R5 ZIA · Trial

3:53 PM ET · 350 Yards Dirt · $12,000 · 7 runners3:53 PM · 1.6f Dirt · 7 runners

Upcoming $12K · Trial

Card modelCard model StrongFormLast 3 figsTier · angles

1AcrylicJ. Enriquez · R. WilsonEnriquez · WilsonA81 74 95▼-7↕@trip 908-5Fair 8-538%▼ Down -781 74 95 ↕@trip 90A1

Card model 38% · Fair odds 8-5 · Our #1 · Tier A · Form ▼ Down -7 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 74–95 · Best fig at today's trip 90 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 81 74 95

Jockey Jacob Enriquez 35% career · Trainer Renee Wilson 32% career ★ hot

Also today · Jockey R2: Big Avery 3-1, R3: Jess Good Times 4-1, R4: Suspicious Rizzler 10-1, R6: My Cousin Vinnee 4-1 +5 more · Trainer R2: Big Avery 3-1, R3: Jess Good Times 4-1, R4: Suspicious Rizzler 10-1, R4: Mw Big Daddy Issues 15-1 +5 more

★ FASTEST WORK

Purse drops from $100,000 to $12,000 against its last start. 3 wins from 6 starts at this distance.

PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.

WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 1F on Aug 30; 0 works in 30d

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/11	ALB	1.81818f D	sNMStFairJu100k	4th/8 -1½L	81	3.5-1	b L	Duel;wkn
9/24	ALB	1.81818f D	sFutTrl10000	Won/9	74	0.3-1	b L	Dueled; drew clear
7/19	ALB	1.81818f D	sZiaFut RG1 G1	4th/8 -1½L	95	6.2-1	b L	Came out start

2First Moon Legacy GJ. Ortiz · M. RamirezOrtiz · RamirezB3520-1Fair 50-12%—35B
Card model 2% · Fair odds 50-1 · Our #7 · Tier B · Last 3 figs 35
Jockey Jose Enrique Ortiz 37% career · Trainer Marc Anthony Ramirez 32% career ★ hot
Also today · Jockey R9: Vegas Trick 4-1
Finished 9th in a 9-horse stakes race at ALB, beaten 5¾ lengths.
PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.
WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 63 days ago
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
9/24 ALB 1.81818f D sFutTrl10000 9th/9 -5¾L 35 12-1 b L No threat

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/24	ALB	1.81818f D	sFutTrl10000	9th/9 -5¾L	35	12-1	b L	No threat

3Imma Dandy★O. Andrade Jr. · D. Gomez-BarrazaAndrade Jr. · Gomez-BarrazaA82 72 91►@trip 1062-1Fair 9-537%► Steady82 72 91@trip 106A★ Best at the trip 1062

Card model 37% · Fair odds 9-5 · Our #2 · Tier A · Form ► Steady · Best fig at today's trip 106 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 82 72 91

★ Best at the trip 106

Jockey Oscar Jr Andrade 14% career · Trainer David M Gomez-Barraza 32% career

Also today · Jockey R1: Political Mystery 5-2, R2: Sonuva Butch 9-5, R3: Toppa The Moon 5-1, R4: Brookman 4-1 +5 more · Trainer R1: Political Mystery 5-2, R2: Rc A Flashn Comet 8-1, R2: Sonuva Butch 9-5, R3: Toppa The Moon 5-1 +5 more

Tops the field on speed figures, a 106 against 95 for the next best. Runs for $12,000 today after a $100,000 race last time.

PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.

WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 57d back)

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/11	ALB	1.81818f D	sNMStFairJu100k	3rd/8 -1L	82	4.5-1	b L	Duel;gave way
9/24	ALB	1.81818f D	sFutTrl10000	Won/9	72	2.1-1	b L	Dueled; best
7/19	ALB	1.81818f D	sZiaFut RG1 G1	6th/8 -2½L	91	12-1	b L	Bumped; forced out

4Jg Coby 2C. Cardenas · A. VallesCardenas · Valles?15-1Fair 30-13%—Debut?
Card model 3% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #6 · Tier ?
Jockey Christian Cardenas 32% career · Trainer Albert Valles 22% career
Also today · Jockey R2: Eye Have Class 15-1, R3: Rr Maka Miracle 30-1, R7: Sofi 20-1, R8: Franciscan 8-1 +2 more · Trainer R2: Eye Have Class 15-1
Debut for this Jesse James Jr gelding, whose dam is Soldiers Sweetheart. There is gate work on its record, the latest on Oct 10.
PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.
WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 1 work in 30d and the last 21d back
Last three races
First start. By Jesse James Jr out of Soldiers Sweetheart (Bv Travelin Soldier)
Trainer A. Valles: 1st-time starters: 0% wins, 100% in the money (1 starts)
Work Trk Dist Time How Rank
10/10 ALB 1f :12.20 handily 5/12 from gate
8/29 ALB 1f :12.40 handily 11/15 from gate
8/7 ALB 1f :12.60 handily 15/17 from gate

Work	Trk	Dist	Time	How	Rank
10/10	ALB	1f	:12.20	handily	5/12	from gate
8/29	ALB	1f	:12.40	handily	11/15	from gate
8/7	ALB	1f	:12.60	handily	15/17	from gate

5Thats Amoree▼N. Garcia Jr. · W. GilesGarcia Jr. · GilesA59 90 88▼▼-30↕@trip 908-1Fair 15-17%▼▼ Big drop -3059 90 88 ↕@trip 90A▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (59 vs 90)

Card model 7% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #4 · Tier A · Form ▼▼ Big drop -30 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 59–90 · Best fig at today's trip 90 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 59 90 88

▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (59 vs 90)

Jockey Noe Jr Garcia 33% career · Trainer Wesley T Giles 33% career ★ hot

Also today · Jockey R2: Chasing Venus 6-1, R3: Cartel Fire Chick 10-1, R4: Holdmyhailo 6-1, R7: Czar Catrina 4-1 +3 more · Trainer R2: Chasing Venus 6-1, R3: Cartel Fire Chick 10-1, R4: Holdmyhailo 6-1, R6: Ciao Fore Now 6-1 +5 more

7th last time, 3½ lengths back, in a field of 8.

PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.

TROUBLED TRIP Bobbled; brushed last out; the speed figure already reflects it.

WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 59 days ago

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/24	ALB	1.81818f D	sFutTrl10000	7th/8 -3½L	59	12-1	b L	Bobbled; brushed
5/16	SRP	1.59091f D	sNMBrdFuRG2 G2	5th/10 -1¾L	90	9.5-1	b L	Weakened late
4/24	SRP	1.59091f D	sFutTrl8000	Won/9	88	1.1-1	b L	Strong driving finish

6Hot Bad BoyC. Ramos · D. Gomez-BarrazaRamos · Gomez-Barraza?12-1Fair 20-14%—Debut?
Card model 4% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #5 · Tier ?
Jockey Christian Ramos 34% career · Trainer David M Gomez-Barraza 32% career ★ hot
Also today · Jockey R1: Dazzlin Drama 15-1, R3: Perrys Alibi 3-5, R4: Mw Big Daddy Issues 15-1, R6: Seacret Society 15-1 +2 more · Trainer R1: Political Mystery 5-2, R2: Rc A Flashn Comet 8-1, R2: Sonuva Butch 9-5, R3: Toppa The Moon 5-1 +5 more
No race form yet, but on Jun 19 it was 2nd of 24 at 1F (:11.60). Unraced so far; the pedigree is Big Daddy Cartel out of Hot Babe Indy Suds.
PACE CHALLENGE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.
WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 1 work in 30d, last 15d ago
Last three races
First start. By Big Daddy Cartel out of Hot Babe Indy Suds (Corona Caliente)
Jockey C. Ramos in sprints: 25 wins from 134 (19%)
Work Trk Dist Time How Rank
10/16 ALB 1f :13.40 handily 17/18 from gate
8/30 ALB 1f :12.60 handily 45/53 from gate
8/22 ALB 1f :12.20 handily 7/16
7/16 ALB 1f :12.00 handily 11/27 from gate
6/19 ALB 1f :11.60 handily 2/24

Work	Trk	Dist	Time	How	Rank
10/16	ALB	1f	:13.40	handily	17/18	from gate
8/30	ALB	1f	:12.60	handily	45/53	from gate
8/22	ALB	1f	:12.20	handily	7/16
7/16	ALB	1f	:12.00	handily	11/27	from gate
6/19	ALB	1f	:11.60	handily	2/24

7Kings Landing▼L. Martinez · M. RodriguezMartinez · RodriguezB67 73 82▼▼-13@trip 829-2Fair 8-110%▼▼ Big drop -1367 73 82@trip 82B▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (67 vs 73)3

Card model 10% · Fair odds 8-1 · Our #3 · Tier B · Form ▼▼ Big drop -13 · Best fig at today's trip 82 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 67 73 82

▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (67 vs 73)

Jockey Luis Martinez 33% career · Trainer Manuel Rodolfo Rodriguez 33% career

Also today · Jockey R2: Bogarts Dreamgirl 4-1, R3: Obsidian Panther 30-1, R4: Bogarts Brown Sugar 9-5, R6: Jd Heart Strings 8-1 · Trainer R2: Bogarts Dreamgirl 4-1, R3: Rr Maka Miracle 30-1, R3: Obsidian Panther 30-1, R4: Bogarts Brown Sugar 9-5 +1 more

Trending the wrong way on speed, 82 to 73 to 67. 0 for 5 at today's distance.

PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.

WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 62d back)

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/24	ALB	1.81818f D	sFutTrl10000	2nd/9 by hd	67	3.3-1	b L	Dueled; missed
7/3	ALB	1.81818f D	sFutTrl10000	6th/8 -2½L	73	0.7-1	b L	Pushed out;drifted out
5/29	ALB	1.59091f D	sFutTrl10000	2nd/10 -1L	82	1.1-1	b L	Veered out start

▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: hard to project, too many first-time starters.

How to read these marks

1 2 3: Our top three by the card model's win chance. Tap “Our order” to sort by it.
Win %, Fair: The card model's chance to win, and the odds that chance works out to with no takeout. Fair is green when the model rates the horse above its morning line (the line scaled to add up to 100%).
Tier A B C ?: The field ranked on recent speed figures and the morning line together: A = top three, B = next three, C = the rest, ? = no figures yet.
71 60 72: Last three speed figures, newest first. “@trip 75” = best figure at today's distance (within 30 yards) on this surface.
▲▲ ▲ ► ▼ ▼▼: Form: last figure against the average of the three before it. ▲ = up 3 or more, ▲▲ = up 8 or more, ► = within 3, ▼ / ▼▼ = down. The number is the difference.
≡ ↕: ≡ steady: the last four figures sit close together. ↕ up-and-down: they swing widely.
★: Best figure in the field at today's distance and surface, from two or more tries, not tied. When that horse isn't in our top three it gets a “Distance horse” note above the field.
▲ ▼ chips: Handicapping angles for or against the horse. LS = longshot read: 8-1 or more on the morning line and the model rates it higher than that line.

These marks describe the past performances. None of them is proven to beat the odds: in our test of 100 handicapping angles, nothing did better than the final odds, and the morning-line favourite wins more races than our top-ranked horse. Read them as notes, not as a reason to bet.

Race conditions and our readpace, conditions, story

ZIA · RACE 5

UPCOMING

Trial

Field

7 runners

Purse

$12,000

Post

3:53 PM ET

Pace

Pace Vacuum

Card model top pick

#1 · 38%

Stakes, for 2-year-olds, restricted to state-bred (registered) horses.

Stakes race — the top class. Owners pay entry/nomination fees that build the purse, which draws the best horses available.

● Breed: Quarter Horse

● Track record at 350 Yards: 17.07

The shape is the story here: the early pace looks honest rather than contested — expect a fairly run race where class and trip decide it, not pace collapse.

Our number tops on #1 Acrylic (a tactical type, M/L 8-5). Recent figures: 81 · 74 · 95. Backup is #3 Imma Dandy at 2-1. Use #7 Kings Landing in exotic structures.

What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.

At a glance: model vs the morning line

At a glance

Market favourite #1 ACRYLIC (8-5) — our number agrees.
#1 ACRYLIC — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (33.2% to their 32.1%).
#3 IMMA DANDY — our #2 number, about right at the windows (30.2% to their 27.8%).
#7 KINGS LANDING — our #3 number, about right at the windows (14.1% to their 15.2%).

Model vs the morning line · analysis, not advice

The model and the morning line roughly agree on this field.

Pacewho goes to the front

Pace

Pace Vacuum. No real early speed. Whoever shows up first is likely uncontested. Pressers benefit.

and works against #1 Acrylic, #2 First Moon Legacy G, #3 Imma Dandy.

Lead

none

Press

none

Stalk

none

No style yet

1Acrylic2First Moon Legacy G3Imma Dandy4Jg Coby 25Thats Amoree6Hot Bad Boy7Kings Landing

Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.

Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse

Closing Kick · late-pace figure

Acrylic

Imma Dandy

First Moon Legacy G

Thats Amoree

Kings Landing

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