R6 Indiana Downs · Maiden Claiming $7,500

★ Distance horse: #1 Buckeye Favorite (5-1) has the best figure in the field at today's distance and surface: 75 from 6 tries. Not in our top three.

1. 1Buckeye Favorite▼★C. Jimenez · R. MedinaJimenez · MedinaB53 58 66▼▼-12@trip 755-1Fair 10-110%▼▼ Big drop -1253 58 66@trip 75B▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (53 vs 58)★ Best at the trip 75

   Card model 10% · Fair odds 10-1 · Our #10 · Tier B · Form ▼▼ Big drop -12 · Best fig at today's trip 75 (6 tries) · Last 3 figs 53 58 66

   ▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (53 vs 58)★ Best at the trip 75

   Jockey Carlos Jimenez 34% career 0-for-1 on dirt this meet · Trainer Robert Medina 32% career 0-for-3 on dirt this meet ★ hot

   Also today · Trainer R8: Summer Date 6-1

   Class relief: maiden last time, maiden claiming $7,500 today. 11th last time, 13 lengths back, in a field of 12.

   PACE CHALLENGE Has to fight for the lead against company, and the fractions may cost it late. (early-speed points: 2)

   WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 41d ago

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   9/25	CD	6f D	MCL 30k	11th/12 -13L	53	11-1	L	4p;faded 5p btw 5/16
   2/7	OP	6f D	MCL 30k	5th/12 -9L	58	1.4-1	L	Rail-2p;cued3/8;evenly
   12/27	OP	6f D	Moc75000	7th/9 -7L	66	4.8-1		Steady fade inside

2. 2ChondriteM. Murrill · S. FosdickMurrill · FosdickA74 65 45▲▲+25↕@trip 743-1Fair 5-116%▲▲ Big jump +25 · career best74 65 45 ↕@trip 74A

   Card model 16% · Fair odds 5-1 · Our #4 · Tier A · Form ▲▲ Big jump +25 · career best · ↕ Up-and-down figures 37–74 · Best fig at today's trip 74 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 74 65 45

   Jockey Mitchell Murrill 29% career 8-for-46 on dirt this meet (17%) · Trainer Steve Fosdick 22% career 1-for-18 on dirt this meet (6%)

   Also today · Jockey R2: Endless Sky 6-1, R3: Maid Of Steel 8-5, R5: Guide Me Home 12-1, R7: Machts Nichts 20-1 · Trainer R2: Passionforwinning 25-1, R5: Thousand Byus 20-1, R7: Turbeau Man 5-1, R7: My Lunar Charm 5-1

   ★ FASTEST WORK

   Best Brisnet figure in the field over its last five: 74, with 72 next best. Has moved up each time out, 45 to 65 to 74.

   PACE CHALLENGE One of several that want the lead, so the early work will cost something. (early-speed points: 3)

   WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Oct 9 (3F in :35.00), 1 work in 30d

   RECORD 0 wins, 1 on the board from 6 starts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/14	IND	6f D	MCL 12k	2nd/7 by hd	74	5.3-1	L	Duel inside;outfinishd
   9/22	IND	5½f D	MCL 12k	4th/7 -6½L	65	49-1	b L	Stalked5p;no late bid
   9/2	IND	1m T	MCL 30k	11th/12 -24L	45	80-1	b L	Stalked early 4path

3. 3Optimistic Income▼▼S. Pauly · E. Moger Jr.Pauly · Moger Jr.C67 43 61▲▲+22↕@trip 438-1Fair 10-19%▲▲ Big jump +22 · career best67 43 61 ↕@trip 43C▼ Best fig 67 is 5+ under today's par 77▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance rises

   Card model 9% · Fair odds 10-1 · Our #5 · Tier C · Form ▲▲ Big jump +22 · career best · ↕ Up-and-down figures 30–67 · Best fig at today's trip 43 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 67 43 61

   ▼ Best fig 67 is 5+ under today's par 77▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance rises

   Jockey Summer Pauly 26% career 2-for-6 on dirt this meet · Trainer Ed Jr Moger 1-for-2 on dirt this meet

   Also today · Jockey R5: Gandy Dancer 6-1, R8: Catnip Hill 30-1

   Beaten 2 lengths for 2nd in a 3-horse maiden claiming $7,500 race at BTP. A longer trip: 5 furlongs last out, 6 furlongs today.

   PACE CHALLENGE One of several that want the lead, so the early work will cost something. (early-speed points: 6)

   WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 1 work in 30d, last 7d ago

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/7	BTP	5f D	MCL 7k	2nd/3 -2L	67	0.9-1	b L	Tracked 2p; 2nd best
   7/31	BTP	6f D	MCL 7k	4th/5 -4L	43	2.6-1	b L	Vied ins;wknd3/8;tired
   9/18	BTP	5f T	MCL 15k	3rd/9 -1½L	61	6.8-1	b L	Inside;outkicked

4. 4Greystar▼Y. Ortiz Jr. · S. ShafferOrtiz Jr. · ShafferB45 68 65▼▼-19↕@trip 604-1Fair 7-113%▼▼ Big drop -1945 68 65 ↕@trip 60B▼ Best fig 68 is 5+ under today's par 77

   Card model 13% · Fair odds 7-1 · Our #7 · Tier B · Form ▼▼ Big drop -19 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 45–68 · Best fig at today's trip 60 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 45 68 65

   ▼ Best fig 68 is 5+ under today's par 77

   Jockey Yomar Jr Ortiz 37% career 0-for-2 on dirt this meet · Trainer Sarah E Shaffer 28% career 0-for-6 on dirt this meet

   Also today · Trainer R3: Blueberry Betty 20-1

   Was running in maiden claiming $20,000; today's maiden claiming $7,500 is an easier level on paper. Still looking for the first win after 9 starts.

   PACE CHALLENGE Has to fight for the lead against company, and the fractions may cost it late. (early-speed points: 5)

   WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 1 work in 30d, last 8d ago

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/8	KEE	7f D	MCL 20k	9th/9 -16L	45	22-1	b L	Bmpd btw;2w;wknd 5/16
   9/14	IND	1m D	MCL 20k	2nd/7 by hd	68	10-1	b L	Dueled;clear;caught
   7/25	ELP	1m D	MCL 10k	2nd/9 -6L	65	15-1	L	4p;steady11/16;no mtch

5. 5Man of the Hour▼S. Sanjur · K. KinmonSanjur · KinmonB63 56 65►≡@trip 6510-1Fair 7-113%► Steady63 56 65 ≡@trip 65B▼ Best fig 65 is 5+ under today's par 771

   Card model 13% · Fair odds 7-1 · Our #1 · Tier B · Form ► Steady · ≡ Steady figures 56–65 · Best fig at today's trip 65 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 63 56 65

   ▼ Best fig 65 is 5+ under today's par 77

   Jockey Santo Sanjur 27% career 5-for-51 on dirt this meet (10%) · Trainer Keith Kinmon 22% career

   Also today · Jockey R1: Bertie's World 5-1, R4: Azteca Alegre 25-1, R7: Ready To Seize 8-1, R7: Fogonero 4-1

   3 WORKS IN 30 DAYS

   Needs to move up: the best of its last five is 65 against a 77 par. Finished 2nd in a 7-horse maiden special weight race at BTP, beaten 7 lengths.

   PACE HELPS Hot early fractions are likely, and that sets up a late run.

   WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 3 works in 30d and the last 6d back

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   9/26	BTP	6½f D	MSW	2nd/7 -7L	63	12-1	b L	2p btw 1/4;rally place
   8/22	BTP	1m D	MCL 5k	3rd/5 -½L	56	3.1-1	b L	Angled out;evenly late
   7/18	BTP	6f D	MCL 5k	2nd/6 -1½L	65	1.1-1	b L	Rail bid;rally place

6. 6Mr Weston▼S. Gonzalez · P. AndradeGonzalez · AndradeA68 69 52▲▲+13↕8-1Fair 10-19%▲▲ Big jump +1368 69 52 ↕A▼ Best fig 69 is 5+ under today's par 77

   Card model 9% · Fair odds 10-1 · Our #6 · Tier A · Form ▲▲ Big jump +13 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 44–69 · Last 3 figs 68 69 52

   ▼ Best fig 69 is 5+ under today's par 77

   Jockey Santiago Gonzalez 33% career 2-for-4 on dirt this meet · Trainer Pablo Andrade 25% career 1-for-2 on dirt this meet

   Worked 4F in :48.00 on Oct 3, 2nd of 12 at the distance. Last out was 2nd, 1½ lengths behind the winner, in an 8-horse maiden claiming $5,000 race at BTP.

   PACE CHALLENGE Has to fight for the lead against company, and the fractions may cost it late. (early-speed points: 5)

   WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (1 work in 30d, last 27d back)

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/8	BTP	6½f D	MCL 5k	2nd/8 -1½L	68	1.1-1	b L	Chase;3p;kept on
   7/30	BTP	5½f D	MCL 5k	2nd/6 -1L	69	20-1	b L	Close up ins;fendd off
   6/12	GP	5½f D	MCL 12k	6th/9 -19L	52	44-1	b L	Step slow; 3-4w turn

7. 7Gdoubleyou▼M. Fernandez · C. ContrerasFernandez · ContrerasA65 63 71►@trip 719-2Fair 6-114%► Steady65 63 71@trip 71A▼ Best fig 71 is 5+ under today's par 773

   Card model 14% · Fair odds 6-1 · Our #3 · Tier A · Form ► Steady · Best fig at today's trip 71 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 65 63 71

   ▼ Best fig 71 is 5+ under today's par 77

   Jockey Miguel Fernandez 29% career 2-for-4 on dirt this meet · Trainer Cipriano Contreras 36% career ★ 6-for-21 on dirt this meet (29%)

   Also today · Jockey R1: Momimosa 15-1, R4: Cyber Runner 8-1, R8: Lady Blast 15-1, R8: Little Ugh 25-1 · Trainer R1: Momimosa 15-1

   Last race was on the turf; today it runs on the dirt. Cuts back from 7½ furlongs to 6 furlongs.

   PACE CHALLENGE Early speed in a crowded front end; somebody gets worn down. (early-speed points: 1)

   WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 65 days ago

   RECORD 0 wins, 1 on the board from 3 starts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/8	IND	7½f T	MCL 30k	7th/10 -7½L	65	17-1	L	Stalked btw;gave way
   9/21	IND	1 1/16 D	MCL 30k	3rd/5 -6L	63	2.6-1	L	Chased3path;faded str
   9/2	IND	6f D	MSW	5th/9 -7L	71	7.8-1	L	6path;improved late

8. 8Hurricane ExpressLSB. Martinez · C. WinebaughMartinez · WinebaughC59 65 56►≡@trip 6320-1Fair 20-15%► Steady59 65 56 ≡@trip 63CLS

   Card model 5% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #8 · Tier C · Form ► Steady · ≡ Steady figures 56–65 · Best fig at today's trip 63 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 59 65 56

   LS

   Longshot read: 20-1 on the morning line, and the model has it at 5% against a line of 4%. A read, not a bet.

   Jockey Brody Martinez 33% career 0-for-2 on dirt this meet · Trainer Cheryl Winebaugh 26% career 0-for-2 on dirt this meet

   Also today · Jockey R2: Passionforwinning 25-1, R4: Get Hot Stay Hot 20-1

   CLASS DROP

   Maiden through 24 starts. Carries 117 pounds, 8 less than last time.

   PACE CHALLENGE Has to fight for the lead against company, and the fractions may cost it late. (early-speed points: 0)

   WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 72d back)

   RECORD 0 wins, 2 on the board from 5 starts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/8	BTP	6½f D	MCL 5k	3rd/8 -6½L	59	4.5-1	b L	Bmp brk;svgnd;chase on
   9/28	IND	1 1/16 T	MCL 12k	7th/12 -5½L	65	43-1	b L	Came in1/8;heels clipd
   9/3	IND	1m T	MCL 12k	11th/12 -12L	56	16-1	b L	Bid4p5/16;faltered

9. 9Start Out▼V. Lara · G. GarciaLara · GarciaC40 62 57▼▼-22↕@trip 6610-1Fair 10-19%▼▼ Big drop -2240 62 57 ↕@trip 66C▼ Best fig 66 is 5+ under today's par 772

   Card model 9% · Fair odds 10-1 · Our #2 · Tier C · Form ▼▼ Big drop -22 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 40–66 · Best fig at today's trip 66 (4 tries) · Last 3 figs 40 62 57

   ▼ Best fig 66 is 5+ under today's par 77

   Jockey Victor Lara 26% career ★ 7-for-31 on dirt this meet (23%), #1 of 40 · Trainer Genaro Garcia 32% career 16-for-87 on dirt this meet (18%)

   Also today · Jockey R7: Scenic Justice 10-1 · Trainer R1: Oxbabe 9-2, R5: Honor And Courage 15-1

   0 for 4 at today's distance. Dropped in well back early last out, 7th of 7 at the first call.

   PACE CHALLENGE One of several that want the lead, so the early work will cost something. (early-speed points: 5)

   WORKS Steady, unremarkable work pattern: 1 work in 30d, last 21d back

   RECORD 0 wins, 2 on the board from 5 starts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/14	IND	6f D	MCL 12k	7th/7 -12L	40	9.1-1	b L	Inside trip
   9/1	IND	6f D	MCL 12k	7th/8 -5L	62	6.9-1	b L	Clear;couldn't last
   8/19	IND	6f D	MCL 10k	4th/8 -1½L	57	4.9-1	b L	Led2path;gave way1/8

10. 10Golden Vale▼R. Prescott · J. DeeganPrescott · DeeganC3225-1Fair 30-14%—32C▼ Best fig 32 is 5+ under today's par 77

    Card model 4% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #9 · Tier C · Last 3 figs 32

    ▼ Best fig 32 is 5+ under today's par 77

    Jockey R Prescott 26% career 5-for-41 on dirt this meet (12%) · Trainer Joseph C Deegan 20% career

    Also today · Jockey R3: Silenciosa 15-1

    60D LAYOFF

    Back after 95 days away; fitness is the question and the works are the evidence. The longest gap in the field. Comes off a turf start and tries the dirt here.

    PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.

    WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 2 works in 30d and the last 6d back

    Last three races

    Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
    7/27	IND	1m T	MCL 20k	12th/12 -19L	32	110-1	L	Stalked early;faded

▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: fast and contested (8 early types). Helps stalkers and closers.