FINGER LAKES · RACE 6
UPCOMINGMaiden Special Weight
Maiden Special Weight, for fillies, 2-year-olds.
Maiden special weight — for horses that have never won a race. No horses are for sale; this is the higher-quality way to break a maiden.
● Track record at 5 1/2 Furlongs: 62.8
The shape is the story here: the early pace looks honest rather than contested — expect a fairly run race where class and trip decide it, not pace collapse.
Our number tops on #3 Financial Star (a closer, M/L 3-1). Recent figures: 64 · 59. Backup is #6 Tornado Control at 2-1. Use #2 Nashville Knockout in exotic structures.
What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.
The field, ranked
Our order, top to bottom.
Runs for $32,600 today after a $176,238 race last time. Owns the highest recent figure here at 64.
In the morning works, it was the fastest 5F work of its morning on Oct 21 (1:01.00). There is gate work on its record, the latest on Oct 21.
Debut for a Nashville youngster; the sire's listed stud fee is $20,000. This barn has 69 first-time starters on record and wins 17% of them.
Debut for a trainer who is 13% with first-timers, over 38 starts. Worked 3F in :37.20 on Oct 6, 3rd fastest of 8 that morning.
Unraced so far; the pedigree is Enticed out of Pass The Bar. On Oct 3 it was 3rd of 7 at 5F (1:03.20).
Finished 6th in a 6-horse maiden special weight race at FL, beaten 11 lengths. Needs to move up: the best of its last five is 33 against a 72 par.
Andre Shivnarine Worrie takes over from J M Rohena in the saddle. Last out was 5th, 11 lengths behind the winner, in a 7-horse maiden special weight race at FL.
At a glance
- Market favourite #6 TORNADO CONTROL (2-1) — our number has it ranked #2.
- #6 TORNADO CONTROL — our #2 number, about right at the windows (24.6% to their 26.0%).
- #3 FINANCIAL STAR — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (21.1% to their 19.5%).
- #2 NASHVILLE KNOCKOUT — our #3 number, about right at the windows (16.2% to their 15.6%).
Model vs the morning line
- The model and the morning line roughly agree on this field.
Pace
Pace Vacuum. No real early speed. Whoever shows up first is likely uncontested. Pressers benefit.
and works against #1 Words Of War, #2 Nashville Knockout, #3 Financial Star.
Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.
Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse
Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners
Closing Kick · late-pace figure
Bet types
Wagers offered on this race.
EXACTA * TRIFECTA * SUPERFECTA (10 CENT MINIMUM) * DAILY DOUBLE (RACES 6-7) *
PICK 3 (50 CENT MINIMUM: RACES 6-7-8)
BET OPTIONS
WinPlaceShowExactaTrifectaSuperfecta