R6 CTD · Claiming $6,000

1. 1Absolut JohnR. Griffith · C. SmithGriffith · SmithC38 72 48▼▼-19↕@trip 4810-1Fair 15-16%▼▼ Big drop -1938 72 48 ↕@trip 48C

   Card model 6% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #8 · Tier C · Form ▼▼ Big drop -19 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 38–72 · Best fig at today's trip 48 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 38 72 48

   Jockey Rashaun Delane T Griffith 23% career 0-for-5 on dirt this meet · Trainer Craig Robert Smith 32% career 6-for-53 on dirt this meet (11%)

   Also today · Trainer R3: N Two O 10-1, R3: Gregarious Gal 7-2, R5: Sky Music 20-1, this race: Tranquil Tundra 3-1

   Last out was 7th, 14 lengths behind the winner, in a 7-horse $8,000 claiming race at CTD. Drops from $8,000 claiming to $6,000 claiming.

   EVEN PACE Lands behind the duel without having to be part of it.

   TROUBLED TRIP 5w; through early last out; the speed figure already reflects it.

   WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 1 work in 30d, last 9d ago

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   9/20	CTD	6f D	Clm 6k n2l	7th/7 -14L	38	6.0-1	L	5w;through early
   8/21	CML	6f D	Clm 6k n2l	2nd/5 -2L	72	15-1	L	Alertly;closed late
   7/25	CML	6½f D	Clm 6k n2l	5th/6 -9½L	48	11-1	L	Stalked3w;tired

2. 2Gingers GiantL. Steadman · G. AndersonSteadman · AndersonA54 61 75▼▼-15@trip 725-2Fair 7-222%▼▼ Big drop -1554 61 75@trip 72A1

   Card model 22% · Fair odds 7-2 · Our #1 · Tier A · Form ▼▼ Big drop -15 · Best fig at today's trip 72 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 54 61 75

   Jockey Linton Leon Steadman 22% career 4-for-25 on dirt this meet (16%) · Trainer Gonzalo Anderson 33% career 6-for-50 on dirt this meet (12%)

   Also today · Jockey R7: Anothersunnyday 5-2 · Trainer R5: Max Booster 10-1, this race: Dri Saddle 10-1, R7: Anothersunnyday 5-2

   ★ FASTEST WORK

   Class relief: $15,000 claiming last time, $6,000 claiming today. Figures have slipped: 75, 61, 54 over its last three.

   PACE CHALLENGE Early speed in a crowded front end; somebody gets worn down. (early-speed points: 5)

   WORKS SHARP 4f in :48.00 on Aug 19 was the best time at that distance that morning; 0 works in 30d

   RECORD 0 wins, 1 on the board from 5 starts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/9	CTD	7½f D	Clm 12k b	7th/8 -8L	54	4.8-1		Stalked;lacked bid
   9/25	CTD	6f D	Clm 12k b	4th/6 -3L	61	29-1		Stalked;faded
   8/28	CML	6f D	Clm 12k b	2nd/5 -3L	75	7.2-1		Bumped;no match

3. 3Tranquil TundraN. Prescod · C. SmithPrescod · SmithB55 58 71▼-3↕@trip 443-1Fair 9-219%▼ Down -355 58 71 ↕@trip 44B2

   Card model 19% · Fair odds 9-2 · Our #2 · Tier B · Form ▼ Down -3 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 44–71 · Best fig at today's trip 44 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 55 58 71

   Jockey N'Rico Prescod 28% career 1-for-28 on dirt this meet (4%) · Trainer Craig Robert Smith 32% career 6-for-53 on dirt this meet (11%)

   Also today · Jockey R1: Brodys Souvenir 6-5, R3: N Two O 10-1, R5: Chaotic Sky 9-5, R7: Affair 20-1 +1 more · Trainer R3: N Two O 10-1, R3: Gregarious Gal 7-2, R5: Sky Music 20-1, this race: Absolut John 10-1

   CLASS DROP

   Trending the wrong way on speed, 71 to 58 to 55. Cuts back from 7½ furlongs to 6½ furlongs.

   EVEN PACE A stalking spot behind a contested lead is the useful one in this shape.

   WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 34d ago

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/9	CTD	7½f D	Clm 12k b	6th/8 -6½L	55	5.8-1	L	Reserved;3w;lackedclse
   10/3	CTD	1 1/16 D	OC 17k n2x	6th/6 -11L	58	29-1	L	Offered little
   9/12	CML	1 1/16 D	sBeaufort60k	5th/10 -2½L	71	12-1	L	Prominent; evenly late

4. 4Come on Big Lou▲LSJ. Asencio · T. RycroftAsencio · RycroftA59 43 86►↕@trip 7010-1Fair 10-19%► Steady59 43 86 ↕@trip 70A▲ Lone speed on early paceLS

   Card model 9% · Fair odds 10-1 · Our #4 · Tier A · Form ► Steady · ↕ Up-and-down figures 43–86 · Best fig at today's trip 70 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 59 43 86

   ▲ Lone speed on early paceLS

   Longshot read: 10-1 on the morning line, and the model has it at 9% against a line of 7%. A read, not a bet.

   Jockey Jose Mariano Asencio 36% career 4-for-32 on dirt this meet (12%) · Trainer Tom Rycroft 36% career ★ 12-for-60 on dirt this meet (20%) ★ hot

   Also today · Jockey R2: River Rock Fire 4-1, R4: Scuffle 4-5, R5: Last Harbor 8-5, R7: Gimlet 3-1 +1 more · Trainer R8: Who's That Baby 4-1

   ★ FASTEST WORK

   Best Brisnet figure in the field over its last five: 86, with 78 next best. Quick turnaround, just 6 days since the last start.

   PACE CHALLENGE Has to fight for the lead against company, and the fractions may cost it late. (early-speed points: 8)

   TROUBLED TRIP Pressed; faltered last out; the speed figure already reflects it.

   WORKS SHARP 4f in :47.40 on Oct 15 was the best time at that distance that morning; 1 work in 30d

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/24	CTD	6½f D	Clm 5k	7th/7 -4L	59	14-1	b L	Pressed;faltered
   9/20	CTD	6f D	Clm 6k n2l	6th/7 -4L	43	1.8-1	b L	Setpace;wilted
   8/22	GPR	4f D	Clm 5k b	2nd/4 -2L	86	0.7-1	b	Prssdldr2p;heldplace

5. 5Blue Granite▼K. Natera · W. SmithNatera · SmithC50 57 59▼▼-10@trip 6620-1Fair 20-14%▼▼ Big drop -1050 57 59@trip 66C▼ Best fig 66 is 5+ under today's par 76

   Card model 4% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #7 · Tier C · Form ▼▼ Big drop -10 · Best fig at today's trip 66 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 50 57 59

   ▼ Best fig 66 is 5+ under today's par 76

   Jockey Keihton Natera 29% career 4-for-31 on dirt this meet (13%) · Trainer W Darcy Smith 32% career

   Also today · Jockey R1: Call Darla 8-1, R2: Rough Customer 8-1, R3: El Rocknroll 10-1, R4: Red Charity 6-1 +2 more · Trainer R1: Call Darla 8-1, R2: Wocka Wocka 8-1, R2: Rough Customer 8-1

   W Darcy Smith takes over the training from Rodney Cone. Finished 6th in a 6-horse $6,000 claiming race at CTD, beaten 14 lengths.

   PACE CHALLENGE Early speed in a crowded front end; somebody gets worn down. (early-speed points: 2)

   WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 90d back)

   RECORD 0 wins, 1 on the board from 3 starts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/16	CTD	7½f D	Clm 6k n2l	6th/6 -14L	50	7.3-1	b L	Stalked;tired
   10/2	CTD	1 1/16 D	Clm 6k b	6th/8 -14L	57	39-1	b L	Trailed;outrun
   9/20	CTD	6f D	Clm 6k n2l	2nd/7 -3L	59	38-1	b L	Gained;rallied2nd

6. 6Biz Appeal▼C. Vidaurri · K. OberholtzerVidaurri · OberholtzerC5920-1Fair 30-13%—59C▼ Best fig 59 is 5+ under today's par 76

   Card model 3% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #9 · Tier C · Last 3 figs 59

   ▼ Best fig 59 is 5+ under today's par 76

   Jockey Cesar Vidaurri 0-for-13 on dirt this meet (0%) · Trainer Kevin Oberholtzer 26% career 1-for-4 on dirt this meet

   Also today · Jockey R1: Casually Classy 10-1, R5: Shocking Malice 10-1 · Trainer R1: Casually Classy 10-1, R5: Shocking Malice 10-1

   WON LAST

   New trainer: Daniel Oberholtzer had it last time, Kevin Oberholtzer now. Goes 6½ furlongs after running -5½ furlongs last time.

   PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.

   WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 75d back)

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/3	LBG	-5½f D	MSW	Won/7 by hd	—	4.2-1	b	Rallied
   9/20	LBG	-5½f D	MSW	3rd/6 -1L	—	15-1	b	Gave way
   9/6	LBG	-5½f D	MSW	4th/4 -4L	—	3.7-1	b	No threat

7. 7Dri Saddle▼R. Balgobin · G. AndersonBalgobin · AndersonB61 -3 71▲▲+19↕10-1Fair 10-19%▲▲ Big jump +1961 -3 71 ↕B▼ Best fig 71 is 5+ under today's par 76

   Card model 9% · Fair odds 10-1 · Our #5 · Tier B · Form ▲▲ Big jump +19 · ↕ Up-and-down figures -3–71 · Last 3 figs 61 -3 71

   ▼ Best fig 71 is 5+ under today's par 76

   Jockey Richard Balgobin 27% career 7-for-56 on dirt this meet (12%) · Trainer Gonzalo Anderson 33% career 6-for-50 on dirt this meet (12%)

   Also today · Jockey R3: Gregarious Gal 7-2, R5: Max Booster 10-1, R8: Hoax 5-1 · Trainer R5: Max Booster 10-1, this race: Gingers Giant 5-2, R7: Anothersunnyday 5-2

   Sheds 5 pounds from its last start. Was running in $8,000 claiming; today's $6,000 claiming is an easier level on paper.

   EVEN PACE Lands behind the duel without having to be part of it.

   WORKS Routine prep: 2 works in 30d, last 24d ago

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/16	CTD	7½f D	Clm 6k n2l	3rd/6 -6L	61	6.4-1	L	3w;chsd4w;improved
   9/12	CML	1 1/16 D	sBeaufort60k	10th/10 -27L	-3	40-1	L	3-w; gave way
   7/25	CML	1 1/16 D	MCL 6k	Won/6	71	0.6-1	L	Setpace;going away

8. 8Dura's HawkeyeK. Chase · D. NicholsonChase · NicholsonA63 65 61▼-4@trip 637-2Fair 6-114%▼ Down -463 65 61@trip 63A

   Card model 14% · Fair odds 6-1 · Our #6 · Tier A · Form ▼ Down -4 · Best fig at today's trip 63 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 63 65 61

   Jockey Kemar Richard Chase 16% career 0-for-16 on dirt this meet (0%) · Trainer David Nicholson 23% career 0-for-17 on dirt this meet (0%)

   Also today · Jockey R2: Wocka Wocka 8-1 · Trainer R4: Scuffle 4-5, R8: Maturity Date 10-1

   Runs for $12,000 today after a $50,000 race last time. Went to the front early last out (early pace figure 86).

   PACE CHALLENGE One of several that want the lead, so the early work will cost something. (early-speed points: 3)

   WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Aug 8 (4F in :47.00), 1 work in 30d

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/17	CTD	6½f D	sABSireDby50k	5th/5 -1½L	63	13-1	b L	Tookpressure;gaveway
   9/12	CML	1 1/16 D	sBeaufort60k	7th/10 -3¾L	65	12-1	b L	Set pace; weakened
   8/14	CML	7f D	OC 17k n2x	5th/5 -11L	61	12-1	b	2;3-w; no factor

9. 9Alberta's Storm▼K. Trotman · C. RumseyTrotman · RumseyB52 57 55▼▼-9@trip 716-1Fair 7-113%▼▼ Big drop -952 57 55@trip 71B▼ Best fig 71 is 5+ under today's par 763

   Card model 13% · Fair odds 7-1 · Our #3 · Tier B · Form ▼▼ Big drop -9 · Best fig at today's trip 71 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 52 57 55

   ▼ Best fig 71 is 5+ under today's par 76

   Jockey Keimar Trotman 27% career 3-for-33 on dirt this meet (9%) · Trainer Cory Rumsey 15% career 1-for-19 on dirt this meet (5%)

   Also today · Jockey R7: Starfall 12-1 · Trainer R7: Starfall 12-1

   CLASS UP

   Back to 6½ furlongs off a 7½ furlongs race. Led at the first call last time.

   PACE CHALLENGE Early speed in a crowded front end; somebody gets worn down. (early-speed points: 7)

   WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 70 days ago

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/9	CTD	7½f D	Clm 12k b	8th/8 -8L	52	19-1	b	Setpace;gaveway
   9/20	CTD	6f D	Clm 6k n2l	3rd/7 -3½L	57	8.8-1	b	Outsprinted;bested
   8/29	CML	6f D	Alw n2l	9th/9 -13L	55	22-1	b	Stalked3-4w;done early

▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: fast and contested (6 early types). Helps stalkers and closers.