R4 Gulfstream Park · Maiden Claiming $25,000

1. 1Power Royal▼R. Rojas · F. SantillanaRojas · SantillanaB53 5820-1Fair 20-15%—53 58B▼ Best fig 58 is 5+ under today's par 79

   Card model 5% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #5 · Tier B · Last 3 figs 53 58

   ▼ Best fig 58 is 5+ under today's par 79

   Jockey Renzo Rojas 30% career 0-for-5 on dirt this meet · Trainer Frank Santillana 18% career 0-for-1 on dirt this meet

   Also today · Jockey R2: Never Say Never 15-1 · Trainer R2: Never Say Never 15-1

   Jky 6/66 from post 1

   Switches from turf to dirt. A 58 is the high figure lately, short of the 79 par.

   PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.

   WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 1 work in 30d and the last 20 days ago

   RECORD Renzo Rojas from post 1 here: 6 wins, 21 top-3 in 66 rides · 5% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   9/27	GP	1m T	MCL 25k	6th/7 -6¼L	53	24-1		Press bween;gv way
   8/30	GP	1 1/16 D	MSW	7th/8 -7½L	58	53-1		Shuffled 5/8;brief bid

2. 2Astrogem▼Y. Torres · J. D'AngeloTorres · D'AngeloA64 68 54▲+35-2Fair 4-121%▲ Up +364 68 54A▼ Best fig 68 is 5+ under today's par 792

   Card model 21% · Fair odds 4-1 · Our #2 · Tier A · Form ▲ Up +3 · Last 3 figs 64 68 54

   ▼ Best fig 68 is 5+ under today's par 79

   Jockey Yolber Torres 32% career 3-for-25 on dirt this meet (12%) · Trainer Jose Francisco D'Angelo 37% career 7-for-37 on dirt this meet (19%)

   Also today · Jockey R1: Starship Excelsior 9-2, R6: Philipina A 30-1 · Trainer R1: Starship Excelsior 9-2, R6: Philipina A 30-1, R6: Casablanca Queen 8-1

   CLASS DROP3 WORKS IN 30 DAYSJky 18/111 from post 2

   Best Brisnet figure in the field over its last five: 68, with 67 next best. 2nd last time, 2½ lengths back, in a field of 5.

   PACE CHALLENGE Early speed in a crowded front end; somebody gets worn down. (early-speed points: 4)

   WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 3 works in 30d and the last 7d back

   RECORD 0 wins, 1 on the board from 3 starts here

   RECORD Yolber Torres from post 2 here: 18 wins, 42 top-3 in 111 rides · 10% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   9/13	GP	5½f D	MCL 17k	2nd/5 -2½L	64	3.2-1	b	Bid 5/16;outpaced 3/16
   7/25	GP	5f T	MCL 35k	4th/5 -4L	68	4.0-1	b	Took back;no rally
   5/22	GP	5f D	MSW	7th/7 -12L	54	26-1	b	Failed to menace

3. 3Subtle Sir▼J. Santos · N. PalmerSantos · PalmerA68 627-2Fair 3-124%—68 62A▼ Best fig 68 is 5+ under today's par 791

   Card model 24% · Fair odds 3-1 · Our #1 · Tier A · Last 3 figs 68 62

   ▼ Best fig 68 is 5+ under today's par 79

   Jockey Jonathan Santos 32% career 5-for-35 on dirt this meet (14%) · Trainer Nicholas Palmer 23% career 0-for-2 on dirt this meet

   Also today · Jockey R2: Zozan 9-5, R5: Valiant Winter 10-1 · Trainer R1: Grant Me Peace 5-2, R6: Liberty Rings 8-1

   60D LAYOFF

   Was running in maiden special weight; today's maiden claiming $25,000 is an easier level on paper. A longer trip: 5 furlongs last out, 7 furlongs today.

   PACE CHALLENGE One of several that want the lead, so the early work will cost something. (early-speed points: 4)

   WORKS Average work schedule for this field (2 works in 30d, last 6d ago)

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   8/15	GP	5f D	MSW	3rd/6 -3L	68	32-1	b	Stalked; no threat
   8/1	GP	5f T	MSW	5th/5 -4¾L	62	7.8-1	b	Off slow;no factor

4. 4Slew De Oro▼LSE. Perez · P. GarciaPerez · GarciaB41 59 63▼▼-22↕15-1Fair 12-17%▼▼ Big drop -2241 59 63 ↕B▼ Best fig 67 is 5+ under today's par 79LS

   Card model 7% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #4 · Tier B · Form ▼▼ Big drop -22 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 41–67 · Last 3 figs 41 59 63

   ▼ Best fig 67 is 5+ under today's par 79LS

   Longshot read: 15-1 on the morning line, and the model has it at 7% against a line of 5%. A read, not a bet.

   Jockey Edgar Perez 32% career 2-for-22 on dirt this meet (9%) · Trainer Pedro R Garcia 32% career 1-for-8 on dirt this meet (12%)

   Also today · Jockey R5: Carcone 2-1

   60D LAYOFF0/4 board here

   Pedro R Garcia takes over the training from Pedro Jr Garcia. Trending the wrong way on speed, 63 to 59 to 41.

   PACE CHALLENGE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.

   WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 1 work in 30d, last one 20d ago

   RECORD Not on the board in 4 starts here

   RECORD Edgar Perez from post 4 here: 19 wins, 89 top-3 in 215 rides · 10% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   8/31	GP	6f D	sMdSpWt	6th/6 -9L	41	22-1	b	Chased turn; faded
   8/10	GP	7½f T	sMdSpWt	6th/6 -4½L	59	19-1	b	Set pace; gave way
   7/13	GP	5f T	MSW	5th/6 -7L	63	19-1	b	Inside trip; stayed on

5. 5Our Willow▼D. Herrera · K. O'ConnellHerrera · O'ConnellB624-1Fair 8-111%—62B▼ Best fig 62 is 5+ under today's par 79

   Card model 11% · Fair odds 8-1 · Our #8 · Tier B · Last 3 figs 62

   ▼ Best fig 62 is 5+ under today's par 79

   Jockey Diego A Herrera 27% career 9-for-62 on dirt this meet (15%) · Trainer Kathleen O'Connell 32% career 0-for-9 on dirt this meet (0%)

   Also today · Jockey R1: Gustavia 8-1, R3: Daunting 9-5, R5: El Muheet 4-1, R6: Sucker For Looks 5-2 +4 more · Trainer this race: Mischief Holiday 15-1, R5: Love Hate 15-1

   Stretches out from 5½ furlongs to 7 furlongs. Moves up from maiden claiming $17,500 to maiden claiming $25,000.

   PACE CHALLENGE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.

   TROUBLED TRIP Ran into trouble last out (Chased 5wd; no bid), and the figure already reflects it.

   WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 1 work in 30d and the last 14 days ago

   RECORD Diego A Herrera from post 5 here: 15 wins, 31 top-3 in 71 rides · 20% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   9/13	GP	5½f D	MCL 17k	4th/5 -5½L	62	3.2-1	b	Chased 5wd; no bid

6. 6Mischief HolidayS. Leon · K. O'ConnellLeon · O'Connell?15-1Fair 20-14%—Debut?

   Card model 4% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #6 · Tier ?

   Jockey Sonny Leon 29% career 1-for-19 on dirt this meet (5%) · Trainer Kathleen O'Connell 32% career 0-for-9 on dirt this meet (0%)

   Also today · Jockey R1: Causeshzprecocious 8-1, R2: Seaver 9-2, R5: Love Hate 15-1 · Trainer this race: Our Willow 4-1, R5: Love Hate 15-1

   First career start, by Authentic out of Huntress Helena. This barn has 162 first-time starters on record and wins 15% of them.

   PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.

   WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 2 works in 30d, last 7d ago

   RECORD Sonny Leon from post 6 here: 8 wins, 29 top-3 in 90 rides · 11% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   First start. By Authentic out of Huntress Helena (Hear No Evil)

   Trainer K. O'Connell: 1st-time starters: 15% wins, 38% in the money (162 starts) · 2-year-olds: 14% wins, 40% in the money (181 starts)

   Jockey S. Leon in sprints: 45 wins from 270 (17%)

   Work	Trk	Dist	Time	How	Rank
   10/23	GP	5f	1:01.40	breezing	3/8	from gate
   10/12	GP	5f	1:01.80	breezing	4/8
   9/26	GP	5f	1:01.40	breezing	7/20	from gate
   9/12	GP	4f	:49.20	breezing	20/43
   8/29	GP	4f	:49.80	breezing	9/55

7. 7Tulio▼L. Reyes · F. GutierrezReyes · GutierrezA65 67 59▲▲+10↕2-1Fair 7-222%▲▲ Big jump +1065 67 59 ↕A▼ Best fig 67 is 5+ under today's par 793

   Card model 22% · Fair odds 7-2 · Our #3 · Tier A · Form ▲▲ Big jump +10 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 39–67 · Last 3 figs 65 67 59

   ▼ Best fig 67 is 5+ under today's par 79

   Jockey Leonel Reyes 30% career 9-for-64 on dirt this meet (14%) · Trainer Faustio Gutierrez 32% career 1-for-5 on dirt this meet

   Also today · Jockey R1: Vino 10-1, R2: King Of Hollywood 5-2, R3: Star Of The Gun 8-1, R5: Santal 10-1 +5 more

   Last race was on the turf; today it runs on the dirt. Beaten 1 length for 3rd in a 7-horse maiden claiming $25,000 race at GP.

   PACE CHALLENGE One of several that want the lead, so the early work will cost something. (early-speed points: 2)

   WORKS Routine prep: 2 works in 30d, last 7d ago

   RECORD Leonel Reyes from post 7 here: 44 wins, 132 top-3 in 299 rides · 13% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   9/27	GP	1m T	MCL 25k	3rd/7 -1L	65	3.1-1	b	Stalk;bid;not enough
   9/5	GP	7½f T	MCL 25k	3rd/8 by hd	67	4.3-1	b	Bid;duel; weakened
   8/14	CNL	1m T	MCL 30k	5th/10 -6½L	59	7.4-1	b	2p;swung4w; no rally

8. 8Don't Tell BertJ. Morelos · J. EnglerMorelos · Engler?12-1Fair 20-15%—Debut?

   Card model 5% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #7 · Tier ?

   Jockey Jose E Morelos 29% career 9-for-47 on dirt this meet (19%) · Trainer Jeff Engler 26% career 0-for-4 on dirt this meet

   Also today · Jockey R1: Olympic Kitty 20-1, R2: Noble Prince 10-1, R5: Araucano 6-1, R6: Chica Feliz 50-1 +3 more · Trainer R5: Araucano 6-1, R10: Bert's Knoty Girl 15-1

   First-time starter from a barn that wins 4% of the time with them (26 tried). There is gate work on its record, the latest on Oct 10.

   PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.

   WORKS SHARP One of the busier work schedules here: 3 works in 30d, last 7d ago

   RECORD Jose E Morelos from post 8 here: 15 wins, 45 top-3 in 158 rides · 11% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   First start. By Cyberknife out of Mia Karina (Jazil)

   Trainer J. Engler: 1st-time starters: 4% wins, 15% in the money (26 starts) · 2-year-olds: 11% wins, 35% in the money (62 starts)

   Jockey J. Morelos in sprints: 35 wins from 314 (11%)

   Work	Trk	Dist	Time	How	Rank
   10/23	PMM	4f	:48.80	breezing	17/40
   10/10	PMM	5f	1:04.20	breezing	2/2	from gate
   10/3	PMM	4f	:49.80	breezing	17/22	from gate
   9/26	PMM	4f	:50.00	breezing	41/49	from gate
   9/12	PMM	4f	:49.20	breezing	28/41

▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: hard to project, too many first-time starters.