Pick sheet

Race 41:35 PM Clm 6250Early Pick 4 starts

1 Mi · Dirt · 6 entered. Our model's top pick, Wannabeeloved, is 36% to win (morning line implies 28%). Pace: fast and contested (4 early types). Helps stalkers and closers.

Top pick #3 Wannabeeloved ML 9-5 Fair 9-5 Model #1 ► Steady

Jockey D. Herrera · Trainer A. Sanchez · KEE 19: 2-3-9 · Dist 3: 0-1-2 · best fig at 1m dirt 81 · 21 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/10	GP	1m D	Clm 6k	2nd/5 -1L	74	4.5-1	b L	Led;svd gnd;chase on
9/19	GP	1m D	Clm 6k	3rd/9 -3¼L	77	3.4-1	b L	Lacked kick;ran on
8/31	GP	1m D	Clm 6k	3rd/6 -1½L	81	7.6-1	b L	Steady 1/4; came again

Case: Last out 2nd in the Clm6250 at GP. Last Brisnet figures 74-77-81. Best at today's distance 81. 0-for-3 at the distance. 2-for-19 at Gulfstream Park. A. Sanchez / D. Herrera.

Knock: 0-for-3 at the distance.

Contender #2 Brooklyn Guy ML 5-2 Fair 7-2 Model #2 ▲ Up +5 ↕ Up and down 55–79

Jockey C. Cedeno · Trainer R. Coy · KEE 10: 1-0-1 · Dist 15: 3-1-4 · best fig at 1m dirt 86 · 28 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/3	GP	1m D	Clm 12k	5th/6 -5½L	71	6.4-1	b L	Trailed; no threat;
8/17	GP	1m D	Clm 10k b	2nd/5 -1L	79	2.2-1	b L	Bumped 1/16; gamely
6/13	GP	1m D	OC 20k	4th/5 -10L	65	7.3-1	b	Fell back; no threat

Case: Last out 5th/6 -5½L in the Clm12500 at GP. Last Brisnet figures 71-79-65. Best at today's distance 86. 3-for-15 at the distance. 1-for-10 at Gulfstream Park. R. Coy / C. Cedeno.

Knock: Nothing glaring on paper.

Use #6 Brother Brad ML 5-1 Fair 7-1 Model #3 ▼▼ Big drop -13 ★ Best at 1m dirt: 91 ↕ Up and down 68–91 Last out 7th/9 -8½L in the Clm6250c at GP. Last Brisnet figures 68-71-81. Best at today's distance 91. 5-for-20 at the distance. 5-for-15 at Gulfstream Park. S. Klesaris / J. Torrealba. Knock: Our model rates this one below its morning line.

Jockey J. Torrealba · Trainer S. Klesaris · KEE 15: 5-3-3 · Dist 20: 5-5-4 · best fig at 1m dirt 91 · 42 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/19	GP	1m D	Clm 6k c	7th/9 -8½L	68	3.0-1	L	Failed to menace
8/31	GP	1m T	Clm 17k b	8th/8 -8½L	71	14-1	L	2w; tired
8/8	GP	1m T	Clm 17k b	4th/9 -4¼L	81	20-1	L	Inside;gaining late

Longshot #5 Friolento ML 12-1 Fair 15-1 Model #6 ► Steady ↕ Up and down 56–82

Jockey J. Morelos · Trainer S. Pulgarin · KEE 14: 2-0-3 · Dist 3: 1-0-1 · best fig at 1m dirt 82 · 42 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/19	GP	1m D	Clm 6k	8th/9 -5½L	67	7.4-1	b L	Early drive;no respons
8/23	GP	1m D	Clm 10k b	Won/5 by 1	82	6.8-1	b L	Carried out; prevailed
7/11	GP	6f D	Clm 10k b	3rd/8 -6½L	70	23-1	b L	4-5w turn;moved up

Case: Last out 8th/9 -5½L in the Clm6250 at GP. Last Brisnet figures 67-82-70. Best at today's distance 82. 1-for-3 at the distance. 2-for-14 at Gulfstream Park. S. Pulgarin / J. Morelos.

Knock: Nothing glaring on paper.

Narrowing the field: A #1, #3, #6 · B #2, #4, #5

R4 Gulfstream Park · Claiming $6,250

1:35 PM ET · 1 Mile Dirt · $21,000 · 3 runners (3 out)1:35 PM · 1m Dirt · 3 runners (3 out)

Official $21K · Claiming $6,250

Card modelCard model StrongFormLast 3 figsTier · angles

1Blue Slide ParkRan 1stJ. Santos · P. GarciaSantos · GarciaA69 76 86▼▼-11@trip 866-1Fair 10-19%▼▼ Big drop -1169 76 86@trip 86A

Card model 9% · Fair odds 10-1 · Our #5 · Tier A · Form ▼▼ Big drop -11 · Best fig at today's trip 86 (6 tries) · Last 3 figs 69 76 86

Jockey Jonathan Santos 32% career 5-for-38 on dirt this meet (13%) · Trainer Pedro R Garcia 32% career 1-for-9 on dirt this meet (11%)

Also today · Jockey R2: Emerging Leader 4-1, R3: Rockin Empire 15-1, R5: Hidden Agenda 30-1, R6: Swell 20-1 +2 more · Trainer R3: Fifteen Hundred R 5-1

CLASS DROP

New trainer: Pedro Jr Garcia had it last time, Pedro R Garcia now. Trending the wrong way on speed, 86 to 76 to 69.

PACE HELPS Stalks an honestly pressed pace from a good spot.

WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 90 days ago

RECORD 1 win, 3 on the board from 9 starts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/10	GP	1m D	Clm 6k	4th/5 -5L	69	2.1-1	b L	Outside;2p;no kick
9/12	GP	1 1/16 D	Clm 10k	5th/6 -7L	76	4.0-1	b L	Faded from contention
8/31	GP	1m D	Clm 6k	Won/6 by 1	86	4.6-1	b L	Angled out; rallied

2Brooklyn GuyRan 2ndC. Cedeno · R. CoyCedeno · CoyB71 79 65▲+5↕@trip 865-2Fair 7-223%▲ Up +571 79 65 ↕@trip 86B2

Card model 23% · Fair odds 7-2 · Our #2 · Tier B · Form ▲ Up +5 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 55–79 · Best fig at today's trip 86 (8 tries) · Last 3 figs 71 79 65

Jockey Carol Cedeno 26% career · Trainer Ronald Coy 29% career 2-for-14 on dirt this meet (14%)

Also today · Trainer R5: Hidden Agenda 30-1

Drops from $12,500 claiming to $6,250 claiming. Last out was 5th, 5½ lengths behind the winner, in a 6-horse $12,500 claiming race at GP.

EVEN PACE Real pressure up front should bring the pace back to it.

WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 42d back)

RECORD 0 wins, 2 on the board from 8 starts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/3	GP	1m D	Clm 12k	5th/6 -5½L	71	6.4-1	b L	Trailed; no threat;
8/17	GP	1m D	Clm 10k b	2nd/5 -1L	79	2.2-1	b L	Bumped 1/16; gamely
6/13	GP	1m D	OC 20k	4th/5 -10L	65	7.3-1	b	Fell back; no threat

3WannabeelovedD. Herrera · A. SanchezHerrera · SanchezA74 77 81►@trip 819-536%► Steady74 77 81@trip 81A

Card model 36% · Fair odds 9-5 · Our #1 · Tier A · Form ► Steady · Best fig at today's trip 81 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 74 77 81

Jockey Diego A Herrera 27% career 9-for-66 on dirt this meet (14%) · Trainer Amador Merei Sanchez 34% career 2-for-11 on dirt this meet (18%)

Also today · Jockey R1: Fight And Pray 6-1, R2: Golden Ambition 9-2, R3: Rudi 3-1, R5: Chance To Party 12-1 +4 more · Trainer R1: Chief Lion 8-1, R8: Velociraptor 4-1

8/10 board here

Beaten 1 length for 2nd in a 5-horse $6,250 claiming race at GP. Figures have slipped: 81, 77, 74 over its last three.

PACE CHALLENGE Leads into real pressure, so it has to earn the front and then hold it. (early-speed points: 8)

WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 63d back)

RECORD 1 win, 8 on the board from 10 starts here

RECORD Diego A Herrera from post 3 here: 9 wins, 40 top-3 in 72 rides · 20% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/10	GP	1m D	Clm 6k	2nd/5 -1L	74	4.5-1	b L	Led;svd gnd;chase on
9/19	GP	1m D	Clm 6k	3rd/9 -3¼L	77	3.4-1	b L	Lacked kick;ran on
8/31	GP	1m D	Clm 6k	3rd/6 -1½L	81	7.6-1	b L	Steady 1/4; came again

4Prince DavidRan 3rdA. Thomas · F. LaboThomas · LaboB78 79 71►≡@trip 703-1Fair 7-112%► Steady78 79 71 ≡@trip 70B

Card model 12% · Fair odds 7-1 · Our #4 · Tier B · Form ► Steady · ≡ Steady figures 71–80 · Best fig at today's trip 70 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 78 79 71

Jockey Anthony Thomas 27% career 0-for-13 on dirt this meet (0%) · Trainer Frederick B Labo 14% career 2-for-3 on dirt this meet

Also today · Jockey R8: Neophyte 9-2

Goes a mile after running 5½ furlongs last time. Quick turnaround, just 7 days since the last start.

PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.

WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 4F on Nov 29; 2 works in 30d

RECORD 1 win, 5 on the board from 11 starts here

RECORD Anthony Thomas from post 4 here: 4 wins, 10 top-3 in 50 rides · 9% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/24	GP	5½f D	Clm 6k	4th/7 -6½L	78	17-1	L	Inside;3p;pass tiring
7/4	GP	6f D	Clm 6k	2nd/6 -3L	79	9.8-1	L	Ins turn;4-w uppr;game
6/13	GP	5½f D	Clm 6k	6th/7 -9½L	71	8.9-1	L	Little impact off rail

5FriolentoJ. Morelos · S. PulgarinMorelos · PulgarinB67 82 70►↕@trip 8212-17%► Steady67 82 70 ↕@trip 82B

Card model 7% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #6 · Tier B · Form ► Steady · ↕ Up-and-down figures 56–82 · Best fig at today's trip 82 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 67 82 70

Jockey Jose E Morelos 29% career 9-for-51 on dirt this meet (18%) · Trainer Sebastian Pulgarin 13% career 4-for-11 on dirt this meet (36%), #3 of 31

Also today · Jockey R1: Bandari 3-1, R2: Freedom Street 6-1, R3: Lighting Arrow 6-1, R6: Bashfully 5-1 +3 more · Trainer R10: Wine Candy 9-2

5/10 board here

An 82 top number against a 83 par, so it fits the level. Finished 8th in a 9-horse $6,250 claiming race at GP, beaten 5½ lengths.

PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.

WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 2 works in 30d, last 14d ago

RECORD 2 wins, 5 on the board from 10 starts here

RECORD Jose E Morelos from post 5 here: 25 wins, 84 top-3 in 252 rides · 11% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/19	GP	1m D	Clm 6k	8th/9 -5½L	67	7.4-1	b L	Early drive;no respons
8/23	GP	1m D	Clm 10k b	Won/5 by 1	82	6.8-1	b L	Carried out; prevailed
7/11	GP	6f D	Clm 10k b	3rd/8 -6½L	70	23-1	b L	4-5w turn;moved up

6Brother Brad★J. Torrealba · S. KlesarisTorrealba · KlesarisA68 71 81▼▼-13↕@trip 915-113%▼▼ Big drop -1368 71 81 ↕@trip 91A★ Best at the trip 91
Card model 13% · Fair odds 7-1 · Our #3 · Tier A · Form ▼▼ Big drop -13 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 68–91 · Best fig at today's trip 91 (6 tries) · Last 3 figs 68 71 81
★ Best at the trip 91
Jockey Jg Torrealba 31% career ★ 4-for-18 on dirt this meet (22%), #3 of 19 · Trainer Steve Klesaris 29% career 2-for-12 on dirt this meet (17%)
Also today · Jockey R1: Mr. Hetty 8-1, R5: Laila Bella Girl 6-1, R6: Starship Cougar 4-1, R7: Caribbean Comet 20-1 +2 more · Trainer R2: Golden Ambition 9-2
CLASS DROP★ FASTEST WORK8/12 board here
Changes barns, from Victor Russo to Steve Klesaris. Owns the highest recent figure here at 91.
PACE HELPS Stalks an honestly pressed pace from a good spot.
WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on May 17 (4F in :48.00), 0 works in 30d
RECORD 4 wins, 8 on the board from 12 starts here
RECORD Jg Torrealba from post 6 here: 4 wins, 9 top-3 in 17 rides · 14% wins from all posts here
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
9/19 GP 1m D Clm 6k c 7th/9 -8½L 68 3.0-1 L Failed to menace
8/31 GP 1m T Clm 17k b 8th/8 -8½L 71 14-1 L 2w; tired
8/8 GP 1m T Clm 17k b 4th/9 -4¼L 81 20-1 L Inside;gaining late

▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: fast and contested (4 early types). Helps stalkers and closers.

How to read these marks

1 2 3: Our top three by the card model's win chance. Tap “Our order” to sort by it.
Win %, Fair: The card model's chance to win, and the odds that chance works out to with no takeout. Fair is green when the model rates the horse above its morning line (the line scaled to add up to 100%).
Tier A B C ?: The field ranked on recent speed figures and the morning line together: A = top three, B = next three, C = the rest, ? = no figures yet.
71 60 72: Last three speed figures, newest first. “@trip 75” = best figure at today's distance (within 30 yards) on this surface.
▲▲ ▲ ► ▼ ▼▼: Form: last figure against the average of the three before it. ▲ = up 3 or more, ▲▲ = up 8 or more, ► = within 3, ▼ / ▼▼ = down. The number is the difference.
≡ ↕: ≡ steady: the last four figures sit close together. ↕ up-and-down: they swing widely.
★: Best figure in the field at today's distance and surface, from two or more tries, not tied. When that horse isn't in our top three it gets a “Distance horse” note above the field.
▲ ▼ chips: Handicapping angles for or against the horse. LS = longshot read: 8-1 or more on the morning line and the model rates it higher than that line.

These marks describe the past performances. None of them is proven to beat the odds: in our test of 100 handicapping angles, nothing did better than the final odds, and the morning-line favourite wins more races than our top-ranked horse. Read them as notes, not as a reason to bet.

● Official result

$2 payoffs · our pre-race read is unchanged below

Our top pick, #3 Wannabeeloved, was not in the official order (scratched or no finish recorded).

1st1Blue Slide ParkWin$9.80Place$4.60Show$3.80Our #5

2nd2Brooklyn GuyWin—Place$4.60Show$3.80Our #2

3rd4Prince DavidWin—Place—Show$5.60Our #4

Race conditions and our readpace, conditions, story

GULFSTREAM PARK · RACE 4

OFFICIAL

Claiming $6,250

Field

6 runners

Purse

$21,000

Post

1:35 PM ET

Pace

Pressed Pace

Card model top pick

#3 · 36%

Claiming $6,250, for 3-year-olds and up.

Claiming race — every starter can be bought for the claiming price out of the race, so owners risk losing a horse that's clearly best. That keeps the field evenly matched on ability.

● Track record at 1 Mile: 93.13

The shape is the story here: there's little established early speed, so a tactical horse can control soft fractions up front and prove hard to run down.

Our number tops on #3 Wannabeeloved (early speed, M/L 9-5). Recent figures: 74 · 77 · 81. It hit the board last time and stays in form. Backup is #2 Brooklyn Guy at 5-2. Use #6 Brother Brad in exotic structures.

What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.

● OUTCOME · OUT

Blue Slide Park won (our #5) · top pick Wannabeeloved ran unplaced

What didn't

✗ Top pick off the board (unplaced)
✗ Winner was outside our top 3 (our #5)
✗ Our top 3 finished —, 2nd, —

TBredIQ ranking → finish

#1	#3 WANNABEELOVED	—
#2	#2 BROOKLYN GUY	2nd
#3	#6 BROTHER BRAD	—
#4	#4 PRINCE DAVID	3rd
#5	#1 BLUE SLIDE PARK	1st

Actual finish

1st	#1 Blue Slide Park	our #5
2nd	#2 Brooklyn Guy	our #2
3rd	#4 Prince David	our #4

At a glance: model vs the morning line

At a glance

Market favourite #3 WANNABEELOVED (9-5) — our number agrees.
#3 WANNABEELOVED — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (29.3% to their 27.9%).
#2 BROOKLYN GUY — our #2 number, about right at the windows (23.3% to their 22.3%).
#4 PRINCE DAVID — our #4 number, about right at the windows (17.1% to their 19.5%).

Model vs the morning line · analysis, not advice

The model and the morning line roughly agree on this field.

Pacewho goes to the front

Pace

Pressed Pace. Speed under pressure from multiple pressers. Likely honest pace, slight closer benefit.

Likely leader: #3 Wannabeeloved; pressure from #5 Friolento, #1 Blue Slide Park; the shape helps #1 Blue Slide Park, #4 Prince David, #5 Friolento; and works against #3 Wannabeeloved.

Lead

3Wannabeeloved79

Press

5Friolento841Blue Slide Park746Brother Brad74

Stalk

4Prince David81

2Brooklyn Guy74

Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.

Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse

Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners

Friolento

Prince David

Wannabeeloved

Blue Slide Park

Brother Brad

Closing Kick · late-pace figure

Brooklyn Guy

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Bet types

Wagers offered on this race.

$1 DAILY DOUBLE / $1 EXACTA / $.50 TRIFECTA / $.10 SUPERFECTA

$1.00 BET 3 (RACES 4-5-6) / $.50 PICK 4 (RACES 4-5-6-7)

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