REMINGTON PARK · RACE 4
UPCOMINGClaiming $30,000
Claiming $30,000, for 3-year-olds and up, restricted to state-bred (registered) horses.
Claiming race — every starter can be bought for the claiming price out of the race, so owners risk losing a horse that's clearly best. That keeps the field evenly matched on ability.
● Track record at 6 Furlongs: 68.0
The shape is the story here: the early pace looks honest rather than contested — expect a fairly run race where class and trip decide it, not pace collapse.
Our number tops on #6 Mi Saturday (early speed, M/L 4-1). Recent figures: 80 · 68 · 87. Backup is #3 Guapo at 5-2. Use #7 Big Muckity in exotic structures.
What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.
The field, ranked
Our order, top to bottom.
3 wins from 8 starts at this distance. Runs for $33,000 today after a $130,000 race last time.
Runs for $33,000 today after a $130,000 race last time. Has run 89 against a 79 par for the class.
Back to 6 furlongs off a 7 furlongs race. Owns the highest recent figure here at 91.
Moves up from $12,500 claiming to $30,000 claiming. Beaten 2½ lengths for 2nd in a 7-horse $12,500 claiming race at RP.
Last start was a win, in a 9-horse $20,000 claiming race at RP at 4-1. A 54-day gap since its last race.
Trending the wrong way on speed, 82 to 81 to 75. Figure of 88 on the record sits above the 79 par.
Finished 4th in an 8-horse $30,000 claiming race at RP, beaten 2 lengths. Best recent figure of 78 sits right around the 79 par.
At a glance
- Market favourite #3 GUAPO (5-2) — our number has it ranked #2.
- #3 GUAPO — our #2 number, about right at the windows (22.1% to their 22.6%).
- #4 SLADES TANK — our #6 number, about right at the windows (19.1% to their 19.8%).
- #6 MI SATURDAY — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (17.5% to their 15.8%).
Model vs the morning line
- The model and the morning line roughly agree on this field.
Pace
Pressed Pace. Speed under pressure from multiple pressers. Likely honest pace, slight closer benefit.
Likely leader: #6 Mi Saturday; pressure from #3 Guapo, #2 Papa Bill; the shape helps #1 Da Chief, #2 Papa Bill, #4 Slades Tank; and works against #3 Guapo, #6 Mi Saturday.
Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.
Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse
Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners
Closing Kick · late-pace figure
Bet types
Wagers offered on this race.
WPS / EXACTA / TRIFECTA (.50 CENT MINIMUM) / SUPERFECTA (.10 CENT MINIMUM)
PICK 3 (RACES 4-5-6) (.50 CENT MINIMUM)
BET OPTIONS
WinPlaceShowExactaTrifectaSuperfecta