REMINGTON PARK · RACE 3

UPCOMING

Claiming $30,000

Field

6 runners

Purse

$28,000

Post

8:26 PM ET

Pace

Speed Duel

Model top pick

#5 · 19%

Claiming $30,000, for fillies, 2-year-olds, that have not won two races lifetime.

Claiming race — every starter can be bought for the claiming price out of the race, so owners risk losing a horse that's clearly best. That keeps the field evenly matched on ability.

● Track record at 5 1/2 Furlongs: 62.0

The shape is the story here: 4 confirmed front-runners should pressure each other early, which tilts the race toward stalkers and closers who can pick up the pieces late.

Our number tops on #5 Sneak Peek'n (early speed, M/L 6-1). Recent figures: 55 · 69 · 59. Backup is #1 Connie'scalculator at 9-2. Use #6 Slighted in exotic structures.

What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.

The field, ranked

Our order, top to bottom.

Speed Duel: Three or more early-speed types. Fast pace, hot fractions — closers benefit.

1TOP PICK

5Sneak Peek'n

Jockey Lane J Luzzi 27% career 2-for-23 on dirt this meet (9%) · Trainer Scott E Young 30% career 3-for-41 on dirt this meet (7%)

Also today · Jockey R2: Perfectly Harvey 15-1, R5: Girldontgoawaymad 5-2, R7: Gunflash 10-1 · Trainer R4: Guapo 5-2, R7: No Trouble 15-1

2/3 board here

Owns the highest recent figure here at 69. Runs for $28,000 today after a $100,000 race last time.

PACE CHALLENGE Early speed in a crowded front end; somebody gets worn down. (early-speed points: 5)

TROUBLED TRIP Up close; shuffled last out; the speed figure already reflects it.

WORKS Average work schedule for this field (2 works in 30d, last 19d ago)

RECORD 1 win, 2 on the board from 3 starts here

M/L6-1

Model19%

Fav?No

StyleE

Last6th · 12d

22ND

1Connie'scalculator

Jockey Weston Hamilton 20% career 4-for-53 on dirt this meet (8%) · Trainer Danny Pish 29% career 2-for-24 on dirt this meet (8%)

Also today · Jockey R1: Vietnam Victory 7-2, R2: Clay's Hatchett 12-1, R7: Moneyline 15-1, R8: Tikihut 12-1 · Trainer R1: Vietnam Victory 7-2, R2: Perfectly Harvey 15-1, R7: Moneyline 15-1

Beaten 12 lengths for 6th in a 7-horse race at RP. Runs for $28,000 today after a $50,000 race last time.

PACE CHALLENGE Early speed in a crowded front end; somebody gets worn down. (early-speed points: 5)

WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (1 work in 30d, last 18d back)

RECORD Weston Hamilton from post 1 here: 2 wins, 13 top-3 in 35 rides · 8% wins from all posts here

M/L9-2

Model16%

Fav?No

StyleE

Last6th · 31d

33RD

6Slighted

Jockey Erik Asmussen 34% career ★ 29-for-94 on dirt this meet (31%), #1 of 27 · Trainer Steven M Asmussen 36% career ★ 30-for-115 on dirt this meet (26%) ★ hot

Also today · Jockey R1: Cawkab 3-1, R2: The Standard 5-2, R7: Brigadier General 4-1, R8: Mi Diamante 8-1 · Trainer R1: Cawkab 3-1, R2: Cocked Pistol 8-1, R2: The Standard 5-2, this race: Belladore 4-1 +3 more

60D LAYOFFCLASS DROP3 WORKS IN 30 DAYSWON LAST

Back to 5½ furlongs off a 7 furlongs race. Won last out in a 6-horse maiden claiming $20,000 race at RP.

EVEN PACE Lands behind the duel without having to be part of it.

SHARP LAST OUT Chart comment from the last start: 2w; clear; ridden out.

WORKS SHARP One of the busier work schedules here: 3 works in 30d, last 12d ago

RECORD Erik Asmussen from post 6 here: 10 wins, 26 top-3 in 45 rides · 27% wins from all posts here

M/L2-1

Model23%

Fav?Yes

StyleP

Last1st · 62d

44TH

2Make Him Wait

Jockey Jose L Alvarez 34% career 6-for-42 on dirt this meet (14%) · Trainer Allen Milligan 26% career 0-for-6 on dirt this meet

Also today · Jockey R1: Sixhoofsevenhoof 9-2, R4: Night Passage 8-1, R6: Freebie West 5-2, R7: Indy Road 10-1 +2 more · Trainer R9: Pushrod 20-1

WON LAST

Best Brisnet figure in the field over its last five: 69, with 68 next best. Last start was a win, in a 6-horse maiden claiming $20,000 race at LAD at 3.3-1.

EVEN PACE Can sit just off the early fight and pick up whoever tires.

WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 43d back)

RECORD Jose L Alvarez from post 2 here: 17 wins, 56 top-3 in 106 rides · 16% wins from all posts here

M/L5-1

Model14%

Fav?No

StyleE/P

Last1st · 35d

55TH

3Botox And Coffee

Jockey Ernesto Valdez-Jiminez 31% career 5-for-54 on dirt this meet (9%) · Trainer Ronnie Iii Cravens 1-for-23 on dirt this meet (4%)

Also today · Jockey R4: Slades Tank 3-1, R8: Midway Vow 4-1 · Trainer R8: Midway Vow 4-1

WON LAST

New trainer: Steven M Asmussen had it last time, Ronnie Iii Cravens now. A step up in company: maiden claiming $10,000 before, $30,000 claiming today.

PACE CHALLENGE One of several that want the lead, so the early work will cost something. (early-speed points: 6)

SHARP LAST OUT Chart comment from the last start: Early speed; much best.

WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 46d back)

RECORD Ernesto Valdez-Jiminez from post 3 here: 5 wins, 13 top-3 in 43 rides · 12% wins from all posts here

M/L3-1

Model15%

Fav?No

StyleE

Last1st · 39d

4Belladore

Jockey S Elliott 35% career 5-for-61 on dirt this meet (8%) · Trainer Steven M Asmussen 36% career ★ 30-for-115 on dirt this meet (26%) ★ hot

Also today · Jockey R2: Cocked Pistol 8-1, R5: Telekinetic 6-1, R7: Twenty One Skidoo 12-1, R8: Queen Wilhelmina 8-1 +1 more · Trainer R1: Cawkab 3-1, R2: Cocked Pistol 8-1, R2: The Standard 5-2, this race: Slighted 2-1 +3 more

CLASS DROPWON LAST

Moves up from maiden claiming $7,500 to $30,000 claiming. Comes in off a victory in a 5-horse maiden claiming $7,500 race at RP.

PACE CHALLENGE Early speed in a crowded front end; somebody gets worn down. (early-speed points: 3)

SHARP LAST OUT Led; 3p; drew off last out, and it did it the right way.

WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 1 work in 30d, last 13d ago

RECORD S Elliott from post 4 here: 26 wins, 65 top-3 in 130 rides · 19% wins from all posts here

M/L4-1

Model12%

Fav?No

StyleE

Last1st · 25d

At a glance

Market favourite #6 SLIGHTED (2-1) — our number has it ranked #3.
#6 SLIGHTED — our #3 number, about right at the windows (24.5% to their 26.2%).
#3 BOTOX AND COFFEE — our #5 number, about right at the windows (18.2% to their 19.6%).
#1 CONNIE'SCALCULATOR — our #2 number, about right at the windows (15.7% to their 14.3%).

Model vs the morning line · analysis, not advice

#5 SNEAK PEEK'N — we make it 14.0%, the morning line works out to 11.2%. That gap is the model's opinion, not a price; pools pay the final odds, and on our records these gaps haven't paid off.

Pace

Speed Duel. Three or more early-speed types. Fast pace, hot fractions — closers benefit.

Likely leader: #1 Connie'scalculator; pressure from #4 Belladore, #3 Botox And Coffee; and works against #1 Connie'scalculator, #3 Botox And Coffee, #4 Belladore.

Lead

1Connie'scalculator954Belladore903Botox And Coffee895Sneak Peek'n88

Press

2Make Him Wait83

Stalk

6Slighted82

none

Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.

Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse

Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners

Connie'scalculator

Belladore

Botox And Coffee

Sneak Peek'n

Make Him Wait

Slighted

Closing Kick · late-pace figure

Botox And Coffee

Belladore

Slighted

Sneak Peek'n

Make Him Wait

Connie'scalculator

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