Pick sheet

Race 93:41 PM Clm 7500b

6.5F · Dirt · 10 entered. Our model's top pick, Endless Glow, is 18% to win (morning line implies 13%). Pace: fast and contested (6 early types). Helps stalkers and closers.

Top pick #4 Endless Glow ML 9-2 Fair 9-2 Model #1 ▼▼ Big drop -29 ↕ Up and down 45–78

Jockey R. Silvera · Trainer E. Padilla-Preciado · KEE 1: 0-0-0 · Dist 2: 0-0-0 · best fig at 6½f dirt 45 · 28 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/5	PRX	6½f D	OC 16k	8th/8 -13L	45	10-1	b L	Brief bid; gave way
9/17	DEL	6f D	OC 25k	5th/8 -5L	69	4.9-1	b L	Angled out; bid;empty
8/26	PEN	6f D	Clm 10k n2xc	Won/6	75	0.4-1	b L	4-w upper; hand ride

Case: Last out 8th/8 -13L in the fOC16000 at PRX. Last Brisnet figures 45-69-75. Best at today's distance 45. 0-for-2 at the distance. 0-for-1 at Parx Racing. E. Padilla-Preciado / R. Silvera.

Knock: 0-for-2 at the distance.

Contender #1 Miss Anna Bella ML 7-2 Fair 5-1 Model #2 ▼▼ Big drop -20 ↕ Up and down 62–90 Blinkers off

Jockey A. Adorno · Trainer J. Servis · KEE 7: 2-0-1 · 81 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
8/13	DEL	1 1/16 D	OC 32k n2x	6th/6 -9L	62	6.1-1	b L	Rail; faltered
7/24	PEN	1m D	OC 40k b	3rd/4 -2L	83	1.7-1	b L	Trkd 3rd; outfinished
9/22	PRX	1m D	OC 50k n2x	3rd/6 -2L	74	1.1-1	b L	Awaited room turn; bid

Case: Last out 6th/6 -9L in the fOC32000n2x at DEL. Last Brisnet figures 62-83-74. 2-for-7 at Parx Racing. J. Servis / A. Adorno.

Knock: Off 81 days.

Use #6 Twist Her ML 4-1 Fair 7-1 Model #3 ▲▲ Big jump +9 Last out 3rd in the fClm7500n3l at PRX. Last Brisnet figures 70-64-54. Best at today's distance 75. 0-for-3 at the distance. 2-for-21 at Parx Racing. M. Moore / M. Sanchez. Knock: Off 147 days. 0-for-3 at the distance.

Jockey M. Sanchez · Trainer M. Moore · KEE 21: 2-3-8 · Dist 3: 0-1-1 · best fig at 6½f dirt 75 · 147 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
6/8	PRX	6f D	Clm 7k n3l	3rd/8 -6L	70	3.0-1	b L	Brief bid; evenly lane
5/2	PRX	6f D	Clm 7k n3l	3rd/7 -1½L	64	2.9-1	b L	Bumped; steadied st
9/10	PRX	7f D	Clm 7k n3l	6th/7 -10L	54	2.8-1	b L	Wide; always outrun

Narrowing the field: A #1, #6, #10 · B #3, #4, #9 · C #2, #5, #7, #8

Angles: #5 Best fig 67 is 5+ under today's par 76 · #5 Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance rises · #7 Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance rises

R9 Parx Racing · Claiming $7,500

3:41 PM ET · 6 1/2 Furlongs Dirt · $21,000 · 10 runners3:41 PM · 6½f Dirt · 10 runners

Upcoming $21K · Claiming $7,500

Card modelCard model Wide openFormLast 3 figsTier · angles

1Miss Anna BellaA. Adorno · J. ServisAdorno · ServisA62 83 74▼▼-20↕7-2Fair 5-116%▼▼ Big drop -2062 83 74 ↕A2

Card model 16% · Fair odds 5-1 · Our #2 · Tier A · Form ▼▼ Big drop -20 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 62–90 · Last 3 figs 62 83 74

Jockey Abner Adorno 32% career 5-for-60 on dirt this meet (8%) · Trainer John C Servis 35% career 3-for-28 on dirt this meet (11%)

Also today · Jockey R3: Admiral's Wave 7-2, R4: Vital 3-1, R8: Ginster 12-1 · Trainer R4: Vital 3-1, R5: Mommy Makeover 4-1

60D LAYOFF3/6 board here

Was running in optional claiming; today's $7,500 claiming is an easier level on paper. Owns the highest recent figure here at 90.

EVEN PACE Balanced pace: trip and tactical speed decide it, with no strong setup advantage.

TROUBLED TRIP Chart note from last time: Rail; faltered. A trip worth forgiving, though the number already carries it.

WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 1 work in 30d and the last 17d back

RECORD 2 wins, 3 on the board from 6 starts here

RECORD Abner Adorno from post 1 here: 34 wins, 111 top-3 in 197 rides · 14% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
8/13	DEL	1 1/16 D	OC 32k n2x	6th/6 -9L	62	6.1-1	b L	Rail; faltered
7/24	PEN	1m D	OC 40k b	3rd/4 -2L	83	1.7-1	b L	Trkd 3rd; outfinished
9/22	PRX	1m D	OC 50k n2x	3rd/6 -2L	74	1.1-1	b L	Awaited room turn; bid

2Flaming EyesD. Haddock · M. RodriguezHaddock · RodriguezC62 67 57►@trip 678-1Fair 20-15%► Steady62 67 57@trip 67C

Card model 5% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #9 · Tier C · Form ► Steady · Best fig at today's trip 67 (5 tries) · Last 3 figs 62 67 57

Jockey Dexter Haddock 28% career 8-for-79 on dirt this meet (10%) · Trainer Miguel A Rodriguez 33% career 3-for-30 on dirt this meet (10%)

CLASS DROPJky 47/248 from post 2

Changes barns, from Lewis Uriah St to Miguel A Rodriguez. Best recent figure is 67, well under the 76 par for this level.

EVEN PACE No pace advantage either way, so this comes down to trip and class.

TROUBLED TRIP Chart note from last time: Vied inside; faltered. A trip worth forgiving, though the number already carries it.

WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 82d ago

RECORD 1 win, 4 on the board from 16 starts here

RECORD Dexter Haddock from post 2 here: 47 wins, 121 top-3 in 248 rides · 12% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/5	PRX	6½f D	Clm 7k bc	4th/7 -2L	62	4.6-1	L	Vied inside; faltered
9/18	PRX	6f D	Clm 20k b	5th/7 -4½L	67	47-1	L	Pressed winner; faded
9/7	PRX	6½f D	Clm 7k b	5th/8 -14L	57	6.7-1	L	Two path; no factor

3California SmokeB. Torres · E. Padilla-PreciadoTorres · Padilla-PreciadoB70 62 54▲▲+11@trip 715-1Fair 7-113%▲▲ Big jump +1170 62 54@trip 71B

Card model 13% · Fair odds 7-1 · Our #4 · Tier B · Form ▲▲ Big jump +11 · Best fig at today's trip 71 (4 tries) · Last 3 figs 70 62 54

Jockey Bryan L Torres 32% career 5-for-27 on dirt this meet (19%) · Trainer Ernesto Padilla-Preciado 36% career

Also today · Trainer this race: Endless Glow 9-2

WON LAST

Winner of a 9-horse $7,500 claiming race at PRX last time. Has moved up each time out, 54 to 62 to 70.

EVEN PACE Balanced pace: trip and tactical speed decide it, with no strong setup advantage.

WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 84 days ago

RECORD 1 win, 2 on the board from 6 starts here

RECORD Bryan L Torres from post 3 here: 7 wins, 29 top-3 in 57 rides · 13% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/21	PRX	6f D	Clm 7k n2l	Won/9 by ½	70	1.3-1	b L	Angled out; up late
9/30	PRX	6½f D	Clm 7k n2l	2nd/9 -½L	62	2.8-1	b L	Wide advance; no match
9/15	PRX	6f D	Clm 7k n2l	10th/11 -11L	54	5.1-1	b L	Brief wide bid; empty

4Endless GlowR. Silvera · E. Padilla-PreciadoSilvera · Padilla-PreciadoB45 69 75▼▼-29↕@trip 459-2Fair 9-218%▼▼ Big drop -2945 69 75 ↕@trip 45B1

Card model 18% · Fair odds 9-2 · Our #1 · Tier B · Form ▼▼ Big drop -29 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 45–78 · Best fig at today's trip 45 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 45 69 75

Jockey Ruben Silvera 32% career ★ 15-for-59 on dirt this meet (25%), #2 of 32 · Trainer Ernesto Padilla-Preciado 36% career

Also today · Jockey R1: So Noble 8-1, R2: Cassation 5-1, R8: Miss Ma'am 6-1 · Trainer this race: California Smoke 5-1

CLASS DROP

A big drop, optional claiming to $7,500 claiming, and worth asking why. Figures have slipped: 75, 69, 45 over its last three.

EVEN PACE The shape is neutral for this one.

WORKS SHARP 5f in 1:01.20 on May 13 was the best time at that distance that morning; 1 work in 30d

RECORD Ruben Silvera from post 4 here: 28 wins, 91 top-3 in 156 rides · 16% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/5	PRX	6½f D	OC 16k	8th/8 -13L	45	10-1	b L	Brief bid; gave way
9/17	DEL	6f D	OC 25k	5th/8 -5L	69	4.9-1	b L	Angled out; bid;empty
8/26	PEN	6f D	Clm 10k n2xc	Won/6	75	0.4-1	b L	4-w upper; hand ride

5Sweet Distraction▼▼L. Hoskins · L. StHoskins · StC64 62 52▲▲+8@trip 6712-1Fair 30-14%▲▲ Big jump +864 62 52@trip 67C▼ Best fig 67 is 5+ under today's par 76▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance rises

Card model 4% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #10 · Tier C · Form ▲▲ Big jump +8 · Best fig at today's trip 67 (7 tries) · Last 3 figs 64 62 52

▼ Best fig 67 is 5+ under today's par 76▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance rises

Jockey Luke Hoskins 14% career 2-for-5 on dirt this meet · Trainer Lewis Uriah St 1-for-24 on dirt this meet (4%)

CLASS DROP★ FASTEST WORK

3rd last time, 2½ lengths back, in a field of 5. Needs to move up: the best of its last five is 64 against a 76 par.

EVEN PACE The shape is neutral for this one.

WORKS SHARP 4f in :49.20 on Feb 12 was the best time at that distance that morning; 0 works in 30d

RECORD 1 win, 4 on the board from 10 starts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/14	PRX	6½f D	Clm 7k b	3rd/5 -2½L	64	12-1	L	Rail early; wide late
9/18	PRX	6f D	Clm 20k b	6th/7 -9L	62	43-1	L	Very slow start;outrun
9/7	PRX	6½f D	Clm 7k b	6th/8 -13L	52	14-1	L	Brief speed; gave way

6Twist HerM. Sanchez · M. MooreSanchez · MooreA70 64 54▲▲+9@trip 754-1Fair 7-113%▲▲ Big jump +970 64 54@trip 75A3

Card model 13% · Fair odds 7-1 · Our #3 · Tier A · Form ▲▲ Big jump +9 · Best fig at today's trip 75 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 70 64 54

Jockey Magglio Sanchez 37% career 26-for-131 on dirt this meet (20%) · Trainer Michael M Moore 33% career 3-for-21 on dirt this meet (14%) ★ hot

Also today · Jockey R1: Gypsy Lane 5-1, R5: Minxzmajestkmystic 8-1, R6: Blame Eve 3-1 · Trainer R1: Honeysmakemoney 4-1

60D LAYOFF3 WORKS IN 30 DAYS5/10 board here

Returns from a 147-day break, the biggest in the field. Has moved up each time out, 54 to 64 to 70.

EVEN PACE Balanced pace: trip and tactical speed decide it, with no strong setup advantage.

WORKS SHARP One of the busier work schedules here: 3 works in 30d, last 10d ago

RECORD 1 win, 5 on the board from 10 starts here

RECORD Magglio Sanchez from post 6 here: 56 wins, 127 top-3 in 248 rides · 26% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
6/8	PRX	6f D	Clm 7k n3l	3rd/8 -6L	70	3.0-1	b L	Brief bid; evenly lane
5/2	PRX	6f D	Clm 7k n3l	3rd/7 -1½L	64	2.9-1	b L	Bumped; steadied st
9/10	PRX	7f D	Clm 7k n3l	6th/7 -10L	54	2.8-1	b L	Wide; always outrun

7Silver City Kitty▼J. Aguilar · R. RosadoAguilar · RosadoC60 38 62▲+4↕@trip 7510-1Fair 20-15%▲ Up +460 38 62 ↕@trip 75C▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance rises

Card model 5% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #8 · Tier C · Form ▲ Up +4 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 38–69 · Best fig at today's trip 75 (4 tries) · Last 3 figs 60 38 62

▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance rises

Jockey Jean Aguilar 30% career 4-for-43 on dirt this meet (9%) · Trainer Roberto J Rosado 21% career 2-for-9 on dirt this meet (22%)

CLASS DROP8/15 board here

0 for 6 at today's distance. Finished 5th in a 10-horse $7,500 claiming race at PRX, beaten 5½ lengths.

EVEN PACE The shape is neutral for this one.

WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 85d back)

RECORD 1 win, 8 on the board from 15 starts here

RECORD Jean Aguilar from post 7 here: 9 wins, 28 top-3 in 88 rides · 13% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/28	PRX	6f D	Clm 7k b	5th/10 -5½L	60	10-1	L	Outside; lacked rally
9/8	PRX	6½f D	Clm 12k b	8th/8 -17L	38	6.1-1	L	Wide turn; stopped
8/24	PRX	6f D	Clm 7k n3lc	2nd/7 -7L	62	3.1-1	L	Willingly no match

8No Mo MuffinsC. Hargrove · M. Soto-Hargrove · Soto-C64 70 48▲+6↕@trip 648-1Fair 12-17%▲ Up +664 70 48 ↕@trip 64C

Card model 7% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #7 · Tier C · Form ▲ Up +6 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 48–70 · Best fig at today's trip 64 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 64 70 48

Jockey Camila Hargrove 14% career 5-for-29 on dirt this meet (17%) · Trainer Martinez Elliott Soto- 2-for-20 on dirt this meet (10%)

Also today · Jockey R2: Hey Buddy 5-1

Led at the first call last time. Last out was 2nd, a head behind the winner, in a 5-horse $7,500 claiming race at PRX.

EVEN PACE Balanced pace: trip and tactical speed decide it, with no strong setup advantage.

WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 43d back)

RECORD 0 wins, 1 on the board from 6 starts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/14	PRX	6½f D	Clm 7k b	2nd/5 by hd	64	3.8-1	b L	Led outside; weakened
9/28	PRX	6f D	Clm 7k b	4th/10 -½L	70	18-1	b L	Angled inside; willing
8/31	PRX	6½f D	Clm 7k b	6th/8 -9½L	48	2.2-1	b L	Close btwn; gave way

9Tap and a HugJ. Rodriguez · M. PinoRodriguez · PinoB69 75 68►@trip 696-1Fair 8-111%► Steady69 75 68@trip 69B

Card model 11% · Fair odds 8-1 · Our #5 · Tier B · Form ► Steady · Best fig at today's trip 69 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 69 75 68

Jockey Jamie Rodriguez 34% career 0-for-7 on dirt this meet · Trainer Michael V Pino 36% career ★ 12-for-38 on dirt this meet (32%), #2 of 48 ★ hot

Also today · Jockey R5: First Blush 6-1, R8: Olympic Dreamer 8-1

WON LAST

Michael V Pino takes over the training from Brandon L Kulp. Worked 4F in :48.00 on Sep 8, 2nd of 7 at the distance.

EVEN PACE The shape is neutral for this one.

SHARP LAST OUT Chart comment from the last start: Wide bid; drew away.

WORKS SHARP One of the busier work schedules here: 1 work in 30d, last 14d ago

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/30	PRX	6½f D	Clm 7k n2lc	Won/9	69	0.9-1	b L	Wide bid; drew away
9/15	PRX	6f D	Clm 7k n2l	2nd/11	75	6.9-1	b L	Rallied; led; nailed
8/14	PEN	6f D	Clm 5k n2l	2nd/7 -2L	68	2.9-1	b L	Press ins;re-bid;game

10NoulikeabookF. Martinez · R. PerezMartinez · PerezA64 70 74▼▼-8@trip 746-1Fair 10-19%▼▼ Big drop -864 70 74@trip 74A

Card model 9% · Fair odds 10-1 · Our #6 · Tier A · Form ▼▼ Big drop -8 · Best fig at today's trip 74 (5 tries) · Last 3 figs 64 70 74

Jockey Francisco Martinez 33% career 9-for-96 on dirt this meet (9%) · Trainer Ruperto A Perez 30% career 6-for-38 on dirt this meet (16%)

Also today · Jockey R3: He's Got Swagger 5-1 · Trainer R6: Catrina Zar 15-1

CLASS UP

3 wins from 6 starts at this distance. Figures have slipped: 74, 70, 64 over its last three.

EVEN PACE Balanced pace: trip and tactical speed decide it, with no strong setup advantage.

WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 86d back)

RECORD 3 wins, 4 on the board from 9 starts here

RECORD Francisco Martinez from post 10 here: 3 wins, 10 top-3 in 35 rides · 13% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/19	PRX	6½f D	Clm 12k b	5th/7 -10L	64	2.2-1	L	Wide; no factor
9/28	PRX	6f D	Clm 7k bc	3rd/10 -2L	70	2.1-1	L	Angled out; closed gap
9/7	PRX	6½f D	Clm 7k b	Won/8	74	3.2-1	L	Rail trip; bid; lasted

▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: fast and contested (6 early types). Helps stalkers and closers.

How to read these marks

1 2 3: Our top three by the card model's win chance. Tap “Our order” to sort by it.
Win %, Fair: The card model's chance to win, and the odds that chance works out to with no takeout. Fair is green when the model rates the horse above its morning line (the line scaled to add up to 100%).
Tier A B C ?: The field ranked on recent speed figures and the morning line together: A = top three, B = next three, C = the rest, ? = no figures yet.
71 60 72: Last three speed figures, newest first. “@trip 75” = best figure at today's distance (within 30 yards) on this surface.
▲▲ ▲ ► ▼ ▼▼: Form: last figure against the average of the three before it. ▲ = up 3 or more, ▲▲ = up 8 or more, ► = within 3, ▼ / ▼▼ = down. The number is the difference.
≡ ↕: ≡ steady: the last four figures sit close together. ↕ up-and-down: they swing widely.
★: Best figure in the field at today's distance and surface, from two or more tries, not tied. When that horse isn't in our top three it gets a “Distance horse” note above the field.
▲ ▼ chips: Handicapping angles for or against the horse. LS = longshot read: 8-1 or more on the morning line and the model rates it higher than that line.

These marks describe the past performances. None of them is proven to beat the odds: in our test of 100 handicapping angles, nothing did better than the final odds, and the morning-line favourite wins more races than our top-ranked horse. Read them as notes, not as a reason to bet.

Race conditions and our readpace, conditions, story

PARX RACING · RACE 9

UPCOMING

Claiming $7,500

Field

10 runners

Purse

$21,000

Post

3:41 PM ET

Pace

Tactical / Honest

Card model top pick

#4 · 18%

Claiming $7,500, for fillies and mares, 3-year-olds and up.

Claiming race — every starter can be bought for the claiming price out of the race, so owners risk losing a horse that's clearly best. That keeps the field evenly matched on ability.

● Track record at 6 1/2 Furlongs: 74.39

The shape is the story here: there's little established early speed, so a tactical horse can control soft fractions up front and prove hard to run down.

Our number tops on #4 Endless Glow (a presser/stalker, M/L 9-2). Recent figures: 45 · 69 · 75. It needs to turn the form around after a flat last start. Backup is #1 Miss Anna Bella at 7-2. Use #6 Twist Her in exotic structures.

What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.

At a glance: model vs the morning line

At a glance

Market favourite #1 MISS ANNA BELLA (7-2) — our number has it ranked #2.
#1 MISS ANNA BELLA — our #2 number, about right at the windows (16.4% to their 15.4%).
#4 ENDLESS GLOW — our top number on the card, and the board's letting him go too cheap — we make him 15.3%, they've got 12.6%.
#6 TWIST HER — our #3 number, about right at the windows (13.0% to their 13.8%).

Model vs the morning line · analysis, not advice

#4 ENDLESS GLOW — we make it 15.3%, the morning line works out to 12.6%. That gap is the model's opinion, not a price; pools pay the final odds, and on our records these gaps haven't paid off.

Pacewho goes to the front

Pace

Tactical / Honest. Balanced shape: 1-2 speed, supporting pressers, closers in play. Trip wins out.

Likely leader: #1 Miss Anna Bella; pressure from #9 Tap And A Hug, #2 Flaming Eyes.

Lead

none

Press

1Miss Anna Bella939Tap And A Hug852Flaming Eyes848No Mo Muffins835Sweet Distraction807Silver City Kitty77

Stalk

4Endless Glow856Twist Her853California Smoke7710Noulikeabook76

none

Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.

Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse

Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners

Miss Anna Bella

Endless Glow

Twist Her

Tap And A Hug

Flaming Eyes

No Mo Muffins

Sweet Distraction

California Smoke

Silver City Kitty

Noulikeabook

Closing Kick · late-pace figure

Miss Anna Bella

Flaming Eyes

Endless Glow

Twist Her

California Smoke

Tap And A Hug

Noulikeabook

Silver City Kitty

Sweet Distraction

No Mo Muffins

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