FINGER LAKES · RACE 1

UPCOMING

Allowance · $26,500 purse

Field

6 runners

Purse

$26,500

Post

12:55 PM ET

Pace

Speed Duel

Model top pick

#1 · 28%

Allowance, for fillies and mares, 3-year-olds and up, that have not won two races lifetime.

Allowance race — a step above claiming. No horses are for sale; written conditions limit the field to horses of similar experience.

● Track record at 6 Furlongs: 68.2

The shape is the story here: 4 confirmed front-runners should pressure each other early, which tilts the race toward stalkers and closers who can pick up the pieces late.

Our number tops on #1 Enterprisingly (a closer, M/L 2-1). Recent figures: 71 · 74 · 66. It hit the board last time and stays in form. Backup is #3 Gramma G G at 3-1. Use #2 Majorsdreamcometru in exotic structures.

What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.

The field, ranked

Our order, top to bottom.

Speed Duel: Three or more early-speed types. Fast pace, hot fractions — closers benefit.

1TOP PICK

1Enterprisingly

Jockey Kevin Navarro 29% career 6-for-48 on dirt this meet (12%) · Trainer Jonathan B Buckley 34% career 10-for-52 on dirt this meet (19%)

Also today · Jockey R3: Intentious 8-5, R5: Mystery Solved 8-1, R6: Sunshine Lucile 8-1 · Trainer this race: Grandma's Girl 4-1, R2: Tekila 2-1, R3: Intentious 8-5, R5: Mystery Solved 8-1 +1 more

4/5 board here

Shortens up to 6 furlongs after going 1 1/16 miles. Ranks first in the field on Brisnet Prime Power.

PACE HELPS Several horses want the lead, which is the early heat a closer is looking for.

WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 153d ago

RECORD 1 win, 4 on the board from 5 starts here

M/L2-1

Model28%

Fav?Yes

StyleS

Last2nd · 29d

22ND

3Gramma G G

Jockey Andre Shivnarine Worrie 35% career 16-for-87 on dirt this meet (18%) · Trainer Chris Englehart 34% career 8-for-44 on dirt this meet (18%) ★ hot

Also today · Jockey R4: Stjames 6-1, R5: Cream Puff 4-1, R6: Iron Hall 5-1, R8: Allo Enry 5-1 · Trainer R3: Play Good Pay Good 5-2

LASIX 1ST

Best recent figure is 65, well under the 79 par for this level. Was 7th of 8 at the first call last time.

PACE HELPS The front end should be a fight, and this one gets to wait on it.

WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 49 days ago

RECORD 1 win, 1 on the board from 3 starts here

M/L3-1

Model20%

Fav?No

StyleS

Last6th · 22d

33RD

2Majorsdreamcometru

Jockey Jeremias Flores 32% career 9-for-48 on dirt this meet (19%) · Trainer Paul Barrow 32% career ★ 16-for-80 on dirt this meet (20%)

Also today · Jockey R6: Nashville Knockout 4-1 · Trainer R5: Marion Grit 10-1, R6: Nashville Knockout 4-1, R8: Can't Beat Me 5-2

★ FASTEST WORKWON LAST

Comes in off a victory in a 9-horse maiden special weight race at FL. Owns the highest recent figure here at 82.

PACE CHALLENGE Has to fight for the lead against company, and the fractions may cost it late. (early-speed points: 3)

WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Aug 31 (5F in 1:00.40), 1 work in 30d

M/L5-2

Model22%

Fav?No

StyleE

Last1st · 23d

44TH

4Grandma's Girl

Jockey Joel Cruz 33% career ★ 17-for-78 on dirt this meet (22%), #2 of 25 · Trainer Jonathan B Buckley 34% career 10-for-52 on dirt this meet (19%) ★ hot

Also today · Jockey R2: Tekila 2-1, R5: Surf Drive 8-1, R7: Beev's Blessing 6-1 · Trainer this race: Enterprisingly 2-1, R2: Tekila 2-1, R3: Intentious 8-5, R5: Mystery Solved 8-1 +1 more

180D+ LAYOFFLASIX 1ST3 WORKS IN 30 DAYSWON LAST

Freshened 358 days, longer than anything else in the field. Watch how its recent works look. Last start was a win, in a 9-horse maiden special weight race at FL at 2.1-1.

PACE CHALLENGE Early speed in a crowded front end; somebody gets worn down. (early-speed points: 6)

WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 3 works in 30d and the last 8d back

M/L4-1

Model16%

Fav?No

StyleE

Last1st · 358d

55TH

6Light The Mira

Jockey L E Perez 32% career 13-for-67 on dirt this meet (19%) · Trainer Charlton Baker 27% career ★ 5-for-23 on dirt this meet (22%)

Also today · Jockey R2: Esther's Salad 3-1, R4: Mad Magic 5-1, R6: Tornado Control 2-1, R7: Trinity River 5-2 · Trainer R3: Spun Size 6-1

★ FASTEST WORK5/9 board here

Jockey switch: Joel Cruz last out, L E Perez today. 0 for 5 at today's distance.

PACE CHALLENGE Has to fight for the lead against company, and the fractions may cost it late. (early-speed points: 3)

WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Sep 22 (5F in 1:01.20), 1 work in 30d

RECORD 1 win, 5 on the board from 9 starts here

M/L8-1

Model8%

Fav?No

StyleE

Last4th · 22d

5Pencima

Jockey Jose Ventura 17% career 0-for-12 on dirt this meet (0%) · Trainer Assaf Ronen 24% career 1-for-6 on dirt this meet

★ FASTEST WORK

A step up in company: $11,000 claiming before, allowance today. Back to 6 furlongs off a a mile race.

PACE CHALLENGE Early speed in a crowded front end; somebody gets worn down. (early-speed points: 3)

WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 35d ago

RECORD 1 win, 4 on the board from 11 starts here

M/L15-1

Model5%

Fav?No

StyleE

Last7th · 14d

At a glance

Market favourite #1 ENTERPRISINGLY (2-1) — our number agrees.
#1 ENTERPRISINGLY — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (26.9% to their 26.8%).
#2 MAJORSDREAMCOMETRU — our #3 number, about right at the windows (22.3% to their 23.0%).
#3 GRAMMA G G — our #2 number, about right at the windows (20.5% to their 20.1%).

Model vs the morning line · analysis, not advice

The model and the morning line roughly agree on this field.

Pace

Speed Duel. Three or more early-speed types. Fast pace, hot fractions — closers benefit.

Likely leader: #2 Majorsdreamcometru; pressure from #4 Grandma's Girl, #6 Light The Mira; the shape helps #1 Enterprisingly, #3 Gramma G G; and works against #2 Majorsdreamcometru, #4 Grandma's Girl, #5 Pencima.

Lead

2Majorsdreamcometru1004Grandma's Girl936Light The Mira885Pencima72

Press

none

Stalk

none

3Gramma G G821Enterprisingly73

Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.

Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse

Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners

Majorsdreamcometru

100

Grandma's Girl

Light The Mira

Pencima

Closing Kick · late-pace figure

Enterprisingly

Gramma G G

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