★ Distance horse: #3 Suspicious Rizzler (10-1) has the best figure in the field at today's distance and surface: 86 from 2 tries. Not in our top three.
1Zoomin Thru JuarezJ. Flores · P. SedilloFlores · SedilloB75 80 78▼-4@trip 8012-1Fair 30-13%
▼ Down -475 80 78@trip 80BCard model 3% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #7 · Tier B · Form ▼ Down -4 · Best fig at today's trip 80 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 75 80 78
Also today · Jockey R3: Mr Frankie 15-1, R6: Jessys Sugar Daddy 10-1, R8: Big Fantasy 8-1, R10: Lil Perry Wagon 7-2 +1 more★ FASTEST WORKDrops from maiden special weight to stakes nongraded. New trainer: Martin Orona had it last time, Paul Sedillo now.
PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Oct 17 (1F in :11.60), 1 work in 30dLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/13 ALB 1.81818f D sMdSpWt 6th/10 -2L 75 6.1-1 b No rally; 8/15 GIL 1.59091f D FutTrl9000 4th/9 -1¼L 80 26-1 b Unruly gate solid rall 7/4 GIL 1.59091f D FutTrl9000 6th/9 -2¼L 78 27-1 b Showed some effort pro 2BrookmanO. Andrade Jr. · D. Gomez-BarrazaAndrade Jr. · Gomez-BarrazaA79 82 89▼-6@trip 824-1Fair 5-116%
▼ Down -679 82 89@trip 82A2Card model 16% · Fair odds 5-1 · Our #2 · Tier A · Form ▼ Down -6 · Best fig at today's trip 82 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 79 82 89
Also today · Jockey R1: Political Mystery 5-2, R2: Sonuva Butch 9-5, R3: Toppa The Moon 5-1, R5: Imma Dandy 2-1 +5 more · Trainer R1: Political Mystery 5-2, R2: Rc A Flashn Comet 8-1, R2: Sonuva Butch 9-5, R3: Toppa The Moon 5-1 +5 more60D LAYOFFFinished 3rd in an 8-horse maiden special weight race at ALB, beaten ½ length. Trending the wrong way on speed, 89 to 82 to 79.
PACE CHALLENGE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.WORKS SHARP One of the busier work schedules here: 1 work in 30d, last 27d agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 8/14 ALB 1.81818f D sMdSpWt 3rd/8 -½L 79 2.2-1 b L Bid; held third 5/17 SRP 1½f D sMdSpWt 2nd/10 by hd 82 3.9-1 b L Late rally;just missed 3/14 SUN 1.36364f D sTrial 3rd/9 -1L 89 10-1 b L Chsd; outkicked 3Suspicious Rizzler▼★J. Enriquez · R. WilsonEnriquez · WilsonB70 85 86▼▼-13@trip 8610-1Fair 15-16%
▼▼ Big drop -1370 85 86@trip 86B▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (70 vs 85)★ Best at the trip 86Card model 6% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #5 · Tier B · Form ▼▼ Big drop -13 · Best fig at today's trip 86 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 70 85 86
▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (70 vs 85)★ Best at the trip 86Also today · Jockey R2: Big Avery 3-1, R3: Jess Good Times 4-1, R5: Acrylic 8-5, R6: My Cousin Vinnee 4-1 +5 more · Trainer R2: Big Avery 3-1, R3: Jess Good Times 4-1, this race: Mw Big Daddy Issues 15-1, R5: Acrylic 8-5 +5 moreFigures have slipped: 86, 85, 70 over its last three. Winless in 4 starts at this distance.
PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 57d agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/24 ALB 1.81818f D sFutTrl10000 6th/10 -1¼L 70 32-1 b L No late kick 5/16 SRP 1.59091f D sNMBrdFuRG2 G2 7th/10 -2¾L 85 20-1 b L Tired 4/24 SRP 1.59091f D sFutTrl8000 3rd/9 -½L 86 1.6-1 b L Duckdout; late rally 4Mw Big Daddy Issues▼C. Ramos · R. WilsonRamos · WilsonC49 68 72▼▼-28↕@trip 6815-1Fair 30-14%
▼▼ Big drop -2849 68 72 ↕@trip 68C▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (49 vs 68)Card model 4% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #6 · Tier C · Form ▼▼ Big drop -28 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 49–91 · Best fig at today's trip 68 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 49 68 72
▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (49 vs 68)Also today · Jockey R1: Dazzlin Drama 15-1, R3: Perrys Alibi 3-5, R5: Hot Bad Boy 12-1, R6: Seacret Society 15-1 +2 more · Trainer R2: Big Avery 3-1, R3: Jess Good Times 4-1, this race: Suspicious Rizzler 10-1, R5: Acrylic 8-5 +5 moreOwns the highest recent figure here at 91. Christian Ramos takes over from Jacob Enriquez in the saddle.
PACE CHALLENGE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 57d back)Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/24 ALB 1.81818f D sFutTrl10000 6th/9 -5L 49 24-1 b L No late bid 5/29 ALB 1.59091f D sFutTrl10000 5th/8 -4½L 68 3.5-1 b L Driftd in early;no bid 4/4 SUN 1.36364f D sNMSprFling100k 9th/10 -4¼L 72 7.1-1 b L Tough start;no bid 5HoldmyhailoN. Garcia Jr. · W. GilesGarcia Jr. · GilesB65 76 61▼-4@trip 766-1Fair 8-110%
▼ Down -465 76 61@trip 76BCard model 10% · Fair odds 8-1 · Our #4 · Tier B · Form ▼ Down -4 · Best fig at today's trip 76 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 65 76 61
Also today · Jockey R2: Chasing Venus 6-1, R3: Cartel Fire Chick 10-1, R5: Thats Amoree 8-1, R7: Czar Catrina 4-1 +3 more · Trainer R2: Chasing Venus 6-1, R3: Cartel Fire Chick 10-1, R5: Thats Amoree 8-1, R6: Ciao Fore Now 6-1 +5 moreBeaten ½ length for 2nd in a 6-horse stakes race at ALB. Gets a new rider, Noe Jr Garcia replacing Gabriel Medrano.
PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 93d back)Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/24 ALB 1.81818f D sFutTrl10000 2nd/6 -½L 65 15-1 b L Late surge 8/13 ALB 1.59091f D MSW 5th/9 -1L 76 11-1 b L Clean trip;even effort 7/3 ALB 1.81818f D sFutTrl10000 8th/8 -5L 61 19-1 b L Hopped; pushed out 6Sheza Big Daddy TooJ. Enriquez · D. MeridythEnriquez · MeridythA913-1Fair 5-116%
—91A3Card model 16% · Fair odds 5-1 · Our #3 · Tier A · Last 3 figs 91
Also today · Jockey R6: Dashing Cash Dasher 30-1, R7: Flashtoglory 3-5, R9: Naughty Politics 7-2, R11: Lil Bit Flash N Dash 3-1 · Trainer R6: Dashing Cash Dasher 30-1, R7: Flashtoglory 3-5180D+ LAYOFFLASIX 1STReturns from a 231-day break, the biggest in the field. Tops the field on speed figures, a 91 against 89 for the next best.
PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.WORKS SHARP One of the busier work schedules here: 1 work in 30d, last 10d agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 3/14 SUN 1.36364f D sTrial 2nd/10 91 5.7-1 b Dueled; outkicked 7Bogarts Brown SugarL. Martinez · M. RodriguezMartinez · RodriguezA79 79 91▼-6@trip 819-5Fair 6-546%
▼ Down -679 79 91@trip 81A1Card model 46% · Fair odds 6-5 · Our #1 · Tier A · Form ▼ Down -6 · Best fig at today's trip 81 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 79 79 91
Also today · Jockey R2: Bogarts Dreamgirl 4-1, R3: Obsidian Panther 30-1, R5: Kings Landing 9-2, R6: Jd Heart Strings 8-1 · Trainer R2: Bogarts Dreamgirl 4-1, R3: Rr Maka Miracle 30-1, R3: Obsidian Panther 30-1, R5: Kings Landing 9-2 +1 more★ FASTEST WORKRuns for $12,000 today after a $1,061,369 race last time. Has won 3 of 7 going today's distance.
PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Jun 18 (1F in :11.60), 0 works in 30dLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/11 ALB 1.81818f D sNMSFrFuRG1 G1 4th/8 -3L 79 6.2-1 b L Bmp brk;chase on 9/24 ALB 1.81818f D sFutTrl10000 Won/10 79 2.5-1 b L Surged; drew clear 7/19 ALB 1.81818f D sZiaFut RG1 G1 5th/8 -2L 91 26-1 b L Fractious; came out
▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: hard to project, too many first-time starters.
How to read these marks
- 1 2 3
- Our top three by the card model's win chance. Tap “Our order” to sort by it.
- Win %, Fair
- The card model's chance to win, and the odds that chance works out to with no takeout. Fair is green when the model rates the horse above its morning line (the line scaled to add up to 100%).
- Tier A B C ?
- The field ranked on recent speed figures and the morning line together: A = top three, B = next three, C = the rest, ? = no figures yet.
- 71 60 72
- Last three speed figures, newest first. “@trip 75” = best figure at today's distance (within 30 yards) on this surface.
- ▲▲ ▲ ► ▼ ▼▼
- Form: last figure against the average of the three before it. ▲ = up 3 or more, ▲▲ = up 8 or more, ► = within 3, ▼ / ▼▼ = down. The number is the difference.
- ≡ ↕
- ≡ steady: the last four figures sit close together. ↕ up-and-down: they swing widely.
- ★
- Best figure in the field at today's distance and surface, from two or more tries, not tied. When that horse isn't in our top three it gets a “Distance horse” note above the field.
- ▲ ▼ chips
- Handicapping angles for or against the horse. LS = longshot read: 8-1 or more on the morning line and the model rates it higher than that line.
These marks describe the past performances. None of them is proven to beat the odds: in our test of 100 handicapping angles, nothing did better than the final odds, and the morning-line favourite wins more races than our top-ranked horse. Read them as notes, not as a reason to bet.
Race conditions and our readpace, conditions, story
ZIA · RACE 4
UPCOMINGTrial
Stakes, for 2-year-olds, restricted to state-bred (registered) horses.
Stakes race — the top class. Owners pay entry/nomination fees that build the purse, which draws the best horses available.
● Breed: Quarter Horse
● Track record at 350 Yards: 17.07
The shape is the story here: the early pace looks honest rather than contested — expect a fairly run race where class and trip decide it, not pace collapse.
Our number tops on #7 Bogarts Brown Sugar (a tactical type, M/L 9-5). Recent figures: 79 · 79 · 91. Backup is #2 Brookman at 4-1. Use #6 Sheza Big Daddy Too in exotic structures.
What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.
At a glance: model vs the morning line
At a glance
- Market favourite #7 BOGARTS BROWN SUGAR (9-5) — our number agrees.
- #7 BOGARTS BROWN SUGAR — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (33.4% to their 30.3%).
- #6 SHEZA BIG DADDY TOO — our #3 number, about right at the windows (20.5% to their 21.2%).
- #2 BROOKMAN — our #2 number, about right at the windows (18.0% to their 16.9%).
Model vs the morning line
- The model and the morning line roughly agree on this field.
Pacewho goes to the front
Pace
Pace Vacuum. No real early speed. Whoever shows up first is likely uncontested. Pressers benefit.
and works against #1 Zoomin Thru Juarez, #2 Brookman, #3 Suspicious Rizzler.
Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.
Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse
Closing Kick · late-pace figure
Bet types offeredwager menu
Bet types
Wagers offered on this race.
$1 EXACTA / .50 TRIFECTA / .10 SUPERFECTA/ 3RD LEG PICK 4/ 2ND LEG PICK 3
BET OPTIONS
WinPlaceShowExactaTrifectaSuperfecta