R7 Indiana Downs · State-Bred Allowance · $38,000 purse

2:06 PM ET · 1 Mile Turf · $38,000 · 16 runners2:06 PM · 1m Turf · 16 runners

Upcoming $38K · State-Bred Allowance · $38,000 purse

Card modelCard model Wide openFormLast 3 figsTier · angles

★ Distance horse: #16 Zach (5-1) has the best figure in the field at today's distance and surface: 81 from 5 tries. Not in our top three.

  1. 1TroubleonthegreenM. Pedroza · A. GranitzPedroza · GranitzB65 74 66▼-7@trip 663-1Fair 7-112%▼ Down -765 74 66@trip 66B

    Card model 12% · Fair odds 7-1 · Our #4 · Tier B · Form ▼ Down -7 · Best fig at today's trip 66 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 65 74 66

    Jockey Marcelino Pedroza 8-for-51 on turf this meet (16%) · Trainer Anthony J Granitz 26% career ★ 5-for-25 on turf this meet (20%)
    Also today · Jockey R2: Five Star 9-5, R4: Victory On Ice 4-5, R5: Hard Rocker 4-1, R8: Union Rose 3-1 · Trainer R4: Victory On Ice 4-5, R4: Cyber Runner 8-1, this race: Machts Nichts 20-1
    ★ FASTEST WORK5/6 board here

    Beaten 2 lengths for 2nd in a 12-horse allowance race at IND. Prime Power, the Brisnet rating, puts it on top of this field.

    PACE HELPS Stalks an honestly pressed pace from a good spot.
    WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Sep 25 (4F in :48.00), 1 work in 30d
    RECORD 1 win, 5 on the board from 6 starts here

    Last three races

    DateTrkDistClassFinishFigOddsEqTrip
    10/12IND1 1/16 TsAlw38000n1x2nd/12 -2L654.6-1b LStalked btw;bid3w1/8
    9/15IND1m DsMdSpWtWon/8741.6-1b LPress;angld4p5/16;duel
    8/25IND1m TsMdSpWt2nd/9 -1½L664.3-1b LBmpd st;rail;bid1/4
  2. 2Scenic JusticeV. Lara · C. RechyLara · RechyC64 50 68►@trip 6810-1Fair 20-15%► Steady64 50 68@trip 68C

    Card model 5% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #9 · Tier C · Form ► Steady · Best fig at today's trip 68 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 64 50 68

    Jockey Victor Lara 26% career 0-for-12 on turf this meet (0%) · Trainer Chaz Rechy 24% career 0-for-5 on turf this meet
    Also today · Jockey R6: Start Out 10-1

    Best recent figure of 68 sits right around the 75 par. Last out was 4th, 5 lengths behind the winner, in a 12-horse allowance race at IND.

    EVEN PACE Real pressure up front should bring the pace back to it.
    WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 97d back)
    RECORD 0 wins, 4 on the board from 13 starts here

    Last three races

    DateTrkDistClassFinishFigOddsEqTrip
    10/12IND1 1/16 TsAlw38000n1x4th/12 -5L6438-1b L4p;bid3/8;improved
    9/29IND1m DClm 5k b10th/10 -15L5027-1b LStalk rail;gave way3/8
    9/17IND1m TsAlw38000n1x6th/8 -6L683.5-1b LAngld5p5/16;mild bid
  3. 3Turbeau Man▼A. Burgos · S. FosdickBurgos · FosdickC69 62 60▲+7≡@trip 625-1Fair 12-18%▲ Up +7 · career best69 62 60 ≡@trip 62C▼ Best fig 69 is 5+ under today's par 75

    Card model 8% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #7 · Tier C · Form ▲ Up +7 · career best · ≡ Steady figures 60–69 · Best fig at today's trip 62 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 69 62 60

    ▼ Best fig 69 is 5+ under today's par 75
    Jockey Alberto Burgos 32% career 3-for-22 on turf this meet (14%) · Trainer Steve Fosdick 22% career 3-for-10 on turf this meet (30%), #1 of 23
    Also today · Jockey R3: High Class Broad 8-1, R5: Trentino 6-1, this race: Zach 5-1, R8: Summer Date 6-1 · Trainer R2: Passionforwinning 25-1, R5: Thousand Byus 20-1, R6: Chondrite 3-1, this race: My Lunar Charm 5-1
    WON LAST4/8 board here

    Has moved up each time out, 60 to 62 to 69. Won last out in a 9-horse allowance race at IND.

    PACE CHALLENGE Has early speed but company on the front end. (early-speed points: 5)
    WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 1 work in 30d, last 7d ago
    RECORD 2 wins, 4 on the board from 8 starts here

    Last three races

    DateTrkDistClassFinishFigOddsEqTrip
    10/1IND1 1/16 TsAlw41000n1xWon/9699.0-1b LInside;kept to task
    9/11IND1m TsAlw41000n1x5th/106224-1b LAwk;led inside;caught
    8/25IND1m DsClm15000n2l3rd/8 -5½L604.9-1b LAwk;sted3/4;bid4p5/16
  4. 4Storm BackL. De · A. Gonzalez Jr.De · Gonzalez Jr.C58 69 61▼-4@trip 7415-1Fair 30-13%▼ Down -458 69 61@trip 74C

    Card model 3% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #14 · Tier C · Form ▼ Down -4 · Best fig at today's trip 74 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 58 69 61

    Jockey La Cruz Fernando De 10-for-51 on turf this meet (20%) · Trainer Agustin Jr Gonzalez 31% career 1-for-12 on turf this meet (8%)
    Also today · Jockey R2: J's Alley Cat 3-1, R3: Livelaughloy 1-1, R5: Leopard Rock 6-1, this race: Toy'stroubledhero 10-1 +1 more · Trainer this race: Junkyard Justice 20-1

    La Cruz Fernando De takes over from Javier Tavares in the saddle. Winless in 6 starts at this distance.

    PACE HELPS Stalks an honestly pressed pace from a good spot.
    WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 183d back)
    RECORD 1 win, 1 on the board from 5 starts here

    Last three races

    DateTrkDistClassFinishFigOddsEqTrip
    10/12IND1 1/16 TsAlw38000n1x10th/12 -8L5836-1b LStalked3p;gave way str
    9/17IND1m TsAlw38000n1x4th/8 -5½L696.1-1b L3path;bid late
    9/10BTP1 1/16 DAlw n2l3rd/6 -7L6112-1b L2-3w bid;along for 3rd
  5. 5Ready to SeizeS. Sanjur · M. LauerSanjur · LauerB66 78 72▼-4@trip 788-1Fair 10-18%▼ Down -466 78 72@trip 78B2

    Card model 8% · Fair odds 10-1 · Our #2 · Tier B · Form ▼ Down -4 · Best fig at today's trip 78 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 66 78 72

    Jockey Santo Sanjur 27% career 2-for-32 on turf this meet (6%) · Trainer Michael Lauer 25% career 0-for-10 on turf this meet (0%)
    Also today · Jockey R1: Bertie's World 5-1, R4: Azteca Alegre 25-1, R6: Man Of The Hour 10-1, this race: Fogonero 4-1

    Turns back in 8 days. 3rd of 10 at 3F on Jun 17, in :37.80.

    EVEN PACE With the front end pressed, the late run has something to run at.
    WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 1 work in 30d and the last 23d back
    RECORD 0 wins, 4 on the board from 10 starts here

    Last three races

    DateTrkDistClassFinishFigOddsEqTrip
    10/22IND1m TsAlw43000n2x3rd/9 -7L662.8-1b LInside;bid1/8
    9/8IND1m TsAlw43000n2x4th/9 -5½L783.2-1b LInside;rally3p1/8
    8/25IND5½f DsAlw43000n2x5th/6 -11L7217-1b LWell back;no late bid
  6. 6My Lunar CharmI. Moncada · S. FosdickMoncada · FosdickC64 73 60▼-4@trip 725-1Fair 8-112%▼ Down -464 73 60@trip 72C1

    Card model 12% · Fair odds 8-1 · Our #1 · Tier C · Form ▼ Down -4 · Best fig at today's trip 72 (4 tries) · Last 3 figs 64 73 60

    Jockey Irving Moncada 33% career ★ 4-for-18 on turf this meet (22%), #1 of 28 · Trainer Steve Fosdick 22% career 3-for-10 on turf this meet (30%), #1 of 23
    Also today · Jockey R5: Thousand Byus 20-1 · Trainer R2: Passionforwinning 25-1, R5: Thousand Byus 20-1, R6: Chondrite 3-1, this race: Turbeau Man 5-1
    8/14 board here

    Sheds 5 pounds from its last start. Quick turnaround, just 8 days since the last start.

    EVEN PACE Honest early fractions give a closer a fair shot late.
    WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 1 work in 30d, last 10d ago
    RECORD 2 wins, 8 on the board from 14 starts here

    Last three races

    DateTrkDistClassFinishFigOddsEqTrip
    10/22IND1m TsAlw43000n2x5th/9 -9¼L642.8-1L4path;mild late bid
    9/24IND1 1/16 TsAlw43000n2xWon/7 by 1½732.5-1LBid btw5/8;rally4p;drv
    9/11IND1 1/16 DsGvrnorsHB150k11th/11 -13L6018-1LSettled early
  7. 7Bout Tree FiddyJ. Bealmear · J. HaranBealmear · HaranC59 72 58▼-7@trip 7212-1Fair 30-14%▼ Down -759 72 58@trip 72C

    Card model 4% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #13 · Tier C · Form ▼ Down -7 · Best fig at today's trip 72 (4 tries) · Last 3 figs 59 72 58

    Jockey Joseph C Bealmear 26% career 3-for-38 on turf this meet (8%) · Trainer John Haran 30% career 0-for-9 on turf this meet (0%)
    Also today · Jockey R3: Blueberry Betty 20-1, R4: Red Clay Runaway 9-2, R8: Figurine 30-1 · Trainer R4: Nordic Prince 15-1, this race: Zach 5-1

    0 for 5 at today's distance. Went to the front early last out (early pace figure 77).

    PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.
    WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 58d ago
    RECORD 0 wins, 4 on the board from 15 starts here

    Last three races

    DateTrkDistClassFinishFigOddsEqTrip
    10/12IND1 1/16 TsAlw38000n1x9th/12 -½L5912-1b LLed rail;gave way1/8
    9/17IND1m TsAlw38000n1x2nd/87215-1b LDueled;couldn't last
    8/19IND1 1/16 DsAlw39600n1x6th/7 -10L5875-1b LInside trip
  8. 8JusticeonemoretimeJ. Diego · R. ThurmanDiego · ThurmanA67 69 70▼-4≡5-1Fair 12-18%▼ Down -467 69 70 ≡A

    Card model 8% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #8 · Tier A · Form ▼ Down -4 · ≡ Steady figures 67–74 · Last 3 figs 67 69 70

    Jockey Javier Diego 29% career · Trainer Rhonda Thurman 17% career

    Switches from dirt to turf. Moves up from allowance to allowance.

    PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.
    WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 188d ago
    RECORD 2 wins, 3 on the board from 7 starts here

    Last three races

    DateTrkDistClassFinishFigOddsEqTrip
    10/6FPK1¾m DAlw s4th/6 -13L6711-1b LChased pace; empty
    9/11IND1 1/16 DsEmpireH100k12th/12 -14L6986-1b LBmp st;4p;no late bid
    8/19IND1 1/16 DsAlw39600n1x4th/7 -2L709.4-1b LStlk btw;bid4p1/4;falt
  9. 9Machts NichtsM. Murrill · A. GranitzMurrill · GranitzC72 65 69▲▲+11↕@trip 6620-1Fair 50-12%▲▲ Big jump +1172 65 69 ↕@trip 66C

    Card model 2% · Fair odds 50-1 · Our #16 · Tier C · Form ▲▲ Big jump +11 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 48–72 · Best fig at today's trip 66 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 72 65 69

    Jockey Mitchell Murrill 29% career 2-for-32 on turf this meet (6%) · Trainer Anthony J Granitz 26% career ★ 5-for-25 on turf this meet (20%)
    Also today · Jockey R2: Endless Sky 6-1, R3: Maid Of Steel 8-5, R5: Guide Me Home 12-1, R6: Chondrite 3-1 · Trainer R4: Victory On Ice 4-5, R4: Cyber Runner 8-1, this race: Troubleonthegreen 3-1

    Raises its level, $15,000 claiming last time and allowance now. Last race was on the dirt; today it runs on the turf.

    PACE HELPS Stalks an honestly pressed pace from a good spot.
    WORKS SHARP 3f in :36.00 on May 8 was the best time at that distance that morning; 1 work in 30d
    RECORD 0 wins, 3 on the board from 14 starts here

    Last three races

    DateTrkDistClassFinishFigOddsEqTrip
    10/8IND1 1/16 DsClm15000n2l2nd/7 -1½L721.0-1b LStalked btw;bid3p5/16
    7/7IND1 1/16 DsClm15000n2l3rd/6 -4L651.5-1b LFrac gt;angld5p3/16
    6/9IND1 1/16 DsClm15000n2l3rd/7 -4L698.2-1b LSettld;4p5/16;bid late
  10. 10Tap Tap Tap It in▲J. Ramos · G. DorochenkoRamos · DorochenkoC48 71 69▼▼-18↕20-1Fair 30-13%▼▼ Big drop -1848 71 69 ↕C▲ Lone speed on early pace

    Card model 3% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #12 · Tier C · Form ▼▼ Big drop -18 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 48–71 · Last 3 figs 48 71 69

    ▲ Lone speed on early pace
    Jockey Joseph D Ramos 34% career 2-for-28 on turf this meet (7%) · Trainer Gennadi Dorochenko 16% career 2-for-4 on turf this meet
    Also today · Jockey R5: Harwich Port 10-1, this race: Rosso Fuoco 12-1, R8: Ability 10-1

    New trainer: Tim Eggleston had it last time, Gennadi Dorochenko now. A longer trip: 6 furlongs last out, a mile today.

    PACE CHALLENGE Has early speed but company on the front end. (early-speed points: 6)
    WORKS Average work schedule for this field (0 works in 30d, last 36d ago)
    RECORD 1 win, 6 on the board from 13 starts here

    Last three races

    DateTrkDistClassFinishFigOddsEqTrip
    10/14IND6f DClm 7k n2lc7th/8 -11L481.2-1b LStalked4p;gave way5/16
    8/19IND5½f DsAlw38000n2l5th/9 -4½L712.8-1b LAwk;evenly5path
    7/28IND6f DsAlw38200n1x5th/7 -3L693.0-1b LHop;press4p;bid3/8
  11. 11Junkyard Justice▼J. Romero · A. Gonzalez Jr.Romero · Gonzalez Jr.C57 67 66▼-7@trip 6620-1Fair 50-12%▼ Down -757 67 66@trip 66C▼ Best fig 67 is 5+ under today's par 75

    Card model 2% · Fair odds 50-1 · Our #15 · Tier C · Form ▼ Down -7 · Best fig at today's trip 66 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 57 67 66

    ▼ Best fig 67 is 5+ under today's par 75
    Jockey Joseph M Romero 31% career 3-for-17 on turf this meet (18%) · Trainer Agustin Jr Gonzalez 31% career 1-for-12 on turf this meet (8%)
    Also today · Jockey R2: Tiz Sahara 5-1, R4: My Bumble Bee 25-1 · Trainer this race: Storm Back 15-1

    Needs to move up: the best of its last five is 67 against a 75 par. Dropped in well back early last out, 9th of 9 at the first call.

    PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.
    WORKS SHARP One of the busier work schedules here: 1 work in 30d, last 16d ago
    RECORD 2 wins, 2 on the board from 10 starts here

    Last three races

    DateTrkDistClassFinishFigOddsEqTrip
    10/22IND1m TsAlw43000n2x8th/9 -13L5711-1b LNo factor
    9/24IND1 1/16 TsAlw43000n2x4th/7 -8½L677.1-1b LBid1/4;5path stretch
    9/11IND1m TsAlw41000n1xWon/10 by 6½6630-1b LRally5p3/16;in time
  12. 12Lookout KidLSA. Mendoza · J. LangemeierMendoza · LangemeierC64 66 57►≡@trip 6612-1Fair 15-16%► Steady64 66 57 ≡@trip 66CLS

    Card model 6% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #5 · Tier C · Form ► Steady · ≡ Steady figures 57–66 · Best fig at today's trip 66 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 64 66 57

    LS

    Longshot read: 12-1 on the morning line, and the model has it at 6% against a line of 4%. A read, not a bet.

    Jockey Amir Mendoza 19% career 3-for-35 on turf this meet (9%) · Trainer John L Langemeier 21% career 2-for-6 on turf this meet
    Also today · Jockey R1: Oxbabe 9-2, R4: Nordic Prince 15-1, R5: Honor And Courage 15-1

    Gets a new rider, Amir Mendoza replacing Alexander Crispin. Worked 3F in :36.60 on May 16, 2nd of 26 at the distance.

    EVEN PACE Real pressure up front should bring the pace back to it.
    TROUBLED TRIP Awk; 4p; bid5/8; faltered last out; the speed figure already reflects it.
    WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 51d back)
    RECORD 1 win, 5 on the board from 12 starts here

    Last three races

    DateTrkDistClassFinishFigOddsEqTrip
    10/12IND1 1/16 TsAlw38000n1x5th/12 -2½L6482-1b LAwk;4p;bid5/8;faltered
    9/17IND1m TsAlw38000n1x8th/8 -8L665.3-1b LBumped start
    6/17IND1 1/16 DsAlw38200n1x5th/7 -12L574.4-1b LJostled start;unrushed
  13. 13FogoneroS. Sanjur · A. DuranSanjur · DuranB62 70 75▼▼-104-1Fair 8-111%▼▼ Big drop -1062 70 75B3

    Card model 11% · Fair odds 8-1 · Our #3 · Tier B · Form ▼▼ Big drop -10 · Last 3 figs 62 70 75

    Jockey Santo Sanjur 27% career 2-for-32 on turf this meet (6%) · Trainer Antonio Duran 25% career 0-for-3 on turf this meet
    Also today · Jockey R1: Bertie's World 5-1, R4: Azteca Alegre 25-1, R6: Man Of The Hour 10-1, this race: Ready To Seize 8-1 · Trainer R1: Bertie's World 5-1, R4: Azteca Alegre 25-1

    Figures have slipped: 75, 70, 62 over its last three. 7th last time, 5½ lengths back, in a field of 12.

    EVEN PACE Honest early fractions give a closer a fair shot late.
    WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 87 days ago
    RECORD 1 win, 4 on the board from 10 starts here

    Last three races

    DateTrkDistClassFinishFigOddsEqTrip
    10/12IND1 1/16 TsAlw38000n1x7th/12 -5½L6212-1LEvenly3path
    9/11IND1 1/16 DsGvrnorsHB150k5th/11 -6¼L7026-1LRallied5p3/8;faltered
    8/11IND1 1/16 DsMdSpWtWon/9 by 1½753.2-1L3p;rail1/4;bid1/8;drvg
  14. 14Rosso FuocoJ. Ramos · R. KloppRamos · KloppC74 71 65▲▲+8@trip 6112-1Fair 30-14%▲▲ Big jump +8 · career best74 71 65@trip 61C

    Card model 4% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #10 · Tier C · Form ▲▲ Big jump +8 · career best · Best fig at today's trip 61 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 74 71 65

    Jockey Joseph D Ramos 34% career 2-for-28 on turf this meet (7%) · Trainer Randy Klopp 38% career 1-for-8 on turf this meet (12%) ★ hot
    Also today · Jockey R5: Harwich Port 10-1, this race: Tap Tap Tap It In 20-1, R8: Ability 10-1 · Trainer this race: Toy'stroubledhero 10-1
    CLASS UP

    A step up in company: $12,500 claiming before, allowance today. Comes off a dirt start and tries the turf here.

    PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.
    WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 5F on Mar 27; 0 works in 30d
    RECORD 2 wins, 5 on the board from 12 starts here

    Last three races

    DateTrkDistClassFinishFigOddsEqTrip
    10/15IND1m DsClm12500b2nd/7745.7-1b LDuel;sted5/8;bid3p1/2
    9/16IND1m DsClm7500n2lWon/8711.1-1b LRail;bid5/16;driving
    8/11IND1 1/16 DsClm15000n2l2nd/8 -4L653.7-1b LAngld3p1/4;bid;no mtch
  15. 15Toy'stroubledhero▲L. De · R. KloppDe · KloppA75 81 61▲+410-1Fair 15-16%▲ Up +475 81 61A▲ Last fig 75 at/above par 75

    Card model 6% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #6 · Tier A · Form ▲ Up +4 · Last 3 figs 75 81 61

    ▲ Last fig 75 at/above par 75
    Jockey La Cruz Fernando De 10-for-51 on turf this meet (20%) · Trainer Randy Klopp 38% career 1-for-8 on turf this meet (12%)
    Also today · Jockey R2: J's Alley Cat 3-1, R3: Livelaughloy 1-1, R5: Leopard Rock 6-1, this race: Storm Back 15-1 +1 more · Trainer this race: Rosso Fuoco 12-1
    ★ FASTEST WORKWON LAST

    Switches from dirt to turf. Owns the highest recent figure here at 81.

    PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.
    WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 3F on Apr 4; 0 works in 30d
    RECORD 3 wins, 6 on the board from 16 starts here

    Last three races

    DateTrkDistClassFinishFigOddsEqTrip
    10/15IND1m DsClm12500bWon/7 by 1½756.5-1b LAwk;4p;rally1/16;drvg
    9/22IND1 1/16 DsClm12500b3rd/7 -4½L817.2-1b LStalked3p;no match
    8/26IND1 1/16 DsClm12500b6th/11 -8½L615.0-1L3path;mild bid;falterd
  16. 16Zach★A. Burgos · J. HaranBurgos · HaranA69 67 81▼-4@trip 815-1Fair 15-17%▼ Down -469 67 81@trip 81A★ Best at the trip 81

    Card model 7% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #11 · Tier A · Form ▼ Down -4 · Best fig at today's trip 81 (5 tries) · Last 3 figs 69 67 81

    ★ Best at the trip 81
    Jockey Alberto Burgos 32% career 3-for-22 on turf this meet (14%) · Trainer John Haran 30% career 0-for-9 on turf this meet (0%)
    Also today · Jockey R3: High Class Broad 8-1, R5: Trentino 6-1, this race: Turbeau Man 5-1, R8: Summer Date 6-1 · Trainer R4: Nordic Prince 15-1, this race: Bout Tree Fiddy 12-1
    ★ FASTEST WORK9/18 board here

    Posted the fastest 5F work of the morning on Jul 15, in 1:01.00. Moves up from optional claiming to allowance.

    PACE HELPS Stalks an honestly pressed pace from a good spot.
    TROUBLED TRIP Ran into trouble last out (Stalk rail; steadied3/4), and the figure already reflects it.
    WORKS SHARP 5f in 1:01.00 on Jul 15 was the best time at that distance that morning; 0 works in 30d
    RECORD 3 wins, 9 on the board from 18 starts here

    Last three races

    DateTrkDistClassFinishFigOddsEqTrip
    10/15IND1 1/16 TOC 10k11th/11 -5½L6914-1b LStalk rail;steadied3/4
    9/22IND1m TOC 15k9th/9 -1½L673.8-1b L3p;bid1/2;press;faded
    9/8IND1m TsAlw43000n2xWon/9 by ½812.0-1b LBid1/2;4p3/16;rallied

▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: fast and contested (10 early types). Helps stalkers and closers.

How to read these marks
1 2 3
Our top three by the card model's win chance. Tap “Our order” to sort by it.
Win %, Fair
The card model's chance to win, and the odds that chance works out to with no takeout. Fair is green when the model rates the horse above its morning line (the line scaled to add up to 100%).
Tier A B C ?
The field ranked on recent speed figures and the morning line together: A = top three, B = next three, C = the rest, ? = no figures yet.
71 60 72
Last three speed figures, newest first. “@trip 75” = best figure at today's distance (within 30 yards) on this surface.
▲▲ ▲ ► ▼ ▼▼
Form: last figure against the average of the three before it. ▲ = up 3 or more, ▲▲ = up 8 or more, ► = within 3, ▼ / ▼▼ = down. The number is the difference.
≡ ↕
≡ steady: the last four figures sit close together. ↕ up-and-down: they swing widely.
★
Best figure in the field at today's distance and surface, from two or more tries, not tied. When that horse isn't in our top three it gets a “Distance horse” note above the field.
▲ ▼ chips
Handicapping angles for or against the horse. LS = longshot read: 8-1 or more on the morning line and the model rates it higher than that line.

These marks describe the past performances. None of them is proven to beat the odds: in our test of 100 handicapping angles, nothing did better than the final odds, and the morning-line favourite wins more races than our top-ranked horse. Read them as notes, not as a reason to bet.

Race conditions and our readpace, conditions, story
¼½¾FINISHSTART1 MILE · TURF · infield2-turn

INDIANA DOWNS · RACE 7

UPCOMING

State-Bred Allowance · $38,000 purse

Field
16 runners
Purse
$38,000
Post
2:06 PM ET
Pace
Pressed Pace
Card model top pick
#6 · 12%

Allowance, for 3-year-olds and up, restricted to state-bred (registered) horses, that have not won a race other than maiden, claiming, or starter.

Allowance race — a step above claiming. No horses are for sale; written conditions limit the field to horses of similar experience.

● Track record at 1 Mile: 93.19

The shape is the story here: the early pace looks honest rather than contested — expect a fairly run race where class and trip decide it, not pace collapse.

Our number tops on #6 My Lunar Charm (a closer, M/L 5-1). Recent figures: 64 · 73 · 60. Backup is #5 Ready To Seize at 8-1. Use #13 Fogonero in exotic structures.

What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.

At a glance: model vs the morning line

At a glance

  • Market favourite #1 TROUBLEONTHEGREEN (3-1) — our number has it ranked #4.
  • #1 TROUBLEONTHEGREEN — our #4 number, about right at the windows (13.1% to their 13.5%).
  • #13 FOGONERO — our #3 number, about right at the windows (10.8% to their 10.8%).
  • #6 MY LUNAR CHARM — our top number on the card, a price play — we're at 9.9%, the board 9.0%.

Model vs the morning line · analysis, not advice

  • The model and the morning line roughly agree on this field.
Pacewho goes to the front

Pace

Pressed Pace. Speed under pressure from multiple pressers. Likely honest pace, slight closer benefit.

Likely leader: #3 Turbeau Man; pressure from #10 Tap Tap Tap It In, #9 Machts Nichts; the shape helps #1 Troubleonthegreen, #4 Storm Back, #7 Bout Tree Fiddy; and works against #3 Turbeau Man, #10 Tap Tap Tap It In.

Lead
3Turbeau Man8810Tap Tap Tap It In88
Press
9Machts Nichts8814Rosso Fuoco817Bout Tree Fiddy7715Toy'stroubledhero771Troubleonthegreen7516Zach7111Junkyard Justice368Justiceonemoretime
Stalk
4Storm Back73
Close
13Fogonero7412Lookout Kid692Scenic Justice646My Lunar Charm585Ready To Seize56

Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.

Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse

Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners

3
Turbeau Man
88
9
Machts Nichts
88
10
Tap Tap Tap It In
88
14
Rosso Fuoco
81
7
Bout Tree Fiddy
77
15
Toy'stroubledhero
77
1
Troubleonthegreen
75
4
Storm Back
73
16
Zach
71
11
Junkyard Justice
36

Closing Kick · late-pace figure

5
Ready To Seize
21
6
My Lunar Charm
21
2
Scenic Justice
16
12
Lookout Kid
16
13
Fogonero
16
Bet types offeredwager menu

Bet types

Wagers offered on this race.

$5 LATE THOROUGHBRED DAILY DOUBLE / EXACTA / TRIFECTA / 50 CENT TRIFECTA

SUPERFECTA / 10 CENT SUPERFECTA

TBredIQ shows analysis only. We don’t build tickets or suggest amounts.

BET OPTIONS

WinPlaceShowExactaTrifectaSuperfecta

Wagers offered on this race — analysis only, no stake sizing.

For information only — not financial or wagering advice. Must be 21+ to wager where required by law. If gambling is affecting you or someone you know, help is available.