PARX RACING · RACE 1
UPCOMINGClaiming $7,500
Claiming $7,500, for 3-year-olds and up, that have not won two races lifetime.
Claiming race — every starter can be bought for the claiming price out of the race, so owners risk losing a horse that's clearly best. That keeps the field evenly matched on ability.
● Track record at 1 1/16 Miles: 100.8
The shape is the story here: there's little established early speed, so a tactical horse can control soft fractions up front and prove hard to run down.
Our number tops on #6 Psalmist (a closer, M/L 6-5). Recent figures: 69 · 65 · 72. Backup is #4 Sweet Interlude at 6-1. Use #3 Ad Majora in exotic structures.
What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.
The field, ranked
Our order, top to bottom.
Best Brisnet figure in the field over its last five: 76, with 75 next best. Class relief: optional claiming last time, $7,500 claiming today.
Drops from $16,000 claiming to $7,500 claiming. Comes off a turf start and tries the dirt here.
Changes barns, from Jose M Santaella-Calderon to Alexis Romero. Jockey switch: Kleiner A Mejias last out, Eliseo Ruiz today.
Stretches out from 6 furlongs to 1 1/16 miles. Quick turnaround, just 8 days since the last start.
Needs to move up: the best of its last five is 65 against a 77 par. 0 for 13 at today's distance.
Winless in 5 starts at this distance. Last out was 6th, 8 lengths behind the winner, in a 10-horse $7,500 claiming race at PRX.
Beaten 13 lengths for 8th in a 10-horse $7,500 claiming race at PRX. A 67 is the high figure lately, short of the 77 par.
At a glance
- Market favourite #6 PSALMIST (6-5) — our number agrees.
- #6 PSALMIST — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (34.9% to their 37.6%).
- #3 AD MAJORA — our #3 number, about right at the windows (17.9% to their 16.6%).
- #4 SWEET INTERLUDE — our #2 number, and the board's letting him go too cheap — we make him 15.0%, they've got 11.8%.
Model vs the morning line
- #4 SWEET INTERLUDE — we make it 15.0%, the morning line works out to 11.8%. That gap is the model's opinion, not a price; pools pay the final odds, and on our records these gaps haven't paid off.
Pace
Pressed Pace. Speed under pressure from multiple pressers. Likely honest pace, slight closer benefit.
Likely leader: #3 Ad Majora; pressure from #5 Tiz The Coast, #2 David's Kitten; the shape helps #2 David's Kitten, #4 Sweet Interlude, #5 Tiz The Coast; and works against #3 Ad Majora.
Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.
Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse
Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners
Closing Kick · late-pace figure
Bet types
Wagers offered on this race.
DAILY DOUBLE / PICK 3 (RACES 1-2-3)
EXACTA / 50 CENT TRIFECTA / 50 CENT PICK 4 (RACES 1-4) / 10 CENT SUPERFECTA
BET OPTIONS
WinPlaceShowExactaTrifectaSuperfecta