PARX RACING · RACE 9
UPCOMINGClaiming $7,500
Claiming $7,500, for 3-year-olds and up, that have not won a race recently.
Claiming race — every starter can be bought for the claiming price out of the race, so owners risk losing a horse that's clearly best. That keeps the field evenly matched on ability.
● Track record at 6 Furlongs: 67.21
The shape is the story here: there's little established early speed, so a tactical horse can control soft fractions up front and prove hard to run down.
Our number tops on #5 Macaw (a presser/stalker, M/L 7-2). Recent figures: 77 · 83 · 89. Backup is #4 Diamond Heist at 9-2. Use #6 Liberty Star in exotic structures.
What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.
The field, ranked
Our order, top to bottom.
Best Brisnet figure in the field over its last five: 89, with 85 next best. Has won 3 of 7 going today's distance.
Changes barns, from Miguel A Rodriguez to Jose G Gonzalez-Milian. An 84 top number against a 86 par, so it fits the level.
Went to the front early last out (early pace figure 87). Finished 2nd last time in a 6-horse $7,500 claiming race at PRX.
Bobbi Anne Hawthorne takes over the training from Jamie Ness. Was running in $10,000 claiming; today's $7,500 claiming is an easier level on paper.
Has moved up each time out, 60 to 78 to 82. Winner of a 7-horse $5,000 claiming race at PRX last time.
Figures have slipped: 80, 76, 68 over its last three. Sheds 11 pounds from its last start.
Last start was a win, in an 8-horse $5,000 claiming race at PRX at 1.2-1. Raises its level, $5,000 claiming last time and $7,500 claiming now.
Posted the fastest 4F work of the morning on Sep 24, in :47.00. A 78 is the high figure lately, short of the 86 par.
At a glance
- Market favourite #5 MACAW (7-2) — our number agrees.
- #5 MACAW — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (18.8% to their 17.7%).
- #6 LIBERTY STAR — our #3 number, about right at the windows (15.9% to their 15.9%).
- #4 DIAMOND HEIST — our #2 number, about right at the windows (15.8% to their 14.5%).
Model vs the morning line
- The model and the morning line roughly agree on this field.
Pace
Pressed Pace. Speed under pressure from multiple pressers. Likely honest pace, slight closer benefit.
Likely leader: #8 Capital Conquest; pressure from #4 Diamond Heist, #6 Liberty Star; the shape helps #1 Nicole's King, #2 Action Hero, #3 Face The Facts; and works against #8 Capital Conquest.
Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.
Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse
Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners
Closing Kick · late-pace figure
Bet types
Wagers offered on this race.
EXACTA / 50 CENT TRIFECTA / 10 CENT SUPERFECTA
BET OPTIONS
WinPlaceShowExactaTrifectaSuperfecta