1Jm Famousberry▼F. Zamora · L. Hernandez Jr.Zamora · Hernandez Jr.B89 90 94►≡@trip 9715-1Fair 30-14%
► Steady89 90 94 ≡@trip 97B▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance risesCard model 4% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #5 · Tier B · Form ► Steady · ≡ Steady figures 87–94 · Best fig at today's trip 97 (7 tries) · Last 3 figs 89 90 94
▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance risesAlso today · Jockey R1: Wall Street Logic 7-2, R2: Daddies Diamond 20-1, R6: Ciao Fore Now 6-1, R8: Mi Capitan 3-1 +4 moreA step up in company: allowance before, allowance today. Ranks first in the field on Brisnet Prime Power.
PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 1 work in 30d and the last 29d backLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/10 ALB 1.59091f D Alw b 4th/10 -½L 89 15-1 b Chased evenly 5/15 SRP 1.59091f D fsAlw33367b Won/9 90 2.7-1 b Strong bid; up late 3/28 SUN 1.36364f D Alw b 3rd/8 -½L 94 4.9-1 b Chased;outkicked 2SofiC. Cardenas · J. MunizsrCardenas · MunizsrB73 86 76▼-7@trip 9020-1Fair 99-11%
▼ Down -773 86 76@trip 90BCard model 1% · Fair odds 99-1 · Our #6 · Tier B · Form ▼ Down -7 · Best fig at today's trip 90 (8 tries) · Last 3 figs 73 86 76
Also today · Jockey R2: Eye Have Class 15-1, R3: Rr Maka Miracle 30-1, R5: Jg Coby 2 15-1, R8: Franciscan 8-1 +2 moreMoves up from allowance to allowance. Finished 6th in a 9-horse allowance race at ALB, beaten 4½ lengths.
PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 259d agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/9 ALB 1.59091f D fsAlw35800n2l 6th/9 -4½L 73 11-1 b Off slow;mild gain 9/7 ALB 1.59091f D sAlw33700n2l 3rd/10 -1½L 86 9.4-1 b Steady close; up show 8/1 ALB 1.59091f D sAlw35700n2x 8th/10 -2½L 76 39-1 b Never fired 3Czar Catrina▼N. Garcia Jr. · W. GilesGarcia Jr. · GilesA62 91 89▼▼-30↕@trip 954-1Fair 5-116%
▼▼ Big drop -3062 91 89 ↕@trip 95A▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (62 vs 91)2Card model 16% · Fair odds 5-1 · Our #2 · Tier A · Form ▼▼ Big drop -30 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 62–95 · Best fig at today's trip 95 (4 tries) · Last 3 figs 62 91 89
▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (62 vs 91)Also today · Jockey R2: Chasing Venus 6-1, R3: Cartel Fire Chick 10-1, R4: Holdmyhailo 6-1, R5: Thats Amoree 8-1 +3 more · Trainer R2: Chasing Venus 6-1, R3: Cartel Fire Chick 10-1, R4: Holdmyhailo 6-1, R5: Thats Amoree 8-1 +5 moreWON LASTLast start was a win, in a 7-horse race at ALB at 9.1-1. Runs for $77,000 after a $10,000 race last out.
PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 58 days agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/19 ALB 1.81818f D sDbyTrl 10000 Won/7 62 9.1-1 b L Blew em away 7/17 ALB 1.59091f D fsAlw35700n3l 5th/9 -¾L 91 2.9-1 b L Even effort 5/30 ALB 1.59091f D DbyTrl 10000 5th/8 -1¾L 89 15-1 b L Mild effort 4Ez on My Mind▼▼LSJ. Enriquez · J. IturraldeEnriquez · IturraldeB81 86 78▼-5@trip 9710-1Fair 12-18%
▼ Down -581 86 78@trip 97B▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (81 vs 86)▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance risesLSCard model 8% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #4 · Tier B · Form ▼ Down -5 · Best fig at today's trip 97 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 81 86 78
▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (81 vs 86)▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance risesLSLongshot read: 10-1 on the morning line, and the model has it at 8% against a line of 8%. A read, not a bet.
Also today · Jockey R2: Big Avery 3-1, R3: Jess Good Times 4-1, R4: Suspicious Rizzler 10-1, R5: Acrylic 8-5 +5 more · Trainer R11: Zoomin Kvn 12-1Beaten 2 lengths for 5th in a 6-horse race at ALB.
PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 1F on Dec 14; 0 works in 30dLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/26 ALB 2f D s1sMnFlsRG2 G2 5th/6 -2L 81 34-1 b L Faded 7/11 ALB 1.81818f D fsAlw41600b Won/6 86 2.9-1 b L Rallied; kept to task 6/13 ALB 1.81818f D fsAlw41500b 6th/7 -3½L 78 2.8-1 b L Always outrun 5Flashtoglory★J. Enriquez · D. MeridythEnriquez · MeridythA98 89 95▲+7@trip 1053-5Fair 3-562%
▲ Up +798 89 95@trip 105A★ Best at the trip 1051Card model 62% · Fair odds 3-5 · Our #1 · Tier A · Form ▲ Up +7 · Best fig at today's trip 105 (5 tries) · Last 3 figs 98 89 95
★ Best at the trip 105Also today · Jockey R4: Sheza Big Daddy Too 3-1, R6: Dashing Cash Dasher 30-1, R9: Naughty Politics 7-2, R11: Lil Bit Flash N Dash 3-1 · Trainer R4: Sheza Big Daddy Too 3-1, R6: Dashing Cash Dasher 30-1180D+ LAYOFF5/5 board hereFreshened 259 days, longer than anything else in the field. Watch how its recent works look. Posted the fastest 1F work of the morning on Oct 8, in :11.40.
PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Oct 8 (1F in :11.40), 1 work in 30dRECORD On the board in all 5 starts here (4 wins)Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 2/14 SUN 1.59091f D sPepsiCoR G2 5th/9 -½L 98 5.2-1 b L Good try 1/17 SUN 1.81818f D fsLouWSydR G2 3rd/10 -1L 89 0.6-1 b L Late gain 12/14 ZIA 1.59091f D fsNMClscDstf100k Won/10 by nk 95 0.7-1 b L Late gain;up 6Jess PaidA. Rivera · G. GarciaRivera · GarciaA88 98 90►@trip 986-1Fair 10-19%
► Steady88 98 90@trip 98A3Card model 9% · Fair odds 10-1 · Our #3 · Tier A · Form ► Steady · Best fig at today's trip 98 (6 tries) · Last 3 figs 88 98 90
◆ NOTE · TRIP TROUBLETops the field on speed figures, a 101 against 98 for the next best. Worked 1F in :11.40 on Sep 12, 2nd of 21 at the distance.
PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 111 days agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/10 ALB 1.59091f D Alw b 5th/10 by nk 88 6.1-1 b L Came in st;hamper foes 9/7 ALB 1½f D Alw n3x Won/9 98 2.6-1 b L Drifted; just lasted 8/1 ALB 1.59091f D sAlw35700n2x 3rd/10 -½L 90 6.2-1 b L Out nodded for place
▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: hard to project, too many first-time starters.
How to read these marks
- 1 2 3
- Our top three by the card model's win chance. Tap “Our order” to sort by it.
- Win %, Fair
- The card model's chance to win, and the odds that chance works out to with no takeout. Fair is green when the model rates the horse above its morning line (the line scaled to add up to 100%).
- Tier A B C ?
- The field ranked on recent speed figures and the morning line together: A = top three, B = next three, C = the rest, ? = no figures yet.
- 71 60 72
- Last three speed figures, newest first. “@trip 75” = best figure at today's distance (within 30 yards) on this surface.
- ▲▲ ▲ ► ▼ ▼▼
- Form: last figure against the average of the three before it. ▲ = up 3 or more, ▲▲ = up 8 or more, ► = within 3, ▼ / ▼▼ = down. The number is the difference.
- ≡ ↕
- ≡ steady: the last four figures sit close together. ↕ up-and-down: they swing widely.
- ★
- Best figure in the field at today's distance and surface, from two or more tries, not tied. When that horse isn't in our top three it gets a “Distance horse” note above the field.
- ▲ ▼ chips
- Handicapping angles for or against the horse. LS = longshot read: 8-1 or more on the morning line and the model rates it higher than that line.
These marks describe the past performances. None of them is proven to beat the odds: in our test of 100 handicapping angles, nothing did better than the final odds, and the morning-line favourite wins more races than our top-ranked horse. Read them as notes, not as a reason to bet.
Race conditions and our readpace, conditions, story
ZIA · RACE 7
UPCOMINGState-Bred Allowance · $77,000 purse
Allowance, for fillies and mares, 3-year-olds and up, restricted to state-bred (registered) horses.
Allowance race — a step above claiming. No horses are for sale; written conditions limit the field to horses of similar experience.
● Breed: Quarter Horse
● Track record at 350 Yards: 17.07
The shape is the story here: the early pace looks honest rather than contested — expect a fairly run race where class and trip decide it, not pace collapse.
Our number tops on #5 Flashtoglory (a tactical type, M/L 3-5). Recent figures: 98 · 89 · 95. Backup is #3 Czar Catrina at 4-1. Use #6 Jess Paid in exotic structures.
What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.
At a glance: model vs the morning line
At a glance
- Market favourite #5 FLASHTOGLORY (3-5) — our number agrees.
- #5 FLASHTOGLORY — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (53.6% to their 53.5%).
- #3 CZAR CATRINA — our #2 number, about right at the windows (18.6% to their 17.1%).
- #6 JESS PAID — our #3 number, about right at the windows (11.5% to their 12.2%).
Model vs the morning line
- The model and the morning line roughly agree on this field.
Pacewho goes to the front
Pace
Pace Vacuum. No real early speed. Whoever shows up first is likely uncontested. Pressers benefit.
and works against #1 Jm Famousberry, #2 Sofi, #3 Czar Catrina.
Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.
Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse
Closing Kick · late-pace figure
Bet types offeredwager menu
Bet types
Wagers offered on this race.
$1 EXACTA / .50 TRIFECTA / .10 SUPERFECTA
BET OPTIONS
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