R5 Indiana Downs · Maiden Special Weight

1. 1Tiznot▼A. Serpa · I. AcevedoSerpa · AcevedoA66 54@trip 666-1Fair 10-19%—66 54@trip 66A▼ Best fig 66 is 5+ under today's par 75

   Card model 9% · Fair odds 10-1 · Our #5 · Tier A · Best fig at today's trip 66 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 66 54

   ▼ Best fig 66 is 5+ under today's par 75

   Jockey Angel Serpa 23% career 1-for-7 on turf this meet · Trainer Israel Acevedo 22% career 1-for-4 on turf this meet

   ★ FASTEST WORK

   A step up in company: maiden special weight before, maiden special weight today. Needs to move up: the best of its last five is 66 against a 75 par.

   PACE CHALLENGE One of several that want the lead, so the early work will cost something. (early-speed points: 5)

   WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 42 days ago

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/13	IND	1m T	MSW	3rd/10	66	23-1		Bid3/8;duel;caught
   9/29	IND	5f T	MSW	4th/9 -8½L	54	9.8-1		3path;improved late

2. 2Honor and Courage▼A. Mendoza · G. GarciaMendoza · GarciaC55 66 49▲+3↕15-1Fair 30-14%▲ Up +355 66 49 ↕C▼ Best fig 66 is 5+ under today's par 75

   Card model 4% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #11 · Tier C · Form ▲ Up +3 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 40–66 · Last 3 figs 55 66 49

   ▼ Best fig 66 is 5+ under today's par 75

   Jockey Amir Mendoza 19% career 3-for-35 on turf this meet (9%) · Trainer Genaro Garcia 32% career 1-for-14 on turf this meet (7%)

   Also today · Jockey R1: Oxbabe 9-2, R4: Nordic Prince 15-1, R7: Lookout Kid 12-1 · Trainer R1: Oxbabe 9-2, R6: Start Out 10-1

   New trainer: Thomas D Vance had it last time, Genaro Garcia now. Comes off a dirt start and tries the turf here.

   PACE CHALLENGE Early speed in a crowded front end; somebody gets worn down. (early-speed points: 6)

   WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (1 work in 30d, last 28d back)

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/9	KEE	-7f D	MCL 30kc	5th/10 -4¼L	55	6.1-1	b	Ins pair turn;yield1/4
   9/16	CD	1m D	MCL 30k	2nd/5	66	13-1	b	Brk out;led 1/8;caught
   8/21	ELP	6f D	Moc50000	10th/11 -13L	49	90-1	b	Came out st;saved grnd

3. 3Leopard RockL. De · E. VaughanDe · Vaughan?6-1Fair 12-17%—Debut?

   Card model 7% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #10 · Tier ?

   Jockey La Cruz Fernando De 10-for-51 on turf this meet (20%) · Trainer Edward Vaughan 19% career

   Also today · Jockey R2: J's Alley Cat 3-1, R3: Livelaughloy 1-1, R7: Storm Back 15-1, R7: Toy'stroubledhero 10-1 +1 more

   Unraced so far; the pedigree is Liam's Map out of Betwixting. Debut for a trainer who is 5% with first-timers, over 20 starts.

   PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.

   WORKS SHARP One of the busier work schedules here: 4 works in 30d, last 6d ago

   Last three races

   First start. By Liam's Map out of Betwixting (Macho Uno)

   Trainer E. Vaughan: 1st-time starters: 5% wins, 35% in the money (20 starts) · Debut maiden special weights: 6% wins, 44% in the money (16 starts) · Maiden special weights: 13% wins, 41% in the money (54 starts)

   Jockey L. De in turf: 21 wins from 156 (13%)

   Work	Trk	Dist	Time	How	Rank
   10/24	TTC	4f	:48.20	breezing	5/54	from gate
   10/17	TTC	4f	:51.00	breezing	30/52
   10/10	TTC	4f	:50.20	breezing	20/38	from gate
   10/3	TTC	4f	:51.60	breezing	12/20
   9/26	TTC	3f	:39.80	breezing	10/13

4. 4TrentinoA. Burgos · B. WalshBurgos · Walsh?6-1Fair 12-17%—Debut?

   Card model 7% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #8 · Tier ?

   Jockey Alberto Burgos 32% career 3-for-22 on turf this meet (14%) · Trainer Brendan P Walsh 36% career 2-for-9 on turf this meet (22%)

   Also today · Jockey R3: High Class Broad 8-1, R7: Turbeau Man 5-1, R7: Zach 5-1, R8: Summer Date 6-1

   Unraced; this barn has 433 first-time starters on record and wins 15% of them. It has been schooling from the gate (latest Oct 23).

   PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.

   WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 3 works in 30d, last 7d ago

   Last three races

   First start. By Dubawi out of Sentiero Italia (Medaglia D'oro)

   Trainer B. Walsh: 1st-time starters: 15% wins, 38% in the money (433 starts) · Debut maiden special weights: 13% wins, 37% in the money (372 starts) · Maiden special weights: 16% wins, 45% in the money (1051 starts)

   Jockey A. Burgos in turf: 14 wins from 88 (16%)

   Work	Trk	Dist	Time	How	Rank
   10/23	TP	4f	:48.60	breezing	23/61	from gate
   10/15	TP	5f	1:02.60	breezing	4/8
   10/8	TP	4f	:48.40	breezing	4/24	from gate
   9/29	TP	5f	1:03.20	breezing	14/15
   9/22	TP	4f	:50.40	breezing	63/72

5. 5Guide Me HomeM. Murrill · D. SimpsonMurrill · Simpson?12-1Fair 20-14%—Debut?

   Card model 4% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #9 · Tier ?

   Jockey Mitchell Murrill 29% career 2-for-32 on turf this meet (6%) · Trainer Daniel Simpson 29% career 1-for-5 on turf this meet

   Also today · Jockey R2: Endless Sky 6-1, R3: Maid Of Steel 8-5, R6: Chondrite 3-1, R7: Machts Nichts 20-1 · Trainer this race: Beach Vibe 3-1

   In the morning works, on Oct 3 it was 2nd of 15 at 4F (:48.40). Makes his first start with no form to go on, only the Mystic Guide and Mo Me Mo My breeding.

   PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.

   WORKS Average work schedule for this field (3 works in 30d, last 10d ago)

   Last three races

   First start. By Mystic Guide out of Mo Me Mo My (Uncle Mo)

   Trainer D. Simpson: 1st-time starters: 14% wins, 14% in the money (7 starts) · Debut maiden special weights: 14% wins, 14% in the money (7 starts) · Maiden special weights: 11% wins, 26% in the money (19 starts)

   Jockey M. Murrill in turf: 16 wins from 145 (11%)

   Work	Trk	Dist	Time	How	Rank
   10/20	IND	5f	1:02.00	breezing	10/21	from gate
   10/10	IND	5f	1:01.20	breezing	4/9
   10/3	IND	4f	:48.40	breezing	2/15
   9/24	IND	4f	:52.40	breezing	31/33
   8/4	IND	4f	:48.80	breezing	9/40	from gate

6. 6Thousand Byus▼I. Moncada · S. FosdickMoncada · FosdickC61 63 64►@trip 6120-1Fair 20-14%► Steady61 63 64@trip 61C▼ Best fig 64 is 5+ under today's par 75

   Card model 4% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #6 · Tier C · Form ► Steady · Best fig at today's trip 61 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 61 63 64

   ▼ Best fig 64 is 5+ under today's par 75

   Jockey Irving Moncada 33% career ★ 4-for-18 on turf this meet (22%), #1 of 28 · Trainer Steve Fosdick 22% career 3-for-10 on turf this meet (30%), #1 of 23

   Also today · Jockey R7: My Lunar Charm 5-1 · Trainer R2: Passionforwinning 25-1, R6: Chondrite 3-1, R7: Turbeau Man 5-1, R7: My Lunar Charm 5-1

   0/3 board here

   Best recent figure is 64, well under the 75 par for this level. 6th last time, 6 lengths back, in a field of 10.

   PACE CHALLENGE Has to fight for the lead against company, and the fractions may cost it late. (early-speed points: 3)

   WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 50d ago

   RECORD Not on the board in 3 starts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/13	IND	1m T	MSW	6th/10 -6L	61	24-1	b	Angld3p5/16;no bid
   9/30	IND	1m D	MSW	4th/8 -3L	63	29-1	b	Saved ground;faded str
   9/17	IND	5½f D	MSW	5th/9 -8½L	64	12-1	b	Hop start;saved ground

7. 7Glen Road▼A. Jimenez · E. WestJimenez · WestC4712-1Fair 20-14%—47C▼ Best fig 47 is 5+ under today's par 75

   Card model 4% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #12 · Tier C · Last 3 figs 47

   ▼ Best fig 47 is 5+ under today's par 75

   Jockey Albin Jimenez 34% career 1-for-13 on turf this meet (8%) · Trainer Ethan W West 36% career 3-for-16 on turf this meet (19%) ★ hot

   Also today · Jockey R8: Weft 15-1 · Trainer R8: Weft 15-1

   ★ FASTEST WORK

   Last race was on the dirt; today it runs on the turf. A longer trip: 6 furlongs last out, a mile today.

   PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.

   WORKS SHARP 3f in :36.80 on Oct 3 was the best time at that distance that morning; 1 work in 30d

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/8	KEE	6f D	MSW	9th/10 -10L	47	9.1-1		Tracked 5p;chased;wknd

8. 8Center Fielder▼M. Meeks · D. SalvadorMeeks · SalvadorC59@trip 5920-1Fair 30-13%—59@trip 59C▼ Best fig 59 is 5+ under today's par 75

   Card model 3% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #13 · Tier C · Best fig at today's trip 59 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 59

   ▼ Best fig 59 is 5+ under today's par 75

   Jockey Micah Meeks 13% career 1-for-12 on turf this meet (8%) · Trainer Deivys Salvador 14% career 0-for-1 on turf this meet

   Also today · Jockey R8: Tectonic 25-1

   ★ FASTEST WORK

   Raises its level, maiden special weight last time and maiden special weight now. Finished 8th in a 10-horse maiden special weight race at IND, beaten 7½ lengths.

   PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.

   WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 4F on Sep 19; 1 work in 30d

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/13	IND	1m T	MSW	8th/10 -7½L	59	43-1	b	Stalked2p;gave way1/2

9. 9Gandy Dancer▼S. Pauly · J. WojczynskiPauly · WojczynskiB67@trip 676-1Fair 8-111%—67@trip 67B▼ Best fig 67 is 5+ under today's par 752

   Card model 11% · Fair odds 8-1 · Our #2 · Tier B · Best fig at today's trip 67 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 67

   ▼ Best fig 67 is 5+ under today's par 75

   Jockey Summer Pauly 26% career 0-for-10 on turf this meet (0%) · Trainer Justin Wojczynski 26% career 0-for-6 on turf this meet

   Also today · Jockey R6: Optimistic Income 8-1, R8: Catnip Hill 30-1 · Trainer R8: Ability 10-1

   ★ FASTEST WORK

   Owns the highest recent figure here at 67. Last out was 11th, 10 lengths behind the winner, in a 12-horse maiden special weight race at KEE.

   PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.

   WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 3F on Sep 22; 2 works in 30d

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/9	KEE	1m T	MSW	11th/12 -10L	67	62-1	b	Stdy btw st;keen;6-3p

10. 10Hard Rocker▼M. Pedroza · E. HartyPedroza · HartyB634-1Fair 7-112%—63B▼ Best fig 63 is 5+ under today's par 753

    Card model 12% · Fair odds 7-1 · Our #3 · Tier B · Last 3 figs 63

    ▼ Best fig 63 is 5+ under today's par 75

    Jockey Marcelino Pedroza 8-for-51 on turf this meet (16%) · Trainer Eoin Harty 34% career 0-for-5 on turf this meet

    Also today · Jockey R2: Five Star 9-5, R4: Victory On Ice 4-5, R7: Troubleonthegreen 3-1, R8: Union Rose 3-1

    60D LAYOFF4 WORKS IN 30 DAYS

    Stretches out from 5½ furlongs to a mile. A 82-day gap since its last race.

    PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.

    WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 4 works in 30d and the last 7d back

    Last three races

    Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
    8/9	ELP	5½f T	MSW	8th/12 -9L	63	11-1	b	Off slow; saved ground

11. 11Very Royal▼J. Elliott · J. AranhaElliott · AranhaA67 67 58▲+4@trip 675-1Fair 6-115%▲ Up +4 · career best67 67 58@trip 67A▼ Best fig 67 is 5+ under today's par 751

    Card model 15% · Fair odds 6-1 · Our #1 · Tier A · Form ▲ Up +4 · career best · Best fig at today's trip 67 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 67 67 58

    ▼ Best fig 67 is 5+ under today's par 75

    Jockey Jane Elliott 35% career 2-for-13 on turf this meet (15%) · Trainer Jose Luiz Aranha 14% career 0-for-2 on turf this meet

    Owns the highest recent figure here at 67. Moves up from maiden special weight to maiden special weight.

    PACE HELPS The front end should be a fight, and this one gets to wait on it.

    WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (1 work in 30d, last 29d back)

    Last three races

    Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
    10/13	IND	1m T	MSW	2nd/10 -5½L	67	16-1		Rail;shft4p1/8;rallied
    9/17	CD	1 1/16 T	MSW	6th/8 -4¾L	67	41-1		Mild bid 5 wide
    8/4	IND	7½f T	MSW	6th/10 -8L	58	32-1		Bid1/2;4p;no late bid

12. 12Harwich Port▼LSJ. Ramos · F. BogleRamos · BogleB63 37@trip 6310-1Fair 12-17%—63 37@trip 63B▼ Best fig 63 is 5+ under today's par 75LS

    Card model 7% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #4 · Tier B · Best fig at today's trip 63 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 63 37

    ▼ Best fig 63 is 5+ under today's par 75LS

    Longshot read: 10-1 on the morning line, and the model has it at 7% against a line of 6%. A read, not a bet.

    Jockey Joseph D Ramos 34% career 2-for-28 on turf this meet (7%) · Trainer Fergus Bogle 19% career

    Also today · Jockey R7: Tap Tap Tap It In 20-1, R7: Rosso Fuoco 12-1, R8: Ability 10-1

    3 WORKS IN 30 DAYS★ FASTEST WORK

    Posted the fastest 4F work of the morning on Oct 17, in :49.20. A big drop, maiden special weight to maiden special weight, and worth asking why.

    PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.

    WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 4F on Oct 17; 3 works in 30d

    Last three races

    Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
    9/24	CD	1m T	MSW	11th/12 -5L	63	58-1		3p;6p1/4;faded
    9/9	KD	7f T	MSW	9th/9 -12L	37	16-1		2-3wd;dropped back

13. 13Beach Vibe▼O. Mojica · D. SimpsonMojica · SimpsonA65 57 53▲▲+93-1Fair 7-112%▲▲ Big jump +9 · career best65 57 53A▼ Best fig 65 is 5+ under today's par 75

    Card model 12% · Fair odds 7-1 · Our #7 · Tier A · Form ▲▲ Big jump +9 · career best · Last 3 figs 65 57 53

    ▼ Best fig 65 is 5+ under today's par 75

    Jockey O Mojica 34% career 1-for-15 on turf this meet (7%) · Trainer Daniel Simpson 29% career 1-for-5 on turf this meet

    Also today · Jockey R1: Three Point Seven 7-5, R8: Laythatpistoldown 7-2 · Trainer this race: Guide Me Home 12-1

    Has moved up each time out, 53 to 57 to 65. Switches from dirt to turf.

    PACE CHALLENGE Has to fight for the lead against company, and the fractions may cost it late. (early-speed points: 6)

    TROUBLED TRIP Ran into trouble last out (Checkd after st; 5p btw), and the figure already reflects it.

    WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (1 work in 30d, last 23d back)

    Last three races

    Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
    10/15	KEE	7f D	MSW	9th/12 -11L	65	48-1		Checkd after st;5p btw
    9/10	IND	1m D	MSW	4th/7 -3½L	57	12-1		4p;bid3/8;faded str
    8/5	IND	5f D	MSW	9th/11 -9¼L	53	12-1		Squeezed back early

▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: hard to project, too many first-time starters.