REMINGTON PARK · RACE 2
UPCOMINGMaiden Special Weight
Maiden Special Weight, for 5-year-olds.
Maiden special weight — for horses that have never won a race. No horses are for sale; this is the higher-quality way to break a maiden.
● Track record at 6 1/2 Furlongs: 73.81
The shape is the story here: 4 confirmed front-runners should pressure each other early, which tilts the race toward stalkers and closers who can pick up the pieces late.
Our number tops on #8 The Standard (a presser/stalker, M/L 5-2). Recent figures: 83 · 71 · 86. It hit the board last time and stays in form. Backup is #3 Yaqin at 3-1. Use #5 Kelce in exotic structures.
What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.
The field, ranked
Our order, top to bottom.
Maiden through 7 starts. Tops the field on speed figures, an 88 against 81 for the next best.
New trainer: Bob Baffert had it last time, Justin Evans now. Back after 325 days away; fitness is the question and the works are the evidence. The longest gap in the field.
Beaten 3¼ lengths for 2nd in an 8-horse maiden special weight race at RP. A 79 top number against a 82 par, so it fits the level.
Runs for $38,000 today after a $250,000 race last time. Last out was 8th, 16 lengths behind the winner, in an 8-horse race at LAD.
The Aug 26 work, 4F in :48.40, was the best time at that distance that morning. Worked 3F in :36.80 on Feb 25, 3rd of 10 at the distance.
A longer trip: 5 furlongs last out, 6½ furlongs today. 4th last time, 10 lengths back, in a field of 10.
Switches from turf to dirt. Dick Cappellucci takes over the training from Brad H Cox.
Goes 6½ furlongs after running 5 furlongs last time. A 66 is the high figure lately, short of the 82 par.
Returns from a 214-day break. Best recent figure is 62, well under the 82 par for this level.
At a glance
- Market favourite #8 THE STANDARD (5-2) — our number agrees.
- #8 THE STANDARD — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (23.4% to their 22.2%).
- #3 YAQIN — our #2 number, about right at the windows (20.1% to their 19.4%).
- #5 KELCE — our #3 number, about right at the windows (14.6% to their 14.1%).
Model vs the morning line
- The model and the morning line roughly agree on this field.
Pace
Speed Duel. Three or more early-speed types. Fast pace, hot fractions — closers benefit.
Likely leader: #3 Yaqin; pressure from #6 Bozzetto, #2 Cocked Pistol; and works against #1 Perfectly Harvey, #2 Cocked Pistol, #3 Yaqin.
Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.
Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse
Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners
Closing Kick · late-pace figure
Bet types
Wagers offered on this race.
WPS / EXACTA / TRIFECTA (.50 CENT MINIMUM) / SUPERFECTA (.10 CENT MINIMUM)
PICK 4 (RACES 2-3-4-5) (.50 CENT MINIMUM)
BET OPTIONS
WinPlaceShowExactaTrifectaSuperfecta