PARX RACING · RACE 6

UPCOMING

Optional Claiming $16,000

Field

7 runners

Purse

$25,000

Post

2:55 PM ET

Pace

Pressed Pace

Model top pick

#3 · 19%

Claiming $16,000, for 3-year-olds and up.

Claiming race — every starter can be bought for the claiming price out of the race, so owners risk losing a horse that's clearly best. That keeps the field evenly matched on ability.

● Track record at 6 Furlongs: 67.21

The shape is the story here: the early pace looks honest rather than contested — expect a fairly run race where class and trip decide it, not pace collapse.

Our number tops on #3 Imperial Ruler (a presser/stalker, M/L 9-2). Recent figures: 74 · 73 · 81. Backup is #5 Jeremiahtwentynine at 7-2. Use #4 Quetzal Island in exotic structures.

What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.

The field, ranked

Our order, top to bottom.

Pressed Pace: Speed under pressure from multiple pressers. Likely honest pace, slight closer benefit.

1TOP PICK

3Imperial Ruler

Jockey Luis M Ocasio 26% career 5-for-65 on dirt this meet (8%) · Trainer Jacinto Solis 32% career 1-for-36 on dirt this meet (3%)

Also today · Jockey R1: Will's Music 10-1, R2: Peterman 6-1, R4: Butter Man 15-1 · Trainer R1: Psalmist 6-5, R5: Here She Goes 8-1

60D LAYOFFCLASS UP

New trainer: Ismael Bahena had it last time, Jacinto Solis now. Class relief: $30,000 claiming last time, optional claiming today.

PACE HELPS Sits just off the speed with pace in front to run at.

WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 2 works in 30d, last 5d ago

RECORD Luis M Ocasio from post 3 here: 15 wins, 51 top-3 in 146 rides · 9% wins from all posts here

M/L9-2

Model19%

Fav?No

StyleE/P

Last5th · 82d

22ND

5Jeremiahtwentynine

Jockey Pascacio Lopez 36% career ★ 13-for-61 on dirt this meet (21%) · Trainer Holly Harris 24% career 1-for-2 on dirt this meet

Also today · Jockey R2: Ride Jordan Ride 3-1, R3: Vance Scholars 2-1, R4: All Cylinders 4-1, R5: Randi's Girl 9-2 +3 more

★ FASTEST WORK

Last race was on the turf; today it runs on the dirt. Last out was 3rd, a head behind the winner, in an 8-horse allowance race at MED.

PACE CHALLENGE Pressured on the lead; getting clear early matters. (early-speed points: 5)

WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Sep 19 (4F in :47.60), 1 work in 30d

RECORD Pascacio Lopez from post 5 here: 22 wins, 70 top-3 in 118 rides · 22% wins from all posts here

M/L7-2

Model18%

Fav?No

StyleE

Last3rd · 25d

33RD

4Quetzal Island

Jockey Camila Hargrove 14% career ★ 5-for-24 on dirt this meet (21%) · Trainer Ilias Tapsas 32% career 1-for-20 on dirt this meet (5%)

Also today · Jockey R2: Get The Cheddar 6-1

◆ NOTE · TRIP TROUBLE6/11 board here

Cuts back from a mile to 6 furlongs. Quick turnaround, just 7 days since the last start.

EVEN PACE With the front end pressed, the late run has something to run at.

TROUBLED TRIP Ran into trouble last out (Steadied into 1st…), and the figure already reflects it.

WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 79 days ago

RECORD 1 win, 6 on the board from 11 starts here

RECORD Chestnuts win 12% here vs 14% for all horses (1,513 starts)

M/L4-1

Model16%

Fav?No

StyleS

Last4th · 7d

44TH

2Petey Motto

Jockey Eliseo Ruiz 31% career 7-for-65 on dirt this meet (11%) · Trainer Edward J Coletti 3-for-10 on dirt this meet (30%)

Also today · Jockey R1: Ad Majora 4-1, R4: Winfred 5-1, R5: R J's Girl 7-2

Jky 43/199 from post 2

A 75 is the high figure lately, short of the 83 par. Moves up from $12,500 claiming to optional claiming.

PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.

WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 1 work in 30d and the last 7 days ago

RECORD 1 win, 4 on the board from 12 starts here

RECORD Eliseo Ruiz from post 2 here: 43 wins, 109 top-3 in 199 rides · 15% wins from all posts here

M/L5-1

Model13%

Fav?No

StyleE/P

Last2nd · 21d

55TH

6Let'smakeitadouble

Jockey Mychel J Sanchez 37% career ★ 28-for-133 on dirt this meet (21%) · Trainer Jamie Ness 41% career ★ 9-for-45 on dirt this meet (20%) ★ hot

Also today · Jockey R3: Walk Away Joe 4-1, R8: Analog Jones 4-1, R9: Diamond Heist 9-2 · Trainer R2: Bertiebertbert 7-2, R3: Walk Away Joe 4-1, R8: Analog Jones 4-1, R8: Bebedouro 3-1

Changes barns, from Edward J Coletti to Jamie Ness. Needs to move up: the best of its last five is 73 against a 83 par.

PACE HELPS Stalks an honestly pressed pace from a good spot.

WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 5F on Jun 30; 1 work in 30d

RECORD 1 win, 4 on the board from 10 starts here

RECORD Mychel J Sanchez from post 6 here: 54 wins, 122 top-3 in 241 rides · 26% wins from all posts here

M/L3-1

Model16%

Fav?Yes

StyleP

Last3rd · 21d

7Splitting Stones

Jockey Francisco Martinez 33% career 9-for-94 on dirt this meet (10%) · Trainer Joann Bertone 13% career 0-for-8 on dirt this meet (0%)

Also today · Jockey R1: Psalmist 6-5, R4: Sam's Glory 5-2, R7: Hey Porter 5-1

60D LAYOFF

Switches from turf to dirt. Winless in 14 starts at this distance.

PACE CHALLENGE Has early speed but company on the front end. (early-speed points: 1)

WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 2 works in 30d, last 5d ago

RECORD 1 win, 2 on the board from 6 starts here

RECORD Francisco Martinez from post 7 here: 13 wins, 47 top-3 in 112 rides · 13% wins from all posts here

M/L8-1

Model8%

Fav?No

StyleE

Last2nd · 89d

1Corn King

Jockey Dexter Haddock 28% career 8-for-75 on dirt this meet (11%) · Trainer Richard Vega 27% career 3-for-16 on dirt this meet (19%)

Also today · Jockey R1: Tiz The Coast 5-1, R3: Prince Colton 3-1, R5: Here She Goes 8-1, R7: Martini Martin 8-1 +1 more · Trainer R3: Prince Colton 3-1, R7: Bob John Ray 4-1

WON LAST

Comes in off a victory in a 9-horse maiden claiming $12,500 race at PRX. A step up in company: maiden claiming $12,500 before, optional claiming today.

PACE HELPS Sits just off the speed with pace in front to run at.

WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 64 days ago

RECORD Dexter Haddock from post 1 here: 33 wins, 109 top-3 in 244 rides · 12% wins from all posts here

RECORD Chestnuts win 12% here vs 14% for all horses (1,513 starts)

M/L5-1

Model10%

Fav?No

StyleE/P

Last1st · 23d

At a glance

Market favourite #6 LET'SMAKEITADOUBLE (3-1) — our number has it ranked #5.
#6 LET'SMAKEITADOUBLE — our #5 number, about right at the windows (18.6% to their 19.3%).
#5 JEREMIAHTWENTYNINE — our #2 number, about right at the windows (18.1% to their 17.1%).
#3 IMPERIAL RULER — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (15.9% to their 14.0%).

Model vs the morning line · analysis, not advice

The model and the morning line roughly agree on this field.

Pace

Pressed Pace. Speed under pressure from multiple pressers. Likely honest pace, slight closer benefit.

Likely leader: #7 Splitting Stones; pressure from #5 Jeremiahtwentynine, #2 Petey Motto; the shape helps #1 Corn King, #2 Petey Motto, #3 Imperial Ruler; and works against #5 Jeremiahtwentynine, #7 Splitting Stones.

Lead

7Splitting Stones885Jeremiahtwentynine87

Press

2Petey Motto941Corn King913Imperial Ruler87

Stalk

6Let'smakeitadouble82

4Quetzal Island81

Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.

Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse

Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners

Petey Motto

Corn King

Splitting Stones

Imperial Ruler

Jeremiahtwentynine

Let'smakeitadouble

Closing Kick · late-pace figure

Quetzal Island

Bet types

Wagers offered on this race.

DAILY DOUBLE / PICK 3 (RACES 6-7-8)

EXACTA / 50 CENT TRIFECTA / 50 CENT PICK 4 (RACES 6-9) / 10 CENT SUPERFECTA

TBredIQ shows analysis only. We don’t build tickets or suggest amounts.

BET OPTIONS

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Wagers offered on this race — analysis only, no stake sizing.