REMINGTON PARK · RACE 1

UPCOMING

Claiming $5,000

Field

7 runners

Purse

$13,000

Post

7:30 PM ET

Pace

Pressed Pace

Model top pick

#3 · 30%

Claiming $5,000, for 3-year-olds and up.

Claiming race — every starter can be bought for the claiming price out of the race, so owners risk losing a horse that's clearly best. That keeps the field evenly matched on ability.

● Track record at 6 1/2 Furlongs: 73.81

The shape is the story here: there's little established early speed, so a tactical horse can control soft fractions up front and prove hard to run down.

Our number tops on #3 City Of Clouds (a closer, M/L 5-2). Recent figures: 83 · 88 · 82. It hit the board last time and stays in form. Backup is #4 Blow Torch at 8-1. Use #6 Vietnam Victory in exotic structures.

What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.

The field, ranked

Our order, top to bottom.

Pressed Pace: Speed under pressure from multiple pressers. Likely honest pace, slight closer benefit.

1TOP PICK

3City Of Clouds

Jockey Mario Fuentes 30% career 3-for-29 on dirt this meet (10%) · Trainer Miguel Silva 34% career 4-for-13 on dirt this meet (31%), #3 of 44

Also today · Jockey R5: Storm After Dark 5-1, R6: Star Statis 20-1, R9: Pushrod 20-1 · Trainer R4: Slades Tank 3-1, R8: Sueno Magico 6-1

3/3 board here

Best Brisnet figure in the field over its last five: 88, with 85 next best. Mario Fuentes takes over from Ernesto Valdez-Jiminez in the saddle.

EVEN PACE With the front end pressed, the late run has something to run at.

WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 1 work in 30d, last 5d ago

RECORD On the board in all 3 starts here (2 wins)

RECORD Mario Fuentes from post 3 here: 1 win, 5 top-3 in 18 rides · 7% wins from all posts here

M/L5-2

Model30%

Fav?Yes

StyleS

Last2nd · 27d

22ND

4Blow Torch

Jockey I V Diego 29% career 5-for-45 on dirt this meet (11%) · Trainer Logan Ashford 34% career 0-for-6 on dirt this meet

Also today · Jockey R5: Eagle Vision 20-1, R6: Highway Seven 10-1, R9: Oklahoma Kid 8-1 · Trainer R4: Big Muckity 9-2

Drops from $10,000 claiming to $5,000 claiming. Beaten 5 lengths for 4th in a 5-horse $10,000 claiming race at RP.

PACE HELPS Sits just off the speed with pace in front to run at.

TROUBLED TRIP 4w turn; faltered last out; the speed figure already reflects it.

WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 83 days ago

RECORD I V Diego from post 4 here: 5 wins, 32 top-3 in 94 rides · 11% wins from all posts here

M/L8-1

Model11%

Fav?No

StyleP

Last4th · 19d

33RD

6Vietnam Victory

Jockey Weston Hamilton 20% career 4-for-53 on dirt this meet (8%) · Trainer Danny Pish 29% career 2-for-24 on dirt this meet (8%)

Also today · Jockey R2: Clay's Hatchett 12-1, R3: Connie'scalculator 9-2, R7: Moneyline 15-1, R8: Tikihut 12-1 · Trainer R2: Perfectly Harvey 15-1, R3: Connie'scalculator 9-2, R7: Moneyline 15-1

★ FASTEST WORK

Has moved up each time out, 76 to 78 to 84. Was 8th of 8 at the first call last time.

EVEN PACE Real pressure up front should bring the pace back to it.

WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 103 days ago

RECORD Weston Hamilton from post 6 here: 1 win, 6 top-3 in 26 rides · 8% wins from all posts here

M/L7-2

Model16%

Fav?No

StyleS

Last2nd · 25d

44TH

1Third Street

Jockey Ronnie Huckaby 22% career 2-for-41 on dirt this meet (5%) · Trainer Justin Evans 41% career 6-for-42 on dirt this meet (14%)

Also today · Jockey R2: Kelce 9-2 · Trainer R2: Yaqin 3-1, R2: Kelce 9-2, R7: Bearings 20-1, R7: Brotha Keny 5-1 +1 more

60D LAYOFF

Freshened 117 days, longer than anything else in the field. Watch how its recent works look. Was running in $7,500 claiming; today's $5,000 claiming is an easier level on paper.

PACE CHALLENGE Leads into real pressure, so it has to earn the front and then hold it. (early-speed points: 5)

WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 5F on Jun 11; 2 works in 30d

M/L6-1

Model11%

Fav?No

StyleE

Last4th · 117d

55TH

2Cawkab

Jockey Erik Asmussen 34% career ★ 29-for-94 on dirt this meet (31%), #1 of 27 · Trainer Steven M Asmussen 36% career ★ 30-for-115 on dirt this meet (26%) ★ hot

Also today · Jockey R2: The Standard 5-2, R3: Slighted 2-1, R7: Brigadier General 4-1, R8: Mi Diamante 8-1 · Trainer R2: Cocked Pistol 8-1, R2: The Standard 5-2, R3: Belladore 4-1, R3: Slighted 2-1 +3 more

3 WORKS IN 30 DAYS3/3 board here

Finished 2nd in a 5-horse $5,000 claiming race at RP, beaten 1 length. Cuts back from 1 1/16 miles to 6½ furlongs.

EVEN PACE Real pressure up front should bring the pace back to it.

WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 3 works in 30d and the last 8d back

RECORD On the board in all 3 starts here (2 wins)

RECORD Erik Asmussen from post 2 here: 17 wins, 31 top-3 in 51 rides · 27% wins from all posts here

M/L3-1

Model15%

Fav?No

StyleS

Last2nd · 54d

5Cape Trafalgar

Jockey Javier Padron-Barcenas 21% career 1-for-27 on dirt this meet (4%) · Trainer Danele Durham 25% career

Also today · Jockey R6: Zapper M 20-1

60D LAYOFF

2 wins from 5 starts at this distance. Returns from a 108-day break.

PACE HELPS Sits just off the speed with pace in front to run at.

WORKS Routine prep: 2 works in 30d, last 17d ago

M/L10-1

Model7%

Fav?No

StyleE/P

Last10th · 108d

7Sixhoofsevenhoof

Jockey Jose L Alvarez 34% career 6-for-42 on dirt this meet (14%) · Trainer M Brent Davidson 26% career 2-for-27 on dirt this meet (7%)

Also today · Jockey R3: Make Him Wait 5-1, R4: Night Passage 8-1, R6: Freebie West 5-2, R7: Indy Road 10-1 +2 more

WON LAST3/6 board here

Comes in off a victory in an 8-horse $5,000 claiming race at RP. Figures are climbing: 56, 73, 75 over its last three.

EVEN PACE With the front end pressed, the late run has something to run at.

WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 81d ago

RECORD 2 wins, 3 on the board from 6 starts here

RECORD Jose L Alvarez from post 7 here: 15 wins, 43 top-3 in 88 rides · 16% wins from all posts here

M/L9-2

Model10%

Fav?No

StyleS

Last1st · 26d

At a glance

Market favourite #3 CITY OF CLOUDS (5-2) — our number agrees.
#3 CITY OF CLOUDS — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (24.2% to their 22.2%).
#2 CAWKAB — our #5 number, about right at the windows (18.7% to their 19.5%).
#6 VIETNAM VICTORY — our #3 number, about right at the windows (17.6% to their 17.3%).

Model vs the morning line · analysis, not advice

The model and the morning line roughly agree on this field.

Pace

Pressed Pace. Speed under pressure from multiple pressers. Likely honest pace, slight closer benefit.

Likely leader: #1 Third Street; pressure from #5 Cape Trafalgar; the shape helps #4 Blow Torch, #5 Cape Trafalgar; and works against #1 Third Street.

Lead

1Third Street90

Press

5Cape Trafalgar70

Stalk

4Blow Torch89

6Vietnam Victory873City Of Clouds812Cawkab787Sixhoofsevenhoof60

Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.

Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse

Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners

Third Street

Blow Torch

Cape Trafalgar

Closing Kick · late-pace figure

Vietnam Victory

Sixhoofsevenhoof

City Of Clouds

Cawkab

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