez 38% career 3-for-63 on dirt this meet (5%) · Trainer Danny Hoda 31% career 3-for-19 on dirt this meet (16%) ★ hot

   Also today · Jockey R2: Rh La Diva 15-1, R5: Jp Fast Dash 8-5, R6: Cherub Rock 12-1, R7: Meagans Huckleberry 5-2 · Trainer R7: Meagans Huckleberry 5-2

   CLASS UP

   Drops from maiden claiming $10,000 to maiden claiming $5,000. Ranks first in the field on Brisnet Prime Power.

   PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.

   WORKS Routine prep: 0 works in 30d, last 111d ago

   RECORD Rene Hernandez from post 1 here: 5 wins, 17 top-3 in 57 rides · 11% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/15	EVD	1.81818f D	sMd10000	8th/9 -2¾L	56	36-1	b L	Brk in; bmp; weakened
   8/22	DED	1.59091f D	sMd5000	7th/9 -4½L	66	52-1	b L	Bobbled; no threat
   7/23	DED	1½f D	MCL 5k	5th/8 -1½L	66	33-1	b L	Mild try; evenly

2. 2Give Them No ChoiceP. Espinosa · J. EstradaEspinosa · EstradaB71 70 67▲+7@trip 7115-1Fair 15-16%▲ Up +7 · career best71 70 67@trip 71B

   Card model 6% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #4 · Tier B · Form ▲ Up +7 · career best · Best fig at today's trip 71 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 71 70 67

   Jockey Pedro Chavarria Espinosa 25% career 7-for-54 on dirt this meet (13%) · Trainer Jose Estrada 26% career 1-for-6 on dirt this meet

   Also today · Jockey R1: Jess Check Moonin 8-5, R5: Ella De Cos 20-1, R7: San Lorenzo N Black 4-1 · Trainer this race: Mp Jess Deluxe 6-1

   CLASS DROP

   Changes barns, from Jose R Estrada to Jose Estrada. 6th last time, 1 length back, in a field of 9.

   PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.

   TROUBLED TRIP Stumbled; good try last out; the speed figure already reflects it.

   WORKS Steady, unremarkable work pattern: 0 works in 30d, last 105d back

   RECORD Pedro Chavarria Espinosa from post 2 here: 6 wins, 16 top-3 in 32 rides · 16% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/7	EVD	1½f D	fsMd5000	6th/9 -1L	71	8.9-1	b L	Stumbled; good try
   8/22	DED	1.59091f D	MCL 10k	6th/8 -1¾L	70	24-1	b L	Mild early try; faded
   6/5	DED	1.13636f D	fsMd15000	6th/9 -4L	67	34-1	b L	Late interest

3. 3Mp Jess DeluxeR. Cabrera · J. EstradaCabrera · EstradaA75 62 51▲▲+21↕@trip 756-1Fair 7-112%▲▲ Big jump +21 · career best75 62 51 ↕@trip 75A3

   Card model 12% · Fair odds 7-1 · Our #3 · Tier A · Form ▲▲ Big jump +21 · career best · ↕ Up-and-down figures 49–75 · Best fig at today's trip 75 (4 tries) · Last 3 figs 75 62 51

   Jockey Rolando Cabrera 33% career 4-for-59 on dirt this meet (7%) · Trainer Jose Estrada 26% career 1-for-6 on dirt this meet

   Also today · Jockey R3: Five Valiant 15-1, R5: One Dashin Esperanza 5-1, R7: Swiftie 7-2 · Trainer this race: Give Them No Choice 15-1

   Figures are climbing: 51, 62, 75 over its last three. Jose Estrada takes over the training from Jose R Estrada.

   PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.

   WORKS Average work schedule for this field (0 works in 30d, last 100d ago)

   RECORD Rolando Cabrera from post 3 here: 4 wins, 17 top-3 in 51 rides · 12% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/7	EVD	1½f D	fsMd5000	3rd/9 -½L	75	44-1	L	Late push
   8/21	DED	1.59091f D	sMd5000	5th/10 -4½L	62	69-1	L	Mild bid; evenly
   6/10	DED	1.36364f D	MCL 7k	8th/10 -4¾L	51	21-1	L	Showed little

4. 4LuvstoriL. Constantin · W. ThomasConstantin · ThomasB66 65 74▼▼-8@trip 7410-1Fair 10-110%▼▼ Big drop -866 65 74@trip 74B2

   Card model 10% · Fair odds 10-1 · Our #2 · Tier B · Form ▼▼ Big drop -8 · Best fig at today's trip 74 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 66 65 74

   Jockey Lucas Constantin 23% career 1-for-28 on dirt this meet (4%) · Trainer William B Thomas 36% career 0-for-4 on dirt this meet

   Also today · Jockey R1: Dukes Heir 12-1, R2: Nuclear Bomb 7-2, R6: Ekg Shez Fabulous 5-1, R7: Daddys First 10-1 · Trainer R1: Dukes Heir 12-1

   Best Brisnet figure in the field over its last five: 82, with 81 next best. Winless in 5 starts at this distance.

   PACE CHALLENGE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.

   WORKS Routine prep: 0 works in 30d, last 160d ago

   RECORD Lucas Constantin from post 4 here: 1 win, 5 top-3 in 17 rides · 10% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/7	EVD	1½f D	fsMd5000	8th/9 -1¼L	66	6.2-1	b L	No threat
   8/22	DED	1.59091f D	sMd5000	8th/9 -3½L	65	3.2-1	b L	Bobbled;early try;fade
   7/24	DED	1.13636f D	fsMd10000	6th/10 -2L	74	4.7-1	b L	Broke out; even try

5. 5Ss Apollo RoadLSU. Luna · R. VidanaLuna · VidanaC59 40 42▲▲+18@trip 5920-1Fair 20-15%▲▲ Big jump +18 · career best59 40 42@trip 59CLS

   Card model 5% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #7 · Tier C · Form ▲▲ Big jump +18 · career best · Best fig at today's trip 59 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 59 40 42

   LS

   Longshot read: 20-1 on the morning line, and the model has it at 5% against a line of 4%. A read, not a bet.

   Jockey Ubaldo Luna 34% career 9-for-63 on dirt this meet (14%) · Trainer Rene Saias Vidana 16% career 2-for-8 on dirt this meet (25%)

   Also today · Jockey R1: Buckle Up Blue 7-2, R5: Easee Win 15-1, R7: Bugs Gone Rogue 15-1

   60D LAYOFF

   Gets a new rider, Ubaldo Luna replacing J R Ramirez. New trainer: Danny Hoda had it last time, Rene Saias Vidana now.

   PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.

   WORKS SHARP One of the busier work schedules here: 1 work in 30d, last 17d ago

   RECORD Ubaldo Luna from post 5 here: 12 wins, 31 top-3 in 67 rides · 13% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   8/21	DED	1.59091f D	sMd5000	6th/10 -5¾L	59	23-1	b L	Broke in;late interest
   7/18	DED	1.13636f D	sMdSpWt	8th/8 -4½L	40	26-1	b L	Hesitated st; no bid
   5/23	DED	1½f D	sMdSpWt	7th/8 -8¾L	42	45-1	b L	Awkward st; no bid

6. 6Mda Spicy RiptideF. Garcia · F. JimenezGarcia · JimenezC53 54@trip 5420-1Fair 30-14%—53 54@trip 54C

   Card model 4% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #10 · Tier C · Best fig at today's trip 54 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 53 54

   Jockey Flavio Garcia 33% career 0-for-7 on dirt this meet · Trainer Fidencio L Jimenez 23% career 0-for-7 on dirt this meet

   60D LAYOFF

   Back after 168 days away; fitness is the question and the works are the evidence. The longest gap in the field. Was running in maiden claiming $7,500; today's maiden claiming $5,000 is an easier level on paper.

   PACE CHALLENGE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.

   WORKS Average work schedule for this field (0 works in 30d, last 56d ago)

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   5/15	DED	1.36364f D	MCL 7k	7th/8 -3¼L	53	10-1	b	Broke out; drifted out
   4/30	DED	1½f D	fsFutTrl10000	9th/9 -7¼L	54	87-1	b	Never a threat

7. 7Mansa Musaa▼L. Palomo · K. RobertsPalomo · RobertsA74 81 17▲▲+23↕@trip 748-5Fair 7-222%▲▲ Big jump +2374 81 17 ↕@trip 74A▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (74 vs 81)

   Card model 22% · Fair odds 7-2 · Our #8 · Tier A · Form ▲▲ Big jump +23 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 17–81 · Best fig at today's trip 74 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 74 81 17

   ▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (74 vs 81)

   Jockey Leonardo Palomo 8-for-51 on dirt this meet (16%) · Trainer Kenneth Roberts 24% career 5-for-36 on dirt this meet (14%)

   Also today · Jockey R2: Rustic Chic 12-1, R3: Senoritas Candy Can 12-1, R6: Wild Blood Fortunes 8-1 · Trainer R3: Runaway Freighttrain 8-1, R6: Wild Blood Fortunes 8-1, R7: San Lorenzo N Black 4-1

   ★ FASTEST WORK

   Class relief: maiden claiming $10,000 last time, maiden claiming $5,000 today. Beaten ½ length for 4th in a 10-horse maiden claiming $10,000 race at EVD.

   PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.

   WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Jun 27 (1F in :11.60), 1 work in 30d

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/14	EVD	1.36364f D	MCL 10k	4th/10 -½L	74	5.0-1	b L	Late kick
   7/10	DED	1f D	sMd10000	4th/9	81	18-1	b L	Dueled early; hung
   6/3	DED	1.13636f D	sMdSpWt	8th/9 -8¼L	17	16-1	b L	Bumped; no rally

8. 8A Fabulous MoonA. Ochoa · D. LondonOchoa · LondonC61 55 69▼-4@trip 7112-1Fair 12-17%▼ Down -461 55 69@trip 71C

   Card model 7% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #5 · Tier C · Form ▼ Down -4 · Best fig at today's trip 71 (5 tries) · Last 3 figs 61 55 69

   Jockey Alejandro Ochoa 26% career 1-for-9 on dirt this meet (11%) · Trainer Dondrick London 14% career 4-for-10 on dirt this meet (40%), #1 of 42

   Also today · Jockey R7: Dlj Ms Piloto 8-1 · Trainer R7: Dlj Ms Piloto 8-1

   CLASS UP

   Maiden through 6 starts. 0 for 6 at today's distance.

   PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.

   WORKS Average work schedule for this field (0 works in 30d, last 203d ago)

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/15	EVD	1.81818f D	sMd10000	6th/9 -2L	61	13-1	b L	Improve position
   8/21	DED	1.59091f D	sMd5000c	8th/10 -5¾L	55	5.6-1	b L	Bump; mild try; faded
   7/23	DED	1½f D	MCL 5k	3rd/7 -1½L	69	1.6-1	b L	Late try; up for show

9. 9Special Ivory KissesR. Edison Jr. · A. Adame Jr.Edison Jr. · Adame Jr.A73 75 67▲+3≡@trip 759-2Fair 6-114%▲ Up +373 75 67 ≡@trip 75A1

   Card model 14% · Fair odds 6-1 · Our #1 · Tier A · Form ▲ Up +3 · ≡ Steady figures 67–75 · Best fig at today's trip 75 (4 tries) · Last 3 figs 73 75 67

   Jockey Randy Jr Edison 20% career 11-for-72 on dirt this meet (15%) · Trainer Andres Jr Adame 0-for-6 on dirt this meet

   Also today · Jockey R2: Brookes Golden Girl 9-2, R3: Shezadashincartel 3-1, R5: Pyc Socialite 6-1

   CLASS DROP

   New trainer: Luis R Jr Martinez had it last time, Andres Jr Adame now. Worked 1F in :11.80 on Sep 9, 2nd of 12 at the distance.

   PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.

   WORKS Average work schedule for this field (0 works in 30d, last 51d ago)

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/7	EVD	1½f D	fsMd5000	4th/9 by nk	73	4.2-1	b L	Outkicked
   7/16	DED	1.59091f D	MCL 10k	4th/9 -¾L	75	12-1	b L	Even effort
   6/3	DED	1.13636f D	sMd10000	4th/9 by hd	67	1.7-1	b L	Broke in; duel;hung

10. 10Streakin Gold EagleN. Castaneda · G. GonzalezCastaneda · GonzalezB59 67 69▼-5@trip 697-2Fair 6-114%▼ Down -559 67 69@trip 69B

    Card model 14% · Fair odds 6-1 · Our #6 · Tier B · Form ▼ Down -5 · Best fig at today's trip 69 (5 tries) · Last 3 figs 59 67 69

    Jockey Noe Castaneda 33% career 9-for-46 on dirt this meet (20%), #2 of 23 · Trainer Gilberto Gonzalez 31% career 1-for-13 on dirt this meet (8%) ★ hot

    Also today · Jockey R2: Harvest Gold 6-1, R3: Imperial Wagon Train 6-1, R5: Mucho Man Route 3-1

    CLASS DROP

    Trending the wrong way on speed, 69 to 67 to 59. Finished 8th in a 9-horse maiden claiming $10,000 race at EVD, beaten 1¼ lengths.

    PACE CHALLENGE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.

    WORKS Steady, unremarkable work pattern: 0 works in 30d, last 217d back

    Last three races

    Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
    10/9	EVD	1.13636f D	MCL 10k	8th/9 -1¼L	59	13-1	b L	Not a factor
    8/20	DED	1.81818f D	sMd20000	7th/10 -3½L	67	29-1	b L	No real threat
    7/10	DED	1.36364f D	sMd20000	8th/10 -3½L	69	22-1	b L	Drift in;showed little

▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: hard to project, too many first-time starters.