INDIANA DOWNS · RACE 1
UPCOMINGClaiming $5,000
Claiming $5,000, for 3-year-olds and up.
Claiming race — every starter can be bought for the claiming price out of the race, so owners risk losing a horse that's clearly best. That keeps the field evenly matched on ability.
● Track record at 6 Furlongs: 67.59
The shape is the story here: there's little established early speed, so a tactical horse can control soft fractions up front and prove hard to run down.
Our number tops on #4 Chiringo (a presser/stalker, M/L 5-1). Recent figures: 71 · 69 · 69. It hit the board last time and stays in form. Backup is #5 Luckies Joy at 3-1. Use #10 Saint In The City in exotic structures.
What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.
The field, ranked
Our order, top to bottom.
Last out was 3rd, 3 lengths behind the winner, in a 12-horse $5,000 claiming race at IND. A 85-day gap since its last race.
New trainer: John Haran had it last time, Genaro Garcia now. Trending the wrong way on speed, 81 to 66 to 63.
Owns the highest recent figure here at 83. Figures have slipped: 82, 78, 45 over its last three.
Drops from $12,500 claiming to $5,000 claiming. Prime Power, the Brisnet rating, puts it on top of this field.
Was running in $6,250 claiming; today's $5,000 claiming is an easier level on paper. Was 5th of 6 at the first call last time.
Goes 6 furlongs after running 5 furlongs last time. Posted the fastest 3F work of the morning on Jun 26, in :36.20.
Best recent figure is 72, well under the 80 par for this level. Figures are climbing: 65, 66, 72 over its last three.
Back after 134 days away; fitness is the question and the works are the evidence. The longest gap in the field. 2nd last time, 2½ lengths back, in a field of 8.
Class relief: optional claiming last time, $5,000 claiming today. Sheds 7 pounds from its last start.
Won last out in a 4-horse maiden claiming $7,500 race at CBY. Needs to move up: the best of its last five is 71 against a 80 par.
At a glance
- Market favourite #5 LUCKIES JOY (3-1) — our number has it ranked #2.
- #5 LUCKIES JOY — our #2 number, about right at the windows (19.7% to their 18.9%).
- #6 GIMMEETHREESTEPS — our #5 number, about right at the windows (16.0% to their 16.8%).
- #4 CHIRINGO — our top number on the card, and the board's letting him go too cheap — we make him 15.1%, they've got 12.6%.
Model vs the morning line
- #4 CHIRINGO — we make it 15.1%, the morning line works out to 12.6%. That gap is the model's opinion, not a price; pools pay the final odds, and on our records these gaps haven't paid off.
Pace
Pressed Pace. Speed under pressure from multiple pressers. Likely honest pace, slight closer benefit.
Likely leader: #5 Luckies Joy; pressure from #2 Mr. Sensei, #10 Saint In The City; the shape helps #1 Me And Chili, #2 Mr. Sensei, #4 Chiringo; and works against #5 Luckies Joy.
Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.
Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse
Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners
Closing Kick · late-pace figure
Bet types
Wagers offered on this race.
DAILY DOUBLE / EXACTA / TRIFECTA / 50 CENT TRIFECTA / SUPERFECTA
10 CENT SUPERFECTA / 50 CENT PICK 3 (RACES 1-2-3)
BET OPTIONS
WinPlaceShowExactaTrifectaSuperfecta