INDIANA DOWNS · RACE 1
UPCOMINGClaiming $5,000
Claiming $5,000, for 3-year-olds and up.
Claiming race — every starter can be bought for the claiming price out of the race, so owners risk losing a horse that's clearly best. That keeps the field evenly matched on ability.
● Track record at 5 1/2 Furlongs: 61.58
The shape is the story here: the early pace looks honest rather than contested — expect a fairly run race where class and trip decide it, not pace collapse.
Our number tops on #5 Sound Doctrine (early speed, M/L 9-2). Recent figures: 77 · 61 · 83. Backup is #3 Follow The Money at 10-1. Use #4 Rocket Hoss in exotic structures.
What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.
The field, ranked
Our order, top to bottom.
Joseph D Ramos takes over from Joshua Morales in the saddle. A big drop, $12,500 claiming to $5,000 claiming, and worth asking why.
154 days since the last start, the longest layoff in here, so it needs the works to say it's ready. Best Brisnet figure in the field over its last five: 84, with 83 next best.
Was running in $12,500 claiming; today's $5,000 claiming is an easier level on paper. Has moved up each time out, 69 to 75 to 76.
Last start was a win, in a 6-horse $5,000 claiming race at IND at 1.4-1. Figures are climbing: 61, 63, 74 over its last three.
Comes in off a victory in a 5-horse $6,250 claiming race at BTP. Dropped in well back early last out, 5th of 5 at the first call.
Shortens up to 5½ furlongs after going a mile. A 68 is the high figure lately, short of the 80 par.
Back to 5½ furlongs off a 1 1/16 miles race. Carries 112 pounds, 4 less than last time.
Freshened 107 days. Watch how its recent works look. Needs to move up: the best of its last five is 67 against a 80 par.
Class relief: $7,500 claiming last time, $5,000 claiming today. Winner of a 7-horse $7,500 claiming race at IND last time.
At a glance
- Market favourite #1 MY BOSSY LADY (3-1) — our number has it ranked #4.
- #1 MY BOSSY LADY — our #4 number, about right at the windows (20.5% to their 20.4%).
- #5 SOUND DOCTRINE — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (16.9% to their 14.8%).
- #2 DREAMING SMART — our #9 number, about right at the windows (15.3% to their 18.1%).
Value read
- Longshot value: #3 FOLLOW THE MONEY (10-1) — our fair 8.7% is above the morning line's 7.4%; needs the trip to fall right.
Pace
Pressed Pace. Speed under pressure from multiple pressers. Likely honest pace, slight closer benefit.
Likely leader: #5 Sound Doctrine; pressure from #7 Tay, #2 Dreaming Smart; the shape helps #1 My Bossy Lady, #2 Dreaming Smart, #3 Follow The Money; and works against #5 Sound Doctrine, #7 Tay.
Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.
Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse
Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners
Closing Kick · late-pace figure
How to play it
How we'd structure it from our ranking + pace read — an honest, pressed pace rewards the best horse — key tickets fit. Structures and logic only; the stake is yours.
Win / Place
#5 Sound Doctrine (place saver: #3 Follow The Money)
#5 Sound Doctrine rates the best; #3 Follow The Money the logical insurance if you want to be covered.
Exacta — BOX
#5 Sound Doctrine · #3 Follow The Money
Two standouts with little between them — box #5 Sound Doctrine and #3 Follow The Money both ways.
Trifecta — BOX
#5 Sound Doctrine · #3 Follow The Money · #4 Rocket Hoss
Box the top three for any 1-2-3 order; add a 4th only if the field is wide open.
Superfecta — KEY
#5 Sound Doctrine / #3 Follow The Money · #4 Rocket Hoss · #1 My Bossy Lady · #6 Furious Anger / #3 Follow The Money · #4 Rocket Hoss · #1 My Bossy Lady · #6 Furious Anger / ALL or #3 Follow The Money · #4 Rocket Hoss · #1 My Bossy Lady · #6 Furious Anger
Deep enough field to spread a super — key the top, spread the next few, fill 4th wide.
Bet types offered at this track →
DAILY DOUBLE / EXACTA / TRIFECTA / 50 CENT TRIFECTA / SUPERFECTA
10 CENT SUPERFECTA / 50 CENT PICK 3 (RACES 1-2-3)