IND · Wednesday, October 28, 2026 · TBredIQ

● Track conditions today

Indiana Downs — today's signals

Surface read

±0.93s MODERATE

Surface moves a moderate amount day to day — we apply the daily variant so figures stay comparable across the meet.

day-to-day swing · 175 race-days sampled

Weather

Unavailable

No forecast for this track right now — surface read defaults to the listed condition.

Carryover pool

None today

No mandatory or jackpot carryover detected at this track. Standard pools today.

Do the model's percentages hold up?

Mostly

Across finished races the model's win chances mostly match how often its picks win, but its most confident picks win a few points less than it says. The morning-line favourite still wins more often than the model's top pick.

checked against 2,848 finished races · as of 2026-06-06

TRACK BIAS · WIN % BY POST

Best post #1 (12%) · Rail helps

Even by post — inside 11% / outside 8%. Bars show each post’s win rate vs the track average over 31,618 starts.

Where the model is most sure

Three highest model win %.

The three races where the model's top pick has its highest win chance, with the morning line beside it. Most of these are the favourite too. Tap for the full race.

R2 · 6 Furlongs Dirt

#5 Deep Blue

Serpa Angel · Robson Lauren

R3 · 1 1/16 Miles Turf

#6 Royal Justice

De La Cruz Fernando · West Aaron M

R5 · 1 1/16 Miles Turf

#6 Turn Him Loose

Jimenez Carlos · Lopez Juan A

Top connections on the card

Trainers + jockeys to watch.

Trainer leaderboard

Garcia Genaro3 top picks
West Aaron M2 top picks
Robson Lauren1 top picks
Gorham Robert M1 top picks
Waltz Brian1 top picks

Jockey leaderboard

De La Cruz Fernando3 top picks
Sanjur Santo3 top picks
Mendoza Amir2 top picks
Prescott R2 top picks
Lara Victor1 top picks

Multi-race wagers

Today's sequences, leg by leg.

Every Daily Double and Pick 3/4/5/6 on today's card, with the model's top pick in each leg, or its top two or three when the leg is close. A Pick N is one pari-mutuel pool: you need the winner of every leg, and the pool is split among the tickets that have them all. This is analysis, not a ticket or a staking plan.

Pick 3Races 1–3 · 50 CENT min

R1#4 Chiringo · #5 Luckies JoyClose: top 2

R2#5 Deep BlueTop pick

R3#6 Royal JusticeTop pick

The model’s read per leg, not a ticket.

Pick 3Races 2–4 · 50 CENT min

R2#5 Deep BlueTop pick

R3#6 Royal JusticeTop pick

R4#5 El AbeuloTop pick

The model’s read per leg, not a ticket.

Pick 4Races 2–5 · $1 min

R2#5 Deep BlueTop pick

R3#6 Royal JusticeTop pick

R4#5 El AbeuloTop pick

R5#6 Turn Him LooseTop pick

The model’s read per leg, not a ticket.

Pick 3Races 4–6 · 50 CENT min

R4#5 El AbeuloTop pick

R5#6 Turn Him LooseTop pick

R6#2 Takeitandrun · #1 Chicory Blaze · #6 Kingsbury RoadClose: top 3

The model’s read per leg, not a ticket.

Pick 3Races 5–7

R5#6 Turn Him LooseTop pick

R6#2 Takeitandrun · #1 Chicory Blaze · #6 Kingsbury RoadClose: top 3

R7#6 Itzforever · #10 Watcher · #3 Lil Gin N ClassClose: top 3

The model’s read per leg, not a ticket.

Pick 3Races 6–8 · 50 CENT min

R6#2 Takeitandrun · #1 Chicory Blaze · #6 Kingsbury RoadClose: top 3

R7#6 Itzforever · #10 Watcher · #3 Lil Gin N ClassClose: top 3

R8#2 PlotTop pick

The model’s read per leg, not a ticket.

Pick 3Races 7–9 · 50 CENT min

R7#6 Itzforever · #10 Watcher · #3 Lil Gin N ClassClose: top 3

R8#2 PlotTop pick

R9#8 Mg Perra · #9 Hh Bluemoonovrkntuky · #11 Burning KissClose: top 3

The model’s read per leg, not a ticket.

Pick 3Races 8–9 · 3 min

R8#2 PlotTop pick

R9#8 Mg Perra · #9 Hh Bluemoonovrkntuky · #11 Burning KissClose: top 3

The model’s read per leg, not a ticket.

Today's races

Race-by-race with archetype.

Each race is tagged with pace archetype (TACTICAL · SPEED DUEL · LONE SPEED · CLOSERS' RACE · PACE VACUUM · PRESSED PACE). Click any row for the full Verdict, Pace Shape, Full Field, Workouts, and Wagers.

6 Furlongs Dirt · Claiming $5,000

Purse $14,000 · 10 entered · Post 1:30 PM ET

PRESSED PACE

Model's top pick

#4 Chiringo

Mendoza Amir / Garcia Genaro

M/L

5-1

Model 17% · favourite is #5

6 Furlongs Dirt · State-Bred Allowance · $38,000 purse

Purse $38,000 · 7 entered · Post 2:02 PM ET

PRESSED PACE

Model's top pick

#5 Deep Blue

Serpa Angel / Robson Lauren

M/L

6-1

Model 25% · favourite is #4

1 1/16 Miles Turf · Optional Claiming $50,000

Purse $49,680 · 9 entered · Post 2:32 PM ET

PRESSED PACE

Model's top pick

#6 Royal Justice

De La Cruz Fernando / West Aaron M

M/L

2-1

Model 23% · agrees with the favourite

5 1/2 Furlongs Dirt · State-Bred Maiden Special Weight

Purse $38,500 · 13 entered · Post 3:03 PM ET

SPEED DUEL

Model's top pick

#5 El Abeulo

Burgos Alberto / Haran John

M/L

9-2

Model 19% · favourite is #11

1 1/16 Miles Turf · State-Bred Maiden Special Weight

Purse $38,500 · 9 entered · Post 3:33 PM ET

PRESSED PACE

Model's top pick

#6 Turn Him Loose

Jimenez Carlos / Lopez Juan A

M/L

7-2

Model 23% · favourite is #5

1 1/16 Miles Dirt · Strng Tide Handicap

Purse $55,000 · 7 entered · Post 4:04 PM ET

PRESSED PACE

Model's top pick

#2 Takeitandrun

De La Cruz Fernando / Eggleston Tim

M/L

5-2

Model 23% · favourite is #1

1 1/16 Miles Dirt · Frebll Bby Handicap

Purse $55,000 · 10 entered · Post 4:35 PM ET

SPEED DUEL

Model's top pick

#6 Itzforever

Sanjur Santo / Granitz Anthony J

M/L

3-1

Model 21% · favourite is #3

1 Mile Turf · Allowance · $46,240 purse

Purse $46,240 · 12 entered · Post 5:07 PM ET

PRESSED PACE

Model's top pick

#2 Plot

Ramos Joseph D / Drury Thomas Jr

M/L

4-1

Model 17% · favourite is #10

330 Yards Dirt · State-Bred Maiden Special Weight

Purse $18,000 · 14 entered · Post 5:36 PM ET

PACE VACUUM

Model's top pick

#8 Mg Perra

Martinez Luz Daniel / Cunningham Tony

M/L

3-1

Model 12% · favourite is #12

For information only — not financial or wagering advice. Must be 21+ to wager where required by law. If gambling is affecting you or someone you know, help is available.