R8 Charles Town · Claiming $10,000

★ Distance horse: #5 Policy Change (6-1) has the best figure in the field at today's distance and surface: 79 from 5 tries. Not in our top three.

1. 1PalagioJ. Diaz · M. MangualDiaz · MangualC57 62 67▼-7≡8-1Fair 15-16%▼ Down -757 62 67 ≡C

   Card model 6% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #7 · Tier C · Form ▼ Down -7 · ≡ Steady figures 57–67 · Last 3 figs 57 62 67

   Jockey Jose Y Diaz 33% career 7-for-73 on dirt this meet (10%) · Trainer Manolo Mangual 22% career 1-for-10 on dirt this meet (10%)

   Also today · Jockey R1: Scat 7-2, R2: Drama 5-2, R5: Golden Boss Man 9-2, R6: Radar Alert 9-2

   Manolo Mangual takes over the training from Karyn Wittek. A step up in company: $7,500 claiming before, $10,000 claiming today.

   EVEN PACE A stalking spot behind a contested lead is the useful one in this shape.

   WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 105 days ago

   RECORD Jose Y Diaz from post 1 here: 2 wins, 10 top-3 in 27 rides · 10% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/2	BTP	1m D	Clm 7k n2l	5th/5 -6½L	57	5.5-1	L	Off pace 4path; no bid
   9/12	BTP	1m T	Clm 7k n2l	4th/8 -3½L	62	1.9-1	L	2-w; evenly late
   8/29	BTP	1 1/16 D	Clm 7k n2l	2nd/4 by hd	67	1.6-1	L	Dueled; 2nd best

2. 2Military GradeJ. Barbosa · A. FarriorBarbosa · FarriorA69 68 72▼-5@trip 729-2Fair 4-120%▼ Down -569 68 72@trip 72A2

   Card model 20% · Fair odds 4-1 · Our #2 · Tier A · Form ▼ Down -5 · Best fig at today's trip 72 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 69 68 72

   Jockey Jeiron Barbosa 30% career ★ 14-for-63 on dirt this meet (22%) · Trainer Anthony Farrior 41% career 13-for-72 on dirt this meet (18%)

   Also today · Jockey R4: Crystal Veil 3-5, R6: From The Clouds 9-5 · Trainer R4: Kickin' With Caity 6-1, R4: Crystal Veil 3-5, R6: From The Clouds 9-5

   ★ FASTEST WORKJky 19/56 from post 2

   Owns the highest recent figure here at 82. Beaten 2 lengths for 3rd in a 9-horse $15,000 claiming race at LRL.

   EVEN PACE Lands behind the duel without having to be part of it.

   WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Aug 29 (4F in :48.20), 0 works in 30d

   RECORD Jeiron Barbosa from post 2 here: 19 wins, 36 top-3 in 56 rides · 23% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/2	LRL	6f D	Clm 12k n2l	3rd/9 -2L	69	2.3-1	b L	Bid btwn; ran on late
   9/18	CT	6½f D	Clm 15k n2x	3rd/9 -4½L	68	5.1-1	b L	Loop5w1/4;all-out show
   8/15	CT	7f D	Alw n2l	3rd/10 -1L	72	2.0-1	b L	5w-trip;willingly late

3. 3Market WatchM. Santaella · R. BrownSantaella · BrownA71 67 55▲▲+9@trip 784-1Fair 9-218%▲▲ Big jump +971 67 55@trip 78A3

   Card model 18% · Fair odds 9-2 · Our #3 · Tier A · Form ▲▲ Big jump +9 · Best fig at today's trip 78 (6 tries) · Last 3 figs 71 67 55

   Jockey Moises Santaella 26% career 12-for-91 on dirt this meet (13%) · Trainer Ronney W Brown 37% career 13-for-72 on dirt this meet (18%)

   Also today · Jockey R1: Monterrey 4-1, R3: Up To The Top 3-1, R5: Magic On The Bay 9-5, R6: I'm Not Catty 5-2 · Trainer R3: Up To The Top 3-1, R5: Golden Boss Man 9-2, R5: Magic On The Bay 9-5, R6: Oleg 20-1 +1 more

   5/7 board here

   Figures are climbing: 55, 67, 71 over its last three. Drops from allowance to $10,000 claiming.

   PACE CHALLENGE Early speed in a crowded front end; somebody gets worn down. (early-speed points: 7)

   WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 132d ago

   RECORD 0 wins, 5 on the board from 7 starts here

   RECORD Moises Santaella from post 3 here: 7 wins, 44 top-3 in 87 rides · 18% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/8	CT	6½f D	Alw n2l	3rd/7 -4L	71	5.4-1	b L	Hard chase2w;all-out
   8/29	CT	7f D	Clm 10k n2l	3rd/7 -½L	67	3.1-1	b L	Vied inside;evenly str
   8/1	CT	6½f D	Clm 10k n2l	3rd/6 -5L	55	1.0-1	b L	Sent;duel2w;flattened

4. 4Awegod▼W. Ho · A. KingHo · KingB65 65 59▲+5≡@trip 676-1Fair 8-112%▲ Up +565 65 59 ≡@trip 67B▼ Best fig 69 is 5+ under today's par 78

   Card model 12% · Fair odds 8-1 · Our #4 · Tier B · Form ▲ Up +5 · ≡ Steady figures 57–65 · Best fig at today's trip 67 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 65 65 59

   ▼ Best fig 69 is 5+ under today's par 78

   Jockey Wesley Ho 31% career 8-for-45 on dirt this meet (18%) · Trainer Adam King 21% career 2-for-16 on dirt this meet (12%)

   5th last time, 10 lengths back, in a field of 7. Class relief: allowance last time, $10,000 claiming today.

   EVEN PACE A stalking spot behind a contested lead is the useful one in this shape.

   WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 104 days ago

   RECORD 1 win, 1 on the board from 3 starts here

   RECORD Wesley Ho from post 4 here: 5 wins, 16 top-3 in 47 rides · 12% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/8	CT	6½f D	Alw n2l	5th/7 -10L	65	25-1	L	Slow start; no threat
   9/12	CT	6½f D	MCL 12k	Won/8 by 1½	65	2.1-1	L	Bmp;angld5w;rallied
   8/29	CT	6½f D	MSW	5th/10 -3L	59	6.4-1	L	Chase ins5/16;no kick

5. 5Policy Change★W. Cullum · S. JacksonCullum · JacksonB59 69 69▼▼-8@trip 796-1Fair 10-19%▼▼ Big drop -859 69 69@trip 79B★ Best at the trip 79

   Card model 9% · Fair odds 10-1 · Our #5 · Tier B · Form ▼▼ Big drop -8 · Best fig at today's trip 79 (5 tries) · Last 3 figs 59 69 69

   ★ Best at the trip 79

   Jockey W Cullum 26% career 1-for-15 on dirt this meet (7%) · Trainer Sherry L Jackson 31% career 1-for-12 on dirt this meet (8%)

   Also today · Jockey R1: Flag Officer 5-2 · Trainer R1: Flag Officer 5-2

   6/9 board here

   Worked 3F in :36.00 on Mar 18, 2nd of 8 at the distance. Drops from allowance to $10,000 claiming.

   EVEN PACE A stalking spot behind a contested lead is the useful one in this shape.

   TROUBLED TRIP Chart note from last time: Stumble; chased; faded. A trip worth forgiving, though the number already carries it.

   WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 1 work in 30d and the last 28d back

   RECORD 2 wins, 6 on the board from 9 starts here

   RECORD W Cullum from post 5 here: 2 wins, 6 top-3 in 43 rides · 11% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/8	CT	6½f D	Alw n2l	6th/7 -8L	59	2.3-1	b L	Stumble;chased;faded
   8/29	CT	7f D	Clm 10k n2lc	2nd/7	69	1.5-1	b L	Vied3w;chased on late
   8/16	CNL	1m D	Clm 12k n2l	2nd/7 by hd	69	0.9-1	b L	Btwn3/4p;bid3w;2d best

6. 6Notorious Hall▼C. Rodriguez · S. LaneRodriguez · LaneC54 69 55▼-5@trip 5515-1Fair 50-12%▼ Down -554 69 55@trip 55C▼ Best fig 69 is 5+ under today's par 78

   Card model 2% · Fair odds 50-1 · Our #8 · Tier C · Form ▼ Down -5 · Best fig at today's trip 55 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 54 69 55

   ▼ Best fig 69 is 5+ under today's par 78

   Jockey Carlos J Rodriguez 34% career 1-for-20 on dirt this meet (5%) · Trainer Scott J Lane 19% career 0-for-4 on dirt this meet

   Also today · Jockey R1: Cryptonym 6-1 · Trainer R1: Cryptonym 6-1

   ★ FASTEST WORK2/3 board here

   New trainer: Kevin J Joy had it last time, Scott J Lane now. Quick turnaround, just 10 days since the last start.

   PACE CHALLENGE Has to fight for the lead against company, and the fractions may cost it late. (early-speed points: 5)

   WORKS SHARP 3f in :35.80 on Jul 30 was the best time at that distance that morning; 0 works in 30d

   RECORD 1 win, 2 on the board from 3 starts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/21	CT	6½f D	Clm 5k n2lc	6th/7 -7L	54	7.6-1	b L	Urged3w3/8;no impact
   10/2	CT	6½f D	MCL 5k	Won/9	69	4.7-1	b L	Vied ins;clr1/4;drivin
   9/11	CT	7f D	MCL 5k	3rd/7 -4½L	55	3.7-1	b L	Chased ins1/4;along 3d

7. 7Go Go Jelly RollJ. Raspaldo · E. HaynesRaspaldo · HaynesA72 68 77►≡3-1Fair 3-124%► Steady72 68 77 ≡A1

   Card model 24% · Fair odds 3-1 · Our #1 · Tier A · Form ► Steady · ≡ Steady figures 68–77 · Last 3 figs 72 68 77

   Jockey Jahnxander Raspaldo 14% career 3-for-55 on dirt this meet (5%) · Trainer Ernest M Haynes 25% career 0-for-3 on dirt this meet

   ★ FASTEST WORK6/6 board here

   The Aug 13 work, 3F in :35.60, was the best time at that distance that morning. Drops from allowance to $10,000 claiming.

   EVEN PACE Can sit just off the early fight and pick up whoever tires.

   WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Aug 13 (3F in :35.60), 0 works in 30d

   RECORD On the board in all 6 starts here (0 wins)

   RECORD Jahnxander Raspaldo from post 7 here: 1 win, 10 top-3 in 22 rides · 10% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/8	CT	6½f D	Alw n2l	2nd/7 -4L	72	3.3-1	L	Press3w1/4;willingly
   6/20	CT	4½f D	Alw n2l	3rd/7 -3L	68	0.4-1	L	Btw1/8;lef-ld;rallied
   6/5	CT	4½f D	Alw n2l	2nd/7 -4½L	77	3.3-1	L	Skimmed rail1/4;rally

8. 8Bernie the Star▲M. Burnham · S. SinghBurnham · SinghB56 76 68▼▼-16@trip 765-1Fair 12-18%▼▼ Big drop -1656 76 68@trip 76B▲ Lone speed on early pace

   Card model 8% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #6 · Tier B · Form ▼▼ Big drop -16 · Best fig at today's trip 76 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 56 76 68

   ▲ Lone speed on early pace

   Jockey Matilda Burnham 21% career 2-for-4 on dirt this meet · Trainer Somraj Singh 25% career 0-for-2 on dirt this meet

   180D+ LAYOFF3/3 board here

   Back after 350 days away; fitness is the question and the works are the evidence. The longest gap in the field. Went to the front early last out (early pace figure 94).

   PACE CHALLENGE Has to fight for the lead against company, and the fractions may cost it late. (early-speed points: 8)

   WORKS SHARP One of the busier work schedules here: 1 work in 30d, last 22d ago

   RECORD On the board in all 3 starts here (0 wins)

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   11/15	LRL	7f D	OC 25k	6th/7 -6½L	56	14-1	b L	2w;met outer;tired
   10/25	LRL	7f D	MCL 25k	Won/5	76	2.4-1	b L	2-path turn;driving
   10/4	LRL	5½f D	MCL 25k	3rd/8 -½L	68	11-1	b L	Ins;met bid;duel;wkn

9. 9Barapha▼▼M. Chilo · L. ConnChilo · ConnC61 55 39▲▲+17↕@trip 5530-1Fair 99-1<1%▲▲ Big jump +1761 55 39 ↕@trip 55C▼ Best fig 62 is 5+ under today's par 78▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance rises

   Card model <1% · Fair odds 99-1 · Our #9 · Tier C · Form ▲▲ Big jump +17 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 37–61 · Best fig at today's trip 55 (5 tries) · Last 3 figs 61 55 39

   ▼ Best fig 62 is 5+ under today's par 78▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance rises

   Jockey Maximo Chilo 25% career 4-for-34 on dirt this meet (12%) · Trainer Linda P Conn 17% career 0-for-4 on dirt this meet

   Also today · Jockey R2: Speedy Bubbles 9-5, R3: Malibu Candy 12-1, R5: Thunder Pass 15-1, R7: Mr Mahomes 10-1

   CLASS UP

   0 for 10 at today's distance. Best recent figure is 61, well under the 78 par for this level.

   PACE HELPS Several horses want the lead, which is the early heat a closer is looking for.

   WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 98 days ago

   RECORD 0 wins, 2 on the board from 10 starts here

   RECORD Maximo Chilo from post 9 here: 2 wins, 11 top-3 in 43 rides · 9% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/14	CT	6½f D	fsClm15000n2l	5th/8 -12L	61	74-1	b	Slow st;4w1/8;no kick
   9/19	CT	7f D	sClm10000n2l	5th/8 -10L	55	65-1	b	Off pace3w;no impact
   8/22	CT	6½f D	fsClm10000n2l	5th/6 -13L	39	71-1	b	Bump;save;no impact

▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: fast and contested (5 early types). Helps stalkers and closers.