¼½¾FINISHSTART1 MILE · DIRT · main2-turn

REMINGTON PARK · RACE 7

UPCOMING

Claiming $30,000

Field
11 runners
Purse
$31,000
Post
10:18 PM ET
Pace
Pressed Pace
Model top pick
#2 · 9%

Claiming $30,000, for 3-year-olds and up.

Claiming race — every starter can be bought for the claiming price out of the race, so owners risk losing a horse that's clearly best. That keeps the field evenly matched on ability.

● Track record at 1 Mile: 95.4

The shape is the story here: the early pace looks honest rather than contested — expect a fairly run race where class and trip decide it, not pace collapse.

Our number tops on #2 Bearings (a closer, M/L 20-1). Recent figures: 73 · 80 · 80. Backup is #7 Yellow Brick at 6-1. Use #8 Gunflash in exotic structures.

What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.

The field, ranked

Our order, top to bottom.

Pressed Pace: Speed under pressure from multiple pressers. Likely honest pace, slight closer benefit.

1TOP PICK
2Bearings
Jockey Tyler W Bacon 32% career 8-for-54 on dirt this meet (15%) · Trainer Justin Evans 41% career 6-for-42 on dirt this meet (14%)
Also today · Jockey R2: Yaqin 3-1, R4: Da Chief 6-1, R5: Luck Is A Lady 3-1, R9: Apollo Creed 15-1 · Trainer R1: Third Street 6-1, R2: Yaqin 3-1, R2: Kelce 9-2, this race: Brotha Keny 5-1 +1 more

Class relief: allowance last time, $30,000 claiming today. Has run 93 against a 85 par for the class.

EVEN PACE Honest early fractions give a closer a fair shot late.
WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 1 work in 30d and the last 19 days ago
M/L20-1
Model9%
Fav?No
StyleS
Last5th · 41d
22ND
7Yellow Brick
Jockey Geovanni Franko-Angeles · Trainer C R Trout 28% career ★ 5-for-22 on dirt this meet (23%)
Also today · Jockey R5: Rumpus In Paradise 8-1, R8: Lady Beau 8-1, R9: Celestial Law 6-1 · Trainer R8: Lady Beau 8-1
WON LAST

Won last out in a 6-horse $30,000 claiming race at RP. 0 for 5 at today's distance.

EVEN PACE With the front end pressed, the late run has something to run at.
TROUBLED TRIP Pinch; 3w; driving last out; the speed figure already reflects it.
WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 1 work in 30d, last one 28d ago
M/L6-1
Model12%
Fav?No
StyleS
Last1st · 20d
33RD
8Gunflash
Jockey Lane J Luzzi 27% career 2-for-23 on dirt this meet (9%) · Trainer Tristan Ashford 34% career 3-for-24 on dirt this meet (12%)
Also today · Jockey R2: Perfectly Harvey 15-1, R3: Sneak Peek'n 6-1, R5: Girldontgoawaymad 5-2 · Trainer R5: Girldontgoawaymad 5-2

Figures have slipped: 84, 82, 73 over its last three. Dropped in well back early last out, 8th of 8 at the first call.

EVEN PACE Real pressure up front should bring the pace back to it.
WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (1 work in 30d, last 25d back)
RECORD 1 win, 1 on the board from 3 starts here
M/L10-1
Model10%
Fav?No
StyleS
Last7th · 19d
44TH
6Indy Road
Jockey Jose L Alvarez 34% career 6-for-42 on dirt this meet (14%) · Trainer Alex Hartman 33% career 1-for-9 on dirt this meet (11%) ★ hot
Also today · Jockey R1: Sixhoofsevenhoof 9-2, R3: Make Him Wait 5-1, R4: Night Passage 8-1, R6: Freebie West 5-2 +2 more

Comes off a turf start and tries the dirt here. Changes barns, from Terry Eoff to Alex Hartman.

PACE CHALLENGE Leads into real pressure, so it has to earn the front and then hold it. (early-speed points: 7)
TROUBLED TRIP Dueled; 2w; faltered last out; the speed figure already reflects it.
WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 4F on Jun 27; 1 work in 30d
RECORD 2 wins, 2 on the board from 6 starts here
RECORD Jose L Alvarez from post 6 here: 15 wins, 44 top-3 in 99 rides · 16% wins from all posts here
M/L10-1
Model9%
Fav?No
StyleE
Last6th · 33d
55TH
11Moneyline
Jockey Weston Hamilton 20% career 4-for-53 on dirt this meet (8%) · Trainer Danny Pish 29% career 2-for-24 on dirt this meet (8%)
CLASS DROP★ FASTEST WORK7/8 board here

New trainer: Shawn H Davis had it last time, Danny Pish now. Fastest 4F work of its morning on Oct 21 (:47.20), a sign it is training forwardly.

PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.
WORKS SHARP 4f in :47.20 on Oct 21 was the best time at that distance that morning; 1 work in 30d
RECORD 1 win, 7 on the board from 8 starts here
M/L15-1
Model6%
Fav?No
StyleP
Last4th · 18d
6
3Brigadier General
Jockey Erik Asmussen 34% career ★ 29-for-94 on dirt this meet (31%), #1 of 27 · Trainer Steven M Asmussen 36% career ★ 30-for-115 on dirt this meet (26%) ★ hot
Also today · Jockey R1: Cawkab 3-1, R2: The Standard 5-2, R3: Slighted 2-1, R8: Mi Diamante 8-1 · Trainer R1: Cawkab 3-1, R2: Cocked Pistol 8-1, R2: The Standard 5-2, R3: Belladore 4-1 +3 more

New trainer: Paul McGee had it last time, Steven M Asmussen now. A step up in company: $16,000 claiming before, $30,000 claiming today.

PACE CHALLENGE Pressured on the lead; getting clear early matters. (early-speed points: 8)
WORKS Average work schedule for this field (1 work in 30d, last 18d ago)
RECORD Erik Asmussen from post 3 here: 5 wins, 14 top-3 in 24 rides · 27% wins from all posts here
M/L4-1
Model13%
Fav?No
StyleE
Last2nd · 10d
7
10Twenty One Skidoo
Jockey S Elliott 35% career 5-for-61 on dirt this meet (8%) · Trainer Dick Cappellucci 40% career ★ 4-for-18 on dirt this meet (22%) ★ hot
Also today · Jockey R2: Cocked Pistol 8-1, R3: Belladore 4-1, R5: Telekinetic 6-1, R8: Queen Wilhelmina 8-1 +1 more · Trainer R2: Bozzetto 10-1, R6: Lucked Out 8-5, this race: Ze'bul 8-1, R9: Duval 3-1
60D LAYOFF★ FASTEST WORKWON LAST2/3 board here

Last start was a win, in an 8-horse $20,000 claiming race at RP at 1.2-1. Dick Cappellucci takes over the training from Kari Craddock.

PACE HELPS Sits just off the speed with pace in front to run at.
WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Oct 21 (5F in 1:00.40), 1 work in 30d
RECORD 1 win, 2 on the board from 3 starts here
RECORD S Elliott from post 10 here: 5 wins, 14 top-3 in 37 rides · 19% wins from all posts here
M/L12-1
Model6%
Fav?No
StyleE/P
Last1st · 67d
8
9Ze'bul
Jockey Floyd Jr Wethey 10-for-70 on dirt this meet (14%) · Trainer Dick Cappellucci 40% career ★ 4-for-18 on dirt this meet (22%)
Also today · Jockey R2: Bozzetto 10-1, R4: Guapo 5-2, R6: Lucked Out 8-5, R8: Cactus Blossom 12-1 +1 more · Trainer R2: Bozzetto 10-1, R6: Lucked Out 8-5, this race: Twenty One Skidoo 12-1, R9: Duval 3-1
3/4 board here

Worked 4F in :47.40 on Jun 12, 2nd of 37 at the distance. Drops from allowance to $30,000 claiming.

PACE HELPS Stalks an honestly pressed pace from a good spot.
WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 67d back)
RECORD 3 wins, 3 on the board from 4 starts here
M/L8-1
Model8%
Fav?No
StyleE/P
Last4th · 41d
9
4Brotha Keny
Jockey R A Vazquez 33% career 11-for-62 on dirt this meet (18%) · Trainer Justin Evans 41% career 6-for-42 on dirt this meet (14%) ★ hot
Also today · Jockey R4: Big Muckity 9-2, R5: Minuetta 4-1, R6: She's Our Lioness 8-1, R8: Competitive Threat 5-1 +1 more · Trainer R1: Third Street 6-1, R2: Yaqin 3-1, R2: Kelce 9-2, this race: Bearings 20-1 +1 more
★ FASTEST WORK

Owns the highest recent figure here at 97. A longer trip: 6½ furlongs last out, a mile today.

PACE HELPS Stalks an honestly pressed pace from a good spot.
WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 5F on Sep 22; 1 work in 30d
RECORD R A Vazquez from post 4 here: 12 wins, 24 top-3 in 46 rides · 26% wins from all posts here
M/L5-1
Model10%
Fav?No
StyleE/P
Last5th · 19d
10
1No Trouble
Jockey Fernando Jara 31% career 3-for-34 on dirt this meet (9%) · Trainer Scott E Young 30% career 3-for-41 on dirt this meet (7%)
Also today · Trainer R3: Sneak Peek'n 6-1, R4: Guapo 5-2
180D+ LAYOFF3 WORKS IN 30 DAYS3/5 board here

233 days since the last start, the longest layoff in here, so it needs the works to say it's ready. Beaten 1½ lengths for 2nd in a 5-horse handicap race at WRD.

PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.
WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Sep 25 (5F in 1:00.40), 3 works in 30d
RECORD 1 win, 3 on the board from 5 starts here
M/L15-1
Model4%
Fav?No
StyleP
Last2nd · 233d
11
5City Of Angels
Jockey Rene Diaz 33% career 6-for-60 on dirt this meet (10%) · Trainer J R Caldwell 31% career 3-for-22 on dirt this meet (14%)
Also today · Jockey R6: Little Sallywalker 15-1, R8: Sueno Magico 6-1, R9: Get In Dare 10-1

Stretches out from 6 furlongs to a mile. Winless in 6 starts at this distance.

PACE HELPS Sits just off the speed with pace in front to run at.
WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 35d back)
RECORD Rene Diaz from post 5 here: 10 wins, 28 top-3 in 65 rides · 12% wins from all posts here
M/L7-2
Model12%
Fav?Yes
StyleE/P
Last4th · 20d

At a glance

  • Market favourite #5 CITY OF ANGELS (7-2) — our number has it ranked #11.
  • #5 CITY OF ANGELS — our #11 number, about right at the windows (15.5% to their 17.4%).
  • #3 BRIGADIER GENERAL — our #6 number, about right at the windows (14.8% to their 15.7%).
  • #4 BROTHA KENY — our #9 number, about right at the windows (12.2% to their 13.1%).

Model vs the morning line · analysis, not advice

  • Longshot the model rates above its line: #2 BEARINGS (20-1) — our fair 5.2% is above the morning line's 3.7%; supported by: 5-way speed duel up front — meltdown sets up the closer

Pace

Pressed Pace. Speed under pressure from multiple pressers. Likely honest pace, slight closer benefit.

Likely leader: #6 Indy Road; pressure from #3 Brigadier General, #4 Brotha Keny; the shape helps #1 No Trouble, #4 Brotha Keny, #5 City Of Angels; and works against #3 Brigadier General, #6 Indy Road.

Lead
6Indy Road883Brigadier General86
Press
4Brotha Keny865City Of Angels8510Twenty One Skidoo809Ze'bul73
Stalk
11Moneyline901No Trouble74
Close
8Gunflash772Bearings717Yellow Brick66

Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.

Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse

Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners

11
Moneyline
90
6
Indy Road
88
3
Brigadier General
86
4
Brotha Keny
86
5
City Of Angels
85
10
Twenty One Skidoo
80
1
No Trouble
74
9
Ze'bul
73

Closing Kick · late-pace figure

8
Gunflash
13
7
Yellow Brick
12
2
Bearings
5

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