MAHONING VALLEY · RACE 3

UPCOMING

Claiming $5,000

Field

10 runners

Purse

$12,800

Post

1:11 PM ET

Pace

Speed Duel

Model top pick

#8 · 18%

Claiming $5,000, for 3-year-olds and up, that have not won a race recently.

Claiming race — every starter can be bought for the claiming price out of the race, so owners risk losing a horse that's clearly best. That keeps the field evenly matched on ability.

● Track record at 1 Mile: 94.95

The shape is the story here: 3 confirmed front-runners should pressure each other early, which tilts the race toward stalkers and closers who can pick up the pieces late.

Our number tops on #8 Star Entertainer (a closer, M/L 4-1). Recent figures: 76 · 79 · 82. Backup is #3 All My Life at 6-1. Use #2 Handsoffthegoods in exotic structures.

What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.

The field, ranked

Our order, top to bottom.

Speed Duel: Three or more early-speed types. Fast pace, hot fractions — closers benefit.

1TOP PICK

8Star Entertainer

Jockey L R Rivera 34% career 5-for-27 on dirt this meet (19%) · Trainer Jeff Radosevich 37% career ★ 6-for-22 on dirt this meet (27%), #1 of 14 ★ hot

Also today · Jockey R1: Lady Jasper 6-5, R5: That's The Way 5-2, R7: Puff'smagicdragon 9-2 · Trainer R1: Lady Jasper 6-5, R5: That's The Way 5-2, R7: Puff'smagicdragon 9-2

CLASS DROP3/3 board here

Class relief: $7,500 claiming last time, $5,000 claiming today. Jeff Radosevich takes over the training from Gary L Johnson.

PACE HELPS Hot early fractions are likely, and that sets up a late run.

WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 220d ago

RECORD On the board in all 3 starts here (0 wins)

M/L4-1

Model18%

Fav?No

StyleS

Last4th · 28d

22ND

3All My Life

Jockey Becerra Fernando Salazar 24% career 4-for-25 on dirt this meet (16%) · Trainer Caryn Vecchio 29% career 1-for-3 on dirt this meet

Also today · Jockey R5: Sammy's Smile 10-1, R6: Honor And Obay 5-1 · Trainer R7: Runwithheart 5-2

5/8 board here

Goes a mile after running 5½ furlongs last time. Quick turnaround, just 8 days since the last start.

PACE HELPS Hot early fractions are likely, and that sets up a late run.

WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 46d back)

RECORD 1 win, 5 on the board from 8 starts here

M/L6-1

Model14%

Fav?No

StyleS

Last2nd · 8d

33RD

2Handsoffthegoods

Jockey Luis A Hernandez 38% career · Trainer Irvin Moreno 26% career

CLASS DROP

Beaten 5 lengths for 5th in a 6-horse $5,000 claiming race at BTP. A 78 top number against a 78 par, so it fits the level.

PACE HELPS Hot early fractions are likely, and that sets up a late run.

WORKS Average work schedule for this field (1 work in 30d, last 30d ago)

M/L10-1

Model10%

Fav?No

StyleS

Last5th · 20d

44TH

9Coastertothemoon

Jockey D L Parker 35% career 1-for-11 on dirt this meet (9%) · Trainer Johanna Urieta 26% career 1-for-12 on dirt this meet (8%)

Also today · Jockey R1: Electric Melody 5-2, R2: Good Directions 3-1, R5: Red Head Kid 12-1, R7: Winter's Ghost 8-1 · Trainer R4: Lucky Victor 3-1

★ FASTEST WORK3/6 board here

0 for 9 at today's distance. Posted the fastest 4F work of the morning on Oct 19, in :47.00.

PACE CHALLENGE One of several that want the lead, so the early work will cost something. (early-speed points: 6)

WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Oct 19 (4F in :47.00), 1 work in 30d

RECORD 0 wins, 3 on the board from 6 starts here

M/L7-2

Model15%

Fav?No

StyleE

Last4th · 23d

55TH

1Vladislav

Jockey Jefferson Skerrett 14% career 0-for-10 on dirt this meet (0%) · Trainer Jeffrey Skerrett 26% career 0-for-10 on dirt this meet (0%)

Also today · Jockey R6: Glitter Queen 12-1, R8: The Sweaty Fox 6-1 · Trainer R8: The Sweaty Fox 6-1

★ FASTEST WORK

Best recent figure is 70, well under the 78 par for this level. Prime Power, the Brisnet rating, puts it on top of this field.

PACE HELPS Hot early fractions are likely, and that sets up a late run.

WORKS SHARP 3f in :35.20 on Jan 23 was the best time at that distance that morning; 0 works in 30d

M/L8-1

Model8%

Fav?No

StyleS

Last2nd · 29d

7Digital Footprint

Jockey Mauro Cedillo 28% career 3-for-9 on dirt this meet (33%), #2 of 17 · Trainer Candace M Huffman 25% career 0-for-1 on dirt this meet

Also today · Jockey R6: Charisma In Motion 10-1, R8: Work'n On A Buzz 12-1 · Trainer R6: Charisma In Motion 10-1

Picks up 6 pounds from its last start. Finished 7th in a 9-horse $5,000 claiming race at TDN, beaten 8 lengths.

EVEN PACE Can sit just off the early fight and pick up whoever tires.

WORKS SHARP One of the busier work schedules here: 2 works in 30d, last 7d ago

M/L15-1

Model6%

Fav?No

StyleP

Last7th · 36d

6Making Me Crazy

Jockey Angel I Diaz 33% career 2-for-17 on dirt this meet (12%) · Trainer Joseph P Mahan 23% career 0-for-2 on dirt this meet

Also today · Jockey R2: Ipledthefifth 5-1, R7: Runwithheart 5-2, R8: She's Crafty 10-1

4/7 board here

Trending the wrong way on speed, 85 to 67 to 65. Winless in 8 starts at this distance.

PACE HELPS Several horses want the lead, which is the early heat a closer is looking for.

WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 153d back)

RECORD 1 win, 4 on the board from 7 starts here

M/L12-1

Model6%

Fav?No

StyleS

Last4th · 8d

5Colonel Poppy

Jockey Brandon Tapara 32% career 2-for-5 on dirt this meet · Trainer Robin Schuster 20% career 0-for-1 on dirt this meet

Also today · Jockey R4: Judy's Comet 9-2, R6: Campaign Mischief 9-2, R7: Dr Schuster 20-1 · Trainer R7: Dr Schuster 20-1

60D LAYOFF★ FASTEST WORK4/6 board here

Changes barns, from Jay P Bernardini to Robin Schuster. Brandon Tapara takes over from Luis Negron in the saddle.

PACE HELPS The front end should be a fight, and this one gets to wait on it.

WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 4F on Jun 10; 1 work in 30d

RECORD 0 wins, 4 on the board from 6 starts here

M/L3-1

Model14%

Fav?Yes

StyleS

Last4th · 66d

10Verbier

Jockey Jose A Bracho 35% career 3-for-19 on dirt this meet (16%) · Trainer Richard Zielinski 27% career 1-for-11 on dirt this meet (9%)

Also today · Jockey R4: Orfano 5-1, R6: Gleeful 10-1, R8: Socialbutterflytam 5-1 · Trainer R1: Mobil Chic 6-1, R4: Judy's Comet 9-2, R5: Sammy's Smile 10-1, R6: Proud Words 6-1

Gets a new rider, Jose A Bracho replacing Becerra Fernando Salazar. 3rd of 75 at 4F on Apr 7, in :48.00.

PACE CHALLENGE One of several that want the lead, so the early work will cost something. (early-speed points: 7)

WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 130d ago

RECORD 0 wins, 1 on the board from 4 starts here

M/L10-1

Model5%

Fav?No

StyleE

Last4th · 29d

4Auld Lange Syne

Jockey McKenna Anderson 22% career 0-for-3 on dirt this meet · Trainer Amy Sondej 22% career 0-for-1 on dirt this meet

A 70 is the high figure lately, short of the 78 par. 5th last time, 9¾ lengths back, in a field of 6.

PACE CHALLENGE One of several that want the lead, so the early work will cost something. (early-speed points: 6)

WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 5F on May 19; 1 work in 30d

RECORD 0 wins, 1 on the board from 3 starts here

M/L20-1

Model3%

Fav?No

StyleE

Last5th · 29d

At a glance

Market favourite #5 COLONEL POPPY (3-1) — our number has it ranked #8.
#8 STAR ENTERTAINER — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (17.2% to their 15.4%).
#9 COASTERTOTHEMOON — our #4 number, about right at the windows (17.1% to their 17.2%).
#5 COLONEL POPPY — our #8 number, about right at the windows (17.1% to their 19.3%).

Model vs the morning line · analysis, not advice

The model and the morning line roughly agree on this field.

Pace

Speed Duel. Three or more early-speed types. Fast pace, hot fractions — closers benefit.

Likely leader: #9 Coastertothemoon; pressure from #10 Verbier, #4 Auld Lange Syne; the shape helps #1 Vladislav, #2 Handsoffthegoods, #3 All My Life; and works against #4 Auld Lange Syne, #9 Coastertothemoon, #10 Verbier.

Lead

9Coastertothemoon7710Verbier764Auld Lange Syne69

Press

none

Stalk

7Digital Footprint75

3All My Life908Star Entertainer885Colonel Poppy812Handsoffthegoods776Making Me Crazy711Vladislav70

Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.

Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse

Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners

Coastertothemoon

Verbier

Digital Footprint

Auld Lange Syne

Closing Kick · late-pace figure

Colonel Poppy

All My Life

Making Me Crazy

Vladislav

Star Entertainer

Handsoffthegoods

Bet types

Wagers offered on this race.

EXACTA / 50 CENT TRIFECTA / 10 CENT SUPERFECTA / DOUBLE

50 CENT PICK 3 RACES (3-4-5) / 20 CENT BUCKEYE PICK 6 (RACES 3-8)-60% CARRYOVER

TBredIQ shows analysis only. We don’t build tickets or suggest amounts.

BET OPTIONS

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Wagers offered on this race — analysis only, no stake sizing.