● Live race intelligence · code FL

Finger Lakes

Wednesday, October 28, 2026.

Races
8
on the card
Feature
R5
Maiden Special Weight · $33K
First post
12:55 PM
ET · race 1
Top model win %
33%
#5 Lisa Loves

● Track conditions today

Finger Lakes — today's signals

Surface read

±0.56s STEADY

Surface holds steady day to day — final times read true off the page, so our speed figures need little adjustment here.

day-to-day swing · 89 race-days sampled

Weather

Unavailable

No forecast for this track right now — surface read defaults to the listed condition.

Carryover pool

None today

No mandatory or jackpot carryover detected at this track. Standard pools today.

Do the model's percentages hold up?

Mostly

Across finished races the model's win chances mostly match how often its picks win, but its most confident picks win a few points less than it says. The morning-line favourite still wins more often than the model's top pick.

checked against 2,848 finished races · as of 2026-06-06

TRACK BIAS · WIN % BY POST

Best post #1 (14%) · Rail helps

Even by post — inside 13% / outside 10%. Bars show each post’s win rate vs the track average over 15,544 starts.

avg 13%14%113%212%313%414%513%613%711%8

Where the model is most sure

Three highest model win %.

The three races where the model's top pick has its highest win chance, with the morning line beside it. Most of these are the favourite too. Tap for the full race.

R5 · 5 1/2 Furlongs Dirt

#5 Lisa Loves

Coa Keiber J · Ferraro M Anthony

Model win %
33%
Vs favourite
Agrees
M/L
5-2

R1 · 6 Furlongs Dirt

#1 Enterprisingly

Navarro Kevin · Buckley Jonathan B

Model win %
28%
Vs favourite
Agrees
M/L
2-1

R2 · 1 Mile Dirt

#6 Esther's Salad

Perez L E · Sells Rachel

Model win %
28%
Vs favourite
Differs
M/L
3-1

Top connections on the card

Trainers + jockeys to watch.

Trainer leaderboard

  1. Ferraro M Anthony4 top picks
  2. Buckley Jonathan B2 top picks
  3. D'Alessandro Ralph2 top picks
  4. Englehart Chris1 top picks
  5. Sells Rachel1 top picks

Jockey leaderboard

  1. Coa Keiber J4 top picks
  2. Perez L E2 top picks
  3. Navarro Kevin1 top picks
  4. Worrie Andre Shivnarine1 top picks
  5. Cruz Joel1 top picks

Multi-race wagers

Today's sequences, leg by leg.

Every Daily Double and Pick 3/4/5/6 on today's card, with the model's top pick in each leg, or its top two or three when the leg is close. A Pick N is one pari-mutuel pool: you need the winner of every leg, and the pool is split among the tickets that have them all. This is analysis, not a ticket or a staking plan.

Early Pick 5Races 1–5 · 5 min
R1#1 EnterprisinglyTop pick
R2#6 Esther's SaladTop pick
R3#3 BernieandtheroseTop pick
R4#6 Raw CourageTop pick
R5#5 Lisa LovesTop pick
The model’s read per leg, not a ticket.
Pick 3Races 2–4 · 3 min
R2#6 Esther's SaladTop pick
R3#3 BernieandtheroseTop pick
R4#6 Raw CourageTop pick
The model’s read per leg, not a ticket.
Pick 4Races 3–5 · 3 min
R3#3 BernieandtheroseTop pick
R4#6 Raw CourageTop pick
R5#5 Lisa LovesTop pick
The model’s read per leg, not a ticket.
Late Pick 5Races 4–8 · 5 min
R4#6 Raw CourageTop pick
R5#5 Lisa LovesTop pick
R6#3 Financial StarTop pick
R7#4 Henry's Hope · #7 Probably Flattery · #2 Beev's BlessingClose: top 3
R8#3 Camm' DukeTop pick
The model’s read per leg, not a ticket.
Late Pick 4Races 5–8 · 4 min
R5#5 Lisa LovesTop pick
R6#3 Financial StarTop pick
R7#4 Henry's Hope · #7 Probably Flattery · #2 Beev's BlessingClose: top 3
R8#3 Camm' DukeTop pick
The model’s read per leg, not a ticket.
Pick 3Races 6–8 · 3 min
R6#3 Financial StarTop pick
R7#4 Henry's Hope · #7 Probably Flattery · #2 Beev's BlessingClose: top 3
R8#3 Camm' DukeTop pick
The model’s read per leg, not a ticket.

Today's races

Race-by-race with archetype.

Each race is tagged with pace archetype (TACTICAL · SPEED DUEL · LONE SPEED · CLOSERS' RACE · PACE VACUUM · PRESSED PACE). Click any row for the full Verdict, Pace Shape, Full Field, Workouts, and Wagers.

R01

6 Furlongs Dirt · Allowance · $26,500 purse

Purse $26,500 · 6 entered · Post 12:55 PM ET

SPEED DUEL

Model's top pick

#1 Enterprisingly

Navarro Kevin / Buckley Jonathan B

M/L

2-1

Model 28% · agrees with the favourite

VIEW →
R02

1 Mile Dirt · Claiming $5,000

Purse $14,000 · 6 entered · Post 1:24 PM ET

CLOSERS' RACE

Model's top pick

#6 Esther's Salad

Perez L E / Sells Rachel

M/L

3-1

Model 28% · favourite is #4

VIEW →
R03

6 Furlongs Dirt · Optional Claiming $30,000

Purse $29,000 · 6 entered · Post 1:53 PM ET

TACTICAL / HONEST

Model's top pick

#3 Bernieandtherose

Hernandez Moreno Omar / Schettino Dominick A

M/L

5-1

Model 21% · favourite is #4

VIEW →
R04

1 3/16 Miles Dirt · State-Bred Allowance · $17,500 purse

Purse $17,500 · 6 entered · Post 2:22 PM ET

TACTICAL / HONEST

Model's top pick

#6 Raw Courage

Rohena J M / Khan Aadil S

M/L

2-1

Model 26% · agrees with the favourite

VIEW →
R05

5 1/2 Furlongs Dirt · Maiden Special Weight

Purse $32,600 · 8 entered · Post 2:51 PM ET

SPEED DUEL

Model's top pick

#5 Lisa Loves

Coa Keiber J / Ferraro M Anthony

M/L

5-2

Model 33% · agrees with the favourite

VIEW →
R06

5 1/2 Furlongs Dirt · Maiden Special Weight

Purse $32,600 · 7 entered · Post 3:20 PM ET

PACE VACUUM

Model's top pick

#3 Financial Star

Coa Keiber J / D'Alessandro Ralph

M/L

3-1

Model 25% · favourite is #6

VIEW →
R07

5 1/2 Furlongs Dirt · Claiming $11,000

Purse $17,800 · 7 entered · Post 3:49 PM ET

SPEED DUEL

Model's top pick

#4 Henry's Hope

Gutierrez Reylu / Gutierrez Luis A

M/L

4-1

Model 21% · favourite is #7

VIEW →
R08

5 1/2 Furlongs Dirt · Claiming $4,000

Purse $11,200 · 7 entered · Post 4:18 PM ET

SPEED DUEL

Model's top pick

#3 Camm' Duke

Vives Sofia / Ferraro Michael

M/L

4-1

Model 21% · favourite is #6

VIEW →
For information only — not financial or wagering advice. Must be 21+ to wager where required by law. If gambling is affecting you or someone you know, help is available.