REMINGTON PARK · RACE 9
UPCOMINGMaiden Special Weight
Maiden Special Weight, for 2-year-olds.
Maiden special weight — for horses that have never won a race. No horses are for sale; this is the higher-quality way to break a maiden.
● Track record at 5 1/2 Furlongs: 62.0
The shape is the story here: the early pace looks honest rather than contested — expect a fairly run race where class and trip decide it, not pace collapse.
Our number tops on #12 Duval (early speed, M/L 3-1). Recent figures: 65 · 69 · 54. Backup is #5 Betterquitthatboy at 10-1. Use #1 Personality Plus in exotic structures.
What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.
The field, ranked
Our order, top to bottom.
Raced in mid-pack early, 3rd at the first call. Last out was 4th, 3 lengths behind the winner, in an 8-horse maiden special weight race at RP.
Beaten a head for 2nd in an 8-horse maiden special weight race at RP. Best recent figure of 73 sits right around the 78 par.
Best Brisnet figure in the field over its last five: 74, with 73 next best. Finished 2nd in an 11-horse maiden special weight race at RP, beaten 2 lengths.
Changes barns, from Kayson Turner to Scott Corderman. Carries 118 pounds, 6 less than last time.
Back after 139 days away; fitness is the question and the works are the evidence. The longest gap in the field. Jockey switch: Freddy Jose Manrrique last out, Rene Diaz today.
First-time starter from a barn that wins 24% of the time with them (37 tried). First career start, by Jimmy Creed out of Attyia.
Unraced; this barn has 101 first-time starters on record and wins 19% of them. First start coming, and it has been busy in the mornings: 12 works since Jun 5.
Worked 5F in 1:01.20 on Sep 2, 3rd of 7 at the distance. Gets a new rider, Geovanni Franko-Angeles replacing Jose L Alvarez.
Debut for this Mitole gelding, whose dam is More Than Kisses. On Oct 16 it was 2nd of 8 at 4F (:48.40).
Unraced, but it has been schooling from the gate (latest Sep 5). Unraced so far; the pedigree is Vino Rosso out of Eva's Nitehawk.
A 61 is the high figure lately, short of the 78 par. 5th last time, 4 lengths back, in a field of 8.
Mario Fuentes takes over from Richard E Eramia in the saddle. Needs to move up: the best of its last five is 53 against a 78 par.
At a glance
- Market favourite #12 DUVAL (3-1) — our number agrees.
- #12 DUVAL — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (22.2% to their 19.9%).
- #1 PERSONALITY PLUS — our #3 number, about right at the windows (15.3% to their 14.5%).
- #9 CELESTIAL LAW — our #8 number, about right at the windows (10.2% to their 11.4%).
Model vs the morning line
- Longshot the model rates above its line: #5 BETTERQUITTHATBOY (10-1) — our fair 8.3% is above the morning line's 7.2%; supported by: last out: "Prsd pc;3p;gamely;miss" — finished with authority
Pace
Pressed Pace. Speed under pressure from multiple pressers. Likely honest pace, slight closer benefit.
Likely leader: #5 Betterquitthatboy; pressure from #12 Duval; the shape helps #1 Personality Plus, #6 Oklahoma Kid; and works against #2 Pushrod, #3 One More Kiss, #4 Brego.
Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.
Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse
Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners
Closing Kick · late-pace figure
Bet types
Wagers offered on this race.
WPS / EXACTA / TRIFECTA (.50 CENT MINIMUM) / SUPERFECTA (.10 CENT MINIMUM)
BET OPTIONS
WinPlaceShowExactaTrifectaSuperfecta