Pick sheet

Race 48:15 PM Clm 4000n2x

6F · Dirt · 11 entered. Our model's top pick, American of Course, is 39% to win (morning line implies 29%). Pace: fast and contested (5 early types). Helps stalkers and closers.

Top pick #7 American of Course ML 2-1 Fair 8-5 Model #1 Top last-race fig ► Steady ≡ Steady 72–74

Jockey L. Negron · Trainer A. Adamo · KEE 1: 1-0-0 · Dist 8: 1-4-1 · best fig at 6f dirt 74 · 63 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
8/30	FE	5½f D	Clm 5k b	4th/7	72	0.4-1	b L	Led 5-p failed to hold
8/11	FE	5½f D	Clm 5k b	2nd/7	72	1.9-1	b L	Speed ins; no match
7/27	FE	6f D	Clm 5k b	2nd/6 by hd	74	1.2-1	b L	3-p str; gave way

Case: Last out 4th/7 in the fClm5000b at FE. Last Brisnet figures 72-72-74. Best at today's distance 74. 1-for-8 at the distance. 1-for-1 at Mountaineer Park. A. Adamo / L. Negron.

Knock: Off 63 days.

Contender #8 Divine Cross ML 3-1 Fair 7-2 Model #2 ▲ Up +3

Jockey L. Batista · Trainer D. Treharne · KEE 5: 1-2-1 · Dist 10: 1-1-0 · best fig at 6f dirt 73 · 40 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/22	MNR	6f D	Clm 4k b	2nd/7 -2½L	67	2.9-1	b L	Chased bid gamely;
2/1	MVR	6f D	Clm 5k	6th/6 -11L	53	2.6-1	b L	Bad stumble; outrun
12/24	MVR	6f D	Clm 5k	4th/7 -5L	69	4.8-1	b L	Inside;2p;outkicked

Case: Last out 2nd in the fClm4000b at MNR. Last Brisnet figures 67-53-69. Best at today's distance 73. 1-for-10 at the distance. 1-for-5 at Mountaineer Park. D. Treharne / L. Batista.

Knock: Nothing glaring on paper.

Use #11 Honestly ML 8-1 Fair 12-1 Model #3 ▼ Down -4 ≡ Steady 54–62 Last out 6th/9 -8L in the fClm5000b at CT. Last Brisnet figures 55-54-61. Best at today's distance 63. 1-for-8 at the distance. 3-for-22 at Mountaineer Park. D. Blankenship / B. Weatherly. Knock: Our model rates this one below its morning line.

Jockey B. Weatherly · Trainer D. Blankenship · KEE 22: 3-8-5 · Dist 8: 1-2-2 · best fig at 6f dirt 63 · 9 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/23	CT	7f D	Clm 5k b	6th/9 -8L	55	28-1	b L	Off pace3w;no bid
10/4	MNR	5½f D	Clm 3k b	2nd/10 -10L	54	7.3-1	b L	Rallied late 6 wide
9/22	MNR	6f D	Clm 4k b	4th/7 -3½L	61	5.3-1	b L	Passed a few lane

Longshot #1 X Gene ML 12-1 Fair 15-1 Model #6 ▼▼ Big drop -11 ▼ Best fig 70 is 5+ under today's par 75 ▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance rises

Jockey R. Barrios · Trainer V. Demczyk · KEE 16: 3-2-2 · Dist 7: 3-0-0 · best fig at 6f dirt 70 · 14 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/18	MNR	5½f D	Clm 4k n2x	5th/7 -7L	52	12-1	L	Chased pace; tired;
9/27	MNR	6f D	Clm 4k n1x	Won/6	70	3.1-1	L	Abreast full extension
7/20	MNR	5½f D	Clm 4k n1y	6th/8 -½L	57	14-1	L	Pressed ins short late

Case: Last out 5th/7 -7L in the fClm4000n2x at MNR. Last Brisnet figures 52-70-57. Best at today's distance 70. 3-for-7 at the distance. 3-for-16 at Mountaineer Park. V. Demczyk / R. Barrios.

Knock: Nothing glaring on paper.

★ Distance horse: #2 Greyhound Station (9-1) has the best figure in the field at 6f dirt: 76 from 4 tries, record at the distance 13: 4-2-1. Not one of our picks.

Narrowing the field: A #7, #8, #9 · B #2, #10, #11 · C #1, #3, #4, #5, #6

Angles: #1 Best fig 70 is 5+ under today's par 75 · #1 Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance rises · #2 Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance rises · #3 Best fig 69 is 5+ under today's par 75 · #4 Best fig 67 is 5+ under today's par 75 · #4 Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance rises · #5 Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance rises · #6 Best fig 69 is 5+ under today's par 75

R4 Mountaineer Park · Claiming $4,000

8:15 PM ET · 6 Furlongs Dirt · $9,000 · 8 runners (3 out)8:15 PM · 6f Dirt · 8 runners (3 out)

Official $9,000 · Claiming $4,000

Card modelCard model StrongFormLast 3 figsTier · angles

★ Distance horse: #2 Greyhound Station (9-1) has the best figure in the field at today's distance and surface: 76 from 4 tries. Not in our top three.

1X Gene▼▼LSRan 3rdR. Barrios · V. DemczykBarrios · DemczykC52 70 57▼▼-11@trip 7012-1Fair 15-17%▼▼ Big drop -1152 70 57@trip 70C▼ Best fig 70 is 5+ under today's par 75▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance risesLS

Card model 7% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #6 · Tier C · Form ▼▼ Big drop -11 · Best fig at today's trip 70 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 52 70 57

▼ Best fig 70 is 5+ under today's par 75▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance risesLS

Longshot read: 12-1 on the morning line, and the model has it at 7% against a line of 6%. A read, not a bet.

Jockey Ricardo Barrios 29% career ★ 11-for-38 on dirt this meet (29%), #1 of 28 · Trainer Virginia Demczyk 29% career 2-for-9 on dirt this meet (22%)

Also today · Jockey R2: Chizzy 6-1, R2: Surprise D' Oro 7-2, R5: Judy Chop 3-1, R6: Dr Jack Flyer 15-1 +2 more · Trainer R2: Chizzy 6-1

3 wins from 7 starts at this distance. Ranks first in the field on Brisnet Prime Power.

PACE HELPS Sits just off the speed with pace in front to run at.

WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 4F on Nov 12; 0 works in 30d

RECORD 3 wins, 4 on the board from 10 starts here

RECORD Ricardo Barrios from post 1 here: 26 wins, 85 top-3 in 166 rides · 13% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/18	MNR	5½f D	Clm 4k n2x	5th/7 -7L	52	12-1	L	Chased pace; tired;
9/27	MNR	6f D	Clm 4k n1x	Won/6	70	3.1-1	L	Abreast full extension
7/20	MNR	5½f D	Clm 4k n1y	6th/8 -½L	57	14-1	L	Pressed ins short late

2Greyhound Station▼★Ran 5thA. Ramgeet · T. RamgeetRamgeet · RamgeetB64 37 66▲▲+9↕@trip 769-1Fair 12-18%▲▲ Big jump +964 37 66 ↕@trip 76B▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance rises★ Best at the trip 76

Card model 8% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #4 · Tier B · Form ▲▲ Big jump +9 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 37–66 · Best fig at today's trip 76 (4 tries) · Last 3 figs 64 37 66

▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance rises★ Best at the trip 76

Jockey A R Ramgeet 29% career 2-for-12 on dirt this meet (17%) · Trainer Tina Ramgeet 28% career 2-for-15 on dirt this meet (13%)

Also today · Jockey R2: Blue Ice 3-1, R7: Legacy Trail 7-1 · Trainer R2: Blue Ice 3-1, R7: General Ginny 12-1, R7: Legacy Trail 7-1

CLASS UP★ FASTEST WORK3/6 board here

Owns the highest recent figure here at 76. Drops from $5,000 claiming to $4,000 claiming.

PACE CHALLENGE Pressured on the lead; getting clear early matters. (early-speed points: 3)

WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Jul 5 (4F in :49.80), 0 works in 30d

RECORD 1 win, 3 on the board from 6 starts here

RECORD A R Ramgeet from post 2 here: 7 wins, 23 top-3 in 49 rides · 16% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/12	MNR	1m D	Clm 5k n2y	4th/10 by hd	64	2.5-1	b L	Weakened late
10/4	MNR	5½f D	Clm 3k b	7th/10 -16L	37	1.9-1	b L	Never involved
9/15	MNR	6f D	Clm 7k b	3rd/6 -5L	66	2.3-1	b L	Chased short late

3Sweet Talia▼Ran 6thM. Vilchez · R. ScallanVilchez · ScallanC60 64 64▼-3≡@trip 6910-1Fair 20-15%▼ Down -360 64 64 ≡@trip 69C▼ Best fig 69 is 5+ under today's par 75

Card model 5% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #7 · Tier C · Form ▼ Down -3 · ≡ Steady figures 60–64 · Best fig at today's trip 69 (5 tries) · Last 3 figs 60 64 64

▼ Best fig 69 is 5+ under today's par 75

Jockey Maikol Vilchez 19% career ★ 5-for-23 on dirt this meet (22%) · Trainer Robert S Scallan 18% career ★ 3-for-15 on dirt this meet (20%)

Also today · Jockey R2: Eurcool 12-1, R5: Interval 20-1

60D LAYOFF★ FASTEST WORK6/12 board here

Shortens up to 6 furlongs after going a mile. Was running in $5,000 claiming; today's $4,000 claiming is an easier level on paper.

PACE HELPS Sits just off the speed with pace in front to run at.

WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 4F on Mar 30; 1 work in 30d

RECORD 2 wins, 6 on the board from 12 starts here

RECORD Maikol Vilchez from post 3 here: 3 wins, 9 top-3 in 40 rides · 8% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/2	MNR	1m D	Clm 5k n2y	4th/6 -9½L	60	5.8-1	b L	Evenly; lacked more
8/10	MNR	1m D	Clm 4k n1x	Won/8	64	2.5-1	b L	Clear turn; drew off;
7/21	MNR	1m D	Clm 4k n1x	2nd/7	64	6.3-1	b L	No match wide pressure

4Lucky Phoenix▼▼Y. Yaranga · S. SpiessYaranga · SpiessC54 43 51▲+5@trip 6620-1<1%▲ Up +554 43 51@trip 66C▼ Best fig 67 is 5+ under today's par 75▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance rises

Card model <1% · Our #11 · Tier C · Form ▲ Up +5 · Best fig at today's trip 66 (5 tries) · Last 3 figs 54 43 51

▼ Best fig 67 is 5+ under today's par 75▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance rises

Jockey Y Yaranga 26% career 3-for-34 on dirt this meet (9%) · Trainer Shane M Spiess 24% career 0-for-19 on dirt this meet (0%)

Also today · Jockey R8: Dropkick Murphy 7-1

★ FASTEST WORK

4th last time, 7½ lengths back, in a field of 7. Needs to move up: the best of its last five is 67 against a 75 par.

PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.

WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 5F on Sep 6; 0 works in 30d

RECORD 0 wins, 1 on the board from 10 starts here

RECORD Y Yaranga from post 4 here: 16 wins, 63 top-3 in 146 rides · 13% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/18	MNR	5½f D	Clm 4k n2x	4th/7 -7½L	54	47-1	b L	Evenly; lacked more
9/23	MNR	6f D	Clm 4k n2x	7th/7 -5½L	43	24-1	b L	Fractious gate chased
8/25	MNR	5½f D	Clm 4k n2x	6th/9 -11L	51	6.6-1	b L	Checked at the break

5Shipshewana▼B. Whitacre · J. UelmenWhitacre · UelmenC40 54 63▼▼-22↕@trip 6720-1<1%▼▼ Big drop -2240 54 63 ↕@trip 67C▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance rises
Card model <1% · Our #10 · Tier C · Form ▼▼ Big drop -22 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 40–70 · Best fig at today's trip 67 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 40 54 63
▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance rises
Jockey B Whitacre 32% career 1-for-6 on dirt this meet · Trainer Jason Uelmen 14% career 0-for-4 on dirt this meet
Figures have slipped: 63, 54, 40 over its last three. Finished 10th in a 10-horse $5,000 claiming race at MNR, beaten 15 lengths.
PACE HELPS Stalks an honestly pressed pace from a good spot.
WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 69d back)
RECORD B Whitacre from post 5 here: 17 wins, 48 top-3 in 98 rides · 16% wins from all posts here
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
10/12 MNR 1m D Clm 5k n2y 10th/10 -15L 40 32-1 L Gave way
8/28 BTP 1m D Clm 5k b 5th/5 -3L 54 3.6-1 L Pace btw 2w;gave way
3/30 MVR 1m D Clm 7k n4l 5th/5 -7½L 63 4.2-1 L Riddn ins foes;fade

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/12	MNR	1m D	Clm 5k n2y	10th/10 -15L	40	32-1	L	Gave way
8/28	BTP	1m D	Clm 5k b	5th/5 -3L	54	3.6-1	L	Pace btw 2w;gave way
3/30	MVR	1m D	Clm 7k n4l	5th/5 -7½L	63	4.2-1	L	Riddn ins foes;fade

6Vingativa▼Ran 7thK. Gonzalez · D. RobersonGonzalez · RobersonC50 60 61▼▼-13@trip 6315-1Fair 50-12%▼▼ Big drop -1350 60 61@trip 63C▼ Best fig 69 is 5+ under today's par 75

Card model 2% · Fair odds 50-1 · Our #8 · Tier C · Form ▼▼ Big drop -13 · Best fig at today's trip 63 (5 tries) · Last 3 figs 50 60 61

▼ Best fig 69 is 5+ under today's par 75

Jockey Kevin Gonzalez 33% career 7-for-60 on dirt this meet (12%) · Trainer Don Roberson 18% career 0-for-2 on dirt this meet

Also today · Jockey R1: Vai Gattina 10-1, R1: Slush Fund 12-1, R3: Halo Nashry 20-1, R7: Dialed Inna 15-1 +1 more

★ FASTEST WORK

Trending the wrong way on speed, 61 to 60 to 50. Fastest 4F work of its morning on Sep 25 (:48.40), a sign it is training forwardly.

PACE HELPS Stalks an honestly pressed pace from a good spot.

WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Sep 25 (4F in :48.40), 1 work in 30d

RECORD 1 win, 5 on the board from 11 starts here

RECORD Kevin Gonzalez from post 6 here: 27 wins, 80 top-3 in 197 rides · 11% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/13	MNR	5½f D	Clm 4k b	6th/7 -9¼L	50	9.4-1	b L	Gave way
9/30	MNR	1m D	Clm 4k n2x	3rd/6 by hd	60	2.0-1	b L	Dueled; weakened;
9/16	MNR	6f D	Clm 3k n2x	2nd/6 -¾L	61	1.5-1	b L	Surged late 6 wide;

7American of CourseRan 2ndL. Negron · A. AdamoNegron · AdamoA72 72 74►≡@trip 742-1Fair 8-539%► Steady72 72 74 ≡@trip 74A1

Card model 39% · Fair odds 8-5 · Our #1 · Tier A · Form ► Steady · ≡ Steady figures 72–74 · Best fig at today's trip 74 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 72 72 74

Jockey Luis Negron 33% career 7-for-43 on dirt this meet (16%) · Trainer Anthony Adamo 42% career 0-for-1 on dirt this meet ★ hot

Also today · Jockey R7: Breezy Dance 20-1, R8: Johnnyfrenchfri 3-1

60D LAYOFF

Off 63 days since the last start. 3rd of 7 at 3F on Jun 12, in :36.60.

PACE CHALLENGE Has early speed but company on the front end. (early-speed points: 7)

WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 2 works in 30d, last 12d ago

RECORD Luis Negron from post 7 here: 23 wins, 63 top-3 in 123 rides · 18% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
8/30	FE	5½f D	Clm 5k b	4th/7	72	0.4-1	b L	Led 5-p failed to hold
8/11	FE	5½f D	Clm 5k b	2nd/7	72	1.9-1	b L	Speed ins; no match
7/27	FE	6f D	Clm 5k b	2nd/6 by hd	74	1.2-1	b L	3-p str; gave way

8Divine CrossRan 1stL. Batista · D. TreharneBatista · TreharneA67 53 69▲+3@trip 733-1Fair 7-222%▲ Up +367 53 69@trip 73A2

Card model 22% · Fair odds 7-2 · Our #2 · Tier A · Form ▲ Up +3 · Best fig at today's trip 73 (5 tries) · Last 3 figs 67 53 69

Jockey Luis Alberto Batista 31% career 5-for-35 on dirt this meet (14%) · Trainer Dave Treharne 32% career 2-for-5 on dirt this meet

Also today · Jockey R1: Light My Flame 10-1, R2: Have A Happy 2-1, R3: Chiva Loca 2-1, R5: El Arracadas 15-1 +1 more · Trainer R8: Hoylake 10-1

4/5 board here

Last out was 2nd, 2½ lengths behind the winner, in a 7-horse $4,000 claiming race at MNR. Worked 5F in 1:02.80 on Jul 17, 2nd of 7 at the distance.

PACE HELPS Sits just off the speed with pace in front to run at.

WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 68d back)

RECORD 1 win, 4 on the board from 5 starts here

RECORD Luis Alberto Batista from post 8 here: 18 wins, 50 top-3 in 117 rides · 16% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/22	MNR	6f D	Clm 4k b	2nd/7 -2½L	67	2.9-1	b L	Chased bid gamely;
2/1	MVR	6f D	Clm 5k	6th/6 -11L	53	2.6-1	b L	Bad stumble; outrun
12/24	MVR	6f D	Clm 5k	4th/7 -5L	69	4.8-1	b L	Inside;2p;outkicked

9Miss M MRan 4thA. Gomez · M. ValdezGomez · ValdezA66 69 73▼-4≡@trip 717-1Fair 12-18%▼ Down -466 69 73 ≡@trip 71A
Card model 8% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #5 · Tier A · Form ▼ Down -4 · ≡ Steady figures 66–73 · Best fig at today's trip 71 (4 tries) · Last 3 figs 66 69 73
Jockey Alejandro Gomez 30% career 1-for-17 on dirt this meet (6%) · Trainer Moises Valdez 21% career 0-for-11 on dirt this meet (0%)
Also today · Jockey R3: It's Yesenia 7-2, R5: Crime Lord 7-1, R8: Standard Of Proof 12-1 · Trainer R7: Mi Amore 7-2
CLASS DROP2/3 board here
Was 7th of 7 at the first call last time. Trending the wrong way on speed, 73 to 69 to 66.
EVEN PACE Honest early fractions give a closer a fair shot late.
WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 236d ago
RECORD 0 wins, 2 on the board from 3 starts here
RECORD Alejandro Gomez from post 9 here: 3 wins, 7 top-3 in 19 rides · 12% wins from all posts here
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
10/13 MNR 5½f D Clm 4k b 3rd/7 -7L 66 4.7-1 b L Rallied
10/6 PID 6f D Clm 6k b 5th/7 -5L 69 12-1 b L Passed tiring rivals
9/21 PID 5½f D Clm 5k b 4th/6 -5L 73 23-1 b L Passed tiring rivals
10Pasta Salad RhondaH. Haldar · J. CastilloHaldar · CastilloB68 65 66►≡@trip 686-1<1%► Steady68 65 66 ≡@trip 68B
Card model <1% · Our #9 · Tier B · Form ► Steady · ≡ Steady figures 65–68 · Best fig at today's trip 68 (4 tries) · Last 3 figs 68 65 66
Jockey Humberto Haldar 27% career 1-for-8 on dirt this meet (12%) · Trainer Jabdiel Castillo 32% career 1-for-5 on dirt this meet
Also today · Jockey R7: Lamporghini 10-1, R8: Law Of The Jungle 20-1 · Trainer R8: Law Of The Jungle 20-1
WON LAST4/8 board here
Class relief: $5,000 claiming last time, $4,000 claiming today. Cuts back from a mile to 6 furlongs.
EVEN PACE With the front end pressed, the late run has something to run at.
WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 154d back)
RECORD 1 win, 4 on the board from 8 starts here
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
10/12 MNR 1m D Clm 5k n2y Won/10 68 6.1-1 b L Driving
9/22 MNR 6f D Clm 4k b 3rd/7 -4L 65 3.0-1 b L Vied willingly mid tk
9/7 MNR 1m D Alw s 4th/7 -7L 66 17-1 b L No threat

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/13	MNR	5½f D	Clm 4k b	3rd/7 -7L	66	4.7-1	b L	Rallied
10/6	PID	6f D	Clm 6k b	5th/7 -5L	69	12-1	b L	Passed tiring rivals
9/21	PID	5½f D	Clm 5k b	4th/6 -5L	73	23-1	b L	Passed tiring rivals

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/12	MNR	1m D	Clm 5k n2y	Won/10	68	6.1-1	b L	Driving
9/22	MNR	6f D	Clm 4k b	3rd/7 -4L	65	3.0-1	b L	Vied willingly mid tk
9/7	MNR	1m D	Alw s	4th/7 -7L	66	17-1	b L	No threat

11HonestlyRan 8thB. Weatherly · D. BlankenshipWeatherly · BlankenshipB55 54 61▼-4≡@trip 638-1Fair 12-18%▼ Down -455 54 61 ≡@trip 63B3

Card model 8% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #3 · Tier B · Form ▼ Down -4 · ≡ Steady figures 54–62 · Best fig at today's trip 63 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 55 54 61

Jockey Bailey Weatherly 28% career 7-for-43 on dirt this meet (16%) · Trainer Donald T Blankenship 28% career 2-for-9 on dirt this meet (22%)

Also today · Jockey R1: Zena Cat 7-1, R2: Sway Me Over 20-1, R3: Zenovia 7-1, R6: Rose's Pepino 12-1 +1 more

5/9 board here

Picks up 7 pounds from its last start. Best recent figure is 67, well under the 75 par for this level.

PACE HELPS Stalks an honestly pressed pace from a good spot.

WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 133 days ago

RECORD 1 win, 5 on the board from 9 starts here

RECORD Bailey Weatherly from post 11 here: 1 win, 2 top-3 in 21 rides · 13% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/23	CT	7f D	Clm 5k b	6th/9 -8L	55	28-1	b L	Off pace3w;no bid
10/4	MNR	5½f D	Clm 3k b	2nd/10 -10L	54	7.3-1	b L	Rallied late 6 wide
9/22	MNR	6f D	Clm 4k b	4th/7 -3½L	61	5.3-1	b L	Passed a few lane

▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: fast and contested (5 early types). Helps stalkers and closers.

How to read these marks

1 2 3: Our top three by the card model's win chance. Tap “Our order” to sort by it.
Win %, Fair: The card model's chance to win, and the odds that chance works out to with no takeout. Fair is green when the model rates the horse above its morning line (the line scaled to add up to 100%).
Tier A B C ?: The field ranked on recent speed figures and the morning line together: A = top three, B = next three, C = the rest, ? = no figures yet.
71 60 72: Last three speed figures, newest first. “@trip 75” = best figure at today's distance (within 30 yards) on this surface.
▲▲ ▲ ► ▼ ▼▼: Form: last figure against the average of the three before it. ▲ = up 3 or more, ▲▲ = up 8 or more, ► = within 3, ▼ / ▼▼ = down. The number is the difference.
≡ ↕: ≡ steady: the last four figures sit close together. ↕ up-and-down: they swing widely.
★: Best figure in the field at today's distance and surface, from two or more tries, not tied. When that horse isn't in our top three it gets a “Distance horse” note above the field.
▲ ▼ chips: Handicapping angles for or against the horse. LS = longshot read: 8-1 or more on the morning line and the model rates it higher than that line.

These marks describe the past performances. None of them is proven to beat the odds: in our test of 100 handicapping angles, nothing did better than the final odds, and the morning-line favourite wins more races than our top-ranked horse. Read them as notes, not as a reason to bet.

● Official result

$2 payoffs · our pre-race read is unchanged below

Our top pick, #7 American Of Course, finished 2nd.

1st8Divine CrossWin$6.80Place$3.40Show$2.80Our #2

2nd7American Of CourseWin—Place$2.80Show$2.40Our #1

3rd1X GeneWin—Place—Show$4.40Our #6

4th9Miss M MOur #5

Race conditions and our readpace, conditions, story

MOUNTAINEER PARK · RACE 4

OFFICIAL

Claiming $4,000

Field

11 runners

Purse

$9,000

Post

8:15 PM ET

Pace

Pressed Pace

Card model top pick

#7 · 39%

Claiming $4,000, for fillies and mares, 3-year-olds and up, that have not won two races other than maiden, claiming, or starter.

Claiming race — every starter can be bought for the claiming price out of the race, so owners risk losing a horse that's clearly best. That keeps the field evenly matched on ability.

● Track record at 6 Furlongs: 67.81

The shape is the story here: the early pace looks honest rather than contested — expect a fairly run race where class and trip decide it, not pace collapse.

Our number tops on #7 American Of Course (early speed, M/L 2-1). Recent figures: 72 · 72 · 74. Backup is #8 Divine Cross at 3-1. Use #11 Honestly in exotic structures.

What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.

● OUTCOME · 2ND

Top pick American Of Course ran 2nd · Divine Cross won (our #2)

What worked

✓ Top pick in the money (2nd)
✓ Winner came from our top 3 (our #2)
✓ Our top 3 finished 2nd, 1st, 8th

TBredIQ ranking → finish

#1	#7 AMERICAN OF COURSE	2nd
#2	#8 DIVINE CROSS	1st
#3	#11 HONESTLY	8th
#4	#2 GREYHOUND STATION	5th
#5	#9 MISS M M	4th

Actual finish

1st	#8 Divine Cross	our #2
2nd	#7 American of Course	our #1
3rd	#1 X Gene	our #6
4th	#9 Miss M M	our #5
5th	#2 Greyhound Station	our #4

At a glance: model vs the morning line

At a glance

Market favourite #7 AMERICAN OF COURSE (2-1) — our number agrees.
#7 AMERICAN OF COURSE — our top number on the card, and the board's letting him go too cheap — we make him 30.4%, they've got 24.0%.
#8 DIVINE CROSS — our #2 number, and the board's letting him go too cheap — we make him 22.8%, they've got 18.0%.
#9 MISS M M — our #5 number, a price play — we're at 10.0%, the board 9.0%.

Model vs the morning line · analysis, not advice

#7 AMERICAN OF COURSE — we make it 30.4%, the morning line works out to 24.0%. That gap is the model's opinion, not a price; pools pay the final odds, and on our records these gaps haven't paid off.
#8 DIVINE CROSS — we make it 22.8%, the morning line works out to 18.0%. That gap is the model's opinion, not a price; pools pay the final odds, and on our records these gaps haven't paid off.
Longshot the model rates above its line: #1 X GENE (12-1) — our fair 6.9% is above the morning line's 5.5%; needs the trip to fall right.

Pacewho goes to the front

Pace

Pressed Pace. Speed under pressure from multiple pressers. Likely honest pace, slight closer benefit.

Likely leader: #2 Greyhound Station; pressure from #7 American Of Course, #1 X Gene; the shape helps #1 X Gene, #3 Sweet Talia, #4 Lucky Phoenix; and works against #2 Greyhound Station, #7 American Of Course.

Lead

2Greyhound Station937American Of Course92

Press

1X Gene928Divine Cross863Sweet Talia78

Stalk

4Lucky Phoenix886Vingativa865Shipshewana8411Honestly80

9Miss M M7410Pasta Salad Rhonda74

Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.

Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse

Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners

Greyhound Station

X Gene

American Of Course

Lucky Phoenix

Vingativa

Divine Cross

Shipshewana

Honestly

Sweet Talia

Closing Kick · late-pace figure

Pasta Salad Rhonda

Miss M M

Bet types offeredwager menu

Bet types

Wagers offered on this race.

2ND HALF DAILY DOUBLE $2 EXACTA $1 BOX $1 TRIFECTA $.50 BOX $1 SUPERFECTA $.20

BOX $2 PICK 5 (RACES 4-8) $.50 WHEEL

TBredIQ shows analysis only. We don’t build tickets or suggest amounts.

BET OPTIONS

WinPlaceShowExactaTrifectaSuperfecta

Wagers offered on this race — analysis only, no stake sizing.